Weekend Thread: Friday Estimates: Pika pi! 20.7m, Assemble! 16.1m, Anne Hathaway! 4m, Cheerleaders: Endgame 1.5m, LotR: Origins 825k

[SweeneySwift]

 

[Sam]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

102.3M OS weekend could be enough to put it No. 1 OS as well, and #1 weekend WW.

 

China hold is better than expected.

[charlie Jatinder]

Happy Mother's Day @terrestrial

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

😬😬😬

 

 

Edited May 12, 2019 by sfran43

[cdsacken]

Just now, Charlie Jatinder said:

Happy Mother's Day @terrestrial

Happy mothers day to all of moms on the boards. 2nd one for my wife trying to figure out what to do. We already celebrated it in England last month.

[sfran43]

 

Edited May 12, 2019 by sfran43

[Ms Lady Hawk]

7 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

Disney going with same drop as Infinity War seems very fair. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, sfran43 said:

😬😬😬

 

Feel sad for Disney. They have to dump Fox Flops for next 2 years or so. Used to be such great sight with just 8-10 films and making more than other studios having 20-30 releases.

[TalismanRing]

Just now, sfran43 said:

😬😬😬

 

I had it at $2m and then saw all these predictions for $4-6m and up and pushed mine up to $3m to hedge a bit.  Pftttt.

 

[sfran43]

 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

8 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

Looks like Black Panther wasn’t the top grossing superhero-film for long.

[That One Girl]

The Intruder with a 43% drop.  Dennis Quaid with that word of mouth hit

[JimiQ]

9 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

I see this as an absolute win

[Avatree]

12 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I agree this is a little late but considering the scheduling I'm not sure when they could have fit her solo in except for the window between CW and AIW (maybe beteen AOU and CW except she was having a baby. ) She should have done her solo then even if it meant 4 MCU movies in 2017.  Before that it would have been a tough fit between Avengers, TWS, AOU and CW.

 

It's not going to be low budget with 1) what they're reportedly paying Scarlett and 2)"low budget" for the MCU is currently $150-165m.  

 

I'd be shocked if opened under $100m  unless the reviews are dreadful (would really be surprised by that though with Feige and Zhao)

She's a long standing Avengers, she's coming off a great appearance in AEG that's going to do about $2.8b which means more potential fans for her solo than even before AEG.  My guess right now it will closer to Raganork, GOTG2 numbers than Strange or AM. 
 

 

i think chloe zhao is directing Eternals not Black widow? not sure there is a BW director yet.

[Lordmandeep]

Strong overseas results ensure Avatar Is going down. 

 

Should be at 2.63 billion by Next Sunday and then memorial day should help out.

Edited May 12, 2019 by Lordmandeep

[sfran43]

 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

11 minutes ago, baumer said:

Pikachu has a devoted fan base but I don't think it's really the kind of film that is going to attract the casual movie audience. Take me for example. I love Ryan Reynolds but have no desire to go see a Pikachu movie. I know nothing about the video game I could care less about the video game and I have no interest in knowing anything about Pokemon.

 

Nice to see you too long shot have declined. I know it's not going to make a ton of money but maybe word of mouth can somehow get this film a 4 multiplier soican at least maybe break even.

I take you would have disliked/hated DP...if you were ever dragged to see it in theaters...or if you ever see it on DVD, right?

[MagnarTheGreat]

MCU franchise sequel (domestic)	Day 10 Cume Multiplier	Added B/ Days 10-17	Day 17 Cume Multiplier	Added After Day 17	Final Multiplier	90% of Gross On Day	Release Month
Avengers: Endgame*	1.74	0.29	2.03	TBD	TBD	TBD	Apr.
Ant-Man and the Wasp	1.76	0.42	2.18	0.68	2.86	31	Jul.
Captain America: The Winter Soldier	1.67	0.44	2.11	0.62	2.73	30	Apr.
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	1.70	0.36	2.06	0.60	2.66	30	May
Avengers: Infinity War	1.76	0.37	2.13	0.51	2.63	30	Apr.
Thor: Ragnarok	1.73	0.29	2.01	0.55	2.57	29	Nov.
Iron Man 2	1.65	0.31	1.96	0.48	2.44	27	May
Thor: The Dark World	1.69	0.27	1.96	0.45	2.41	24	Nov.
Avengers: Age of Ultron	1.64	0.31	1.95	0.45	2.40	26	May
Iron Man 3	1.64	0.30	1.94	0.41	2.35	25	May
Captain America: Civil War	1.65	0.29	1.94	0.34	2.28	23	May
average	1.69	0.33	2.02	0.51	2.53	28
median	1.69	0.32	2.01	0.49	2.50	28
* Day 17 numbers are not final / based on estimates

 

See also: Comparisons of MCU 3rd/2nd weekend drops

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

😬😬😬

 

Expected considering the reviews were really mediocre.