Memorial Weekend Thread: 4-Day Actuals - Aladdin $116.81M | John Wick 3 $30.97M | Avengers Endgame $22.06M | Pokemon DP $17.25M

[Eric the Minion]

If Laddy hits the high end with a 32.5M Friday, and follows Pirates 5

 

28 Sat

26.3 Sun

21.4 Mon

86.8M 3-Day, 108.2M 4-Day

 

 

Follows Alice 2

 

30.3 Sat

27.2 Sun

22.3 Mon

90 3-Day, 112.3M 4-Day

[Joyous Legion]

Based on an extensive analysis of BatB, I’ve determined that what Aladdin really  needed for 1B was to star Rupert Grint 

[Lordmandeep]

20-22 million 4-day for Endgame? 

[JB33]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

The OGs comp

BaTB: 145 + 190: 335

Aladdin: 217 + 286: 503

 

 

Yeah the box office was definitely bigger for the animated Aladdin. 

 

I mean either way you're right: Disney fucked up the marketing for Aladdin. Looks like they had a crowd pleaser on their hands that did anything but before it was actually released in theatres. 

[XXR & Friends]

Glad Aladdin is showing us a whole new world of tracking and estimates. 

$86m 3-day, $105m 4-day is my prediction. Final around $230m.

[danhtruong5]

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Bit in a hurry, take these rough estimates. (+/- 5%)

 

32-32.5

6.5-6.75

4.2

Can EG hit 4.3?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

300m+ locked

[Premium George]

9 minutes ago, JB33 said:

You think so? I always got the feeling BatB was bigger than Aladdin. Might just be anecdotal though.

Even then Aladdin is not half of BATB. Successful movie going by early numbers but a lot of money is left on the table. TLK will be exciting run to follow now tho.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

13 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

They should have made Jasmine instead. That would hit 1B since everyone knows female leads make more money 

They probably should of judging from the praises Naomi Scott is getting.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

BO is really underpredicting Lion King.

 

Even Aladdin is doing 300m+, 1b sure is possible for TLK 

[UserHN]

Good for Aladdin. This movie has been bashed and underestimated to death in this forum. It's like there are many here who are wishing for that movie to flop. Glad that Aladdin is going the opposite way.

[Curtis1986]

Welcome back Will Smith. You're set to have an amazing year

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Good for Aladdin. This movie has been bashed and underestimated to death in this forum. It's like there are many here who are wishing for that movie to flop. Glad that Aladdin is going the opposite way.

Between Pikachu and this, large portion of the forum clearly bet on the wrong nostalgia horse. Oh well.

[meriodejaneiro]

28 minutes ago, JB33 said:

You think so? I always got the feeling BatB was bigger than Aladdin. Might just be anecdotal though.

 

25 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

The OGs comp

BaTB: 145 + 190: 335

Aladdin: 217 + 286: 503

 

 

I think @JB33 meant bigger as in "made a bigger impact", and that could be true at some point, since BATB was the first animated movie ever to be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscar (at that moment, Best Animated Movie award was not in the schedule).

 

But anyway I think TLK was the biggest of them all, followed by Aladdin, and then BATB-Little Mermaid imo. 

[UserHN]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Between Pikachu and this, large portion of the forum clearly bet on the wrong nostalgia horse. Oh well.

Seems like it.

[Joyous Legion]

18 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

They probably should of judging from the praises Naomi Scott is getting.

Yeah, I was only like 20% joking there. She’s the best part, and I think critics might have been nicer if it had more of a new twist vs being a pretty straightforward copy.

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Between Pikachu and this, large portion of the forum clearly bet on the wrong nostalgia horse. Oh well.

i have no idea if I ever said it in so many words, but I have long thought that the absolute funniest thing that could happen this May was if Aladdin over-performed relative to this board's expectations after Pika Pika under-performed relative to this board's expectations.

 

This isn't the same as finding funny that Pika Pika under-performed. Frankly, I'm kinda sad for the folks who liked it/wanted it to do very well/better than it's doing.

 

But finding it funny that the board's collective whipping boy film seems to be doing better than expected?

 

 

Oh yes.  Very much so.

 

Edited May 25, 2019 by Porthos

[TalismanRing]

Just now, Thanos Legion said:

Yeah, I was only like 20% joking there. She’s the best part, and I think critics might have been nicer if it had more of a new twist vs being a pretty straightforward copy.

There are critics dinging it for not being original, but most critical complaints seem more to do with execution.   Change too much and then you lose the nostalgia the audience is looking for.  

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

i have no idea if I ever said it in so many words, but I have long thought that the absolute funniest thing that could happen this May was if Aladdin over-performed relative to this board's expectations after Pika Pika under-performed relative to this board's expectations.

 

This isn't the same as finding funny that Pika Pika under-performed. Frankly, I'm kinda sad for the folks who liked it/wanted it to do very well/better than it's doing.

 

But finding it funny that the board's collective whipping boy film seems to be doing better than expected?

 

 

Oh yes.  Very much so.

 

We all know if Godzilla underperforms (depending on what one's expectations are for it - I've been anticipating a $60-65M opening for weeks now), there will be some crying foul on Disney for sabotaging WB this month (especially after Pikachu failed to "destroy" Endgame).

[Joyous Legion]

It looks quite possible that 4/5 May weekends will outperform board expectations (not end of April expectations, mind — couple of months ago expectations),