Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - Godzilla KOTM $47.77M | Aladdin $42.84M | Rocketman $25.72M | MA $18.09M

[sfran43]

The fact that the Thursday screening for Godzilla started at 4pm when John Wick's started at 7pm has me a bit worried it will only make around $50M for the weekend.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

The fact that the Thursday screening for Godzilla started at 4pm when John Wick's started at 7pm has me a bit worried it will only make around $50M for the weekend.

In fairness, I doubt those 4:00 shows were very busy at all. They sold practically nothing around here yesterday.

[titanic2187]

If KTOM really carry the luck of monster flick, 65m-70m is happening 

[Not really]

Was it normal for K:SI to have such a high preview-to-OW ratio?

[LOGAN'sLuckyRun]

3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

The fact that the Thursday screening for Godzilla started at 4pm when John Wick's started at 7pm has me a bit worried it will only make around $50M for the weekend.

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, Not really said:

Was it normal for K:SI to have such a high preview-to-OW ratio?

It opened in March which changes how everything works. 

[keysersoze123]

I doubt it hits 60m with this number with 4PM opening. Most likely around 50m. Also Pulse sales heavily weighted towards thursday and hourlies are not that strong. Well this has been the theme WW. wait till we get OD numbers WW, it wont be pretty.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Godzilla's Pulse sales for Friday do not look promising. Half of Aladdin at the same point. But I will wait until 1 pm to see what the pace for today looks like.

[cdsacken]

19 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Pretty much guarantees KOTM will hold the #1 spot for the weekend - Gitesh needs to get serious..."hopes to unseat" my butt:)...

Agreed. If Aladdin overperforms it does 50 (more likely 42-46). With a 8x multiplier it beats Aladdin. I think 8x minimum is reasonable to assume up to 11.5.

 

50.4- 72.5 range.

Edited May 31, 2019 by cdsacken

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

So O/U 60m? But WOM is apparently great so maybe 65m.

[Maximum Avery]

8 minutes ago, Not really said:

Was it normal for K:SI to have such a high preview-to-OW ratio?

Not really... but scot mendelson likes to use that example a lot as a measurement stick 😕 unfair

 

TTVOMJ

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

So O/U 60m? But WOM is apparently great so maybe 65m.

Very hard to say. I hate 4pm showings because they skew the numbers. WB needs to stop as they suck anyways.

[sfran43]

 

[Boxofficerules]

Just now, sfran43 said:

 

That good or bad?

[LOGAN'sLuckyRun]

5 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

So O/U 60m? But WOM is apparently great so maybe 65m.

I say UNDER (obviously). 6.3m in previews looks good until you realize that showings started early. John Wick made a similar amount and their showings started at 7.

I'm currently thinking 57m.

Edited May 31, 2019 by LOGAN'sLuckyRun

[sfran43]

 

[filmlover]

Just now, Boxofficerules said:

That good or bad?

Solid since it should reach high teens for the weekend. Plus the budget was only $5M. Another win each for Octavia and Jason Blum/Universal!

[DAJK]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

So mid-teens weekend, maybe 18M if WOM isn't bad. Given the 5M budget, a 50M total would be great for it.

 

Godzilla also did better than I thought it would (5.75M) so congrats to everyone in the tracking thread who got it spot on!!! If I had to guess a number right now, I'd go with 53-54M for the weekend. Not bad, especially if OS does well. But hopefully GvK rebounds numbers. 

[Eric Duncan]

RT Verified Audience Scores:

 

Godzilla: 91%

Rocketman: 90%

Ma: 68%

[Poseidon]

I guess i'm...whelmed?