NEW YEAR WEEKDAYS THREAD: New Year Day Final Trend P 26. Happy New Year.

[Legion Again]

31 minutes ago, ZackM said:

I'm thinking around 13M today for Star Wars.  Nothing selling this evening.

1M too low Monday and 1M too high Tuesday? Perfectly balanced...

[ZackM]

2 hours ago, ZackM said:

I'm thinking around 13M today for Star Wars.  Nothing selling this evening.

Of course, right after I posted this we got a burst of evening sales.  Maybe 14M is still possible.

 

Edit: I see the burst was driven by a discounted chain.  Sticking with 13M.

 

Edited January 1, 2020 by ZackM

[narniadis]

@TwoMisfits just remember the big reason that nothing else opens this weekend is due to the 2 week hold and still being all wide over MLK in 2 weeks (weekend 2 for films that open next weekend.) There is an established method to the madness of a bland first January weekend.

[TwoMisfits]

3 minutes ago, narniadis said:

@TwoMisfits just remember the big reason that nothing else opens this weekend is due to the 2 week hold and still being all wide over MLK in 2 weeks (weekend 2 for films that open next weekend.) There is an established method to the madness of a bland first January weekend.

Yes, but the 2 week hold ended for everything except the Dec 25 releases...movie folks were worried the last Star Wars would be bigger and leggier than it turned out to be...it's a shame no one could respond to that and fill a slot b/c Jan 10 is packed with releases...anything opening this weekend will still be there MLK weekend b/c it will be beating a lot of Nov/Dec holdovers by default...

Edited January 1, 2020 by TwoMisfits

[Napoleon]

4 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

I would say BvS did worse than that. It's the reason why JL flopped so in the long term, BvS didn't actually make any profit for WB.

If we're going there we have to look at the entire picture which is BVS launched the entire DCEU franchise which includes: Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman, Aquaman, and Wonder Woman 1984, not to mention the huge boost in comic book sales and toy sales for such brands. The DCEU is the main franchise currently at WB, and the DC brand got a huge boost in other media thanks to that, and it all started with BVS.

[narniadis]

49 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Yes, but the 2 week hold ended for everything except the Dec 25 releases...movie folks were worried the last Star Wars would be bigger and leggier than it turned out to be...it's a shame no one could respond to that and fill a slot b/c Jan 10 is packed with releases...anything opening this weekend will still be there MLK weekend b/c it will be beating a lot of Nov/Dec holdovers by default...

Not based on past behavior. Now the argument could be made that the reason for the long rut of behavior is that nothing of consequence opens on 1st weekend of January. Hence the film that does tends to lose out as much or more than Christmas films still playing well, and or to expansions of limited films from December. 

This isnt an issue because of Star Wars, January has behaved the same way for the 15+ years I have followed box office. So its definitely not a new thing. 

 

And the 2 week hold, you misunderstood me... that 2 week hold means that opening weekend 2 of January is more advantageous than weekend 1 as far as the holiday weekend of 3 is concerned. Has nothing to do with the December releases. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Tuesday 2nd Trend

 

SW: TRoS: $13mn

J2: $8.25mn

F2: $4mn

[Legion Again]

Haha, big PSm drops afterall. Looks much more like you’d expect for NYE

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

Haha, big PSm drops afterall. Looks much more like you’d expect for NYE

higher than usual NYE for SW. 

[Madhuvan]

14 hours ago, Madhuvan said:

Frozen 2 Monday :4.45m

Tuesday :4m 

Wednesday : 5.2m

Thursday :3.1m

 

Friday : 3.93  

Saturday :4.72

Sunday :2.83  weekend :11.5m

 

Total after January 5 : 449.8m

11.5*4 =46m 

Total Domestic : 495m 

 

10 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Tuesday 2nd Trend

 

SW: TRoS: $13mn

J2: $8.25mn

F2: $4mn

😏😏😁

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, ZackM said:

I'm thinking around 13M today for Star Wars.  Nothing selling this evening.

Good job Zack. 

[John Marston]

11 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Tuesday 2nd Trend

 

SW: TRoS: $13mn

J2: $8.25mn

F2: $4mn

Wow big drop for Jumanji than early estimates. Evening shows must have killed it 

[grim22]

4 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Wow big drop for Jumanji than early estimates. Evening shows must have killed it 

Makes sense. It's very family skewing, and families are out celebrating. Should see a big jump tomorrow

[narniadis]

Even with the change downward its a solid day overall for the top 3 🤷‍♂️ cant win them all when it comes to the "eve" days but this appears solid.

[babz06]

Skywalker is already at 13m? Damn could Jumanji out leg it once again?

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

45 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Tuesday 2nd Trend

 

SW: TRoS: $13mn

J2: $8.25mn

F2: $4mn

No LW? 
 

Tho I guess it would be under 4 anyway 

[SnokesLegs]

1 hour ago, Napoleon said:

If we're going there we have to look at the entire picture which is BVS launched the entire DCEU franchise which includes: Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman, Aquaman, and Wonder Woman 1984, not to mention the huge boost in comic book sales and toy sales for such brands. The DCEU is the main franchise currently at WB, and the DC brand got a huge boost in other media thanks to that, and it all started with BVS.

Man of Steel says “hi”.

[charlie Jatinder]

43 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Wow big drop for Jumanji than early estimates. Evening shows must have killed it 

I am doing projections for them from PS which don't make sense now as PS are under 10% now and walkups can affect them very much.

[charlie Jatinder]

I can see Jumanji winning (on second thoughts, no) next weekend if all goes as I foresee.

Edited January 1, 2020 by Jedi Jat

[sfran43]