TMP Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Quote Warner Bros.’ R-rated Suicide Squad DC spinoff Birds of Prey is eyeing an estimated $4M to $5M according to industry estimates tonight from showtimes that began at 6PM. https://deadline.com/2020/02/birds-of-prey-weekend-box-office-margot-robbie-1202853768/ 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lor15 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Oh deadline... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, TMP said: https://deadline.com/2020/02/birds-of-prey-weekend-box-office-margot-robbie-1202853768/ WB will stick with $4M even if it goes under and just adjust Friday later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, lor15 said: Oh deadline... This isn't a lol Deadline though. Their projections match the tracking thread. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Birds flying low 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LOGAN'sLuckyRun Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) ...Well, as far as my club is concerned Edited February 7, 2020 by LOGAN'sLuckyRun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Tran Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) Well this is going to be a whole lot of "they hate men feminist propaganda blah blah" followed by "men don't go to female led movies etc.." and it'll all be toxic. Not here, just assuming how Twitter will go. Edited February 7, 2020 by Johnny Tran 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curtis1986 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Under 40 here comes the birds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Galactic Specter Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said: Well this is going to be a whole lot of "they hate men feminist propaganda blah blah" followed by "men don't go to female led movies etc.." and it'll all be toxic. Not here, just assuming how Twitter will go. Even if this does well in the end, that toxic stuff on twitter will not go away. Those people will move on to another piece of media to have an outrage over. Edited February 7, 2020 by Galactic Specter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) how good is this for a 50M OW? Shazam made 53M from a 5.9M that started on 4PM but this is R-rated.. Edited February 7, 2020 by RealLyre . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) 25 minutes ago, RealLyre said: how good is this for a 50M OW? Shazam made 53M from a 5.9M that started on 4PM but this is R-rated.. Joker did 7.2x it's 4pm previews over ow. Shazam did 9x, was not a spin-off and was family friendly. So 8x at most for BOP? 4-5x gives 32-40 ow. Edited February 7, 2020 by a2k Math Error 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, RealLyre said: how good is this for a 50M OW? Shazam made 53M from a 5.9M that started on 4PM but this is R-rated.. Movie with 6 PM preview start multiplier (removing the family movie like Beast-Frozen 2): BvS: 5.993 Captain Marvel: 7.412 Suicide Squad: 6.521 Solo: 5.987 Justice League: 7.219 Ant-Man: 6.6 Fan Beast: 8.5 Dark Phoenix: 6.6 It look like a 8x multiplier for that genre would be really good and that a 6.5 to 7.5 could happen. Joker did 7.233. It is hard to imagine too if it is a on the lower of that $4M, maybe it is not playing like an usual franchise movie/SH entry. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) 9 minutes ago, a2k said: So 8x at most for BOP? 4-5x gives 40-45 ow. That 4-5M range give an at most 32M to 40M OW if I understand correctly, with a 26M to 33M window being possible. 4*8 = 32 5*8 = 40 It will probably end up at 5.5 or not play like the usual SH affair multi wise, because the low end of those look quite dire if it end up being a domestic heavy title for an well received spin of of an 700M+ movie. Edited February 7, 2020 by Barnack 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 9 minutes ago, a2k said: So 8x at most for BOP? 4-5x gives 40-45 ow. 8x4 32 8x5 40 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 I thought Birds of Prey had big breakout potential a while ago but it just never materialized for whatever reason. Suicide Squad left a sour taste in too many people's mouths, I guess. At least even with a (hopefully) $40-45M opening the drop next weekend shouldn't be that severe with it being a 4 day holiday (with Valentine's Day also boosting next Friday). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Birds of Prey was about as good as Suicide Squad was bad. Hopefully the legs reflect it, cause it seems the ow is paying for the Squads sins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
babz06 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Seems like Harley Quinn might be too niche for general audiences. I thought this had potential for 80m+ at one point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Not that this is a particularly rigorous or consistent or predictively useful ratio, but I had some time to kill: MoS x13.85 previews to total BvS x11.9 SS x15.85 WW x37.5 JL x17.6 AQM x35.2 SHZ x23.8 Joker x25.2 Doubt this replicates the WOM summer fueled WW or Christmas fueled AQM. OTOH with previews low shouldn’t be in the super low zone either. Maybe 20-30x for 90-135 or so? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 The trailers didn't hook people like Suicide Squad did. It doesn't matter if BOP is better made. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Tran Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 I usually think WB trailers are awesome. The Birds of Prey trailers were damn fucking terrible. I was honestly surprised to see so many people loving the movie so instead of me catching this "whenever" we are going sometime this weekend... In my case, WOM helped.. not sure if will be enough for the general audience. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...