Movies4Life Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 14 minutes ago, cJS said: Monday is too much. 9 range will be great. I actually go with $10M so Sonic will make $66M over the 4-day weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Arendelle Legion said: I dunno, Lego Movie was President’s 2nd weekend but did 12.8(VD)+20.3+16.8+12.6 Alita comp is better. 40-48% Monday drop I must say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 (edited) 4 minutes ago, cJS said: Alita comp is better. I guess we will have an idea from Sat and Sun %s, but I think this will play much closer to kid/family comps than Alita of all things. Edited February 15, 2020 by Arendelle Legion 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: I guess we will have an idea from Sat and Sun %s, but I think this will play much closer to kid/family comps than Alita of all things. Alita actually trended better than expectations last year. I think Alita is better comp than LEGO 😛 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 (edited) . Edited June 15, 2020 by abusive brainwashed Christ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, cJS said: Alita actually trended better than expectations last year. I think Alita is better comp than LEGO 😛 Alita’s overall open was solid (relative to expectations) but the Mon % was baaaaaad. Made some sense for an adult skewing movie on a holiday that’s more school than work (e.g. JW2 also -48%) but Sonic previews:OD indicates more actual family business. Maybe it will play as more of a middle ground of Maze Runner: Death Cure -27% or AQM -32%, but I think that will still take Mon over 10 more likely than not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, cJS said: Alita comp is better. 40-48% Monday drop I must say. Nah, even if its between Alita and the worst of A's comps its still 30% and considerably better than Alita which didnt last beyond the weekend (and its holiday hold showed it.) Obviously Sonic won't skew as kid friendly as an animated flick (or Peter Rabbit) but barring an age skew OR being fandriven obsessed (which we will see in Saturday's numbers) its not touching 40%. Also Alita is nowhere near a similar enough comp even based on type of film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Alita’s overall open was solid (relative to expectations) but the Mon % was baaaaaad. Made some sense for an adult skewing movie on a holiday that’s more school than work (e.g. JW2 also -48%) but Sonic previews:OD indicates more actual family business. Maybe it will play as more of a middle ground of Maze Runner: Death Cure -27% or AQM -32%, but I think that will still take Mon over 10 more likely than not. Out of likes but yeah, same thoughts in my post (of sorts lol). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 If BOP Fri is 5.9 don't see how it does only 15.3 FSS. 5.9 + 6.5 (+10%) + 4.2 (-35%) = 16.6 optimistically, 5.9 + 7.1 (+20%) + 5.0 (-30%) = 18.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 44 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: This massively successful turnaround for Sonic both critically and commercially from the absolute disaster the initial marketing/look made seem inevitable is a landmark moment for how studios respond to marketing criticism form audiences. Will be interesting to see the effect this has on that aspect of the industry going forward. Could be both good and bad. Already rolling my eyes a little about how for some reason this film is being championed as one "for the fans". I prefer if we don't give the internet that much power over creatives. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 (edited) 3 minutes ago, a2k said: If BOP Fri is 5.9 don't see how it does only 15.3 FSS. 5.9 + 6.5 (+10%) + 4.2 (-35%) = 16.6 optimistically, 5.9 + 7.1 (+20%) + 5.0 (-30%) = 18.0 More likely to be flat or drop than increase 10%. I would imagine its closer to 16m than not if the 5.9 holds but that would be the upper end (imo). Then again, Saturday could go up if it didnt max out its potential for the VD inflated Friday. Edited February 15, 2020 by narniadis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertman2 Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said: Already rolling my eyes a little about how for some reason this film is being championed as one "for the fans". I prefer if we don't give the internet that much power over creatives. maybe things as evil as the original sonic design shouldn't exist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 With a $15M 4-day weekend if projections hold up and a likely quick exit I'm guessing Fantasy Island will be lucky to reach $30M total. At least The Invisible Man looks to turn things around a bit for the horror genre hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 How will Sonic do OS compared to Detective Pikachu? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said: maybe things as evil as the original sonic design shouldn't exist Will admit this is one exception I don't mind. Seriously dunno how that design got approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Box Office is going to be boring until March (Onward, Bloodshot, Quiet Place 2, Mulan). And March is still weak. April should be fun though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 It's hard not to wonder how Sonic would've done had they stuck with that original design. Obviously wouldn't have sunk to the embarrassing flop levels of, say, Cats, but the fact it's looking to potentially outgross Detective Pikachu (arguably the most vastly overpredicted movie pre-release of last year) after such a rough start marketing-wise is quite a comeback story. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdrianL Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 I got out of Fantasy Island and two guys with devices were asking people about the movie, Cinemascore people probably? Lol I remember I got interviewed once for Magnificent Seven. Everyone in my theater I heard hated it btw lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 SONIC THE HEDGEHOG (2020) 3 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 C- for Fantasy Island, haha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
