THANKSGIVING WEEKEND THREAD | Encanto v Gucci v Resi Evil | Sales available on the first page | We're all gonna die of sadness not COVID

[picores]

Encanto looking at 26-27m weekend with that Friday and 40m 5-day cume. Should be enough to pass 100m DOM

Ghostbusters 25m second weekend, good for 150m total

[Legion Again]

15 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

10.8

9.6

I was pretty sure we weren’t going to see +100.  
 

3days: 28, 25

5 days: 41, 36  

 

Being a little optimistic if anything. 

[Legion Again]

All I care about is Richard and Eternals 😆

[von Kenni]

22 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

10.8

9.6

Looking at a quick glance 2019 & 2018 numbers that this Thanksgiving weekend seems to follow more than the 2020, GBA is expected to have -5%-+10% Saturday and -40%-45% Sunday. If it has exceptional WOM & holds going for the weekend, then a little bit better. With these numbers weekend expectation for GBA would be $23.7-26.5m but thinking of GBA's Thu hold and WOM a good chance that the Sunday drop is sub 40% and the Deadline's $26.6m makes sense.

[TalismanRing]

Did Deadline give an audience % breakdown for Encanto?  I assume it's skewing more Hispanic than usual  (and that's already an over indexing group for films).    Coco had a 26.7% Sunday drop.   Rest were around 35-45% drops.   Hispanic supported films often have softer Sunday drops because of the tradition of attending films after church.

 

If Encanto does $10.8 with Coco's FSS internal multi it would do $29m ($42.3m 5 day)

 

[von Kenni]

10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Did Deadline give an audience % breakdown for Encanto?  I assume it's skewing more Hispanic than usual  (and that's already an over indexing group for films).    Coco had a 26.7% Sunday drop.   Rest were around 35-45% drops.   Hispanic supported films often have softer Sunday drops because of the tradition of attending films after church.

 

If Encanto does $10.8 with Coco's FSS internal multi it would do $29m ($42.3m 5 day)

 

Nope. 25% of GBA audience was latinos & hispanics so they'll be fighting much on the same demo even if Encanto works better for younger kids. However, I would imagine Encanto having an advantage but still losing some of that demo to GBA.

[EmpireCity]

I tried to tell ya'll about Ghostbusters: Afterlife since August.  Flat out leggy general audience hit.  

[TalismanRing]

Just now, von Kenni said:

Nope. 25% of GBA audience was latinos & hispanics so they'll be fighting much on the same demo even if Encanto works better for younger kids. However, I would imagine Encanto having an advantage but still losing some of that demo to GBA.

 

According to the MPAA of 2019 Latino/Hispanic audience accounted for 26% of the frequent movie going audience (with 18% of the population) so that's not an out of the ordinary %

[Legion Again]

GBA’s first sat was pretty normal, as was first sun. 43% isn’t an out of the norm good 2nd weekend thanksgiving 3day hold by any means, FB1 -39% and even mockingjay part 2 was -49%. If it’s actually going to pull surprisingly great legs next two weekends are where we’d see that (before it gets kneecapped 😆)

[von Kenni]

FRI actuals starting to come in...

 

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
1	(1)	Encanto	Walt Disney	$11,000,000	+90%		3,980	$2,764	$24,300,000	3
2	(2)	Ghostbusters: Afterlife	Sony Pictures	$9,750,000	+84%	-41%	4,315	$2,260	$73,008,129	8
3	(3)	House of Gucci	United Artists	$5,738,000	+69%		3,477	$1,650	$13,339,596	3
4	(4)	Eternals	Walt Disney	$3,100,000	+94%	+2%	3,165	$979	$145,843,809	22
5	(5)	Resident Evil: Welcome to…	Sony Pictures	$2,000,000	+95%		2,803	$714	$5,525,000	3
6	(6)	Clifford the Big Red Dog	Paramount Pi…	$1,960,000	+170%	-3%	3,292	$595	$39,968,301	17
7	(-)	King Richard	Warner Bros.	$1,315,000		-32%	3,302	$398	$9,393,000	8
8	(-)	Dune	Warner Bros.	$800,000		-10%	1,266	$632	$100,877,000	36
-	(-)	Venom: Let There be Carnage	Sony Pictures	$605,000	+112%	-20%	1,537	$394	$208,555,986	57
-	(-)	Belfast	Focus Features	$360,000		+28%	1,128	$319	$4,371,000	15
-	(-)	The French Dispatch	Searchlight …	$235,000	+116%	-19%	397	$592	$14,097,230	36
-	N	Licorice Pizza	MGM	$141,000			4	$35,250	$141,000	1
-	(-)	For the Love of Money	Freestyle Re…	$80,000	+60%		519	$154	$158,000	3
-	(-)	Ron’s Gone Wrong	20th Century…	$77,000	+185%	-62%	450	$171	$22,623,848	36
-	(-)	Antlers	Searchlight …	$21,000	+50%	-81%	117	$179	$10,472,069	29
-	(-)	Last Night in Soho	Focus Features	$18,000		-76%	110	$164	$10,073,000	29
-	(-)	The Last Duel	20th Century…	$9,000	+50%	-25%	130	$69	$10,830,903	43
-	(-)	Halloween Kills	Universal	$7,000		-88%	165	$42	$91,961,000	43
-	(-)	Shang-Chi and the Legend …	Walt Disney	$6,000	+500%	-58%	65	$92	$224,527,145	85
		19		$37,222,000

Edited November 27, 2021 by von Kenni

[EmpireCity]

Also, the variant talk is way way overblown.  Nothing is shutting down again, at least in the United States.  You would have a full on revolt if you even try it.  

[EmpireCity]

19 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

I think there's about a 30 percent chance that No Way Home/Sing 2 and others (not Matrix) are delayed by the end of the week. I'll look to see if Spider-Man is delayed before tickets apparently go on sale on the 29th.

 

What?  No.  

[Coldbird]

Clifford has a 170%, i feel like this movie is gonna be the best comparison how a family movie is gonna perform.

[Felipe]

 

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, Coldbird said:

Clifford has a 170%, i feel like this movie is gonna be the best comparison how a family movie is gonna perform.

 

Skewed more like a children's movie which is why it dropped 44% on Thur - so a 50% jump over Weds $1.3m

 

 

Edited November 27, 2021 by TalismanRing

[Legion Again]

Unless there’s a typo on the-numbers, Licorice Pizza has demolished the pandemic OW PTA record with just its OD

 

@BestPicturePlutoNash

[Felipe]

 

So ~22M 5-day for Gucci

[Cmasterclay]

4 minutes ago, Felipe said:

 

So ~22M 5-day for Gucci

Very mediocre Friday jump yet still far above what everything else adult has done this pandemic, so good in that regard.

[filmlover]

Licorice Pizza is looking at an $80-90K average for the weekend. Not overly surprising (PTA has a strong following among the specialty audience) and who knows how it'll do in expansion, but this is definitely a sign of hope for the arthouse market. Too bad Nightmare Alley is going wide right off the bat cause it's the only other movie coming up that would be likely to challenge those numbers had it been given the platform treatment.

[titanic2187]