The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Relevation]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

So is it missing 120k? Not sure how it makes 7m with that.

Yiiiikes. Could we be in for something like $6.5M previews, 7x IM, $45-46M weekend?

[M37]

5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

So is it missing 120k? Not sure how it makes 7m with that.

By playing well outside the metros where MTC1 has the bigger footprint (as PBO noted in their forecast). TGM had a PSM of $67.5/tix and over $70 for just Thursday (without the added weight of the PLF EA shows). Sacto is probably the most dad-action/casual old man market tracked in here, and those comps point to $8M. Weakness elsewhere should drag that number down, but I've been balkparking at $63/tix PSM for Alpha, and a 115K final should clear $7M, if not closer to mid-$7s

[Porthos]

On 6/29/2023 at 12:47 AM, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7414	8250	836	10.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

36

 

T-22 Comps:

	%		Sold T-22	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	46.21		41	1809		0/179	22839/24647	7.34%		10966	7.62%		8.32m
BP2	14.06		138	5948		1/294	31071/37019	16.07%		16800	4.98%		3.94m
FX	107.18		16	780		0/182	26942/27722	2.81%		4122	20.28%		8.04m
Indy 5	93.41		48	895		0/124	18626/19521	4.58%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:      164/2968  [5.53% sold]
Matinee:          11/81  [13.58% | 1.32% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 402/776 [+11 tickets] [48.09% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    285/4100 [+21 tickets] [34.09% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           149/3374 [+4 tickets] [17.82% of all tickets sold]

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7390	8250	860	10.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

24

 

T-21 Comps:

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	45.74		71	1880		0/184	22927/24807	7.58%		10966	7.84%		8.23m
BP2	14.10		150	6098		1/294	30924/37022	16.47%		16800	5.12%		3.95m
FX	109.55		5	785		0/182	26937/27722	2.83%		4122	20.86%		8.22m
Indy 5	92.27		37	932		0/124	18589/19521	4.77%		4767	18.04%		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:       171/2968  [5.76% sold]
Matinee:          11/81  [13.58% | 1.28% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 411/776 [+9 tickets] [47.79% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    303/4100 [+18 tickets] [35.23% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           146/3374 [-3 tickets] [16.98% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

On 6/29/2023 at 12:49 AM, Porthos said:

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	96	11461	12632	1171	9.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

89

 

T-22 Comps:

	%		Sold T-22	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	64.73		41	1809		0/179	22839/24647	7.34%		10966	10.68%		11.65m
Scream 6	309.79		29	378		0/65	7171/7549	5.01%		3134	37.36%		17.66m
FX	150.13		16	780		0/182	26942/27722	2.81%		4122	28.41%		11.26m
TLM	128.40		63	912		0/154	21736/22648	4.03%		6561	17.85%		13.23m
AtSV	86.17		87	1359		0/123	18537/19896	6.83%		9744	12.02%		14.95m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:     267/4251  [6.28% sold]
Matinee:    44/1759  [2.50% | 3.76% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:    312/422 [73.93% sold] [+4 tickets sold]
Thr:    859/12210 [7.04% sold] [+85 tickets sold]

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	96	11363	12626	1263	10.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

92

 

T-21 Comps:

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	67.18		71	1880		0/184	22927/24807	7.58%		10966	11.52%		12.09m
Scream 6	314.96		23	401		0/67	7334/7735	5.18%		3134	40.30%		17.95m
FX	160.89		5	785		0/182	26937/27722	2.83%		4122	30.64%		12.07m
TLM	129.94		60	972		0/154	21676/22648	4.29%		6561	19.25%		13.38m
AtSV	86.51		101	1460		0/123	18436/19896	7.34%		9744	12.96%		15.01m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:      291/4251  [6.85% sold]
Matinee:    57/1757  [3.24% | 4.51% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:    328/422 [77.73% sold] [+16 tickets sold]
Thr:    935/12204 [7.66% sold] [+76 tickets sold]

[Porthos]

On 6/29/2023 at 12:50 AM, Porthos said:

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	155	23299	24392	1093	4.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

54

 

T-13 Comps:

	%		Sold T-13	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	140.13		57	780		0/135	20479/21259	3.67%		3737	29.25%		8.69m
JWD	40.38		112	2707		0/191	22665/25372	10.67%		10966	9.97%		7.27m
Ava 2	37.09		148	2947		0/145	18537/21484	13.72%		8986	12.16%		6.31m
Wick 4	88.79		80	1231		0/89	12253/13484	9.13%		5448	20.06%		7.90m
FX	99.45		52	1099		0/178	26611/27710	3.97%		4122	26.52%		7.46m
Indy 5	82.99		59	1317		0/128	18924/20241	6.51%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:          183/7979  [2.29% sold]
Matinee:        24/1691  [1.42% | 2.20% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    187/5966  [3.13% | 17.11% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          69/457 [15.10% sold] [+4 tickets]
Mon:    500/2256 [22.16% sold] [+9 tickets]
Tue:    524/21679 [2.42% sold] [+41 tickets]

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-12 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	155	23256	24392	1136	4.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

43

 

T-12 Comps:

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	139.90		32	812		0/135	20447/21259	3.82%		3737	30.40%		8.67m
JWD	40.40		105	2812		0/191	22562/25374	11.08%		10966	10.36%		7.27m
Ava 2	36.25		187	3134		0/145	18350/21484	14.59%		8986	12.64%		6.16m
Wick 4	88.47		53	1284		0/90	12301/13585	9.45%		5448	20.85%		7.87m
FX	97.26		69	1168		0/178	26545/27713	4.21%		4122	27.56%		7.29m
Indy 5	83.96		36	1353		0/128	18888/20241	6.68%		4767	23.83%		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:         193/7979  [2.42% sold]
Matinee:         24/1691  [1.42% | 2.11% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    199/5966  [3.34% | 17.52% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          69/457 [15.10% sold] [+0 tickets]
Mon:    516/2256 [22.87% sold] [+16 tickets]
Tue:    551/21679 [2.54% sold] [+27 tickets]

[Maggie]

@Porthos Are these numbers for MI:DR for the five days, right? So let's say 8M previews, what would that mean for the opening five days?

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/23/2023 at 8:14 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
The Flash	3,404	71,445	-26.57%	61,679	471.91	9,766	4,272	0
Elemental	3,242	61,869	-12.56%	52,211	353.90	9,658	0	8,178
No Hard Feelings	2,698	55,242		55,218		24	0	0
Spider-Verse 2	3,091	53,302	-0.38%	49,951	504.67	3,351	3	0
Transformers 6	2,953	44,457	-21.77%	39,726	364.00	4,731	0	4,541
The Little Mermaid	2,676	33,283	-6.16%	31,672	311.61	1,611	0	1,545
Asteroid City	1,571	28,460		28,414		46	0	0
The Blackening	1,683	23,635	-8.85%	23,620	204.08	15	0	0
Guardians Vol. 3	1,648	16,587	-8.20%	16,407	292.62	180	0	162
The Boogeyman	1,428	14,306	-21.24%	14,303	200.69	3	0	0
Fast X	860	5,933	-28.02%	5,921	256.31	12	0	0
Super Mario Bros.	431	2,871	-37.36%	2,829	144.47	42	0	30

 

US Showtime Report Sample*

*Not all theaters are accounted for

OW Showtimes Comps

Asteroid City - 28,460 (1,571 TC)

 - Bones and All - 28,849 (2,409)

 - Blackening - 29,465 (1,683)

 - Operation Fortune - 28,946 (2,116)

No Hard Feelings - 55,242 (2,698 TC)

 - Marry Me - 53,179 (3,172)

 - West Side Story - 54,697 (2,479)

 - Crawdads - 53,855 (3,126)

 - 80 for Brady - 55,322 (3,330)

 

T-1 Week Showtime Comps

Indiana Jones - 76,495 (2,876 TC)

 - Venom 2 - 81,718 (2,807)

 - Transformers - 72,589 (2,647)

 - The Flash - 82,414 (2,823)

 - Black Adam - 78,913 (2,901)

 

Ruby Gillman - 31,781 (1,893 TC)

 - Paws of Fury - 31,294 (2,060)

 - Puss in Boots - 30,437 (2,314)

 - Bob's Burgers - 30,287 (2,109)

 - Strange World - 31,574 (1,946)

 

T-2 Week Previews Showtime Comps

Sound of Freedom - 5,503 (1,573 TC)

 - Elvis - 5,527 (2,328)

 - I Wanna Dance - 5,579 (1,938)

 

Joy Ride 7/5 EA - 1,666 (1,496 TC)

Joy Ride - 5,104 (1,564 TC)

 - Easter Sunday - 4,712 (1,706)

 - Cocaine Bear - 4,967 (2,029)

 - 80 for Brady - 5,327 (1,950)

 

Insidious 5 - 4,665 (1,519 TC)

 - Black Phone - 4,684 (1,873)

 - M3GAN - 4,412 (1,837)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 4,649 (1,980)

 

T-3 Week Previews Showtime Comps

Mission: Impossible 7/10 EA - 681 (642 TC)

Mission: Impossible - 14,292 (2,423 TC)

 - Indiana Jones 5 - 13,492 (2,485)

 - Venom 2 - 12,285 (1,978)

*I'm unable to pull the Walmart+ shows

 

T-4 Week Previews Showtime Comps

Barbie 7/19 EA - 372 (365 TC)

Barbie - 8,920 (2,053 TC)

 - Top Gun - 8,786 (822 TC)

 - Shazam 2 - 8,326 (1,558)

 

Oppenheimer - 6,116 (2,257 TC)

 - Scream VI - 5,778 (1,862)

 - Nope - 7,792 (1,976)

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
Indiana Jones 5	3,707	118,208		100,935		17,273	5,188	0
Ruby Gillman	2,908	53,972		53,939		33	0	0
Elemental	3,015	43,017	-30.47%	39,882	298.12	3,135	0	3,064
Spider-Verse 2	2,798	37,841	-29.01%	37,708	356.53	133	0	0
No Hard Feelings	2,645	37,780	-20.08%	37,765	271.58	15	0	0
Transformers 6	2,401	30,107	-32.28%	28,056	264.40	2,051	0	2,024
The Flash	2,321	28,471	-60.15%	28,433	211.95	38	0	0
Asteroid City	1,766	24,792	-2.52%	24,752	318.11	40	0	0
The Little Mermaid	2,012	24,602	-26.08%	23,415	256.98	1,187	0	1,133
Past Lives	825	11,192		11,177		15	0	0
Guardians Vol. 3	1,007	8,600	-48.15%	8,537	208.98	63	0	57
The Blackening	821	7,212	-69.49%	7,212	128.84	0	0	0
The Boogeyman	794	7,143	-50.07%	7,143	178.56	0	0	0

 

US Showtime Report Sample*

*Not all theaters are accounted for

OW Showtimes Comps

Indiana Jones - 118,208 (3,707 TC)

 - Eternals - 118,603 (3,436)

 - Ghostbusters - 117,504 (3,243)

 - Transformers ROTB - 119,071 (3,183)

 - The Flash - 116,640 (3,330)

 

Ruby Gillman - 53,972 (2,908 TC)

 - Paws of Fury - 50,995 (2,971)

 - Boss Baby 2 - 59,464 (3,042)

 - Bob's Burgers - 58,184 (3,004)

 - Sing 2 - 55,966 (3,331)

 

T-1 Week Showtime Comps

Sound of Freedom (5-Day) - 48,762 (2,340 TC)

 - Matrix (5-Day) - 46,330 (2,657)

 - King's Man (5-Day) - 42,918 (2,456)

 

Sound of Freedom (3-Day) - 13,671 (1,206 TC)

 

Joy Ride 7/1 EA - 101 (101 TC)

Joy Ride 7/5 EA - 1,875 (1,685 TC)

Joy Ride - 29,656 (1,840 TC)

 - West Side Story - 27,605 (1,950)

 - I Wanna Dance - 28,953 (2,345)

 - 80 for Brady - 30,871 (2,381)

 - No Hard Feelings - 31,781 (1,893)

 - Easter Sunday - 27,805 (1,950)

 

Insidious 5 - 31,621 (1,952 TC)

 - Black Phone - 30,912 (2,156)

 - Halloween Kills - 32,962 (2,343)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 31,931 (2,365)

 

T-3 Week Previews Showtime Comps

Mission: Impossible 7/10 EA - 681 (643 TC)

Mission: Impossible - 14,526 (2,499 TC)

 - Indiana Jones 5 - 13,664 (2,536)

 - The Flash- 14,296 (2,440)

 - Venom 2 - 13,768 (2,381)

*I'm unable to pull the Walmart+ shows

 

T-3 Week Previews Showtime Comps

Barbie 7/19 EA - 393 (385 TC)

Barbie - 10,086 (2,388 TC)

 - Black Adam - 10,710 (1,868)

 - Shazam 2 - 10,850 (2,193)

 

Oppenheimer - 6,203 (2,306 TC)

 - Scream VI - 6,748 (2,192)

 - Dragon Ball Super - 6,877 (2,065)

 

T-4 Week Previews Showtime Comps

Haunted Mansion - 6,498 (1,763 TC)

 - Scream VI - 5,778 (1,862)

 - Oppenheimer - 6,116 (2,257)

[ZackM]

23 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	41	299	199	3	1
Seats Added	5,275	41,966	28,829	701	130
Seats Sold	8,986	8,012	5,745	3,895	2,587
6/28/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	3,069	74,747	590,554	12.66%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	3	10	41	112
ATP	Gross
$17.79	$1,329,749

 

Final previews

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: D0 Final
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	3	41	299	199
Seats Added	0	483	5,275	41,966	28,829
Seats Sold	29,870	11,331	8,986	8,012	5,745
6/30/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	3,072	115,948	591,037	19.62%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	2	5	23	84	212
ATP	Gross
$17.15	$1,988,508

[XXR vs XXR]

1 hour ago, ZackM said:

6/30/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	3,072	115,948	591,037	19.62%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	2	5	23	84	212
ATP	Gross
$17.15	$1,988,508

So about 38% fewer tickets than The Flash @ MTC1. Let’s assume some level of underindex, previews maybe in the 6.5-6.8 range?

[rehpyc]

3 minutes ago, XXR Doom N' Gloom said:

So about 38% fewer tickets than The Flash @ MTC1. Let’s assume some level of underindex, previews maybe in the 6.5-6.8 range?

MTC3 share skewed very high for Flash, as it does w/ CMB and PLF-heavy films, and I don't see that happening here. Even if it matched Flash, 6.8M would be the floor. If it is anywhere close to Flash, obviously great for the MTC 😆But willing to bet a share that'd put things more in the low 7s.

[emoviefan]

5 hours ago, M37 said:

By playing well outside the metros where MTC1 has the bigger footprint (as PBO noted in their forecast). TGM had a PSM of $67.5/tix and over $70 for just Thursday (without the added weight of the PLF EA shows). Sacto is probably the most dad-action/casual old man market tracked in here, and those comps point to $8M. Weakness elsewhere should drag that number down, but I've been balkparking at $63/tix PSM for Alpha, and a 115K final should clear $7M, if not closer to mid-$7s

Also the Weekend IM should be good with it being a extended holiday for a lot of people and if WOM is good with the regular folk. The people outside the Metros who don't live their life online. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/29/2023 at 8:47 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Insidious 5	T-7	Jax	5	20	11	31	2,037	1.52%
		Phx	6	18	9	74	2,820	2.62%
		Ral	7	24	4	32	2,829	1.13%
	Total		18	62	24	137	7,686	1.78%
Joy Ride	T-7	Jax	5	17	1	6	1,591	0.38%
		Phx	5	17	3	27	1,484	1.82%
		Ral	7	24	2	9	2,099	0.43%
	Total		17	58	6	42	5,174	0.81%
Joy Ride (EA)	T-2	Jax	3	3	2	4	297	1.35%
		Phx	1	1	3	4	110	3.64%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	88	0.00%
	Total		5	5	5	8	495	1.62%
	T-6	Jax	5	6	0	7	562	1.25%
		Phx	6	6	1	15	747	2.01%
		Ral	7	7	0	14	556	2.52%
	Total		18	19	1	36	1,865	1.93%
Sound of Freedom	T-4	Jax	5	28	51	589	2,149	27.41%
		Phx	6	51	51	693	5,687	12.19%
		Ral	7	28	61	614	2,749	22.34%
	Total		18	107	163	1,896	10,585	17.91%

 

Sound of Freedom T-4 comps

 - Jesus Revolution EA - missed

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - missed

 - I Heard the Bells - missed

 - Chosen 3 (Fri) - 1.023x (3.84m)

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-7 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .521x (1.042m)

 - 80 for Brady - .896x (672k)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.688x (1.34m)

 - Violent Night - missed

 

Size adjusted average - 963k

 

Insidious 5 T-7 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - .634x (1.9m)

 - Scream VI - .164x (934k)

 - Nope - .26x (1.67m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Halloween Ends - .304x (1.64m)

 - Evil Dead Rise - .591x (1.48m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.28x (1.86m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.91m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Insidious 5	T-6	Jax	5	20	9	40	2,037	1.96%
		Phx	6	18	16	90	2,820	3.19%
		Ral	7	24	2	34	2,829	1.20%
	Total		18	62	27	164	7,686	2.13%
Joy Ride	T-6	Jax	5	17	0	6	1,591	0.38%
		Phx	5	17	-1	26	1,484	1.75%
		Ral	7	24	3	12	2,099	0.57%
	Total		17	58	2	44	5,174	0.85%
Joy Ride (EA)	T-1	Jax	3	3	3	7	297	2.36%
		Phx	1	1	8	12	110	10.91%
		Ral	1	1	2	2	88	2.27%
	Total		5	5	13	21	495	4.24%
	T-5	Jax	5	6	3	10	562	1.78%
		Phx	6	6	1	16	747	2.14%
		Ral	7	7	3	17	556	3.06%
	Total		18	19	7	43	1,865	2.31%
Sound of Freedom	T-3	Jax	5	28	79	668	2,149	31.08%
		Phx	6	51	51	744	5,687	13.08%
		Ral	7	28	79	693	2,749	25.21%
	Total		18	107	209	2,105	10,585	19.89%

 

Sound of Freedom T-3 comps

 - Jesus Revolution EA - missed

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - 1.414x (4.67m)

 - I Heard the Bells - 5.072x (3.92m)

 - Chosen 3 (Fri) - 1.027x (3.85m)

 - Chosen 3 Finale - 1.573x (2.63m)

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-6 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .65x (1.3m)

 - 80 for Brady - .922x (691k)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.304x (1.15m)

 - Violent Night - missed

 

Size adjusted average - 1m

 

Insidious 5 T-6 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - .692x (2.08m)

 - Scream VI - .183x (1.05m)

 - Nope - .283x (1.81m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Evil Dead Rise - missed

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.28x (1.86m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2m

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/29/2023 at 8:51 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
M:I 7	T-12	Jax	6	69	12	171	10,964	1.56%
		Phx	6	58	1	133	11,155	1.19%
		Ral	8	54	14	184	8,344	2.21%
	Total		20	181	27	488	30,463	1.60%
M:I 7 (EA)	T-10	Jax	3	3	0	36	418	8.61%
		Phx	2	2	0	6	363	1.65%
		Ral	1	1	0	15	111	13.51%
	Total		6	6	0	57	892	6.39%
	T-11	Jax	5	7	7	140	1,407	9.95%
		Phx	1	1	3	49	410	11.95%
		Ral	2	2	11	83	412	20.15%
	Total		8	10	21	272	2,229	12.20%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-12 comps

 - F9 - 1.16x (8.25m)

 - John Wick 4 - .94x (8.38m)

 - Top Gun (Total) - .273x (5.27m)

 - Dune - missed

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - 1.97x (8.86m)

 - NTTD (Total) - missed

 - Indiana Jones - 1.1x (??)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.82m

 

Quick math... a 7.82m preview would make Indy 7.11m 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
M:I 7	T-11	Jax	6	69	-1	170	10,964	1.55%
		Phx	6	58	9	142	11,155	1.27%
		Ral	8	54	6	190	8,344	2.28%
	Total		20	181	14	502	30,463	1.65%
M:I 7 (EA)	T-10	Jax	5	7	0	140	1,407	9.95%
		Phx	1	1	7	56	410	13.66%
		Ral	2	2	12	95	412	23.06%
	Total		8	10	19	291	2,229	13.06%
	T-9	Jax	3	3	4	40	418	9.57%
		Phx	2	2	0	6	363	1.65%
		Ral	1	1	0	15	111	13.51%
	Total		6	6	4	61	892	6.84%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-12 comps

 - F9 - 1.15x (8.14m)

 - John Wick 4 - .93x (8.24m)

 - Top Gun (Total) - .27x (5.2m)

 - Dune - 1.47x (7.48m

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - 1.95x (8.77m)

 - NTTD (Total) - 1.48x (9.32m)

 - Indiana Jones - 1.08x (??)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.67m

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/29/2023 at 8:54 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-21	Jax	6	43	20	166	5,243	3.17%
		Phx	6	29	25	254	4,876	5.21%
		Ral	8	45	19	298	5,631	5.29%
	Total		20	117	64	718	15,750	4.56%
Barbie (EA)	T-20	Jax	2	3	7	116	319	36.36%
		Phx	1	1	4	147	208	70.67%
		Ral	2	2	7	132	190	69.47%
	Total		5	6	18	395	717	55.09%
Oppenheimer	T-21	Jax	6	24	4	208	4,739	4.39%
		Phx	6	26	4	240	4,969	4.83%
		Ral	8	22	9	252	2,837	8.88%
	Total		20	72	17	700	12,545	5.58%

 

Oppenheimer T-21 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .338x (6.08m)

 - Top Gun 2 - missed

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Scream VI - 1.598x (9.11m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.394x

 - Barbie (Total) - .629x

 

Barbie (Total) T-21 comps

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Oppenheimer - 1.59x

 - JWD (Total) - .537x (9.67m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.728x (11.74m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-20	Jax	6	43	25	191	5,243	3.64%
		Phx	6	29	19	273	4,876	5.60%
		Ral	8	45	32	330	5,631	5.86%
	Total		20	117	76	794	15,750	5.04%
Barbie (EA)	T-19	Jax	2	3	3	119	319	37.30%
		Phx	1	1	1	148	208	71.15%
		Ral	2	2	0	132	190	69.47%
	Total		5	6	4	399	717	55.65%
Oppenheimer	T-20	Jax	6	24	10	218	4,739	4.60%
		Phx	6	25	12	252	4,863	5.18%
		Ral	8	22	14	266	2,837	9.38%
	Total		20	71	36	736	12,439	5.92%

 

**Oppenheimer was overreported yesterday due to a type.  The quoted post has been updated.

 

Oppenheimer T-20 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .346x (6.23m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .646x (9.49m)

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Scream VI - 1.586x (9.04m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.353x

 - Barbie (Total) - .617x

 

Barbie (Total) T-20 comps

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Oppenheimer - 1.621x

 - JWD (Total) - .561x (10.095m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.749x (11.83m)

Edited June 30, 2023 by katnisscinnaplex

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Haunted Mansion	T-27	Jax	5	28	38	38	3,423	1.11%
		Phx	6	27	36	36	4,543	0.79%
		Ral	8	30	14	14	3,672	0.38%
	Total		19	85	88	88	11,638	0.76%
Haunted Mansion (EA)	T-26	Jax	2	2	8	8	395	2.03%
		Phx	1	1	15	15	208	7.21%
	Total		3	3	23	23	603	3.81%

 

Haunted Mansion (Total) T-27 comps

 - Shazam 2 - .816x (2.775m)

 - Barbie (Total) - .153x

[RamblinRed]

So at this point the early numbers sort of suggest MI:7 doing typical MI numbers, Oppenheimer looking at Dunkirk type numbers and Barbie being the potential breakout (which the cinemas really need one).

 

Does that sounds about right at the moment?

 

[Issac Newton]

$7.2M Indiana Jones 5 THU Previews 

[TwoMisfits]

15 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:50pm - 4:20pm]

NOTE:  All showtimes that started before 3:50pm were sampled at the beginning of their showing.

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	183	20009	24776	4767	19.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day

784

 

T-0 Comps:

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD [3:50-4:25]	127.56		648	3737		0/178	20981/24718	15.12%		3737	127.56%		7.91m
JWD [3:45-4:35]	43.47		1476	10966		0/290	22873/33839	32.41%		10966	43.47%		7.82m
BA [3:50-4:30]	106.07		874	4494		0/250	27184/31678	14.19%		4494	106.07%		8.06m
Wick4 [3:50-4:15]	87.50		1103	5448		0/186	17238/22686	24.01%		5448	87.50%		7.79m
FX [3:50-4:15]	115.65		717	4122		0/243	29125/33247	12.40%		4122	115.65%		8.67m
TLM [3:50-4:15]	72.66		958	6561		0/235	23202/29763	22.04%		6561	72.66%		7.48m
RotB [3:50-4:15]	95.86		1054	4973		0/196	20839/25812	19.27%		4973	95.86%		8.44m
Flash [3:55-4:20]	89.49		1076	5327		0/205	21645/26972	19.75%		5327	89.49%		8.68m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Indy 5's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 
Regal:     1206/7548  [15.98% sold]
Matinee:    566/2342  [24.17% | 11.87% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Decent enough walkups.  Not terrible, not great as the saying goes. 

 

Of the recent comps, only TLM gives me any real pause, and I suppose John Wick 4 (doubly so in that case because of ATP R-rating differences).  Still, since Sacto might be running hot I won't put quite as much weight in the recent GA-skewing comps as I might normally do, so let's go with an even 8m +/- .5m and call it a night.

 

ALMOST:)...TLM, being Disney, seems like it was the most on point, even with the likely gender demo swap for buyers...being a Disney blockbuster seems to be the biggest indicator for the "right comp" for Disney blockbusters...

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

 

Warner Bros.’ comedic feature take on girl toy Barbie starring Margot Robbie in the title role and Ryan Gosling as Ken cruised onto tracking today, and hot would be a modest way of describing the box office outlook here. While Warners conservatively is saying $60M, tracking shows that Barbie is bigger than last month’s The Little Mermaid in pulling in general audiences and young women under 25. A weekend start of $80M minimum is what we’re hearing, and that too is a tampered-down expectation because Barbie on paper has all the glitz for a potential $100M start. Little Mermaid‘s 3-day over the Memorial Day holiday weekend was $95.5M.

[martin]

5 hours ago, Maggie said:

@Porthos Are these numbers for MI:DR for the five days, right? So let's say 8M previews, what would that mean for the opening five days?

Below flash.