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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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On 5/5/2022 at 12:25 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Top Gun Harkins T-23 Days

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 233 63,329 403 0.64% $4,471 $11.09
Cine 1 30 8,967 502 5.60% $7,754 $15.45
Cine Capri 6 2,673 135 5.05% $1,934 $14.33
IMAX 3 1,335 92 6.89% $1,472 $16.00
             
Total 272 76,304 1,132 1.48% $15,631 $13.81
             
Cine 1 (EA) 9 2,778 1,094 39.38% $17,494 $15.99
Cine Capri (EA) 2 891 251 28.17% $3,960 $15.78
IMAX (EA) 1 445 249 55.96% $3,984 $16.00
             
Total (EA) 12 4,114 1,594 38.75% $25,438 $15.96
             
Total 284 80,418 2,726 3.39% $41,069 $15.07

 

 

BUMPER start. 4th best start after NWH, DSitMoM and The Batman. Almost 70% of The Batman and 310% of Jurassic World Dominion.

 

FWIW The Batman wasn't all that backloaded so may be it need not do a lot after this start. Though regional over indexing may be a concern and we may need to see it. 

 

Let's see how it go for a week or so but I think $10M+ previews is locked. 

Top Gun 2 Harkins T-16 Days

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 236 64,013 981 1.53% $10,949 $11.16
Cine 1 30 8,967 1,046 11.66% $16,108 $15.40
Cine Capri 6 2,673 262 9.80% $3,787 $14.45
IMAX 3 1,335 235 17.60% $3,760 $16.00
             
Total 275 76,988 2,524 3.28% $34,604 $13.71
             
Cine 1 (EA) 9 2,778 1,458 52.48% $23,253 $15.95
Cine Capri (EA) 2 891 323 36.25% $4,818 $14.92
IMAX (EA) 1 445 298 66.97% $4,768 $16.00
             
Total (EA) 12 4,114 2,079 50.53% $32,839 $15.80
             
Total 287 81,102 4,603 5.68% $67,443 $14.65

Still going at pretty solid pace. Better trend than Batman. Batman was 6k at T-14 days, this will be 5k+.

 

Now, looking deeper, California & Phoenix 4 theaters, which are best performers for the chain are not that hot for this. 

 

California makes only 862 of these i.e 18% as compared to usual 30% this far out. The Batman was 1692 at T-14. Phoenix 4 are better at 1643 vs 2273 of The Batman (T-14). CA being 50%, Phoenix 4 being 72%.

 

BUT. The smaller theaters, the other 25 of them, have 2098 sold vs 2035 of The Batman. 

 

I don't have any good comps for this. Eternals comp is $23M approx, Black Widow is $26M. LOL.The Batman is around $17M.

 

Thanks @Menor Reborn for data. 

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On 5/9/2022 at 11:59 PM, Eric loves Rey said:

Firestarter Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 41 3674 1.12%

 

Comp

0.621x of The Forever Purge T-3 (826K)

0.436x of Escape Room 2 T-3 (523K)

0.304x of Old T-3 (455K)

1.464x of The Night House T-3 (381K)

0.719x of Antlers T-3 (266K)

0.203x of Last Night in Soho T-3 (142K)

0.554x of X T-3 (244K)

Firestarter Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 44 58 4678 1.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Comp

0.630x of The Forever Purge T-2 (838K)

0.400x of Escape Room 2 T-2 (480K)

0.305x of Old T-2 (458K)

1.450x of The Night House T-2 (377K)

0.817x of Antlers T-2 (302K)

0.237x of Last Night in Soho T-2 (166K)

0.624x of X T-2 (274K)

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On 5/10/2022 at 12:05 AM, Eric loves Rey said:

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 148 1150 30872 3.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 53

 

Comp

1.831x of F9 T-17 (13M)

2.416x of No Time to Die T-17 (15.22M)

2.608x of Dune T-17 (13.3M)

4.563x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-17 (20.54M)

 

New comps! Yay!

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 148 1186 30872 3.84%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 36

 

Comp

1.786x of F9 T-16 (12.68M)

2.330x of No Time to Die T-16 (14.68M)

2.217x of Dune T-16 (11.31M)

3.562x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-16 (16.03M)

4.475x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-16 (26.85M)

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On 5/10/2022 at 12:10 AM, Eric loves Rey said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-31 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 130 1134 23332 4.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 22

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-30 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 130 1161 23332 4.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 27

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On 5/10/2022 at 12:50 AM, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-31 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

171

22337

23789

1452

6.10%

 

Total Showings Added Today

3

Total Seats Added Today

117

Total Seats Sold Today

43

 

Regal:     230/5920  [3.89% sold]

Matinee:    96/1535  [6.25% | 6.61% of all tickets sold]

 

 

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-30 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

171

22312

23786

1474

6.20%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

22

 

Regal:     234/5920  [3.95% sold]
Matinee:    98/1535  [6.38% | 6.65% of all tickets sold]

 

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On 5/10/2022 at 12:51 AM, Porthos said:

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

261

33007

36394

3387

9.31%

 

Total Showings Added Today

4

Total Seats Added Today

177

Total Seats Sold Today

223

 

T-17 Unadjusted Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-17

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

Batsy

92.19

 

156

3674

 

0/248

28624/32298

11.38%

 

11757

28.81%

 

19.91m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-17 Adjusted Comp

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-17

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

BW

146.83

 

94

2189

 

0/117

16941/19130

11.44%

 

9196

36.83%

 

20.29m

TG:M (adj)

---

 

200

3214

 

0/226

27975/31189

10.30%

 

---

---

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TG:M (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Tuesday Sales:         811/2477 [32.74% sold] [+47 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    2576/33917 [7.60% sold] [+176 tickets]
    
Regal:       381/10510  [3.63% sold]
Matinee:    186/4383  [4.24% | 5.49% of all tickets sold]

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

259

32324

35931

3607

10.04%

 

Total Showings Removed Today

2

Total Seats Removed Today

463

Total Seats Sold Today

220

 

T-16 Unadjusted Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-16

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

Batsy

94.62

 

138

3812

 

0/280

30966/34778

10.96%

 

11757

30.68%

 

20.44m

DSMoM

35.97

 

166

10027

 

0/351

32409/42436

23.63%

 

21117

17.08%

 

12.95m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-16 Adjusted Comp

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-16

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

BW

150.68

 

84

2273

 

0/117

16861/19134

11.88%

 

9196

39.22%

 

20.83m

TG:M (adj)

---

 

211

3425

 

0/224

27310/30735

11.14%

 

---

---

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TG:M (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Tuesday Sales:         915/2477 [36.94% sold] [+104 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    2692/33454 [8.05% sold] [+116 tickets]
    
Regal:      401/10283  [3.90% sold]
Matinee:    190/4384  [4.33% | 5.27% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Decided to follow @Inceptionzq's lead and add DS2 to the comps to see if I can get some sort of sanity restored. 

 

Still a kinda wild comp considering DSMoM over-performed locally, had a stronger start, and has been on sale for six more days than TG:M.  That the comp looks semi-reasonable just shows how much TG:M is beasting here.

Edited by Porthos
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Damn, looking at Firestarter’s presales and Men’s location count, I’m thinking Scream will remain the only horror hit this year so far. Some great films, but it’s been a quiet first 5 months for the genre at the box office. 

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5 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Damn, looking at Firestarter’s presales and Men’s location count, I’m thinking Scream will remain the only horror hit this year so far. Some great films, but it’s been a quiet first 5 months for the genre at the box office. 

The Black Phone looks good and should do well next month. Just a matter of product and limited appeal issues. A Firestarter remake always seemed like an incredibly random project that no one was asking for (the fact the studio ultimately decided to make it a day-and-date seems to indicate such as well).

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On 5/10/2022 at 9:39 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Downton 2 T-9 Jax 6 11 8 93 1,550 6.00%
    Phx 6 8 4 65 1,212 5.36%
    Ral 8 10 8 107 1,093 9.79%
  Total   20 29 20 265 3,855 6.87%
Downton 2 (EA) T-8 Jax 6 6 9 60 783 7.66%
    Phx 6 6 2 21 606 3.47%
    Ral 8 8 6 137 789 17.36%
  Total   20 20 17 218 2,178 10.01%
Family Camp T-2 Jax 3 10 1 24 757 3.17%
    Phx 3 10 0 8 639 1.25%
    Ral 4 13 7 7 931 0.75%
  Total   10 33 8 39 2,327 1.68%
Firestarter T-2 Jax 6 16 2 34 1,864 1.82%
    Phx 6 17 13 25 1,775 1.41%
    Ral 8 18 0 30 1,584 1.89%
  Total   20 51 15 89 5,223 1.70%
JW3 Dominion T-30 Jax 6 105 16 413 15,656 2.64%
    Phx 6 93 10 397 15,960 2.49%
    Ral 8 67 18 425 7,529 5.64%
  Total   20 265 44 1,235 39,145 3.15%
JW3+JP T-30 Jax 2 2 6 104 225 46.22%
    Phx 5 5 17 245 564 43.44%
    Ral 2 2 0 86 188 45.74%
  Total   9 9 23 435 977 44.52%
Top Gun 2 T-16 Jax 7 111 46 625 18,617 3.36%
    Phx 6 68 25 430 13,195 3.26%
    Ral 8 69 44 506 8,176 6.19%
  Total   21 248 115 1,561 39,988 3.90%
Top Gun 2 (EA) T-14 Jax 5 7 14 248 961 25.81%
    Phx 1 1 10 103 208 49.52%
    Ral 2 2 14 211 412 51.21%
  Total   8 10 38 562 1,581 35.55%
Top Gun 2 (EA) T-15 Jax 2 2 0 78 245 31.84%
    Phx 2 2 0 78 434 17.97%
    Ral 1 1 0 32 118 27.12%
  Total   5 5 0 188 797 23.59%

 

Family Camp T-2 comps

 - Ron's Gone Wrong - 2.167x (520k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .375x (338k)

 

Firestarter T-2 comps

 - Candyman - .436x (829k)

 - Resident Evil - .64x (599k)

 - The Night House - 3.71x (964k)

 

Downton EA T-8 comps

 - Sonic EA - 1.42x (1.81m)

 - NTTD EA - 1.4x (1.54m)

 - Respect EA - 1.98x

 

Downton T-9 comps

 - No Time to Die - .5x (2.61m)

 - F9 - .31x (2.18m)

 - Sonic 2 - .559x (2.78m)

 - Lost City - 1.5x (3.74m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 

Downton + EA comp

 - Respect + EA - 3.69x (2.4m)

 

Top Gun T-16 comps

 - Black Widow - .911x (12.02m)

 - Eternals - 1.28x (12.14m)

 

JW3 final sales (T-1 hr) comps

 - F9 - .322x (2.29m)

 - Ghostbusters - .52x (2.15m)

 - NTTD - .452x (2.35m)

 - Dune - .449x (2.29m)

 

Top Gun (Tues) ATP: 22.72

Top Gun (Wed) ATP: 12.52

Top Gun ATP: 15.52

JW3 ATP: 15.65

JW3 + DF ATP: 16.56

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Downton 2 T-8 Jax 6 11 1 94 1,550 6.06%
    Phx 6 8 2 67 1,212 5.53%
    Ral 8 10 13 120 1,093 10.98%
  Total   20 29 16 281 3,855 7.29%
Downton 2 (EA) T-7 Jax 6 6 2 62 783 7.92%
    Phx 6 6 2 23 606 3.80%
    Ral 8 9 12 149 879 16.95%
  Total   20 21 16 234 2,268 10.32%
Family Camp T-1 Jax 4 11 4 28 797 3.51%
    Phx 3 10 8 16 639 2.50%
    Ral 4 13 4 11 931 1.18%
  Total   11 34 16 55 2,367 2.32%
Firestarter T-1 Jax 6 16 5 39 1,864 2.09%
    Phx 6 17 10 35 1,775 1.97%
    Ral 8 20 7 37 1,677 2.21%
  Total   20 53 22 111 5,316 2.09%
JW3 Dominion T-29 Jax 6 105 11 424 15,656 2.71%
    Phx 6 93 5 402 15,960 2.52%
    Ral 8 67 14 439 7,529 5.83%
  Total   20 265 30 1,265 39,145 3.23%
JW3+JP T-29 Jax 2 2 0 104 225 46.22%
    Phx 5 5 15 260 564 46.10%
    Ral 2 2 2 88 188 46.81%
  Total   9 9 17 452 977 46.26%
Top Gun 2 T-15 Jax 7 111 12 637 18,617 3.42%
    Phx 6 68 21 451 13,195 3.42%
    Ral 8 69 25 531 8,176 6.49%
  Total   21 248 58 1,619 39,988 4.05%
Top Gun 2 (EA) T-13 Jax 5 7 40 288 961 29.97%
    Phx 1 1 12 115 208 55.29%
    Ral 2 2 5 216 412 52.43%
  Total   8 10 57 619 1,581 39.15%
Top Gun 2 (EA) T-14 Jax 2 2 0 78 245 31.84%
    Phx 2 2 0 78 434 17.97%
    Ral 1 1 0 32 118 27.12%
  Total   5 5 0 188 797 23.59%

 

Family Camp T-1 comps

 - Ron's Gone Wrong - 2.12x (508k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .514x (463k)

 

Firestarter T-1 comps

 - Candyman - .378x (717k)

 - Resident Evil - .6x (564k)

 - The Night House - 3.96x (1.03m)

 

Downton EA T-7 comps

 - Sonic EA - 1.44x (1.83m)

 - NTTD EA - 1.35x (1.49m)

 - Respect EA - 2.02x

 

Downton T-8 comps

 - No Time to Die - .477x (2.48m)

 - F9 - .312x (2.22m)

 - Sonic 2 - .547x (2.72m)

 - Lost City - .55x (4.18m)

 - Ghostbusters - .513x (2.128m)

 

Downton + EA comp

 - Respect + EA - 3.55x (2.31m)

 

Top Gun T-15 comps

 - Black Widow - .904x (11.94m)

 - Eternals - missed

 - Batman - .58x (10.21m)

 

JW3 final sales (T-1 hr) comps

 - F9 - .33x (2.34m)

 - Ghostbusters - .53x (2.2m)

 - NTTD - .463x (2.41m)

 - Dune - .46x (2.35m)

 

Jurassic World/Jurassic Park double feature is averaging over 50 seats sold per show in my nine showings.  With over four weeks until release, I'm expecting some (maybe most) of these to sell out.

 

Top Gun (Tues) ATP: 22.70

Top Gun (Wed) ATP: 12.52

Top Gun ATP: 15.47

JW3 ATP: 15.67

JW3 + DF ATP: 16.59

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@Shawn cant wait for your/Box Office pro's long range forecast for Dominion!

 

Spoiler

If its less than a 200M OW as the baseline, ill riot

Spoiler

Thats a joke of course

Spoiler

Its not, actually

Spoiler

Dominion over TFA Domestic!

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Brainbug the Dinosaur
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23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

By Format

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-14
Top Gun 2 (EA)
  5 19 738 1,373 53.75% $21.65 $15,977.70
T-16 Top Gun 2 PLF 35 26 763 8,485 8.99% $16.73 $12,766.91
    Standard 63 12 385 8,236 4.67% $13.33 $5,133.37
  Top Gun 2 Total   98 38 1,148 16,721 6.87% $15.59 $17,900.28
T-2 Family Camp   24 0 43 2,504 1.72% $11.47 $493.06
T-2 Firestarter   30 4 10 2,704 0.37% $12.77 $127.74
T-30 JW3 PLF 30 280 975 6,386 15.27% $16.95 $16,526.99
    Standard 75 132 462 10,359 4.46% $12.00 $5,545.01
  JW3 Total   105 412 1,437 16,745 8.58% $15.36 $22,072.00
T-8 Downton (EA)   4 5 28 525 5.33% $12.91 $361.56
T-9 Downton   22 7 106 2,599 4.08% $12.54 $1,329.04

 

By Matinee

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-16 Top Gun 2 N 72 39 1,056 11,961 8.83% $15.91 $16,805.30
    Y 26 -1 92 4,760 1.93% $11.90 $1,094.98
  Top Gun 2 Total   98 38 1,148 16,721 6.87% $15.59 $17,900.28
T-2 Family Camp N 12 0 30 1,252 2.40% $12.30 $369.14
    Y 12 0 13 1,252 1.04% $9.53 $123.92
  Family Camp Total   24 0 43 2,504 1.72% $11.47 $493.06
T-30 JW3 N 84 355 1,256 13,676 9.18% $15.97 $20,056.42
    Y 21 57 181 3,069 5.90% $11.14 $2,015.58
  JW3 Total   105 412 1,437 16,745 8.58% $15.36 $22,072.00

*JW3 new sales since 5/2*

 

Family Camp T-2 comp

 - The Bad Guys - .566x (651k)

 

Firestarter T-2 comps

 - Ambulance - 1x (700k)

 - Northman - .076x (103k)

 - Massive Talent - .357x (298k)

 

Downton T-9 comp

 - FB3 - .203x (1.22m)

 

Top Gun T-16 comp

 - No Way Home - .0866x (4.33m)

 - Doctor Strange 2 - .124x (4.48m)

 

JW3 final sales (preview morning) comps

 - Batman + EA - .181x (3.92m)

 - FB3 - .713x (4.28m)

 - Morbius - .73x (4.16m)

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Family Camp Standard 24 3 46 2,504 1.84% $11.50 $528.79
T-1 Firestarter Standard 30 2 12 2,704 0.44% $12.11 $145.32
T-13 Top Gun 2 (EA) Standard 5 34 772 1,373 56.23% $21.65 $16,713.80
T-15 Top Gun 2 PLF 35 53 816 8,485 9.62% $16.73 $13,652.17
    Standard 63 17 402 8,236 4.88% $13.30 $5,345.72
  Top Gun 2 Total   98 70 1,218 16,721 7.28% $15.60 $18,997.89
T-29 JW3 PLF 30 52 1,027 6,386 16.08% $16.89 $17,349.53
    Standard 75 30 492 10,359 4.75% $12.11 $5,956.57
  JW3 Total   105 82 1,519 16,745 9.07% $15.34 $23,306.10
T-7 Downton (EA) Standard 4 9 37 525 7.05% $12.93 $478.47
T-8 Downton Standard 21 1 107 2,488 4.30% $12.54 $1,342.03

 

By matinee

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Family Camp N 12 3 33 1,252 2.64% $12.27 $404.87
    Y 12 0 13 1,252 1.04% $9.53 $123.92
  Family Camp Total   24 3 46 2,504 1.84% $11.50 $528.79
T-15 Top Gun 2 N 72 64 1,120 11,961 9.36% $15.93 $17,842.82
    Y 26 6 98 4,760 2.06% $11.79 $1,155.07
  Top Gun 2 Total   98 70 1,218 16,721 7.28% $15.60 $18,997.89
T-29 JW3 N 84 71 1,327 13,676 9.70% $15.95 $21,165.49
    Y 21 11 192 3,069 6.26% $11.15 $2,140.61
  JW3 Total   105 82 1,519 16,745 9.07% $15.34 $23,306.10

 

Family Camp T-1 comp

 - The Bad Guys - .511x (588k)

 

Firestarter T-1 comps

 - Ambulance - 1.2x (840k)

 - Northman - .075x (102k)

 - Massive Talent - .273x (228k)

 

Downton T-8 comp

 - FB3 - .183x (1.1m)

 

Top Gun T-15 comp

 - No Way Home - .089 (4.43m)

 - Doctor Strange 2 - .129x (4.66m)

 

JW3 final sales (preview morning) comps

 - Batman + EA - .192x (4.14m)

 - FB3 - .754x (4.52m)

 - Morbius - .77x (4.4m)

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3 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Damn, looking at Firestarter’s presales and Men’s location count, I’m thinking Scream will remain the only horror hit this year so far. Some great films, but it’s been a quiet first 5 months for the genre at the box office. 

Salems Lot is going to surprise, there’s a reason why new line has it in the same weekend as both IT films. The movie is good. The trailer is just around the corner and will get some nice traction. 

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There is no question Sacremento is over indexing for TG2. That said DS2 is not a good comp for TG2 considering final week sales will be much better for TG2. Despite big sales it has just sold 10% of its seats. 

 

Overall sales are really good for TG2. MTC1(Alpha) has sold around 70K including early shows while MTC2 is around 40K. Thinking early shows will be around 3-4m and low double digits for previews. Friday sales are looking promising as well. I am thinking around 9-10k overall previews. And so if it can hit 15m including early shows, it can do 135-150m range over 4 days. Then its all about WOM. 

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Firestarter, counted today a few minutes ago for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 23 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 6 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 14 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 27 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 66 (3 showtimes)


Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 144.

Comps: The Forever Purge (1.3M from previews) had also on Wednesday of its release week 168 sold tickets for Thursday

and X (? from previews) had 214 sold tickets.

Firestarter, counted today at the same time for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 39 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 1 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 28 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 40 (6 showtimes)


Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 115.

Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): Old (16.9M OW) had 262 sold tickets in 7 theaters,

Malignant (5.4M OW) had 167 sold tickets also in 7 theaters

and The Night House (2.9M OW) had 72 sold tickets in 6 theaters.
Looks like ca. 4-5M OW at the moment I would say.

 

Family Camp unfortunately is indeed only a mini-release. It had today showtimes only in 2 of my 7 theaters and sold 6 tickets for Thursday and 0 for Friday.

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