The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Flopped]

8 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

 

Going to see Ticket to Paradise in half an hour

let us know how it is and if you think it will be a hit in the us

[Tinalera]

Sept 29/30 (T-2 Thurs, T-3 Friday)

SW/Toronto Ontario

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	18	33	60	6147	6207	0.0096
Fri	6	24	100	6346	6446	0.0155

 

 

Comps

 

Thurs

x.0129 Nope (116 thousand cdn, 2.45 Can/US)

x0061 Thor 4 (30 thousand cdn, 332 thousand can/us)

x.0175 Jurassic World 3 (57000 cdn only, 1.03 Can/US)

Fri

X.0240 Nope (240 Thousand Cdn, 4.5 Can/US)

X.0135 Thor4 (66 Thousand cdn, 445 thousand can/us)

x,0253 Jurassic World 3 (125 thousand cdn only, 1.5 mil Can/US

[LonePirate]

Here is a quick Friday tally of the two Regal complexes (20 screens at one and 18 screens including IMAX at the other) near me for Friday’s two openers. Both currently only have four showings each for sale but I expect a second screen to open up for both films on Friday.

 

Regal #1 (no IMAX but 21+ in half the screens)

Bros: 8 (+3 since yesterday)

Smile: 0

 

Regal #2 (IMAX complex but no 21+ screens)

Bros: 6 (+1)

Smile: 32 (+2)

 

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, Flopped said:

let us know how it is and if you think it will be a hit in the us

No Bros trailer but it was surprisingly very good. Funnier than The Lost City. 
 

It opened to the equivalent of $30m here, so we’ll see. No doubt it’ll open to $19m in America since that’s the new trend lol. 

[GOGODanca]

Halloween Ends: 62 tickets sold across 46 showtimes at 10 AMC  locations

 

[Eric Loves Rey]

AMC's website is down, which is very annoying, but the only Amsterdam showing in Philly tonight sold 75 tickets. By comparison, the DWD Monday screening at that same theater was 161 tickets, though that of course had Styles fan frontloading behind it.

[Porthos]

Wakanda Forever showtimes are starting to populate (though obvs not for sale yet).

 

3pm previews, and there's gonna be a shit-ton of them if the three Cinemarks that are already up are any indication.

 

===

 

No sign yet of the double feature, so I don't know if that's starting earlier or not.

 

ETA:

 

The double feature is listed as BLACK PANTHER DOUBLE FEATURE (2022) on Fandango, for those who use that for their tracking (and purchasing).  Still none in the Sacto area, FWIW.

Edited September 28, 2022 by Porthos

[Legion Again]

Even with the 3 start, runtime will make it tough to get a 4th show/screen unless demand is really roaring

[Eric Loves Rey]

On 9/26/2022 at 11:06 PM, Eric from Progressive said:

Bros Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	38	3897	0.98%

 

Comp

0.245x of Free Guy T-3 (539K)

0.257x of Dear Evan Hansen T-3 (205K)

0.268x of West Side Story T-3 (214K)
0.594x of Marry Me T-3 (312K)

0.195x of Dog T-3 (245K)

0.073x of The Lost City T-3 (238K)

0.197x of Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent T-3 (164K)

0.070x of Elvis T-3 (246K)

0.196x of Crawdads T-3 (450K)

1.583x of Easter Sunday T-3 (792K)

 

And I oop--

 

At least Ticket to Paradise will (hopefully) do better

Bros Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	34	48	4131	1.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Comp

0.215x of Free Guy T-2 (473K)

0.284x of Dear Evan Hansen T-2 (227K)

0.247x of West Side Story T-2 (198K)

0.593x of Marry Me T-2 (311K)

0.233x of Dog T-2 (293K)

0.071x of The Lost City T-2 (231K)

0.204x of Unbearable Weight T-2 (170K)

0.075x of Elvis T-2 (261K)

0.185x of Crawdads T-2 (425K)

1.171x of Easter Sunday T-2 (585K)

[Eric Loves Rey]

On 9/26/2022 at 11:15 PM, Eric from Progressive said:

Smile Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	318	5428	5.86%

 

Comp

4.818x of The Forever Purge T-3 (6.41M)

3.383x of Escape Room 2 T-3 (4.06M)

2.355x of Old T-3 (3.53M)

0.298x of Halloween Kills T-3 (1.44M)

0.398x of Scream T-3 (1.39M)

0.855x of The Black Phone T-3 (2.56M)

Smile Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	500	5696	8.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 182

 

Comp

5.435x of The Forever Purge T-2 (7.23M)

3.448x of Escape Room 2 T-2 (4.14M)

2.631x of Old T-2 (3.95M)

2.778x of Don't Breathe 2 T-2 (2.68M)

0.371x of Halloween Kills T-2 (1.8M)

0.469x of Scream T-2 (1.64M)

1.022x of The Black Phone T-2 (3.07M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	336	12994	2.59%

 

Comp

1.167x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-16 (22.6M)

5.419x of The Conjuring 3 T-16 (53.14M)

1.187x of Halloween Kills' First Day of Release (5.76M)

1.268x of Scream T-16 (4.44M)

 

Doesn't seem so bad at the moment. We'll see if it will keep up the pace of course.

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, Eric from Progressive said:

Smile Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	500	5696	8.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 182

 

Comp

5.435x of The Forever Purge T-2 (7.23M)

3.448x of Escape Room 2 T-2 (4.14M)

2.631x of Old T-2 (3.95M)

2.778x of Don't Breathe 2 T-2 (2.68M)

0.371x of Halloween Kills T-2 (1.8M)

0.469x of Scream T-2 (1.64M)

1.022x of The Black Phone T-2 (3.07M)

I know there’s still a few days to go, but could this suggest previews over $2m? And perhaps a $20m+ weekend? 

[katnisscinnaplex]

22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Amsterdam	T-9	Jax	5	14	10	10	3,144	0.32%
		Phx	6	12	23	23	2,596	0.89%
		Ral	8	16	19	19	2,025	0.94%
	Total		19	42	52	52	7,765	0.67%
Bros	T-2	Jax	5	11	0	7	955	0.73%
		Phx	6	12	0	18	1,825	0.99%
		Ral	7	15	0	10	1,707	0.59%
	Total		18	38	0	35	4,487	0.78%
Lyle Lyle	T-9	Jax	5	33	0	5	3,572	0.14%
		Phx	6	15	0	7	2,298	0.30%
		Ral	7	20	1	3	2,755	0.11%
	Total		18	68	1	15	8,625	0.17%
Smile	T-2	Jax	5	16	0	26	2,129	1.22%
		Phx	6	11	0	40	1,961	2.04%
		Ral	7	10	0	26	1,481	1.76%
	Total		18	37	0	92	5,571	1.65%
Smile (EA)	T-0	Jax	3	3	29	130	276	47.10%
		Phx	1	1	6	40	123	32.52%
		Ral	2	2	15	52	318	16.35%
	Total		6	6	50	222	717	30.96%

 

Hard to believe Bros and Smile come out this week.  Sales have been nonexistent this week.

 

Bros T-2 comp

 - Easter Sunday - .389x (194k)

 - Dear Evan Hansen - .321x (193k)

 - Father Stu - missed

 

Smile T-2 comps

 - Black Phone - .288x (748k)

 - Nope - .089x (571k)

 - Night House - 3.833x (997k)

 - Crawdads - .162x (324k)

 - Resident Evil - .662x (619k)

 

Smile + EA T-2 comps

 - Black Phone + EA - .701x (2.1m)

 - Bullet Train + EA - .401x (1.84m)

 - Crawdads + EA - .506x (1.16m)

 - Nope - .304x (1.95m)

 

Lyle Lyle T-9 comps

 - Super Pets - .273x (600k)

 - Bad Guys - .366x (421k)

 

Amsterdam T-9 comps

 - Bullet Train - .216x (723k)

 - Beast - 2x (1.85m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Amsterdam	T-8	Jax	6	15	1	11	3,313	0.33%
		Phx	6	12	0	23	2,596	0.89%
		Ral	8	18	0	19	2,201	0.86%
	Total		20	45	1	53	8,110	0.65%
Bros	T-1	Jax	6	12	0	7	1,124	0.62%
		Phx	7	15	29	47	2,022	2.32%
		Ral	7	18	23	33	1,871	1.76%
	Total		20	45	52*	87	5,017	1.73%
Halloween Ends	T-15	Jax	5	30	41	41	5,666	0.72%
		Phx	6	20	61	61	3,911	1.56%
		Ral	5	21	64	64	2,904	2.20%
	Total		16	71	166	166	12,481	1.33%
Lyle Lyle	T-8	Jax	5	33	0	5	3,572	0.14%
		Phx	6	15	0	7	2,298	0.30%
		Ral	7	21	2	5	2,803	0.18%
	Total		18	69	2	17	8,673	0.20%
Smile	T-1	Jax	5	21	9	35	2,666	1.31%
		Phx	7	13	45	85	2,170	3.92%
		Ral	7	11	28	54	1,585	3.41%
	Total		19	45	82*	174	6,421	2.71%

 

Alright, so the Fandango app isn't reliable anymore.  I ended up doing today's run twice because I couldn't believe there were so few new sales.  Looks like I'll have to go back to using the site.  It added about an hour to the process though, so I don't know if I'll have time to track as many movies.  Not all doom and gloom for this weekend though on a positive note.

 

Bros T-1 comp

 - Easter Sunday - .821x (410k)

 - Dear Evan Hansen - .6x (360k)

 - Father Stu - .635x (350k)

 

Smile T-1 comps

 - Black Phone - .406x (1.05m)

 - Nope - .127x (815k)

 - Night House - 6.214x (1.62m)

 - Crawdads - .246x (492k)

 - Resident Evil - .946x (884k)

 

Smile + EA T-1 comps

 - Black Phone + EA - .68x (2.04m)

 - Bullet Train + EA - .396x (1.82m)

 - Crawdads + EA - .52x (1.2m)

 - Nope - .29x (1.86m)

 

Lyle Lyle T-8 comps

 - Super Pets - .239x (527k)

 - Bad Guys - .309x (355k)

 

Amsterdam T-8 comps

 - Bullet Train - .218x (731k)

 - Beast - 1.395x (1.29m)

 

Halloween Ends T-15 comps
 - Nope - .548x (3.51m)

 - Suicide Squad - .7x (2.87m)

 - Black Phone + EA - 1.566x (4.7m)

[Eric Loves Rey]

Quorum Updates

The Good House T-2: 19.27% Awareness, 4.53 Interest

Strange World T-56: 24.27%, 5.07

Avatar: The Way of Water T-79: 65.8%, 6.34

 

Bros T-3: 32.61% Awareness, 4.74 Interest

Comps (All Final): Dear Evan Hansen w/ 31.52% Awareness & 4.92 Interest, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent w/ 33% & 5.04, Where the Crawdads Sing w/ 32.67% & 5.42, Easter Sunday w/ 26.34% & 4.64, Don't Worry Darling w/ 32.02% & 5.17

*Note the Final number for Bros is subject to change in the coming days*

 

Final General Awareness: 28% chance of double-digit opening

General Interest: 26% chance of double-digit opening

Original - Low Awareness: 82% chance of over 5M, 45% over 10M

Original - Low Interest: 28% chance of over 5M

 

Smile T-2: 39.63% Awareness, 5.7 Interest

Comps (All Final): Old w/ 34.26% Awareness & 5.62 Interest, Candyman 38.61% & 4.67, The Black Phone w/ 40% & 5.94, Nope w/ 44.26% & 6.08

 *Note the Final number for Smile is subject to change in the coming days*

 

Final General Awareness: 28% chance of double-digit opening

General Interest: 88% chance of double-digit opening, 76% over 20M

Horror Awareness: 78% chance of double-digit opening, 55% over 20M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of double-digit opening, 75% over 20M

 

Amsterdam T-9: 27.54% Awareness, 5.43 Interest

Comps (All Final): The Last Duel w/ 28.89% Awareness & 5.09 Interest, Nightmare Alley w/ 33.92% & 5.41, The 355 w/ 27.69% & 5.26, Moonfall w/ 37.24% & 5.54, The Northman w/ 35.92% & 5.22

*Note the Final number for Amsterdam is subject to change in the coming days*

 

Final General Awareness: 5% chance of double-digits

General Interest: 68% chance of double-digit opening, 49% chance of 20M, 39% chance of 30M

Original - High Awareness: 17% chance of double-digits

Original - High Interest: 20% chance of double-digits

[Tinalera]

Halloween Ends (No Comps)

Oct 13/14 (T-15 Thurs, T-16 Fri)

SW/Toronto Ontario

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	18	66	52	12556	12608	0.004
Fri	8	24	59	16067	16126	0.003

 

No comps, but a direct eyeball compared to Smile's first day of sales I have, Halloween has almost as much seats sold for Thurs on first day of sales, as smile has at T-2 Thurs this week (52/60). For Friday 59 to Smile's 100.

I am going to speculate that perhaps why SW/Toronto just isn't digging Smile is they were for Halloween tickets. Will do Smile numbers later today now that the Wed seat drop has occurred. 

[Ezen Baklattan]

At this point, I'll be impressed if Bros makes it to double digits. I didn't do a deep dive but yeah it's well behind Smile.

 

I'd say maybe $8m for Bros and $15m for Smile?

[Krissykins]

Smile is fantastic. Genuinely scary. Hope it does well. 

[filmlover]

33 minutes ago, Ezen Baklattan said:

At this point, I'll be impressed if Bros makes it to double digits. I didn't do a deep dive but yeah it's well behind Smile.

 

I'd say maybe $8m for Bros and $15m for Smile?

Yeah, it's looking weak with it getting only one screen at even 24 screen theaters I've checked (Smile on the other hand is getting 3-4 screens during the night at many places). Think it's settling for an opening similar to The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent at most at this point.

[GOGODanca]

https://variety.com/2022/film/box-office/billy-eichner-bros-box-office-smile-1235386678/

 

Quote

Now, comedian and actor Billy Eichner is taking a stab at the feel-good genre with “Bros,” an R-rated romantic comedy that opens in 3,300 North American theaters on Friday. The movie, from Universal Pictures, is aiming to generate $8 million to $10 million in its opening weekend. It’s not a huge number, but the film carries a modest $22 million production budget.

“Bros” is debuting in theaters alongside Paramount’s R-rated chiller “Smile,” which is projected to cast a toothy glow over the domestic box office charts with $16 million to $20 million. That’s a stellar result given that it only cost the studio $17 million to make.

 

[LonePirate]

21 hours ago, LonePirate said:

Here is a quick Friday tally of the two Regal complexes (20 screens at one and 18 screens including IMAX at the other) near me for Friday’s two openers. Both currently only have four showings each for sale but I expect a second screen to open up for both films on Friday.

 

Regal #1 (no IMAX but 21+ in half the screens)

Bros: 8 (+3 since yesterday)

Smile: 0

 

Regal #2 (IMAX complex but no 21+ screens)

Bros: 6 (+1)

Smile: 32 (+2)

 

Not much of an update from me except the two Regals I frequent have both given a second screen to both Bros and Smile just as I expected they would. The second screen for Smile also happens to be the largest auditorium at both sites. Very little change in the pre-sales since yesterday, though.
 

Regal #1 (no IMAX but 21+ in half the screens)

Bros: 8 (+0 since yesterday)

Smile: 0 (+0)

 

Regal #2 (IMAX complex but no 21+ screens)

Bros: 6 (+0)

Smile: 36 (+4)