The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[poweranimals]

I know it's probably at least a couple weeks out but do we have any idea when Shazam 2 tickets go on sale?

[GOGODanca]

6 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

I know it's probably at least a couple weeks out but do we have any idea when Shazam 2 tickets go on sale?

next thursday 

[poweranimals]

6 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

next thursday 

The same day that Ant-Man comes out? WB is really bad at this.

[ThatWaluigiDude]

7 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Ant-Man 3	T-6	Jax	6	94	83	1,601	16,129	9.93%
		Phx	6	97	81	1,684	15,908	10.59%
		Ral	8	103	72	1,705	13,705	12.44%
	Total		20	294	236	4,990	45,742	10.91%
Cocaine Bear	T-13	Jax	6	19	2	25	2,036	1.23%
		Phx	6	15	4	46	1,980	2.32%
		Ral	8	20	0	49	1,569	3.12%
	Total		20	54	6	120	5,585	2.15%
Fast X	T-97	Jax	5	53	12	12	7,784	0.15%
		Phx	5	19	5	6	3,083	0.19%
		Ral	7	40	10	26	7,207	0.36%
	Total		17	112	27	44	18,074	0.24%
Jesus Revolution	T-13	Jax	5	9	0	25	1,021	2.45%
		Phx	4	5	0	19	622	3.05%
		Ral	7	11	4	69	1,156	5.97%
	Total		16	25	4	113	2,799	4.04%
Jesus Rev (EA)	T-12	Jax	5	11	0	243	1,021	23.80%
		Phx	5	8	19	156	850	18.35%
		Ral	8	12	-3	653	1,462	44.66%
	Total		18	31	16	1,052	3,333	31.56%
Marlowe	T-4	Jax	5	16	0	12	1,580	0.76%
		Phx	5	13	0	5	1,121	0.45%
		Ral	6	13	0	12	1,210	0.99%
	Total		16	42	0	29	3,911	0.74%
Scream VI	T-27	Jax	5	22	10	58	2,910	1.99%
		Phx	5	15	23	119	2,792	4.26%
		Ral	8	33	16	89	4,211	2.11%
	Total		18	70	49	266	9,913	2.68%

 

Marlowe T-4 comps

 - Missing - .906x (686k)

 - Ambulance - .558x (390k)

 - Fabelmans - 1.526x (609k)

 - Bones and All - 1.04x (357k)

 - Last Night in Soho - .509x (382k)

 - Amsterdam - missing

 

Ant-Man 3 T-6 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.653x (21.825m)

 - Dr Strange 2 - .386x (13.89m)

 - Thor 4 - .666x (19.3m)

 - Eternals - 2.26x (21.46m)

 - BP2 - missed

 

Jesus Revolution T-13 comps (excluding EA)

 - Left Behind - 1.27x (775k)

 - I Wanna Dance - 1.487x (1.085m)

 

Jesus Revolution + EA comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - missed

 - Left Behind - 13.09x (7.99m)

 - I Wanna Dance - 15.33x (11.19m)

 

Cocaine Bear T-13 comps

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.5x (2.18m)

 - Elvis - .545x (1.75m)

 - Nope - .343x (2.19m)

 

Scream VI T-27 comps

 - Nope - missed

 - Knock at the Cabin - 7.6x (11.02m)

Hey, question: Do you have comps for Cocaine Bear with Violent Night? Really curious on how ir is doing compared to it.

Edited February 10, 2023 by ThatWaluigiDude

[Ronin46]

19 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Hey, question: Do you have comps for Cocaine Bear with Violent Night? Really curious on how ir is doing compared to it.

 

 

T -13 

 

Cocaine Bear : 20 Cinemas, 54 shows, 120 tickets sold

Violent Night : 16 Cinemas, 45 shows, 41 tickets sold

 

So running at just under 3x early on. I imagine CB is going to start off bigger. But its an encouraging start.

Edited February 10, 2023 by Ronin46

[ThatWaluigiDude]

16 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

 

 

T -13 

 

Cocaine Bear : 20 Cinemas, 54 shows, 120 tickets sold

Violent Night : 16 Cinemas, 45 shows, 41 tickets sold

 

So running at just under 3x early on. I imagine CB is going to start off bigger. But its an encouraging start.

Thanks. I always compare these two movies since both are R-rated comedic action movies with really weird concepts. So yes that is very good to hear!

[Tinalera]

Antman Quantumania

Thurs Feb 16 and Fri Feb 17(taken feb 10)

Montreal Quebec

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Quebec	Thurs	4	29	981	6956	7937	0.1235
	Fri	4	23	889	5400	6289	0.1413

[keysersoze123]

On 2/9/2023 at 9:49 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Since its exactly a week to go for Ant-man release.

 

Ant-Man 3 MTC1 previews (T-7) - 169924/946664 2998772.40 5204 shows

 

Staying flat from yesterday's pace(~4900). Well below pace of recent MCU releases. But there is still time. Let us see how things go tomorrow. 

 

Ant-Man 3 MTC1 previews(T-6) - 175088/950344 3081671.28 5230 shows + 5164

 

not much of a boost again. Tad over half of Thor 4 sales and less than that for Wakanda and others(over past 24 hours). Probably nothing big until final week. 

Edited February 11, 2023 by keysersoze123

[BadOlCatSylvester]

19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ant-Man 3 MTC1 previews(T-6) - 175088/950344 3081671.28 5230 shows + 5164

 

not much of a boost again. Tad over half of Thor 4 sales and less than that for Wakanda and others(over past 24 hours). Probably nothing big until final week. 

Brace yourselves for a sub-100 opening much like Strange 2 missed 200.

[ZackM]

I don't have time to post daily numbers, but here are the up-to-date Alpha comps for Ant-Man 3:

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Comps
	Black Panther: WF		Thor: Love & Thunder		Dr. Strange MoM
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0
T-0
T-1
T-2
T-3
T-4
T-5
T-6	$20.4	$21.4	$19.7	$20.6	$16.8	$17.9
T-7	$20.7	$21.7	$19.9	$20.7	$16.9	$18.0
T-8	$20.9	$21.9	$20.0	$20.9	$17.0	$18.1
T-9	$21.2	$22.2	$20.1	$20.9	$17.1	$18.2
T-10	$21.0	$22.0	$19.8	$20.7	$16.9	$18.0
T-11	$21.1	$22.1	$20.0	$20.8	$16.8	$17.9
T-12	$21.2	$22.2	$20.2	$21.0	$16.8	$18.0
T-13	$21.3	$22.3	$20.3	$21.2	$16.8	$17.9
T-14	$21.5	$22.5	$20.7	$21.5	$16.7	$17.8
T-15	$21.7	$22.7	$20.7	$21.6	$16.6	$17.7
T-16	$21.8	$22.8	$20.9	$21.7	$16.5	$17.7
T-17	$21.8	$22.8	$21.0	$21.8	$16.5	$17.6
T-18	$21.8	$22.8	$21.2	$22.1	$16.7	$17.8

[GOGODanca]

geez its avatar 2's final week all over again

[Eric the Fall Guy]

On 2/10/2023 at 1:12 AM, Magic Eric said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	175	5024	32764	15.33%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 161

 

Comp - T-7

1.900x of Black Widow (25.08M)

3.262x of Shang-Chi (28.71M)

2.397x of Eternals (22.77M)

0.274x of Spider-Man: No Way Home (13.68M)

0.840x of The Batman (18.16M)

0.425x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.28M)

0.747x of Thor 4 (21.65M)

0.580x of Black Panther 2 (16.25M)

1.859x of Avatar 2 (31.61M)

 

Yeah I think sub-20 previews are happening guys. Oh well.

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	178	5235	33074	15.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 211

 

Comp - T-6

1.826x of Black Widow (24.1M)

3.129x of Shang-Chi (27.54M)

2.398x of Eternals (22.78M)

0.275x of Spider-Man: No Way Home (13.77M)

0.845x of The Batman (18.26M)

0.423x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.23M)

0.739x of Thor 4 (21.44M)

0.573x of Black Panther 2 (16.06M)

1.819x of Avatar 2 (30.92M)

[Eric the Fall Guy]

On 2/10/2023 at 1:21 AM, Magic Eric said:

Scream VI Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	255	7068	3.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 84

 

Comp - First Two Days of Sales

1.889x of Scream (6.61M)

 

Comp - T-28

1.441x of Nope (9.22M)

Scream VI Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	325	8200	3.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 70

 

Comp T-27

4.333x of Scream (15.17M)

1.795x of Nope (11.49M)

[Eric the Fall Guy]

On 2/10/2023 at 1:32 AM, Magic Eric said:

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-98 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	71	62	16560	0.37%

 

Just to clarify, we are going to do things a little differently here. There's way too many days to track, and I gotta deal with Ant-Man, Creed, Scream, Shazam, John Wick, Mario, and Guardians before this comes out. To say nothing of the stuff that will be in presales afterwards.

 

So I will track the film's first week, if only because I'm curious to see the bumps this has when the trailer drops tomorrow and how the Super Bowl spot gives it a further boost. Then I'm just going to give an update every Thursday, since Thursday's basically when the slate gets reset anyways. And then when we get to T-42, April 6 to be exact, then I'll go back to tracking it daily. Both Jurassic World: Dominion and Nope started their presales on T-42, those are likely going to be some of the best comps I have (well, minus F9 of course), and that's the farthest long-range comps I have anyways. So I hope that's all clear and makes sense.

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-97 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	159	17004	0.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 97

[charlie Jatinder]

15 minutes ago, Magic Eric said:

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-98 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	159	17004	0.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 97

It should be T-97 no?

 

[ZackM]

7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

It should be T-97 no?

 

1% margin of error is acceptable.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-98 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	156	23563	23624	61	0.26%

 

 

Total Seats Sold Today

61

 

0.40800x F9 (2020) after 1 day of pre-sales at the equivalent sources of tracking. [???m]

 

Regal:       12/8019  [0.15% sold]
Matinee:    3/2638  [0.11% | 4.92% of all tickets sold]

 

========================

 

Like Eric, I'm going to be doing things a little differently.  No sense on any sort of comps, especially since this was akin to a pre-announcement of sorts.  Did still have data from the 2020 pre-'rona run, however, so I decided to give something of a like for like, though I don't recall if there was a trailer drop or not or the exact circumstances of the first few days of sales.

 

Unlike Eric, however, I'm going to be reporting a bit more often.  Partially coz I don't track nearly as many films as he does. But also, frankly, because I'm anal.

 

But not nearly anal enough to actually report here every day.  Think I'll stick to the schedule I laid out here:

 

 

and play it by ear about when exactly I make each transition.

 

 

Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-97 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	156	23365	23621	256	1.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

195

 

1.2965x F9 (2020) after 2 days of pre-sales at the equivalent sources of tracking. [???m]

 

Regal:      42/8019  [0.52% sold]
Matinee:    7/2638  [0.27% | 2.73% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Now that's more like it. 👍

Edited February 11, 2023 by Porthos

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Scream VI Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-28 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	65	7305	7549	244	3.23%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	594
Total Seats Sold Today	31

 

Day 2 Comps

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	112.96		34	216		0/73	11049/11265	1.92%		3951	6.18%		7.06m
Nope	381.25		7	64		0/85	13643/13707	0.47%		3822	6.38%		24.40m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Scream VI's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-28  Comp

%

Sold T-28

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

Nope

138.64

6

176

0/84

13528/13704

1.28%

3822

6.38%

8.87m

 

Regal:       52/2624  [1.98% sold]
Matinee:      21/687  [3.06% | 8.61% of all tickets sold]
3D:            90/2458  [3.66% | 36.89% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Not too bad at all; especially since I likely clipped some tickets this morning.

 

Scream VI Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-27 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	65	7272	7549	277	3.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

33

 

Day 3 Comps

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	110.80		34	250		0/73	11015/11265	2.22%		3951	7.01%		6.93m
Nope	374.32		10	74		0/85	13630/13704	0.54%		3822	7.25%		23.96m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Scream VI's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-27  Comp

%

Sold T-27

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

Nope

153.04

5

181

0/84

13523/13704

1.32%

3822

7.25%

9.79m

 

Regal:        60/2624  [2.29% sold]
Matinee:      24/687  [3.49% | 8.66% of all tickets sold]
3D:            110/2458  [4.48% | 39.71% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-7 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	237	26674	32658	5984	18.32%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

201

 

T-7 Comps

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	47.65		467	12557		0/353	30123/42680	29.42%		21117	28.34%		17.16m
L&T	72.32		340	8274		0/240	24544/32818	25.21%		16962	35.28%		20.97m
BP2	68.71		325	8709		2/308	29418/38127	22.84%		16800	35.62%		19.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Ant-Man 3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1313/12874  [10.20% sold]
Matinee:    224/3314  [6.76% | 3.74% of all tickets sold]
3D:            705/6382  [11.05% | 11.78% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Yeaaaaah, that... Could be better.

 

FWIW, I do have an Eternals comp (21.43m — 67 tickets sold at T-7), but I'm not putting it in the comp block for a couple of reasons.  One, It was just on the other side of the major round of ticket price hikes that started to rollout in mid/late November '21, so the ATPs will be off.  But, also, coz that replacement theater I mention off and on is just so much better than the theater it replaced that it tends to really tilt the scales.  Maybe both of those factors counter act each other.  But I don't want to mess with it if I don't have to.  Plus the comp is fairly close to L&T anyway (even if the pace is not).

 

I'll keep an eye on it though, if only for pace purposes.

 

But... Yeah.

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	249	27442	33626	6184	18.39%

 

Total Showings Added Today	12
Total Seats Added Today	968
Total Seats Sold Today	200

 

T-6 Comps

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	47.34		506	13063		0/353	29617/42680	30.61%		21117	29.28%		17.04m
L&T	71.35		393	8667		0/249	24865/33532	25.85%		16962	36.46%		20.69m
BP2	67.93		395	9104		2/308	29023/38127	23.88%		16800	36.81%		19.02m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Ant-Man 3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1381/12874  [10.73% sold]
Matinee:     241/3314  [7.27% | 3.90% of all tickets sold]
3D:            734/6500  [11.29% | 11.87% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

It should be T-97 no?

 

 

*checks*

 

Yeah, you're right.  Lemme change my blocks.

 

(what can I say?  I just copied Eric, presuming he was right )