Weekdays Thread (6/13-16) // 6.9m TG2, 13m JW:D Mon //

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, The Dark Rock said:

 

Do you think $600m is still possibility?

The dark knight added $124m from here on out. That would put TG:M at $540m but with slightly higher better holds/numbers for around $550-560m

Dark Knight had ok holds at this point. TGM has 2 long weekend in next 3 weekends and is just entering peak summer weekdays as well. I think 600m is in play. 

[Gavin Feng]

So $400M is in danger for JWD?

[Hilpkioy]

13 minutes ago, The Dark Rock said:

 

Do you think $600m is still possibility?

The dark knight added $124m from here on out. That would put TG:M at $540m but with slightly higher numbers and better holds for around $550-560m

It could leg out better no? With summer holidays kicking off in late June.

[charlie Jatinder]

38 minutes ago, grim22 said:

The World Cup gets viewership though, the one time everyone in India becomes a football expert.

does it though? probably Kerala, Bengal and main cities.

 

on checking, yep

Quote

Kerala, Assam, North-east, Sikkim and West Bengal together contributed to 81 per cent of the total viewership for FIFA World Cup 2018. 
 

At 28 per cent, Kerala was the highest contributor followed by Assam, North-east, Sikkim (27 per cent) and West Bengal (25 per cent). 

 

[krla]

59 minutes ago, The Dark Rock said:

 

Do you think $600m is still possibility?

The dark knight added $124m from here on out. That would put TG:M at $540m but with slightly higher numbers and better holds for around $550-560m

If you use the exact same daily holds as TDK, starting from day 19, you get $584m on day 231. You'd hit $500m on day 32, $550 on day 51, $560 day 58, and $577 on day 120. 

 

Though if you use bom, which has more accurate percents, you get $579.59 by day 231. 

Edited June 16, 2022 by krla
maths

[Liiviig 1998]

Weekend predictions.

Don't really know how father's day is going to behave(slight increase/flat/slight decrease)

 

Light year. 75M

JWD.          52M

TGM.          32-35M

Edited June 16, 2022 by Liiviig 1998

[Mojoguy]

9 minutes ago, krla said:

If you use the exact same daily holds as TDK, starting from day 19, you get $584m on day 231. You'd hit $500m on day 32, $550 on day 51, $560 day 58, and $577 on day 120.

TDK was released on July 18 and thus a terrible comparison with TGM.

 

TGM came out on May 27, and has like 7 weeks of summer days that TDK didn't have.

[Mojoguy]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Dark Knight had ok holds at this point. TGM has 2 long weekend in next 3 weekends and is just entering peak summer weekdays as well. I think 600m is in play. 

Edited June 16, 2022 by Mojoguy

[Cooper Legion]

600 looks very tough to me. Will need great Fri and Sat week-to-week holds 

[Issac Newton]

7 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:

600 looks very tough to me. Will need great Fri and Sat week-to-week holds 

It's sad to see that TGM isn't topping JWD in DOM. Outside DOM, TGM is leading No.1 in Japan in Daily Rankings in it's entire run except for two days debut of Dragon Ball Super : Super Heroes whose Opening Weekend difference in compare to TGM (3rd Weekend) is less than ¥800K.

 

On the other hand, TGM topped JWD on Taiwan on Wed. Also, it was back to top in Hong Kong (3rd Weekend) against Dinosaur. 

 

Is there any possibility in case of DOM. It's very hard for me to see TGM below $600M. :(((((((

[Liiviig 1998]

37 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:

600 looks very tough to me. Will need great Fri and Sat week-to-week holds 

Yeah these weekday nos have really put a dumper on that.

 

Thor presales have been lower than I expected so far even accounting for NWH and DS2 being exceptions (35M+ previews) and not the norm but it could get a really good review boost.

 

Tentative summer predictions,will make my final after July 4th

 

TGM - 575-600M

TL&T -425-450M

DS2.  - 415M

JWD - 350-360M

MINIONS -255M

LY.            -225-250M

NOPE.    - 170-180M

ELVIS.   - 125-140M

B TRAIN - 110M+

 

 

[JohnnyGossamer]

6.3M for TGM off a 7.6M Tuesday is pretty good. JWD dipping from 14.8M to 9.6M isn't good. Unfortunately, if the NBA Finals are impacting numbers at all, there's that Game 6 tomorrow which likely leads to a not horrible but larger Wednesday to Thursday dips than we've seen as of late...especially for JWD which loses some premium screens starting tomorrow as well. 

 

But! Even if there is a Game 7 this Sunday, expecting some nice recovery from everything this weekend with Father's Day Sunday and Juneteenth Monday... Thinking we'll see some balancing out from the less than expected numbers we've seen so far these weekdays.

[Juby]

6 hours ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

This set of weekdays seems oddly weak, especially for TGM. Is it?

No. People just need to realize that the 2nd weekend and the weekdays after that were inflated because people wanted to see Maverick in PLF cinemas before JWD take them (and there was no competition at all). Now, without them, with smaller number of theaters and competition getting stronger and stronger every week, TGM will have to face reality of slighty harsher drops.

 

TDK isn't the best example, but you can compare TGM to WW or JW, or the first Avengers. $600m will be very difficult to achieve.

[JohnnyGossamer]

14 minutes ago, Juby said:

No. People just need to realize that the 2nd weekend and the weekdays after that were inflated because people wanted to see Maverick in PLF cinemas before JWD take them (and there was no competition at all). Now, without them, with smaller number of theaters and competition getting stronger and stronger every week, TGM will have to face reality of slighty harsher drops.

 

TDK isn't the best example, but you can compare TGM to WW or JW, or the first Avengers. $600m will be very difficult to achieve.

This is all potentially true. With that, interested to see TGM's Friday number as we'll be able to compare that number to last Friday's (it's first full day without any premium screens). I bet that week to week drop will be pretty soft for TGM compared to what we've seen the other days since JWD opened.

[CJohn]

Top Gun returns to IMAX here today with 2 night shows (9 PM and midnight show), while Lightyear gets the rest of the day. The TG2 shows are all gonna sell out today.

[Tokugennumataka]

9.6

8.2

13.1 (+60% || -78%) 

19.0 (+45% || -59%) 

17.1 (-10% || -56%) 

49.2 (-66%) 

 

[wildphantom]

we’ll likely have to console ourselves with Maverick ultimately finishing between $550 and $600 million, and merely the 12th biggest grossing movie of all time. 
 

 

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, Tokugennumataka said:

9.6

8.2

13.1 (+60% || -78%) 

19.0 (+45% || -59%) 

17.1 (-10% || -56%) 

49.2 (-66%) 

 

 

I refuse to believe that.

[Borobudur]

So if JWD already start to lose part of its PLF/IMAX to Lightyear, wouldn't the effect start appearing for Wednesday itself instead of typical Thursday?  

[Brainbug]

Just now, Borobudur said:

So if JWD already start to lose part of its PLF/IMAX to Lightyear, wouldn't the effect start appearing for Wednesday itself instead of typical Thursday?  

 

Yes it has surely affected its Wednesday to a degree already.