Weekly Thread 6/20/22 - JWD $8.5m, TGM $8.0m, LY $6.8m

[Brainbug]

Cleopatra lived closer to us than to the construction of the Great Pyramid of Giza by over 500 years.

 

Also, consequently the Pyramids of Giza were more ancient to the Romans than the Romans are to us.

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Other than Avatar 2, which other two you think will do $658M+. 

 

TGM and BP2 both can. I wouldn't currently bet on all 3 doing it, but if things go right then it can happen. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, StormbreakerXXR said:

 

TGM and BP2 both can. I wouldn't currently bet on all 3 doing it, but if things go right then it can happen. 

Am bit bearish on BP2, thinking somewhere around 500M at the moment. Will be happy to take 700 obviously.

 

TGM 625M may happen but 658 653 seems a bit too high.

[grim22]

14 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

I felt really really old when i learned that were now closer to 2030 than 2013.

 

Also, the year 1980 is now further away from us than 1940 was for the people that lived during 1980.

It does seem like there was a great flattening in culture post 9/11. The same franchises, same people and creatives still are on top now.

 

Choosing a year at random and landing on 2003, this was the top 10:

1. Finding Nemo (had a sequel 6 years ago)

2. Pirates - new one is in development

3. LOTR - the Amazon show released pictures today

4. Matrix 2 - we are just 7 months out from Matrix 4 which came out

5. Bruce Almighty 

6. X2 - Patrick Stewart appeared in a movie last month as Professor X

7. Elf - still a movie which plays every holiday

8. Chicago - this started the musical comeback

9. Terminator 3 - this franchise refuses to die

10. Bad Boys 2 - Bad Boys 4 is in development

 

 

Also, in terms of movies, there was a tangible effect to the VFX back then which was a mixture of visual and practical which has allowed it to age well. You can release most big movies from 99-2005 now and not see much to object with in terms of effects. 

 

There was a great article about how nothing actual defines the 2000s onwards in terms of fashion. Stuff you wear now in day to day can be worn in the 2000s without anything seeming out of place. It was a pretty good article and mostly looked at the difference from aesthetic point of view. Like you can't dress like the 90s in any decade apart from the 90s, similarly the 80s, 70s and 60s as well. Post 2000, there's trends which come and go but nothing that says "This is the 00s and this is the 10s"

Edited June 22, 2022 by grim22

[ringedmortality]

8 minutes ago, grim22 said:

There was a great article about how nothing actual defines the 2000s onwards in terms of fashion. Stuff you wear now in day to day can be worn in the 2000s without anything seeming out of place. It was a pretty good article and mostly looked at the difference from aesthetic point of view. Like you can't dress like the 90s in any decade apart from the 90s, similarly the 80s, 70s and 60s as well. Post 2000, there's trends which come and go but nothing that says "This is the 00s and this is the 10s"

 

You're blowing my mind with this.

[Cheddar Please]

19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Am bit bearish on BP2, thinking somewhere around 500M at the moment. Will be happy to take 700 obviously.

 

TGM 625M may happen but 658 653 seems a bit too high.

what makes you so bearish on TGM?

[XXR vs XXR]

18 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Am bit bearish on BP2, thinking somewhere around 500M at the moment. Will be happy to take 700 obviously.

 

TGM 625M may happen but 658 653 seems a bit too high.

Before the ticket inflation boom of the last 12 months, I pegged BP2 at a 25% drop from the first (so around $525M.) Now we had to add about 15% to that so I’m at ~$600M. If the Chadwick tribute effect or general cultural zeitgeist can be reached again, I think $660M+ is doable (and that would still be about 20% fewer tickets sold than BP1.)

 

As for TGM, $625M would only be about 4.5x legs on its 4th weekend. While that’s a lot in a general sense, it looks like TGM should do better, no? Even if it’s “only” $625M though that’s still enough for Top 10 DOM.

[longleo90]

58 phút trước, Cheddar Please nói:

What do you make up price on TGM?

maybe because thor 4

Edited June 22, 2022 by longleo90

[charlie Jatinder]

Why am I seeing @Cheddar Please post in English while when somebody else quote its in Vietnamese.

 

Edit: hmm. may be @longleo90 translated it in Vietnamese and not Cheddar posted in it.

Edited June 22, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[XXR vs XXR]

14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Why am I seeing @Cheddar Please post in English while when somebody else quote its in Vietnamese.

 

Edit: hmm. may be @longleo90 translated it in Vietnamese and not Cheddar posted in it.

Correct. He uses Google translate to bridge the Vietnamese/English gap.

[longleo90]

40 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Tại sao tôi lại nhìn thấy@Cheddar Làm ơn đăng bằng tiếng Anh trong khi người khác trích dẫn bằng tiếng Việt.

 

Chỉnh sửa: hmm. có lẽ@ longleo90 đã dịch nó ra tiếng Việt chứ không phải Cheddar đăng trong đó.

There is mistake in copy paste :((

[EmpireCity]

$6m for TG2

[Ryan Reynolds]

6 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

$6m for TG2

21% drop from lw

[Hilpkioy]

6 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

$6m for TG2

Best 4th Tuesday 😩

[EmpireCity]

$7.4m for JWD

[EmpireCity]

$5.85m for LY

[Nublar7]

1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

$7.4m for JWD

Smaller Monday to Tuesday drop than TG2, that seems like that would have been unexpected. Maybe TG2 won't pass JWD in dailies this week (until perhaps Friday if at all this week)?

[Borobudur]

Just now, Nublar7 said:

Smaller Monday to Tuesday drop than TG2, that seems like that would have been unexpected. Maybe TG2 won't pass JWD in dailies this week (until perhaps Friday if at all this week)?

It is the most inflated movie during this holiday, so it should calm down a bit now. Also, probably people are waiting for IMAX shows this weekend, 

[filmlover]

Top Gun getting IMAX back at Regal is good news. FWIW the other PLF screens around me are juggling Lightyear (early afternoon), Elvis (late afternoon/evening), and Jurassic World (last show of the night).

 

Also I've been looking around and all IMAX/PLF screens are removing their 9:30-10:00 at night shows for Minions next weekend. Bet Top Gun ends up taking their place everywhere to take advantage of 4th of July weekend.

[Ledmonkey96]

8 minutes ago, Hilpkioy said:

Best 4th Tuesday 😩

it's really annoying how American Sniper didn't go wide till it's 4th weekend