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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FRIDAY

 

TAYLOR SWIFT: THE ERA TOUR

 

T-27

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

224

10938

43473

25.2%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

54

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

19

 

COMPS 

T-0

 

No good comps this far out so I'll just compare to T-0 since volume is already absurdly high 


T-0 previews: 

(0.815x) of Barbie ~$17.19M FRIDAY for TET

(0.979x) of ATSV~$16.99M FRIDAY for TET

(1.633x) of TLM~$16.82M FRIDAY for TET

COMP AVG: $17.67M

Adjusted 40% up for ATP $24.74M

 

T-27 comps

(2.729x) of GOTG3~$47.76M FRIDAY for TET

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FRIDAY

 

TAYLOR SWIFT: THE ERA TOUR

 

T-26

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

224

10963

43473

25.2%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

25

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

19

 

COMPS 

T-0

 

No good comps this far out so I'll just compare to T-0 since volume is already absurdly high 


T-0 previews: 

(0.817x) of Barbie ~$17.23M FRIDAY for TET

(0.981x) of ATSV~$17.02M FRIDAY for TET

(1.637x) of TLM~$16.86M FRIDAY for TET

COMP AVG: $17.04M

Adjusted 40% up for ATP $23.86M

 

T-26 comps

(2.636x) of GOTG3~$46.13M FRIDAY for TET

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On 9/16/2023 at 6:44 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville

EXPEND4BLES

 

Thursday Previews 

T-5

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

141

199

27815

0.72%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

17

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-5

 

(0.400x) of EQUALIZER 3 ~$1.52M THUR Previews

 

Looks like $1M-$2M is going to be the previews. Will hone in on a specific number by T-1

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville

EXPEND4BLES

 

Thursday Previews 

T-4

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

141

218

27815

0.78%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

19

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-4

 

(0.401x) of EQUALIZER 3 ~$1.53M THUR Previews

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On 9/16/2023 at 6:36 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville

THE CREATOR

 

Thursday Previews 

T-12

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

137

363

28131

1.3%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-12

 

(0.572x) of Blue Beetle ~$1.89M THUR Previews

(0.262x) of RoTB ~$2.30M THUR Previews

Comps AVG: $2.09M

 

1 seat sold today. This is looking rough lol

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville

THE CREATOR

 

Thursday Previews 

T-11

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

137

369

28131

1.3%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-11

 

(0.434x) of Blue Beetle ~$1.43M THUR Previews

(0.252x) of RoTB ~$2.22M THUR Previews

Comps AVG: $1.83M

 

Dropping fast against comps

 

 Warning Sign GIF

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On 9/16/2023 at 6:38 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE EXORCIST: BELIEVER

 

Thursday Previews 

T-19

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

145

392

25529

1.5%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-19

 

(0.357x) of Haunted Mansion~$1.11M THUR Previews

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE EXORCIST: BELIEVER

 

Thursday Previews 

T-18

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

145

406

25529

1.6%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-18

 

(0.360x) of Haunted Mansion~$1.12M THUR Previews

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*completely* anecdotal, but thought I would throw it out there anyways. I happened to see a lot of friends and family over the weekend due to attending a number of events. 
 

It seems that within most of my friends and family group, the women and gay men are interested in seeing The Eras Tour, but most have not bought tickets yet because they are planning on going with friends groups who haven’t decided which weekend works best for them yet. It seems to be treated more like a concert-going event experience than say a regular movie event. Maybe the “non-refundable” nature is giving pause to some people and making them wait and see what their availability will be. 
I’m not convinced yet that there aren’t a lot of sales still to come. 
 

Just my real life experience to share. Take it for what it is. 

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On 9/14/2023 at 6:57 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Expend4bles (T-7):

Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 13 theaters 32 38 38 4994 0.76

 

Comps:

0.4x Equalizer 3: $1.54 Million

0.75x The Nun II: $2.3 Million

 

The Equalizer for the genre comp, the Nun comp for having the same start of sales. Pretty decent start tbh, I was expecting worse.

 

The Creator (T-14):

Day: T-14, T-13 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Thursday: 16 theaters 25 46 114 4054 2.81
Wednesday EA: 2 theaters 2 8 15 586 2.56
TOTALS: 27 54 129 4640 2.78

 

Comps:

0.8x Haunted Mansion: $2.5 Million

0.38x TMNT (w/ EA): $2.1 Million

 

Pretty good update, but heads up, most of those new sales are from the local Alamo theater. That theater has jumped out to me before for having a huge jump at the beginning and then flattening out, so I wouldn't read into it too much yet.

 

Exorcist: The Believer (T-21):

Day: T-21 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 15 theaters 43 19 72 7873 0.91

 

Comp:

0.666x Haunted Mansion: $2.1 Million

 

It's a silly comp but all my real horror comps are for way closer to release date.

 

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Expend4bles (T-4):

Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 16 theaters 37 29 67 5864 1.14

 

Comps:

0.59x Equalizer 3: $2.25 Million

0.58x The Nun II: $1.8 Million

 

Performing better here than anywhere else it seems, we'll see how it does this week.

 

It Lives Inside (T-4):

Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 13 theaters 18 33 33 1654 2

 

Comps:

0.3x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $380k

0.55x Last Voyage of Demeter: $412k

 

Kept seeing this pop up and thought why the hell not, might as well track the latest Neon flick. They probably won't even report previews but hey here's one for the little guy I guess.

 

The Creator (T-11):

Day: T-11, T-10 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Thursday: 14 theaters 25 40 154 4054 3.8
Wednesday EA: 2 theaters 2 -1 14 586 2.39
TOTALS: 27 39 168 4640 3.62

 

Comps:

0.98x Haunted Mansion: $3 Million

TMNT: Missed

 

Might just be over performing here, but cannot overstate this fact: a third of Thursday sales are from the local Alamo, and that isn't exactly a recipe for walk-ups, since that is a notably presales heavy chain. Just don't want people getting overexcited.

 

The Exorcist: Believer (T-18):

Day: T-18 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 16 theaters 44 4 91 8629 1.05

 

Comp:

0.73x Haunted Mansion: $2.26 Million

 

I had made a mistake in my previous update for this, disregard the numbers for the Exorcist in my previous update. These are the right numbers.

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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour Greater Sacramento Area Opening Night Seat Report:

T-27 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

138

11080

18609

7529

40.46%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

71

 

T-27 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-27

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

Unadj 

Comp

Ad-hoc Comp

MoM

96.25

 

419

7822

 

0/329

33094/40916

19.12%

 

21117

35.65%

 

34.65m

50.24m

BP2

139.53

 

116

5396

 

1/294

31623/37019

14.58%

 

16800

44.82%

 

39.07m

56.65m

AM3

220.08

 

136

3421

 

0/235

29108/32529

10.52%

 

10475

71.88%

 

38.51m

55.85m

 

Regal:     2188/6150  [35.58% sold]

 

===

 

Pace might be starting to pick back up again. 👍

 

(or it's a couple of good days in a row — find out soon enough one way or the other)

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour Greater Sacramento Area Opening Night Seat Report:

T-26 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

138

11051

18609

7558

40.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

29

 

T-26 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-26

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

Unadj 

Comp

Ad-hoc Comp

MoM

93.23

 

285

8107

 

0/329

32809/40916

19.81%

 

21117

35.79%

 

33.56m

48.67m

BP2

137.47

 

102

5498

 

1/294

31521/37019

14.85%

 

16800

44.99%

 

38.49m

55.81m

AM3

214.23

 

107

3528

 

0/235

29016/32544

10.84%

 

10475

72.15%

 

37.49m

54.36m

 

Regal:     2226/6150  [36.20% sold]

 

====

 

Back down to Earth today.  So it goes...*

* Vonnegut ref, not Swift, ftr.

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On 9/17/2023 at 5:42 AM, vafrow said:

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Friday,southern Ontario, T-27 (early am pull)

 

Total sales:  16,045

New Sales: 50 

Growth from yesterday 0.3%

Matinee Sales on Hold: 5855 across 121 showtimes 

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  93

Tickets per showtime: 172.5

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked:  MTC4

 

Back to declining growth. 0.3% is the lowest I've gotten.

 

With the site glitches yesterday, precision might be lost on the exact amounts each day.

 

 

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Friday,southern Ontario, T-26 (early am pull)

 

Total sales:  16,144

New Sales: 99 

Growth from yesterday 0.6%

Matinee Sales on Hold: 5855 across 121 showtimes 

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  93

Tickets per showtime: 173.6

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked:  MTC4

 

Okay day. Better than yesterday.

 

I don't think I'll be able to really bring in any comps for this. All my tracking on big movies only tracked at an individual theatre, which won't be relevant here. 

 

i can still track growth though, to see where this is heading. As M37 indicated, we're at the bottom of the U right now, so it should be slow at this point. And being a non traditional release and promotion cycle, it's hard to forecast when things will ramp up.

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Quorum Updates

Dumb Money T-11: 21% Awareness

The Exorcist: Believer T-18: 42.96%

Anyone But You T-88: 14.06% Awareness

Inside Out 2 T-270: 36.2% Awareness

 

Expend4bles T-4: 42.38% Awareness

Final Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 57% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M

Medium Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 64% chance of 20M, 54% chance of 30M

 

It Lives Inside T-4: 23.89% Awareness

Final Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 40% chance of 10M

 

The Creator T-11: 24.56% Awareness

Final Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Medium Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

 

Saw X T-11: 40.73% Awareness

Final Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 57% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 83% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 40M

 

Journey to Bethlehem T-53: 13.61% Awareness

T-60 Awareness: 24% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

 

Thanksgiving T-60: 14.89% Awareness

T-60 Awareness: 24% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 44% chance of 10M

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10 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour Greater Sacramento Area Opening Night Seat Report:

T-26 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

138

11051

18609

7558

40.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

29

 

T-26 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-26

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

Unadj 

Comp

Ad-hoc Comp

MoM

93.23

 

285

8107

 

0/329

32809/40916

19.81%

 

21117

35.79%

 

33.56m

48.67m

BP2

137.47

 

102

5498

 

1/294

31521/37019

14.85%

 

16800

44.99%

 

38.49m

55.81m

AM3

214.23

 

107

3528

 

0/235

29016/32544

10.84%

 

10475

72.15%

 

37.49m

54.36m

 

Regal:     2226/6150  [36.20% sold]

 

====

 

Back down to Earth today.  So it goes...*

* Vonnegut ref, not Swift, ftr.

 

As your data has some solid comps to use as a bit of a baseline, I was playing around with the numbers.

 

When looking at the T-25 to T-22 for your three MCU comps (AM:Q, BP2, DS:MOM), for Eras to maintain it's current comp levels against those, it would need, on average, 194 new sales per day.

 

Over the last 4 days, Eras has averaged 44 tickets per day. Meaning, barring a surge in sales for Eras, the comps will continue to decline.

 

I haven't forecasted the math properly, but, just gut feeling it means it'll probably be landing low to mid $40M* range by end of the week. That puts us 3 weeks out, with a lot of uncertainty on when we might see things start to pick up.

 

Edit: did some better math. It won't drop to that level in this time period. Likely in the high $40Ms range.

Edited by vafrow
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21 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Are any of the showings IMAX screens?

 

I've found those to be the lowest capacity. When sales opened, evening IMAX shows were being held for IMAX, and then only opened around D2 or so, once Exorcist had moved. 

 

On my side, they've remained slow to sell. I'm wondering if demand might be higher in Vancouver. It's one of the markets that people thought might get some tour dates before announcing Toronto getting 6. I'm wondering if the lack of access to the tour might be propelling it a bit more.

Ill have to check again that to see if any IMAX screens. 

 

I think the access is a key thing, and I think many in concert are probably watching this (I know there are some concerts of perhaps not as visible acts they show, but not of Taylor Swift concentration). Wouldnt surprise me to see other big name/lack of access due to popularity follow in the footsteps here.

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Expend4bles, counted today for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 32 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 28 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 35 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 28 (5 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 130.

Up 14% since yesterday. I seldom count on Sunday so Idk how big the jumps normally are but this seems to be a meager jump.
Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday; except for AHF all films counted in 7 theaters): Angel Has Fallen (1.5M from previews) had 199 sold tickets in 6 theaters (Expend4bles has 98 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Rambo V (1.3M) had 205,
Plane (435k) had 89,
The Equalizer 3 (3.8M) had 431,
Creed III (5.45M) had 584
and The Meg 2 (3.2M) had 254 sold tickets.
Gran Turismo (1.4M) had on Wednesday of the release week 392 sold tickets.

Expend4bles, counted today for Friday, September 22:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 58 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 12 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 0 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 1 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 39 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 25 (8 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 135.

Up 30% since yesterday.
Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday; except for AHF and Rambo V all films counted in 7 theaters): Angel Has Fallen (21.4M) had 136 sold tickets in 6 theaters (Expend4bles has 77 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Rambo V (18.9M) had 116 also in 6 theaters (again the AMC in NY was missing and Expend4bles has 77 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Plane (10.3M) had 83,

The Protégé (2.9M) had 32 sold tickets,
The Equalizer 3 (34.6M) had 307
Creed III (58.4M) had 667
and The Meg 2 (30M) had 262 sold tickets.
Gran Turismo (13.5M/17.4M) had on Wednesday of the release week 204 sold tickets.

Sigh. At the moment around 15M OW would be my guess.

 

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38 minutes ago, el sid said:

Expend4bles, counted today for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 32 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 28 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 35 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 28 (5 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 130.

Up 14% since yesterday. I seldom count on Sunday so Idk how big the jumps normally are but this seems to be a meager jump.
Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday; except for AHF all films counted in 7 theaters): Angel Has Fallen (1.5M from previews) had 199 sold tickets in 6 theaters (Expend4bles has 98 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Rambo V (1.3M) had 205,
Plane (435k) had 89,
The Equalizer 3 (3.8M) had 431,
Creed III (5.45M) had 584
and The Meg 2 (3.2M) had 254 sold tickets.
Gran Turismo (1.4M) had on Wednesday of the release week 392 sold tickets.

Expend4bles, counted today for Friday, September 22:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 58 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 12 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 0 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 1 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 39 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 25 (8 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 135.

Up 30% since yesterday.
Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday; except for AHF and Rambo V all films counted in 7 theaters): Angel Has Fallen (21.4M) had 136 sold tickets in 6 theaters (Expend4bles has 77 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Rambo V (18.9M) had 116 also in 6 theaters (again the AMC in NY was missing and Expend4bles has 77 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Plane (10.3M) had 83,

The Protégé (2.9M) had 32 sold tickets,
The Equalizer 3 (34.6M) had 307
Creed III (58.4M) had 667
and The Meg 2 (30M) had 262 sold tickets.
Gran Turismo (13.5M/17.4M) had on Wednesday of the release week 204 sold tickets.

Sigh. At the moment around 15M OW would be my guess.

 

it's weird when movies nobody asked for or wants don't do well in presales. 

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23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

Expend4bles OK
 
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-7 19 53 0 19 19 9,902 0.19%
T-6 19 53 0 14 33 9,902 0.33%
T-5 19 53 0 6 39 9,902 0.39%
T-4 21 56 0 10 49 10,134 0.48%

 

Comps
The Meg 2: The Trench 0.295x = $0.94m
The Nun II 0.462x = $1.43m
The Equalizer 3 0.200x = $0.76m
A Haunting In Venice 0.471x = $0.52m
No Hard Feelings 0.471x = $1.01m
Gran Turismo 0.485x = $0.68m

 

Comp average: $890k. Ya still pretty weak here. Nun really picks up tomorrow so I think $1m is the target.

 

Expend4bles OK
 
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-7 19 53 0 19 19 9,902 0.19%
T-6 19 53 0 14 33 9,902 0.33%
T-5 19 53 0 6 39 9,902 0.39%
T-4 21 56 0 10 49 10,134 0.48%
T-3 21 56 0 10 59 10,134 0.58%
 
Comps
The Meg 2: The Trench 0.234x = $0.75m
The Nun II 0.399x = $1.24m
The Equalizer 3 0.192x = $0.73m
A Haunting In Venice 0.492x = $0.54m
No Hard Feelings 0.434x = $0.93m
Gran Turismo 0.492x = $0.69m

 

Comp average: $810k. Uh oh.

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23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

The Creator OK
 
Wednesday - 7pm - Early Access Screening
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-14 3 3 0 -1 8 1,224 0.65%
T-13 3 3 0 3 11 1,224 0.90%
T-12 3 3 0 4 15 1,224 1.23%
T-11 3 3 0 0 15 1,224 1.23%
T-10 3 3 0 0 15 1,224 1.23%
 
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
               
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-15 17 43 0 5 71 8,947 0.79%
T-14 17 43 0 7 78 8,947 0.87%
T-13 17 43 0 4 82 8,947 0.92%
T-12 17 41 0 3 85 8,675 0.98%
T-11 18 42 0 4 89 8,758 1.02%
 
Comps
Asteroid City 1.238x = $1.36m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.144x = $1.27m
Barbie 0.050x = $1.12m
Oppenheimer 0.093x = $0.98m
Haunted Mansion 0.650x = $2.02m
Strays 1.825x = $2.01m

 

Comp average = $1.46m

 

The Creator OK
 
Wednesday - 7pm - Early Access Screening
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-13 3 3 0 3 11 1,224 0.90%
T-12 3 3 0 4 15 1,224 1.23%
T-11 3 3 0 0 15 1,224 1.23%
T-10 3 3 0 0 15 1,224 1.23%
T-9 3 3 0 2 17 1,224 1.39%
 
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
               
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-14 17 43 0 7 78 8,947 0.87%
T-13 17 43 0 4 82 8,947 0.92%
T-12 17 41 0 3 85 8,675 0.98%
T-11 18 42 0 4 89 8,758 1.02%
T-10 18 42 0 3 92 8,758 1.05%
 
Comps
Asteroid City 1.253x = $1.38m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.145x = $1.28m
Barbie 0.048x = $1.06m
Oppenheimer 0.091x = $0.96m
Haunted Mansion 0.599x = $1.86m
Strays 1.652x = $1.82m

 

Comp average = $1.39m.

 

Now we are later in the window I will switch up some of the comps in a couple of days to ones more relevant of where this will likely land. So far has been running similar pace for $1m-$1.5m but hopefully picks up in final week with reviews.

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23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

The Exorcist: Believer OK
 
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-22 19 72 0 0 45 15,436 0.29%
T-21 19 72 0 0 45 15,436 0.29%
T-20 19 72 0 -1 44 15,436 0.29%
T-19 19 72 0 6 50 15,436 0.32%
T-18 20 74 0 2 52 15,606 0.33%
 
Comps
Haunted Mansion 0.510x = $1.58m
Barbie 0.069x = $1.46m
Asteroid City 0.852x = $0.94m

 

Comp average = $1.33m

 

The Exorcist: Believer OK
 
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-21 19 72 0 0 45 15,436 0.29%
T-20 19 72 0 -1 44 15,436 0.29%
T-19 19 72 0 6 50 15,436 0.32%
T-18 20 74 0 2 52 15,606 0.33%
T-17 20 74 0 8 60 15,606 0.38%
 
Comps
Haunted Mansion 0.606x = $1.88m
Barbie 0.077x = $1.61m
Asteroid City 0.938x = $1.03m

 

Comp average = $1.51m

Edited by Hilts
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23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour OK
 
Friday - showings starting 6pm
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-30 19 154 0 33 10,820 28,259 38.29%
T-29 19 154 0 61 10,881 28,259 38.50%
T-28 19 154 0 58 10,939 28,259 38.71%
T-27 19 154 0 73 11,012 28,259 38.97%
T-26 20 159 0 49 11,061 28,656 38.60%

 

MTC1: 6,554/11,278 - 58.1% sold - 2.4% growth

MTC2: 1,743/6,236 - 28.0% sold - 5.3% growth

MTC3: 1,963/6,396 - 30.7% sold - 3.1% growth

Other: 801/4,746 - 16.9% sold - 10.5% growth

 

T-0 Comps (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie 1.119x = $23.61m
Oppenheimer 2.272x = $23.85m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 3.667x = $26.41m
 
T-26 Comp (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie (EA) 26.782x = $29.46m

 

Saturday (+7 days of sales)

323 showings (-2)

6,300 total sold (+714)

57.2% of Friday (previously 52.3%)

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour OK
 
Friday - showings starting 6pm
 
Day Theatres Showings Sellouts Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold
T-29 19 154 0 61 10,881 28,259 38.50%
T-28 19 154 0 58 10,939 28,259 38.71%
T-27 19 154 0 73 11,012 28,259 38.97%
T-26 20 159 0 49 11,061 28,656 38.60%
T-25 20 159 0 30 11,091 28,656 38.70%
 
T-0 Comps (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie 1.122x = $23.67m
Oppenheimer 2.278x = $23.92m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 3.677x = $26.48m
 
T-25 Comp (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie (EA) 26.855x = $29.54m
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The rest of September screams disaster. Expand4bles is a 7-8M OW, Dumb Money is a 3-4M OW, Saw X is maybe a 10M OW and The Creator probably does around 10M as well. Paw Patrol should be the best with 12-13M. Hollywood needs a complete reboot because streaming has killed them.

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