The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Bob Train]

1 hour ago, Maggie said:

Studios don't even have faith in their offerings, they are not giving them time to expand. The Holdovers going to vod so soon is the latest example

PVOD doesnt affect box office.

[charlie Jatinder]

18 hours ago, Legion Again said:

Najor Theater Chain

New Theater Chain

[Relevation]

42 minutes ago, Kon said:

 

Well, The Marvels taught me to never say never to a low preview.

 

Not that I really think Aquaman 2 would be so low.

Ok but honestly I don't think The Marvels hit its worst case scenario. Many were worried it'd fall below 6 and some had comps under 5.5 and yet it still mustered 6.6 and a 46 OW. Now not saying that's good at all, but it clearly bottomed out at a point, and I think Aquaman hit its floor on day 1. I don't expect it to have good walkups, but below 3 seems a tad unlikely to me unless it's just incredibly panned. Pencil me in for $3-4M previews and a $16-24M OW

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Wouldn't 2.72 previews mean a 14-16.5 ish weekend?

Can we like wait until the reviews hit. People are not going to buy tickets until they know the quality. Good will help it bad will kill it meh it will just amble along and hope holiday legs help it do okay.

[HummingLemon496]

We should be getting our first Box Office Pro Aquaman/Migration forecast in like 18 hours ish right?

Edited November 23, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[cooldude97]

2 hours ago, emoviefan said:

Can we like wait until the reviews hit. People are not going to buy tickets until they know the quality. Good will help it bad will kill it meh it will just amble along and hope holiday legs help it do okay.

this is a pre-sales thread we are not going to wait until the reviews to report numbers because you are not happy with how the numbers look so far 

Edited November 23, 2023 by cooldude97

[HummingLemon496]

2 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

this is a pre-sales thread we are not going to wait until the for reviews to report numbers because you are not happy with how the numbers look so far 

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Aquaman 2 MTC1 previews - 10579/499171 210996.43 2551 shows +1570

 

Only thing going for it is longer presale cycle than BB and S2. Let us see if it helps catch it. But Not seeing more than 25-30m OW at this point. 

Aquaman 2 MTC1 previews - 12131/499215 242120.27 2551 shows +1652

 

its just chugging along as there are T-29 days to go. We have to see where the steady state pace goes  before we can judge where it can finish. Dont forget this is having longer PS cycle than previous 3 DCEU movies. 

[cooldude97]

12 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

don't patronize me 

[HummingLemon496]

2 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

don't patronize me 

[filmlover]

1 hour ago, HummingLemon496 said:

We should be getting our first Box Office Pro Aquaman/Migration forecast in like 18 hours ish right?

Not if @Shawn's enjoying some turkey like the rest of us (I hope) are tomorrow.

 

[HummingLemon496]

18 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Not if @Shawn's enjoying some turkey like the rest of us (I hope) are tomorrow.

 

Do you think were unironically not gonna get the long range forecast tomorrow?

[emoviefan]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Aquaman 2 MTC1 previews - 12131/499215 242120.27 2551 shows +1652

 

its just chugging along as there are T-29 days to go. We have to see where the steady state pace goes  before we can judge where it can finish. Dont forget this is having longer PS cycle than previous 3 DCEU movies. 

[HummingLemon496]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Aquaman 2 MTC1 previews - 12131/499215 242120.27 2551 shows +1652

 

its just chugging along as there are T-29 days to go. We have to see where the steady state pace goes  before we can judge where it can finish. Dont forget this is having longer PS cycle than previous 3 DCEU movies. 

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

Napoleon T-0: 40.08% Awareness

Wish T-0: 57.27%

The Boy and the Heron T-16: 18.41%

Wonka T-23: 58.94%

Ferrari T-33: 26.21%

Imaginary T-107: 14.09%

Arthur the King T-121: 22.27%

 

Renaissance: A Film By Beyonce T-9: 24.77% Awareness

Final Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 11% chance of 10M

 

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom T-30: 56.59% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 93% chance of 50M, 71% chance of 60M, 64% chance of 70M, 43% chance of 100M, 7% chance of 200M

Low Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 80% chance of 100M, 20% chance of 200M

 

Migration T-30: 27.12% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 19% chance of 20M

Animation/Family Awareness: 50% chance of 10M

[Cooper Legion]

10 minutes ago, Eric Bonaparte said:

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom T-30: 56.59% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 93% chance of 50M, 71% chance of 60M, 64% chance of 70M, 43% chance of 100M, 7% chance of 200M

Low Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 80% chance of 100M, 20% chance of 200M

Incredible gap between quorum metrics and sales for this one  

[HummingLemon496]

7 hours ago, Legion Again said:

Incredible gap between quorum metrics and sales for this one  

Breaking news: Quorum is useless

[PlatnumRoyce]

8 hours ago, Legion Again said:

Incredible gap between quorum metrics and sales for this one  

I'm pretty sure the Quorum is just unable to pick up on "major IP" bombs with Lightyear always being my go to example. 

[HummingLemon496]

We will be getting the first long range forecast in T-2 hours-(ish)

 

Most likely not happening but what if it does $3.5M previews 5.5 IM 4.5 Legs for like $86M ish

Edited November 23, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[YachtyLogs]

21 hours ago, YachtyLogs said:

WONKA

T-23

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

5/1245 - (0.40%)

 

New sold: 0

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 9

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Wonka's been on a losing streak here. Hope it picks up soon.

WONKA

T-22

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

7/1245 - (0.56%)

 

New sold: 2

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 9

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Two new sales is basically a Thanksgiving feast for this movie, in this area at least.