The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[abracadabra1998]

On 3/14/2024 at 9:26 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	110	89	443	20321	2.18

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		344	63	77.65
MTC1:		231	43	52.14
Marcus:		45	5	10.16
Alamo:		79	16	17.83
Other chains:		88	25	19.86

 

Comps:

1.29x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.81 Million

1.48x Wonka: $5.19 Million

0.62x BoSS: $3.54 Million

0.64x TMNT (w/ EA): $3.51 Million

1.85x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $5.72 Million

0.45x Indy 5: $3.23 Million

 

Average: $4.5 Million

 

3 comps pulling it to the 3 level, 3 comps pulling it to the 5 level, and average spits out a clean 4.5. Not really sure if this is going to behave more like the former or the latter, so I'll keep all my comps (sans TMNT, which I didn't track after T-7) and rely on the average, which I don't love but oh wellllllllll

 

Minneapolis St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	112	148	591	20513	2.88

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		438	94	74.11
MTC1:		297	66	50.25
Marcus:		72	27	12.18
Alamo:		86	7	14.55
Other chains:		136	48	23.01

 

Comps:

1.38x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.2 Million

1.61x Wonka: $5.65 Million

0.56x BoSS: $3.23 Million

1.91x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $5.93 Million

0.49x Indy 5: $3.55 Million

0.44x MI7 (TUE): $3.06 Million

 

Average: $4.6 Million

 

Pretty good update! Only 50% MTC1 sales is very good for a blockbuster. We shall see how the final week goes.

[abracadabra1998]

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Immaculate (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	21	36	36	1455	2.47

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		29	29	80.56
Marcus:		0	0	0
Alamo:		7	7	19.44
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comps:

0.62x Imaginary: $450k

0.38x Thanksgiving: $385k

0.33x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $415k

0.6x Last Voyage of Demeter: $450k

1.09x It Lives Inside: Not reported (1.09x of FRI + previews = $1.15 Million)

 

No break-out here

[abracadabra1998]

On 3/14/2024 at 9:35 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (T-14):

Day: T-14	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	82	63	352	14652	2.4

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		286	47	81.25
MTC1:		233	32	66.19
Marcus:		43	10	12.22
Alamo:		30	6	8.52
Other chains:		46	15	13.07

 

T-14 Comps (many of these had way longer windows and will be going up as a result; BoSS is the exception) :

1.08x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: ????

1.38x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.19 Million

1.44x Hunger Games BoSS: $8.3 Million

0.43x FNAF: $4.43 Million

0.6x MI7 (TUE): $4.2 Million

0.47x Indy 5: $3.41 Million

 

Not super helpful other than that BoSS comp, which did go down, though that movie was hot as hell here throughout its whole pre-sales run so methinks it won't be as useful as it might be in other markets.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (T-11):

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	87	128	480	15327	3.13

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		396	110	82.5
MTC1:		299	66	62.29
Marcus:		64	21	13.33
Alamo:		38	8	7.92
Other chains:		79	33	16.46

 

Comps:

1.36x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: ????

1.7x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $7.63 Million

1.12x Hunger Games BoSS: $6.42 Million

0.49x FNAF: $5.07 Million

0.71x MI7 (TUE): $4.95 Million

0.59x Indy 5: $4.28 Million

 

Rising and catching up to the other comps

[abracadabra1998]

On 3/14/2024 at 9:41 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Monkey Man (T-21):

Day: T-21	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 15 theaters	33	48	77	3961	1.94

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		45	29	58.44
MTC1:		58	39	75.32
Marcus:		0	0	0
Alamo:		19	9	24.68
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comps:

1.6x Argylle: $2.73 Million

0.3x KoFM: $770k

 

I will add Napoleon and Beekeeper as comps later in the run. Good numbers but it's quite literally all Alamo and MTC1 sales and I am certainly overindexing

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Monkey Man (T-18):

Day: T-18	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 16 theaters	35	23	100	4075	2.45

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		64	19	64
MTC1:		79	21	79
Marcus:		2	2	2
Alamo:		19	0	19
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comps:

Argylle: Missed

0.34x KoFM: $870k

1.33x The Creator (w/ EA): $2.13 Million

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/15/2024 at 10:28 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

G x K: The New Empire

 

Thursday 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
581	2908	117127	2.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

363

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-13

(0.547x) of Dune 2 $5.09M  

 

Comps average: $5.09M 

 

Wow, really nice increase for day 3

FLORIDA 

 

G x K: The New Empire

 

Thursday 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
581	3214	117127	2.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

142

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-11

(0.567x) of Dune 2 $5.27M  

 

Comps average: $5.27M 

 

Continues to grow at a nice pace 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/15/2024 at 10:26 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Ghostbusters

 

Thursday 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
559	3937	113406	3.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

241

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-6

(0.566x) of Dune 2 $5.27M  

(2.290x) of Argylle $3.89M  

 

Comps average: $4.58M 

FLORIDA 

 

Ghostbusters

 

Thursday 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
559	4259	113406	3.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

103

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

(0.551x) of Dune 2 $5.13M  

(2.069x) of Argylle $3.52M  

 

Comps average: $4.33M 

[leoh]

29 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Ghostbusters

 

Thursday 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
559	4259	113406	3.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

103

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

(0.551x) of Dune 2 $5.13M  

(2.069x) of Argylle $3.52M  

 

Comps average: $4.33M 

It sold 218 on Saturday but 104 on Sunday in Florida??? Quite unconventional for a T-4 in Florida…

 

Maybe people waiting for T Mobile promotion next Tuesday?

 

 

 

 

Edited March 18 by leoh

[leoh]

57 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Monkey Man (T-18):

Day: T-18	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 16 theaters	35	23	100	4075	2.45

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		64	19	64
MTC1:		79	21	79
Marcus:		2	2	2
Alamo:		19	0	19
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comps:

Argylle: Missed

0.34x KoFM: $870k

1.33x The Creator (w/ EA): $2.13 Million

looks promising I’d say…

[keysersoze123]

21 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews(T-5) - 29239/542772 507252.95 2784 shows +2111

Friday - 21053/628729 355748.03 3287 shows +1944

 

Definite sign of acceleration today. Let us see how rest of the PS goes. At least its going to beat Afterlife in previews if this sustains. Friday is still behind but let us see how it ends. 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 31646/543621 546484.66 2788 shows +2407

Friday - 24037/631431 404205.05 3297 shows +2984

 

FYI Afterlife at T-4. Previews are up around 10%(ignoring early BO which was around 350K) while Friday is down around 10%. 

 

Quote

MTC1 Ghostbusters

Wednesday -2575/21308 49032.25  71 shows

Previews - 30152/363194 508255.12 1727 shows

Friday - 26898/590721 446046.88 2682 shows

 

[leoh]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 31646/543621 546484.66 2788 shows +2407

Friday - 24037/631431 404205.05 3297 shows +2984

 

FYI Afterlife at T-4. Previews are up around 10%(ignoring early BO which was around 350K) while Friday is down around 10%. 

 

 

 

Considering the number of tickets sold:

 

previews difference so far is around 3% (Afterlife Wed 2575  + Thu 30152 = 32727).

 

Thursday v Thursday, Frozen Empire is 5% ahead of Afterlife.  

 

 

 

Edited March 18 by leoh

[keysersoze123]

On 3/15/2024 at 10:23 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-13) - 24254/555224 477975.74 2895 shows +2504 

Friday - 19489/835006 366388.35 4372 shows +2907

 

Another solid day for sure. 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-12) - 26105/555716 513326.19 2900 shows +1751

Friday - 21757/835719 407984.23 4380 shows +2268

 

This is as of yesterday night

 

Previews(T-11) -  27724/557136 544201.30 2913 shows +1619

Friday - 23866/836336 447822.34 4387 shows +2109

 

I think this must be the bottom of daily PS rate. It should amp up over next week for sure. 

 

[Grand Cine]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 31646/543621 546484.66 2788 shows +2407

Friday - 24037/631431 404205.05 3297 shows +2984

 

FYI Afterlife at T-4. Previews are up around 10%(ignoring early BO which was around 350K) while Friday is down around 10%. 

 

 

so around 15,5M for OD ( + previews) , if it's hold . With the trajectory of Afterlife , it will be around 40M OW

[Krissykins]

6 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Immaculate (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	21	36	36	1455	2.47

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		29	29	80.56
Marcus:		0	0	0
Alamo:		7	7	19.44
Other chains:		0	0	0

 

Comps:

0.62x Imaginary: $450k

0.38x Thanksgiving: $385k

0.33x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $415k

0.6x Last Voyage of Demeter: $450k

1.09x It Lives Inside: Not reported (1.09x of FRI + previews = $1.15 Million)

 

No break-out here

This actually isn’t too bad, as It Lives Inside is also from Neon. These previews could suggest more than double their previous horror openings (Infinity Pool). 

[Porthos]

On 3/17/2024 at 1:34 AM, Porthos said:

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-12 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	126	19110	19863	753	3.79%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

92

 

T-12 Comps

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	73.11		55	1030		0/146	21037/22067	4.67%		4494	16.76%		6.28m
Wick 4	58.64		53	1284		0/90	12301/13585	9.45%		5448	13.82%		5.22m
Fast X	64.47		69	1168		0/178	26545/27713	4.21%		4122	18.27%		4.84m
AtSV	34.96		85	2154		0/129	18632/20786	10.36%		9744	7.73%		6.07m
RotB	82.21		43	916		0/120	18521/19437	4.71%		9744	7.73%		7.23m
FNAF	36.41		83	2068		0/102	13203/15271	13.54%		6466	11.65%		3.75m
BOSS	174.71		46	431		0/82	12108/12539	3.44%		2701	27.88%		10.05m
GBFE	147.94		22	509		0/116	19307/19816	2.57%		——	——%		0.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      145/7318  [1.98% sold]
Matinee:    14/2085  [0.67% | 1.86% of all tickets sold]
3D:            66/4642  [1.42% | 8.76% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        488/8686  [5.62% | 64.81% of all tickets sold]

 

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-11 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	126	19046	19863	817	4.11%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

64

 

T-11 Comps

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	76.07		44	1074		0/146	20993/22067	4.87%		4494	18.18%		6.54m
Wick 4	61.29		49	1333		0/95	12458/13791	9.67%		5448	15.00%		5.45m
Fast X	67.19		48	1216		0/178	26494/27710	4.39%		4122	19.82%		5.04m
AtSV	36.36		93	2247		0/129	18539/20786	10.81%		9744	8.38%		6.31m
RotB	83.54		62	978		0/120	18459/19437	5.03%		9744	8.38%		7.35m
FNAF	38.04		80	2148		0/102	13123/15271	14.07%		6466	12.64%		3.92m
BOSS	163.40		69	500		0/82	12039/12539	3.99%		2701	30.25%		9.40m
GBFE	158.03		8	517		0/116	19299/19816	2.61%		——	——%		0.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

Regal:      160/7318  [2.19% sold]
Matinee:    17/2085  [0.82% | 2.08% of all tickets sold]
3D:            72/4642  [1.55% | 8.81% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        524/8686  [6.03% | 64.14% of all tickets sold]

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-6, Thursday previews,

 

Total Sales: 76

New Sales: 8

Growth: 12%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 22

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.5

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 1/1

Late Afternoon: 5/6

Early Evening: 66/8

Late Evening: 4/8

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 52/10
IMAX:9/5
VIP: 13/5

4DX: 2/3

 

Comps

0.305x HG:BoSS for $1.8M

0.328x Madame Web for $2.0M 

0.628x Aquaman 2 for $2.8M

0.107x Dune 2 for $1.1M

0.156x The Marvels for $1.0M

1.357x Wonka for $4.8M

Average: $2.2M

 

Still low. I've been trying to think about why this would under index to this degree here, and outside the specific calendar situation here with it between March break and Easter, I struggle to come up with a good theory. 

 

Ghostbusters should be a franchise that resonates well here. It's always had a strong Canadian connection (the Reitmans, Akroyd, etc.). @Tinalera showed similar struggles in their pull. I don't recall if @DAJK has a track on it.

 

To be fair, Friday numbers are pretty good. Sales are currently around 3x what Thursday is showing.

 

The one piece of optimism id have around this is that it does seem like it's very family focused, amd with that, it's likely very price sensitive. MTC4 isn't playing this in any regular theatres for Thursday previews.

 

While it's not relevant here, the T-Mobile deal will probably be a big factor that will lift this in the states. While here, I wouldn't be surprised if this legs out better once GxK bumps it off premium screens for the Easter weekend. But in general, I don't think it's going to do great business here on opening weekend from what I'm seeing.

 

 

 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-4, Thursday previews,

 

Total Sales: 83

New Sales: 7

Growth: 9%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 22

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.8

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 1/1

Late Afternoon: 7/6

Early Evening: 68/8

Late Evening: 7/8

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 57/10
IMAX:9/5
VIP: 15/5

4DX: 2/3

 

Comps

0.283x HG:BoSS for $1.6M

0.289x Madame Web for $1.7M 

0.610x Aquaman 2 for $2.7M

0.102x Dune 2 for $1.0M

0.160x The Marvels for $1.0M

1.153x Wonka for $4.0M

Average: $2.0M

 

Still trending down.

 

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario), D2, T-12, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 157

New Sales: 30

Growth: 24%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 9.2

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 29/3

Early Evening: 91/7

Late Evening: 37/7

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 2/1

Dolby 3D: 74/6
VIP: 26/4

4DX: 22/3

IMAX: 33/3

 

Comps (switched to T minus)

1.331x HG: BoSS for $7.7M

2.661x Madame Web for $16.1M

5.414x Aquaman 2 for $24.4M

3.271x GB:FE for ???

Average: $16.0M

 

Another strong day, even though comps are actually dropping a bit, but that's more just coming down to earth a bit.

 

In contrast to GB:FE, where that film seems to struggle with the premium formats, this has people preferring the more expensive formats. It's also more front loaded, but will have that long weekend that will help walk ups.

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario),, T-11, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 169

New Sales: 12

Growth: 8%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 9.9

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 34/3

Early Evening: 93/7

Late Evening: 42/7

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 2/1

Dolby 3D: 79/6
VIP: 26/4

4DX: 24/3

IMAX: 38/3

 

Comps (switched to T minus)

1.280x HG: BoSS for $7.4M

2.641x Madame Web for $16.0M

4.447x Aquaman 2 for $20.0M

3.073x GB:FE for ???

Average: $14.5M

 

Staying steady.

[katnisscinnaplex]

19 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Ghostbusters: FE	T-4	Jax	6	64	55	257	10,396	2.47%
		Phx	6	53	20	201	9,018	2.23%
		Ral	8	48	35	214	6,936	3.09%
	Total		20	165	110	672	26,350	2.55%
Immaculate	T-4	Jax	4	6	4	9	578	1.56%
		Phx	4	6	0	2	580	0.34%
		Ral	6	10	1	4	626	0.64%
	Total		14	22	5	15	1,784	0.84%

 

Ghosts T-4 comps

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - 1.04x (3.21m)

 - Shazam 2 - 1.17x (3.97m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.31x (5.37m)

 - NTTD (Total) - .538x (3.39m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .549x (3.07m)

 - MI:7 (Total) - .432x (3.8m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - .837x (3.77m)

 - Uncharted - missed

 - Indiana Jones - .536x (3.86m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.99m

 

A couple other movies that may be comps, but I'm not committing to the model yet

 - Nope - .943x (6.03m)

 - Morbius - .684x (3.9m)
 

+20% on the day!  Beat out all of the comps in an excellent day of sales.  I ran a little later than normal, so I may have picked up some Sunday sales, but still a great day.  Keep in mind that I don't include any ATP or inflation adjustments so all of my comps will likely undershoot.

 

Immaculate T-4 comps

 - Night House - .882x (229k)

 - Men - .326x (138k)

 - Firestarter - .3575x (134k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Ghostbusters: FE	T-3	Jax	6	64	25	282	10,396	2.71%
		Phx	6	53	23	224	9,018	2.48%
		Ral	8	48	17	231	6,936	3.33%
	Total		20	165	65	737	26,350	2.80%
Immaculate	T-3	Jax	4	6	6	15	578	2.60%
		Phx	4	6	1	3	580	0.52%
		Ral	6	10	9	13	626	2.08%
	Total		14	22	16	31	1,784	1.74%
Luca (Re-OD)	T-4	Jax	3	8	4	4	455	0.88%
		Phx	2	3	2	2	205	0.98%
		Ral	4	8	3	3	580	0.52%
	Total		9	19	9	9	1,240	0.73%

 

Ghosts T-3 comps

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - .97x (3.01m)

 - Shazam 2 - 1.15x (3.9m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.19x (4.9m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .493x (2.76m)

 - MI:7 (Total) - .409x (3.6m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - .791x (3.56m)

 - Uncharted - 1.09x (4.03m)

 - Indiana Jones - .54x (3.88m)

 - Transformers (Total) - .437x (3.84m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.86m

 

A couple other movies that may be comps, but I'm not committing to the model yet

 - Nope - .902x (5.77m)

 - Morbius - .657x (3.75m)
 

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Ghostbusters: FE	48.59%	19.96%	8.31%	9.67%
Haunted M Total	49.31%	26.33%	18.93%	17.28%
Shazam 2	23.94%	10.04%	8.37%	11.46%
Suicide Squad	45.18%	25.65%	11.39%	20.27%
Transformers Total	37.57%	-	-	12.38%
Turtles Total	63.86%	29.79%	15.13%	22.22%
M:I 7 Total	50.33%	20.45%	14.27%	15.67%
Ghostbusters Total	-	-	-	16.06%
Uncharted	27.31%	24.11%	-	-
Indiana Jones	37.01%	14.74%	12.35%	8.93%

 

Back down to earth a little from yesterday so I think the late pull did affect some things.  Pace is still looking good and should get even better with the T-Mobile deal coming.  Keep in mind that I don't include any ATP or inflation adjustments so all of my comps will likely undershoot.

 

Immaculate T-3 comps

 - Night House - 1.72x (448k)

 - Men - .47x (199k)

 - Firestarter - .419x (157k)

 - Imaginary - .403x (292k)

 - X - .484x (213k)

 - Antlers - .775x (287k)

 - The Invitation - .756x (586k)

 - Infinity Pool - .756x

 

Size adjusted comps - 378k

 

Luca (OD) T-4 comps

 - Strange World - .205x (164k)

 - Ruby Gillman - .225x (163k)

[katnisscinnaplex]

19 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Godzilla x Kong	T-11	Jax	5	53	11	171	9,702	1.76%
		Phx	6	39	11	225	7,067	3.18%
		Ral	8	55	37	162	7,740	2.09%
	Total		19	147	59	558	24,509	2.28%

 

T-11 comps

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - TMNT (Total) - 1x (5.62m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .653x (5.75m)
 - Venom 2 - .876x (10.16m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.898x (7.78m)

 - Jurassic World 3 - missed

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - 1.06x (6.62m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - 1.27x (5.73m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.74m

 

A good day for this one too.  We'll see tomorrow if it's just because of timing.

 

(Transformers I started tracking at T-7)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Godzilla x Kong	T-10	Jax	5	53	21	192	9,702	1.98%
		Phx	6	39	11	236	7,067	3.34%
		Ral	8	55	13	175	7,740	2.26%
	Total		19	147	45	603	24,509	2.46%

 

T-10 comps

 - Avatar 2 - .222x (3.78m)

 - TMNT (Total) - 1.01x (5.65m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .668x (5.88m)
 - Venom 2 - .896x (10.39m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.99x (8.19m)

 - Jurassic World 3 - .248x (4.38m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - 1.075x (6.72m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - 1.26x (5.69m)

 - Ghostbusters Frozen - 1.608x

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.64m

 

Better increase than most comps for T-10.

 

(Transformers I started tracking at T-7)

[M37]

On 3/16/2024 at 9:08 AM, M37 said:

Preview holding steady with Wonka and Aquaman comps at ~$4.5M, but not keeping pace with and dropping against Little Mermaid. Sales should roughly triple from T-7 to T-F, to ~75K Final give or take

 

But Friday sales (relative to Thur) softer than Wonka, suggesting ~$10.5 TFri, about 15% below Afterlife TFri (so lower IM).

 

Overall, low to mid $30s TruFFS, higher $30s OW barring some change in pace/trajectory

After reviewing weekend data updates, I'm still here, ~$4.5M Thursday and ~8.5x (10.5/14/9.5 = $38.5M OW is my current pinpoint expectation). Pace is very consistent with Wonka (for both Thu and Fri), and think Afterlife type finish - still under a pandemic cloud which IMO pushed sales later - is too high of a bar to meet, and those comps come down.

 

Will have to wait and see if T-mobile deal and/or (late) reviews can move the needle (perhaps in opposite directions), so $40M OW certainly in play, but probably will take some work. Feels more like a D&D-esque run than GBA, as we're in range of a ~$50M OWeek and ~$100M finish rather than (Thanksgiving inflated) $63M & $129

[Eric Quinn]

Quorum Updates

The First Omen T-18: 33.29%

Maxxine T-109: 12.83%

Project Artemis T-116: 11.91%

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-172: 42.31%

Joker: Folie a Deux T-200: 41.88%

Wicked - Part 1 T-254: 37.11%

 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire T-4: 61.99% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 91% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 77% chance of 50M, 64% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 36% chance of 80M, 36% chance of 100M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 80M, 25% chance of 100M

 

Immaculate T-4: 26.27% Awareness

Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire T-11: 54.83% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 92% chance of 20M, 72% chance of 30M, 36% chance of 40M, 24% chance of 50M, 16% chance of 60M, 12% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 75% chance of 40M, 25% chance of 50M

 

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-32: 18.28% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 11% chance of 10M