The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Box Office Hit]

 

[AniNate]

Must be really selling gangbusters in cities if it's that far ahead, still only like 15 sold on Thurs/Fri at my purple county Cinemark to this point

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, Unfitclock said:

Garfield’s opening the week before Memorial Day weekend last time I checked 

 

Memorial Day Weekend is on the weekend of the 24th-27th (counting Monday), which the OW for Garfield.

Edited April 23 by Porthos

[Tinalera]

The Fall Guy

Vancouver and Calgary Canada (T-10)

Thurs May 2 and Fri May 3

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	3	8	25	1979	2004	0.0124
	Fri	3	16	99	3909	4008	0.0247
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	3	15	21	2674	2695	0.0077
	Fri	3	22	12	2066	2078	0.0057

 

 

Doesnt seem to be much pre sale appetite right now up here. Possibly a WOM film after its opening.

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

CHALLENGERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
358	1130	68592	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

135

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.508x) of Civil War $1.47M

(0.498x) of Argylle $846k

Comps average: $1.16M

 

Maybe this is running hot here, but previews are now pointing to over $1M without EA 

FLORIDA 

 

CHALLENGERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
378	1458	72480	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

328

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-2

(0.564x) of Civil War $1.64M

(0.611x) of Argylle $1.04M

(0.978x) of Monkey Man $1.37M

Comps average: $1.35M

 

Heading to $1.5M+ excluding EA. Definitely picked up speed here. 

Edited April 23 by TheFlatLannister

[vafrow]

Full showtimes are up for the Thursday previews for Fall Guy, and across my five screen sample, it only added two showings.

 

Theyre really maintaining a light touch on this one. It's not like there's a lot in theatres right now that warrants holding onto screens either.

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, vafrow said:

Full showtimes are up for the Thursday previews for Fall Guy, and across my five screen sample, it only added two showings.

 

Theyre really maintaining a light touch on this one. It's not like there's a lot in theatres right now that warrants holding onto screens either.

 

To go along with that, while final sets are not up for my Cinemarks, it is telling that Fall Guy is NOT getting all PLF at my PLF theater.  Instead, the Star Wars re-release is getting 1 full XD (and 2 screens for presales), which is the same as Fall Guy.  At my other local, Star Wars is not yet booked, and Fall Guy is still sitting at 1 screen for presales.

[CJohn]

5 hours ago, AniNate said:

 

And you'll still have a melodramatic meltdown if it does just that

It is my job, I can't disappoint my fans.

[emoviefan]

Emily and Ryan must be having flashbacks to some of their previous movies that got strong reviews and buzz and audiences just don't bite in the numbers they should. Edge of Tomorrow for her and take your pick for him. Drive, The Nice Guys, Blade Runner 2049, First Man. Which kind of backs  up the narrative that he does not really open movies I guess. The Fall Guy seems like it should be the most GA friendly mainstream movie all all though.

[abracadabra1998]

On 4/21/2024 at 10:24 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Challengers (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-1	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 23 theaters	70	40	120	11296	1.06
Monday April 22 EA: 18 theaters	18	61	276	4044	6.82
TOTALS:	88	101	396	15340	2.58

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		78	21	65
MTC1:		92	27	76.67
Alamo:		6	2	5
Other chains:		22	11	18.33

 

Thursday Comps:

0.27x Civil War (THU): $790k

1.73x Drive-Away Dolls: $605k (17 theaters)

1.06x Iron Claw: $710k (17 theaters)

0.46x The Creator (THU): $625k (17 theaters)

0.62x Asteroid City: $680k (12 theaters)

 

Average: $680k

 

Maybe around $500k in Early Access, still doing very meh for Thursday previews but Monday EA makes it a little tricky, just hope it will accelerate quite a bit after tomorrow.

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Challengers (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	88	107	227	14201	1.6

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		112	34	49.34
MTC1:		149	57	65.64
Alamo:		6	0	2.64
Other chains:		72	50	31.72

 

Thursday Comps:

0.36x Civil War (THU): $1.05 Million

2.05x Drive-Away Dolls: $720k (17 theaters)

0.33x Mean Girls: $855k (17 theaters)

1.36x Iron Claw: $915k (17 theaters)

1.5x Anyone But You: $1.8 Million (17 theaters)

0.56x The Creator (THU): $755k (17 theaters)

0.65x Asteroid City: $715k (12 theaters)

 

Average: $970k

 

This movie must be underperforming here, most comps still pointing to sub-$1 million (but trending upwards). I think I'll partially blame it on arguably the heaviest pre-sale theater in town only going on sale yesterday, so that hasn't caught up to the level of other films

[abracadabra1998]

On 4/21/2024 at 10:32 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

Minnesota Previews:

 

Unsung Hero (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 22 theaters	34	142	142	3538	4.01
Wednesday April 24 EA: 23 theaters	29	1133	1133	2698	41.99
TOTALS:	63	1275	1275	6236	20.45

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		2	2	1.41
MTC1:		51	51	35.92
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		91	91	64.08

 

What the hell lmao, how do you even go about comping something where over 80% of sales are Early Access?? Keeping them combined for now I guess

 

Comps (Combined EA + THU):

4.07x Cabrini: $2.04 Million

1.91x Chosen S4, Eps 1-3: $2.73 Million

7.86x The Shift (w/ EA): $2.93 Million

5.96x After Death: $2.39 Million

 

Average: $2.52 Million

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Unsung Hero (T-2):

Day: T-2, T-1	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 24 theaters	42	30	172	4081	4.21
Wednesday April 24 EA: 23 theaters	32	14	1147	3198	35.87
TOTALS:	74	44	1319	7279	18.12

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		2	0	1.16
MTC1:		53	2	30.81
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		119	28	69.19

 

Comps (Combined EA + THU):

3.44x Cabrini: $1.72 Million

Chosen S4, Eps 1-3: Missed

6.06x The Shift (w/ EA): $2.26 Million

4.44x After Death: $1.78 Million

 

Average: $1.92 Million

 

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

Challengers:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 11 Tickets

Theater 2: 5 Tickets

 

Lisa Frankenstein: $.89M

Mean Girls: $.67M

Anyone But You: $.62M

No Hard Feelings: $2.02M

Magic Mike 3: $1.00M

Don't Worry Darling: $.77M

 

Thursday looking at around $.75M-$1M.

Challengers:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 16 Tickets

Theater 2: 7 Tickets

 

Lisa Frankenstein: $1.64M

Mean Girls: $.76M

Anyone But You: $.77M

No Hard Feelings: $3.30M

Magic Mike 3: $1.35M

Don't Worry Darling: $1.00M

 

Comps going up. Aiming between $1M-$1.5M

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 24 Tickets

Theater 2: 22 Tickets

 

Lisa Frankenstein: $2.17M

Mean Girls: $.96M

Anyone But You: $5.24M

No Hard Feelings: $38.66M

Magic Mike 3: $5.56M

Don't Worry Darling: $3.22M

 

Kinda wide comps, but feeling a good chance at $5M+ rn

Edited April 24 by crazymoviekid

[TheFlatLannister]

Fandango is giving me some serious headaches, that's why I haven't been able to provide tracking updates on all the other films. 

[jeffthehat]

On 4/22/2024 at 1:53 PM, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

Challengers T-3

Sales	Seats	Shows
229	11180	65

*pulled 12 AM EST

Comps

0.16x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $0.8m

0.98x Dune 2 T-3 = $1.0m

1.68x Imaginary T-3 = $1.3m

0.14x GxK NE T-3 = $1.4m

0.57x Civil War T-3 = $1.7m

 

AVG = $1.24m

---

Average is undershooting a bit because I pulled 10-12 hrs earlier than usual. Civil War was pulled around same time and it looks good. 

 

Indiana

Challengers T-2ish

Sales	Seats	Shows
372	14142	86

*pulled 10 PM EST

Comps

0.23x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.1m

0.14x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.4m

0.64x Civil War T-2 = $1.9m

2.74x Imaginary T-2 = $2.0m

0.20x GxK NE T-2 = $2.0m

 

AVG = $1.68m

---

Pace looks really good here. This is like T-1.5 relative to when I pull in the US, so average is likely overshooting today. But Civil War was pulled at same time and it's the one I'm paying most attention to. 

 

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Challengers MTC1

Early Shows(4/22) final - 18092/62617 373746.58 263 shows +3377

Previews(T-3) - 14715/272266 288951.39 1540 shows +3000

Friday - 14722/428870 278017.78 2375 shows +3665

 

Good for sure. Early Shows will skew MTC1 big time(looking at MTC2, gross wont be that much). I am thinking 550-600K for early shows. Previews should accelerate tomorrow if WOM from early shows is good. Thinking 2.5m+ previews including early shows and 20m ish OW.  

Challengers MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 19245/292157 372657.13 1677 shows +4530

Friday - 21326/485738 395439.16 2656 shows +6604 

 

Really good day and it was expected considering TMobile deal. Let us see how wednesday goes. I am sticking to my prediction though it could over index big time here just like some of the other recent releases.  

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-10, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 20

New Sales since T-13: 2

Growth: 11%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.7

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 15/6

Late Evening: 5/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 13/6

IMAX: 2/4

4DX: 5/2

 

EA sales

Total: 46

Showtimes: 6

Theatres: 5

 

Comps (Previews only, no EA)

0.556x Wonka for $2.4M

0.357x GB:FE for $1.7M

0.110x GxK for $1.1M

0.136x HG:BoSS for $0.8M

Avg: $1.5M

 

Comps (includes EA)

1.833x Wonka for $6.4M

1.179x GB:FE for $5.5M

0.365x GxK for $3.6M

0.446x HG:BoSS for $2.6M

AVG: $4.6M

 

Still crawling along slowly 

 

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-9, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 20

New Sales since T-13: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.4

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 15/6

Late Evening: 5/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 13/6

IMAX: 2/4

4DX: 5/2

 

EA sales

Total: 49

Showtimes: 6

Theatres: 5

 

Comps (Previews only, no EA)

0.455x Wonka for $1.6M

0.345x GB:FE for $1.6M

0.101x GxK for $1.0M

0.112x HG:BoSS for $0.6M

Avg: $1.2M

 

Comps (includes EA)

1.568x Wonka for $5.5M

1.190x GB:FE for $5.6M

0.347x GxK for $3.5M

0.385x HG:BoSS for $2.2M

AVG: $4.2M

 

Continues to be unimpressive. I haven't added it as a comp, but it's Thursday preview sales are actually behind Monkey Man at this point.

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

The Garfield Movie, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-31, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 0

New Sales: NA

Growth: NA

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.0

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 0/1

Late Afternoon: 0/3

Early Evening: 0/5

Late Evening: 0/5

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Regular: 0/4

3D Regular: 0/6

Dolby: 0/2

3D Dolby: 0/2

 

No sales on Garfield. Kung Fu Panda 4 sold 4 tickets on its first day.

 

The Garfield Movie, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), D2/T-30, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 0

New Sales: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.0

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 0/1

Late Afternoon: 0/3

Early Evening: 0/5

Late Evening: 0/5

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Regular: 0/4

3D Regular: 0/6

Dolby: 0/2

3D Dolby: 0/2

 

Still no sales. KFP4 was at 12 for day 2.

[katnisscinnaplex]

22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Boy Kills World	T-2	Jax	5	11	2	13	667	1.95%
		Phx	6	9	3	13	934	1.39%
		Ral	6	7	0	1	530	0.19%
	Total		17	27	5	27	2,131	1.27%
Challengers	T-2	Jax	5	21	9	35	4,051	0.86%
		Phx	7	22	41	97	2,784	3.48%
		Ral	8	18	10	52	2,582	2.01%
	Total		20	61	60	184	9,417	1.95%
Unsung Hero	T-2	Jax	5	11	0	58	1,249	4.64%
		Phx	6	12	3	28	2,046	1.37%
		Ral	8	14	-3	52	1,318	3.95%
	Total		19	37	0	138	4,613	2.99%
Unsung Hero (EA)	T-1	Jax	5	8	-3	215	928	23.17%
		Phx	6	10	0	325	1,017	31.96%
		Ral	8	9	4	288	839	34.33%
	Total		19	27	1	828	2,784	29.74%

 

Unsung Hero (Total) T-2 comps

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - .621x (2.05m)

 - Sound of Freedom - .396x (2.06m)

 - Left Behind - 3.06x (1.87m)

 - Downton Abbey - .953x (1.76m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.92m

 

This hasn't shown any growth over the past few days (+4% since Friday).  

 

Challengers T-2 comps*

 - I Wanna Dance - .7x (617k)

 - Elvis - .248x (957k)

 - Creed III - .292x (1.3m)

 - Lost City - .527x (1.59m)

 - Magic Mike 3 - .684x (807k)

 - Joy Ride - 3.407x (3.62m)

 - Strays - 1.57x (1.53m)

 - Gran Turismo - .852x (1.19m)

 - No Hard Feelings - 1.278x (2.79m)

 

Size adjusted comp - 1.54m

 

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Challengers	84.00%	30.00%	34.29%	48.39%
I Wanna Dance	53.80%	28.65%	14.75%	31.50%
Elvis	78.18%	23.74%	-	-
Creed III	64.92%	30.63%	-	17.54%
Lost City	63.85%	21.13%	9.52%	27.84%
Magic Mike 3	65.03%	39.26%	32.32%	20.63%
Joy Ride	20.00%	20.00%	30.56%	-1.82%
Strays	58.11%	24.32%	7.14%	13.59%
Gran Turismo	84.62%	76.07%	-	35.00%
No Hard Feelings	161.82%	67.27%	-	58.24%

 

*Switched to straight preview comps

 

Boy Kills World T-2 comps

 - Vengeance - .563x

 - Bones and All - .5x (177k)

 - Reminiscence - .587x (347k)

 - Fabelmans - .794x (324k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Boy Kills World	T-1	Jax	5	12	1	14	704	1.99%
		Phx	7	11	7	20	996	2.01%
		Ral	7	8	4	5	627	0.80%
	Total		19	31	12	39	2,327	1.68%
Challengers	T-1	Jax	5	22	9	44	4,088	1.08%
		Phx	7	26	39	136	3,310	4.11%
		Ral	8	20	20	72	2,795	2.58%
	Total		20	68	68	252	10,193	2.47%
Unsung Hero	T-1	Jax	5	15	6	64	1,597	4.01%
		Phx	6	14	16	44	2,172	2.03%
		Ral	8	15	8	60	1,488	4.03%
	Total		19	44	30	168	5,257	3.20%
Unsung Hero (EA)	T-0	Jax	5	8	-8	207	928	22.31%
		Phx	6	10	1	326	1,017	32.06%
		Ral	8	9	10	298	839	35.52%
	Total		19	27	3	831	2,784	29.85%

 

Unsung Hero (Total) T-1 comps

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - .586x (1.93m)

 - Sound of Freedom - .356x (1.85m)

 - Left Behind - 2.41x (1.47m)

 - Downton Abbey - .856x (1.58m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.65m

 

It was going well until I found a show that lost 12 tickets since yesterday.  Not sure if it was a group that moved to another day or a theater I don't track, but such is the fickle nature of tracking.

 

Challengers T-1 comps

 - I Wanna Dance - .81x (715k)

 - Elvis - .293x (1.13m)

 - Creed III - .289x (1.28m)

 - Lost City - .522x (1.576m)

 - Magic Mike 3 - .761x (898k)

 - Joy Ride - 3.273x (3.48m)

 - Strays - 1.647x (1.6m)

 - Gran Turismo - .969x (1.36m)

 - No Hard Feelings - 1.145x (2.5m)

 

Size adjusted comp - 1.56m

 

Boy Kills World T-1 comps

 - Vengeance - .619x

 - Bones and All - .565x (200k)

 - Reminiscence - .534x (316k)

 - Fabelmans - .83x (339k)

 - Operation Fortune - .975x (215k)

 - Antlers - .534x (210k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 260k

[katnisscinnaplex]

22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Fall Guy	T-9	Jax	6	36	1	19	6,208	0.31%
		Phx	6	19	0	45	3,556	1.27%
		Ral	8	29	1	49	4,195	1.17%
	Total		20	84	2	113	13,959	0.81%
Fall Guy (EA)	T-8	Jax	5	10	-3	38	2,007	1.89%
		Phx	1	2	0	18	618	2.91%
		Ral	2	2	2	21	412	5.10%
	Total		8	14	-1	77	3,037	2.54%
Tarot	T-9	Jax	5	21	1	5	1,752	0.29%
		Phx	6	16	0	6	2,534	0.24%
		Ral	7	18	0	7	2,268	0.31%
	Total		18	55	1	18	6,554	0.27%

 

Fall Guy (Total) T-9 adjusted comps

 - Monkey Man - 2.603x (4.3m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.56x (4.37m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .623x (2.93m)

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.293x (3.05m)

 - Civil War - 1.597x (4.63m)

 - Free Guy - 1.919x (4.39m)

 

Size adjusted average - 3.42m

 

Tarot T-9 adjusted comps

 - Last Voyage - .692x (519k)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Black Phone - .182x (484k)

 - Abigail - .643x (643k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Fall Guy	T-8	Jax	6	36	0	19	6,208	0.31%
		Phx	7	24	2	47	4,147	1.13%
		Ral	8	31	4	53	4,762	1.11%
	Total		21	91	6	119	15,117	0.79%
Fall Guy (EA)	T-7	Jax	5	10	6	44	2,007	2.19%
		Phx	1	2	4	22	618	3.56%
		Ral	2	2	0	21	412	5.10%
	Total		8	14	10	87	3,037	2.86%
Tarot	T-8	Jax	5	21	0	5	1,752	0.29%
		Phx	6	16	2	8	2,534	0.32%
		Ral	7	18	0	7	2,268	0.31%
	Total		18	55	2	20	6,554	0.31%

 

Fall Guy (Total) T-8 adjusted comps

 - Monkey Man - 2.543x (4.2m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.561x (4.38m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .652x (3.07m)

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.373x (3.24m)

 - Civil War - 1.609x (4.67m)

 - Free Guy - 1.648x (3.77m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.47m

 

Tarot T-8 adjusted comps

 - Last Voyage - .556x (417k)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Black Phone - .189x (502k)

 - Abigail - .625x (625k)

 - Talk to Me - .541x (673k)

 - The First Omen - 1.11x (806k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 687k

[katnisscinnaplex]

22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Garfield	T-30	Jax	5	30	1	1	3,091	0.03%
		Phx	6	34	8	8	5,918	0.14%
		Ral	7	34	13	13	4,734	0.27%
	Total		18	98	22	22	13,743	0.16%
Garfield (EA)	T-26	Jax	1	1	15	15	37	40.54%
		Phx	1	1	17	17	49	34.69%
	Total		2	2	32	32	86	37.21%

 

Garfield (Total) Day 1 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .29x (2.19m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .179x (1.06m)

 - Minions 2 - .806x (8.69m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - .232x (1.02m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Garfield	T-29	Jax	5	30	0	1	3,091	0.03%
		Phx	6	34	1	9	5,918	0.15%
		Ral	7	34	3	16	4,734	0.34%
	Total		18	98	4	26	13,743	0.19%
Garfield (EA)	T-25	Jax	2	2	9	24	173	13.87%
		Phx	1	1	5	22	49	44.90%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	73	0.00%
	Total		4	4	14	46	295	15.59%

 

Garfield (Total) Day 2 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .317x (2.39m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .196x (1.16m)

 - Minions 2 - .735x (7.92m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - .247x (1.09m)

 

Moving to Thursday only posts until closer to release