The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[ThatWaluigiDude]

When will IF start?

[misterpepp]

4 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

When will IF start?

 

We keep a spreadsheet of up-to-date ticketing start dates, IF is on there. 

[Flip]

1 hour ago, misterpepp said:

Garfield went on sale today. Good ole Sony.

EA on May 19th

[misterpepp]

1 hour ago, Flip said:

EA on May 19th

 

Yep, some of those shows will be in 3D too. There'll also be early access shows for Ezra on April 28 and Back to Black on May 15.

[abracadabra1998]

1 hour ago, misterpepp said:

 

Yep, some of those shows will be in 3D too. There'll also be early access shows for Ezra on April 28 and Back to Black on May 15.

Everything has EA these days it seems, pretty annoying from a tracking perspective

[AniNate]

Seems like it's had minimal impact as far as spreading positive word of mouth goes, though I dunno, maybe a few positive audience tweets they can promote before the hard release are better than nothing

[abracadabra1998]

19 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Challengers (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-1	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 23 theaters	70	40	120	11296	1.06
Monday April 22 EA: 18 theaters	18	61	276	4044	6.82
TOTALS:	88	101	396	15340	2.58

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		78	21	65
MTC1:		92	27	76.67
Alamo:		6	2	5
Other chains:		22	11	18.33

 

EA Comps:

1.93x Civil War EA: $630k

0.75 Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare EA: $450k

0.35x MI7 (T-3 EA): $700k

 

Maybe around $500k in Early Access, still doing very meh for Thursday previews but Monday EA makes it a little tricky, just hope it will accelerate quite a bit after tomorrow.

 

Minnesota Monday Early Access:

 

Challengers (T-1 hour):

Day: T-1 hour	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Monday April 22 EA: 18 theaters	18	70	346	4044	8.56

 

EA Comps:

0.3x Dune Part 2 EA: $605k

0.57x Mean Girls EA: $400k*

0.35x MI7 (T-3 EA): $695k

 

*Using $700k estimate provided by Key a loooong time ago

 

Probably go with around ~$600k for early shows but as always fair warning that EA is more dependent on number of showings so data provided by Key is probably most useful

[TheFlatLannister]

On 4/19/2024 at 8:21 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

CHALLENGERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
332	747	62492	1.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

102

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-6

(0.405x) of Civil War $1.17M

(0.892x) of Argylle $739k

Comps average: $946k

 

Nice increase today 

FLORIDA 

 

CHALLENGERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
358	1130	68592	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

135

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.508x) of Civil War $1.47M

(0.498x) of Argylle $846k

Comps average: $1.16M

 

Maybe this is running hot here, but previews are now pointing to over $1M without EA 

[abracadabra1998]

8 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

CHALLENGERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
358	1130	68592	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

135

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.508x) of Civil War $1.47M

(0.498x) of Argylle $846k

Comps average: $1.16M

 

Maybe this is running hot here, but previews are now pointing to over $1M without EA 

Any EA numbers?

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Any EA numbers?

i wouldn't even know how to interpret any EA numbers. I don't have any comps for it 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 4/18/2024 at 10:17 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

THE FALL GUY

 

Thursday 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
422	1185	84283	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 10:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-14

(1.026x) of Civil War $2.98M

Comps average: $2.98M

 

Pretty much ~$3M right now

FLORIDA 

THE FALL GUY

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
422	1330	84283	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

28

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-10

(1.007x) of Civil War $2.92M

Comps average: $2.92M

 

Still around $3M

[TheFlatLannister]

On 4/18/2024 at 8:57 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES

 

Thursday 

 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
499	1726	101745	1.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

84

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

3

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-21

(0.404x) of Dune 2 $3.76M

(0.891x) of Ghostbusters $4.19M

Comps average: $3.98M

FLORIDA 

 

KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES

 

Thursday 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
499	1830	101745	1.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

16

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-17

(0.389x) of Dune 2 $3.62M

(0.783x) of Ghostbusters $3.68M

Comps average: $3.65M

 

weak growth over the past few days

[JimmyB]

27 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

THE FALL GUY

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
422	1330	84283	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

28

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-10

(1.007x) of Civil War $2.92M

Comps average: $2.92M

 

Still around $3M

That's not good. Your T-10 Civil War run showed it sold 1321 tickets and 57 since yesterday. The Fall Guy, with all this marketing is going to fall behind Civil War sales tomorrow.

[emoviefan]

Need more  Lost City, Jungle Cruise and Bullet Train Comps for The Fall Guy. Those are the best i would think.

[crazymoviekid]

Challengers:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 11 Tickets

Theater 2: 5 Tickets

 

Lisa Frankenstein: $.89M

Mean Girls: $.67M

Anyone But You: $.62M

No Hard Feelings: $2.02M

Magic Mike 3: $1.00M

Don't Worry Darling: $.77M

 

Thursday looking at around $.75M-$1M.

Edited April 23 by crazymoviekid

[filmlover]

From what I can tell it looks the early access shows for Back to Back are only in Dolby Cinema, assume that was the only way it was ever getting those screens (since IF is likely getting those screens that weekend).

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Challengers MTC1

Early Shows(4/22) - 14715/62070 307604.35 260 shows +2306

Previews(T-4) - 11715/243065 233167.37 1391 shows +2213

Friday - 11057/377245 211874.43 2118 shows  +2927

 

I could not run this yesterday and so its 2 days of data and I expect the pace today would be up quite a bit from yesterday. We will know with tomorrow's update. Definitely think potential is there for 20m OW. 

Challengers MTC1

Early Shows(4/22) final - 18092/62617 373746.58 263 shows +3377

Previews(T-3) - 14715/272266 288951.39 1540 shows +3000

Friday - 14722/428870 278017.78 2375 shows +3665

 

Good for sure. Early Shows will skew MTC1 big time(looking at MTC2, gross wont be that much). I am thinking 550-600K for early shows. Previews should accelerate tomorrow if WOM from early shows is good. Thinking 2.5m+ previews including early shows and 20m ish OW.  

[Flopped]

Anyone got Boy Kills World?

[Krissykins]

Back To Black WOM here in the UK is good and it’s doing well, expected as it’s her home country. But only a -30% second weekend drop and still #1. Will fly over £10m in a few weeks. 

[ReturnOfTheBoxOffice]

Challengers isn’t doing great and Boy Kills World is nonexistent at my local theaters. The Fall Guy and Apes better pick it up soon too. Everything is on fire. I’m gonna go see BKW to help the weekend but I just can’t bring myself to watch the tennis cuck movie. Still hope it overperforms because it’s an original film but definitely not for me. Might go see GxK again too.