The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[AniNate]

There is precedent for it as I mentioned in the weekend thread with Jason Bourne. Granted it couldn't really go the week before because of Star Trek Beyond and Twisters has a much bigger budget, but being able to maintain 4000 theaters in the face of Deadpool could very well be worth it, and at the moment it seems possible word of mouth is a lot better and PG-13 v R is different from PG-13 v PG-13

 

 

Edited July 16 by AniNate

[jeffthehat]

21 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

Twisters T-3

Sales	Seats	Shows
1270	27363	152

TC=28, pulled 12PM EST

Comps

0.54x Dune 2 T-3 = $5.4m

1.68x Furiosa T-3 = $5.9m

0.71x Godzilla x Kong NE T-3 = $7.1m

1.67x Bad Boys 4 T-3 = $9.3m

 

AVG = $7.14m

Indiana

Twisters T-2

Sales	Seats	Shows
1489	31820	186

TC=28, pulled 11AM EST

Comps

0.93x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $4.4m

0.78x Godzilla x Kong NE T-2 = $7.8m

1.70x Bad Boys 4 T-2 = $9.5m

 

AVG = $7.23m

 

Not sure what to do with comps. Ghostbusters FE overperformed a lot here, so it's a decent weight. Don't have anything else showing <$7m besides frontloaded stuff like Dune 2 and Furiosa. I'd guess it's just overperforming in the midwest though. 

[AniNate]

Advance sales in suburban megalopolis areas do look pretty solid too. Skimmed around orange / Riverside county and those EA screenings are filling up pretty nicely as well.

 

 

Edited July 16 by AniNate

[AniNate]

Deadline still going with $50mil domestic opening, $100mil WW cumulative by Sunday.

 

'Twisters' Eyes $100M+ Global Cume By Sunday: Box Office (deadline.com)

 

That would not be ideal for vibes, hopefully ends up blowing past that

[JonathanMB]

2 hours ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

Trap seems to be getting just traditional 2D showings. No IMAX isn't surprising but I thought it would at least get some Dolby. At the very least, that's a new angle for pre-sales since there won't be any PLF surcharges.

 

I'm guessing Disney has a strong PLF contract for Deadpool & Wolverine; don't most Marvel movies get those screens for at least two weeks anyway? It's probably a safer bet to fill those screens that weekend than Trap anyway (although with Longlegs blowing up I'm hoping Trap can as well). 

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

4 minutes ago, JonathanMB said:

 

I'm guessing Disney has a strong PLF contract for Deadpool & Wolverine; don't most Marvel movies get those screens for at least two weeks anyway? It's probably a safer bet to fill those screens that weekend than Trap anyway (although with Longlegs blowing up I'm hoping Trap can as well). 

 

There's been times where they gave up Dolby (and AMC Prime in places where there are), but like you said they usually keep IMAX for two weeks.

[AniNate]

On 7/15/2024 at 2:06 PM, AniNate said:

 

Just Canton since this is now getting pretty exhausting to count:

 

Wednesday EA 193
Thursday  120
Friday 242
Saturday 210
Sunday 143

 

I just looked at the Friday showtimes now and it's up to 370 sales

[HummingLemon496]

@Joyous Legion what is DPW OW looking like right now?

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

ORLANDO

 

Deadpool x Wolverine 

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
244	10366	46659	22.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

245

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

14

*2 sellouts

COMPS

T-10

(1.704x) of GOTG 3 $29.81M

Not a great day. Starting to worry about $30M+ previews. 

ORLANDO

 

Deadpool x Wolverine 

 

Thursday 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
244	10675	46659	22.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

309

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

*2 sellouts

COMPS

T-9

(1.717x) of GOTG 3 $30.05M

Pretty good rebound today. Back on the upward trend 

[HummingLemon496]

Just now, TheFlatLannister said:

ORLANDO

 

Deadpool x Wolverine 

 

Thursday 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
244	10675	46659	22.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

309

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

*2 sellouts

COMPS

T-9

(1.717x) of GOTG 3 $30.05M

Pretty good rebound today. Back on the upward trend 

[excel1]

6 hours ago, el sid said:

In "my" AMCs they are already on sale. 

 

It gets surprisingly small cinema halls 🤔. So far it has sold 17 tickets (for Thursday, August 1) in the AMC Metreon in San Francisco and 19 in the AMC in LA. 

 

Josh's power.

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	4554	110297	4.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

846

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(1.324x) of Apes $6.62M

(2.474x) of Fall Guy $5.69M

(1.406x) of Furiosa $4.92M
Comps AVG: $5.74M 

 

Pace is still improving. Best day so far. 

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
822	5618	169207	3.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1064

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-2

(1.066x) of Bad Boys $6.29M

(2.671x) of Fall Guy $6.14M

(1.513x) of Furiosa $5.29M
Comps AVG: $5.91M 

 

Could be $6M true previews. Pretty strong late growth 

[ringedmortality]

7M+ or bust

[TheFlatLannister]

36 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Not ready to call anything until I can see two to three days of strong sales. If it can pull off a GOTG vol 3 late push than...

 

 

 

It did outsell GOTG T-10 to T-9 (nearly by 2x) which is an impressive feat in itself

[HummingLemon496]

1 minute ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Not ready to call anything until I can see two to three days of strong sales. If it can pull off a GOTG vol 3 late push than...

 

 

 

It did outsell GOTG T-10 to T-9 (nearly by 2x) which is an impressive feat in itself

Both movies are being deflated by the MCU being washed. Release DP in July 2022 and it easily cracks $200M.

[Ryan C]

4 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Both movies are being deflated by the MCU being washed. Release DP in July 2022 and it easily cracks $200M.

 

Though I think it's safe to say that if Deadpool and Wolverine does open to that number, then a lot of people who probably felt negative or not as postive towards the MCU anymore put their feelings aside to see this movie. 

[emoviefan]

35 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Both movies are being deflated by the MCU being washed. Release DP in July 2022 and it easily cracks $200M.

Wow what a original take that you have never expressed before......

[Flip]

On 7/11/2024 at 8:11 PM, Flip said:

Deadpool 3 (T-14) 5 days of sales

 

36 showtimes/1494 tix sold (+119) 

 

12.66x Bad Boys 4 (T-10) [73.4m]

21.69x Twisters (T-14) [???]

10x Quiet Place Day One (T-15) [68m]

 

 

None of these comps are good so take them with a grain of salt. I think in the end Bad Boys will be the best since it overindexed 

Deadpool 3 (T-9) 5 days of sales

 

39 showtimes/1694 tix sold (+200) 

 

14.12x Bad Boys 4 (T-9) [82.6m]

22.28x Twisters (T-9) [???]

8.34x Quiet Place Day One (T-9) [56.71m]

12.83x Longlegs (T-9) [38.49m]

 

throwing everything at the wall here

[HummingLemon496]

1 hour ago, emoviefan said:

Wow what a original take that you have never expressed before......

 

And fwiw it is tracking related because it can be argued that, just like GOTG 3, there are a large number of people who are currently hesitant and will get tickets if it's good, which can lead to a nice late surge (just like GOTG 3) in case of good reception

Edited July 17 by HummingLemon496

[Flip]

On 7/15/2024 at 10:46 PM, Flip said:

Twisters Previews (T-3)

 

23 showtimes/203 tix sold (+57)

 

.94x Bad Boys 4 (T-3) [5.55m]

.46x Inside Out 2 (T-3) [5.98m]
 

Pace is VERY strong, it’s outselling Bad Boys which was one of the strongest finishers I’ve tracked and AQP (which had almost 2x the sales of Twisters before today). The fact that it’s doing all this in NYC is just the cherry on top.

 

Tomorrow I’ll set the benchmark at 105 tickets.

Twisters Previews (T-2)

 

24 showtimes/247 tix sold (+44)

 

 

.74x Bad Boys 4 (T-2) [4.36m]

.48x Inside Out 2 (T-2) [6.23m]
 

Wow, less than half the goal I set. this movie has been behaving weirdly with erratic high jumps followed by low increases. Every other movie I’ve tracked (besides Inside Out 2) increased pace on T-2. I don’t even know what the goal for tomorrow should be since the pace seems to randomly fluctuate but at the very least it has to do 85 tickets otherwise I don’t know what to say.