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Weekend Numbers | actuals | 80.01M G×K: THE NEW EMPIRE | 11.35M DUNE II

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2 hours ago, filmlover said:

It would be cool if Monkey Man did well but it feels like it's ceiling is about $40M or so? Buzz does feel a bit on the quiet side despite the SXSW hype. 

 

Challengers only needs to clear $18M to become the biggest movie of Luca Guadagnino's career so even a $30M+ total could probably be attributed to Zendaya's power.

Civil War seems like it’s going to make the most money but even that still won’t be some huge Bo hit. I have it making around Angel Has Fallen numbers (60-70m Dom) 

 

As for who comes in second, it’s a toss up between Monkey Man, Challengers , Abigail and First Omen. Seems like they’ll finish somewhere in the 20-40m range. 

 

Edited by babz06
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Pretty strong March overall.  Not 2017 strong but still pretty good.   I hope something breaks out in April. It could go either way with Monkey Man. The strong reviews out of SWSW do not seem to be moving the needle much yet with presales. Maybe it will pick up  in the final week. Civil War will do decently but maybe not enough for the budget. Ministry is clearly being dumped. Henry Cavill can not catch a break. And Challengers we will see how big a star Zendaya really is.  Not a horror movie fan so not even going to try to guess on Omen or Abigail. 

Edited by emoviefan
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Where do you guys think GxK:TNE will land DOM-wise? Can it beat Gareth Edwards’s Godzilla’s $200M? Considering this film has nothing big in April to compete against, where as G2014 had to go against TASM2, X-Men: DOFP, Maleficent and so forth in the summer of 2014.

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https://deadline.com/2024/03/box-office-godzilla-x-kong-the-new-empire-1235871440/

SATURDAY AM WRITETHRU after Friday Night post : This is how a great box office weekend should be. A studio goes into the frame expecting ‘X’, and they wind up with a substantially higher ‘Y’. It was definitely a good Friday for Legendary and Warner Bros with more walk-up business than expected as Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire posted a $37M first day (plus $10M previews) putting on the path to a $75M opening weekend. Per Comscore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak, 57% of the audience bought their tickets same-day. There is a path to a bigger weekend, so it won’t be shocking if it hits $80M. Also, the sequel nabbed an A- CinemaScore, which is the second best CinemaScore for a Monsterverse movie after 2021’s Godzilla vs. Kong, which was also directed by Adam Wingard.

Godzilla x Kong‘s weekend is still the second best U.S./Canada start for a Monsterverse, but also the fifth best Easter weekend opening ever after Warner Bros’ Batman v. Superman ($181M), Universal/Illumination’s Super Mario Bros Movie ($166.4M), Universal’s Furious 7 ($161.2M) and Uni’s The Fate of the Furious ($107.3M).

62% of the audience was led by men with Hispanic and Latino audiences showing up huge at 34%, followed by 31% Caucasian, 18% Asian/other and 17% Black. Sixty-seven percent of GxK‘s crowd were over 25 while 62% were under 35. The under 25 set at 33% gave the Adam Wingard directed movie an A.

GxK is playing big across the nation, but gigantic in the South, South Central and West with the AMC Burbank its highest grossing theater stateside with close to $83K so far.  IMAX and the PLF screens are driving 38% of the gross with 3D accounting for 19%.  

Other jelly beans for GxK: On PostTrak, 96% said the movie either met or exceeded their expectations. Forty-eight percent said they went to the movie because it look fun and exciting, while another 45% said it was part of a franchise they loved. Seventy-two percent want to see a sequel. What influenced moviegoers to go see GxK: 17% said the online trailer, 14% said it was the in-theater trailer, 14% credited social media, while another 14% said they were encouraged by friends and family.

GvK is leading all titles at the weekend box office to a $134.7M total, which is +38% over the same exact period a year ago when Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves opened during a non-holiday weekend. However, compared to last year’s Easter weekend, we’re down this year by -34% and that’s all because of Super Mario Bros. Movie.

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Just now, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Where do you guys think GxK:TNE will land DOM-wise? Can it beat Gareth Edwards’s Godzilla’s $200M? Considering this film has nothing big in April to compete against, where as G2014 had to go against TASM2, X-Men: DOFP, Maleficent and so forth in the summer of 2014.

 

By now, i think its safe to say that the movie will be the highest-grossing domestically in the MonsterVerse (and possibly worlwide as well, needs 566M+ for that). I see it landing in the 230 - 260M range right now, depending on how good the WOM actually is.

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If this wasnt a holiday weekend Ghostbusters probably has a Marvels like drop.

 

135m weekend would take March's box office to 750m'ish.  110m over March last year. 11th highest grossing March of all time a little behind 2002's 764m.

 

 

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/month/?sort=yearTotalGross&ref_=bo_ml__resort#table

Edited by JimmyB
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14 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

By now, i think its safe to say that the movie will be the highest-grossing domestically in the MonsterVerse (and possibly worlwide as well, needs 566M+ for that). I see it landing in the 230 - 260M range right now, depending on how good the WOM actually is.

Sweet. Surprising that none of the previous Monsterverse films have grossed over $600M+ WW, despite “Kong Skull Island” being the only one so far with a $400M+ OS gross. 👩🏻‍💼🙆🏻‍♀️

 

If King of the Monsters stayed put in the March 2019 slot instead of the very crowded May, would it have done more money? 🤷🏻‍♀️

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34
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4 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Sweet. Surprising that none of the previous Monsterverse films have grossed over $600M+ WW, despite “Kong Skull Island” being the only one so  far with a $400M+ OS gross. 👩🏻‍💼🙆🏻‍♀️

 

If King of the Monsters stayed put in the March 2019 slot instead of the very crowded May, would it have done more money? 🤷🏻‍♀️

The previous film would have almost certainly made $700m+ww if not for the pandemic+hybrid release with HBO Max.

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I would be careful not reading too much into that KFP4 Fri - it got a major holiday/break boost

 

Not much different than Trolls 3 on Black Friday, which didn’t signal all much about legs moving forward 

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7 minutes ago, M37 said:

I would be careful not reading too much into that KFP4 Fri - it got a major holiday/break boost

 

Not much different than Trolls 3 on Black Friday, which didn’t signal all much about legs moving forward 

Same thing I was thinking with people getting excited about the Panda hold. The audience was available yesterday. I hope people do not freak out if the weekend IM is not all that great. 

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1 minute ago, emoviefan said:

Same thing I was thinking with people getting excited about the Panda hold. The audience was available yesterday. I hope people do not freak out if the weekend IM is not all that great. 

Easter IM is inherently smaller

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Why do people keep saying we will see if Zendaya has star power with challengers? No we won’t. It’s a sports drama made by a guy who’s never had a movie gross over 20 mil. Will Smith starred in a tennis drama that barely cracked 15 mil. It is absolutely not a knock on zendayas star power if challengers doesn’t break out. 

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3 minutes ago, Scubasteve716 said:

Why do people keep saying we will see if Zendaya has star power with challengers? No we won’t. It’s a sports drama made by a guy who’s never had a movie gross over 20 mil. Will Smith starred in a tennis drama that barely cracked 15 mil. It is absolutely not a knock on zendayas star power if challengers doesn’t break out. 

MGM has been marketing it big time though and the movie is still almost a month away. If it tanks, lack of awareness definitely won't be the reason.

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3 minutes ago, Scubasteve716 said:

Why do people keep saying we will see if Zendaya has star power with challengers? No we won’t. It’s a sports drama made by a guy who’s never had a movie gross over 20 mil. Will Smith starred in a tennis drama that barely cracked 15 mil. It is absolutely not a knock on zendayas star power if challengers doesn’t break out. 

 

She is already a star. But Challengers becoming a hit would mean she may be a Julia Roberts/Sandra Bullock level box office superstar that has been missing from Hollywood forever.

 

To be clear, Challengers breaking out in late April is more of a challenge (no pun) than pre-established IP like Wonka coming out in a pretty desolate holiday season. So any comparisons between her and Chalamet's BO pull would be nonsensical.

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