China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Gavin Feng]

shit...

 

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Film Critic and Box Office Pundit for Forbes. All opinions, attempts at humor, speculation, or typos contained here are not affiliated with said outlet.

[VanillaSkies]

10 hours ago, bangbingchan said:

Local film has strong walk-ups.

Saturday presale multiple is almost 10*

Sunday is half V-Day.Some audiences will choose local romance film.It will be very close on Sunday

 

As the day progresses, AIW is actually pulling further and further into the lead.
It started the day around 10 million above it. It's now about 17 million ahead of it at 12:30pm. (50 million vs 33 million).
If this trend continues throughout the day, it isn't going to be close at all. 

[Sam]

57 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

 

As the day progresses, AIW is actually pulling further and further into the lead.
It started the day around 10 million above it. It's now about 17 million ahead of it at 12:30pm. (50 million vs 33 million).
If this trend continues throughout the day, it isn't going to be close at all. 

Sat midpoint for IW was at ~2:30p

 

50M at 12:30pm is good right? On pace to get to around 60M+ by 2:30p?

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, VanillaSkies said:

 

As the day progresses, AIW is actually pulling further and further into the lead.
It started the day around 10 million above it. It's now about 17 million ahead of it at 12:30pm. (50 million vs 33 million).
If this trend continues throughout the day, it isn't going to be close at all. 

I assume evening will be stronger for how long and make it close

5 minutes ago, Sam said:

Sat midpoint for IW was at ~2:30p

 

50M at 12:30pm is good right? On pace to get to around 60M+ by 2:30p?

59.5m at 130pm. Midpoint should be a little earlier today. It will be 70m at 230. 

Looks good for -10% or better

[HouseOfTheSun]

4 minutes ago, POTUS said:

I assume evening will be stronger for how long and make it close

59.5m at 130pm. Midpoint should be a little earlier today. It will be 70m at 230. 

Looks good for -10% or better

Maybe a 360-370m final gross in play?

[Fake]

24 minutes ago, Sam said:

Sat midpoint for IW was at ~2:30p

 

50M at 12:30pm is good right? On pace to get to around 60M+ by 2:30p?

Sunday midpoint should be 30min earlier than Saturday i.e. 2PM.

 

65.5M @2PM. Doubling this gets it to 131M.

 

$54m weekend. $350m projected finish.

Edited May 20, 2018 by Fake

[Asyulus]

$360m is the floor.

[Fake]

There is a chance it may go higher... say 135M.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Maybe a 360-370m final gross in play?

Possible, but it depends how many Imax Solo will take. 350-360 still looking good otherwise, my projection is at 359m still

Edited May 20, 2018 by POTUS

[fmpro]

No way in hell Love U will top AIW today.

AIW is doing great and will do 130 mill+ for a 5%~ish drop

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Possible, but it depends how many Imax Solo will take. 350-360 still looking good otherwise, my projection is at 359m still

Are theaters forced to give IMAX to Solo? Doesn’t seem at all clear that Solo OW IMAX would make more for them than IW 3rd weekend IMAX, with IW likely headed to a $18-24ish 3rd weekend?

[Krissykins]

So $54m would be a 73% second weekend drop. That doesn’t seem that bad for China, didn’t Black Panther fall over 80%? 

[nguyenkhoi282]

7 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

So $54m would be a 73% second weekend drop. That doesn’t seem that bad for China, didn’t Black Panther fall over 80%? 

I think F8 also dropped around that range, so this is very good for IW actually.

[a2k]

7 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

So $54m would be a 73% second weekend drop. That doesn’t seem that bad for China, didn’t Black Panther fall over 80%? 

The 10% Sun drop amplifies the weekend though and next weekend drop could be worse than BP.

[bangbingchan]

6 hours ago, VanillaSkies said:

 

As the day progresses, AIW is actually pulling further and further into the lead.
It started the day around 10 million above it. It's now about 17 million ahead of it at 12:30pm. (50 million vs 33 million).
If this trend continues throughout the day, it isn't going to be close at all. 

But HlWILU per hour increase is faster than AiW.PTA is higher too.AiW has more showtimes including IMAX.AiW Seats is double than HlWILU.34k more showtimes and 85k more seats is main reason AiW lead in the daytime.The gap is closer than Saturday .From 71M down to 20M.Monday might be closer.It will overtake AiW next weekdays

Edited May 20, 2018 by bangbingchan

[Olive]

50 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said:

The 10% Sun drop amplifies the weekend though and next weekend drop could be worse than BP.

BP 3rd weekend faced PR2, so..it totally crashed.

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said:

BP 3rd weekend faced PR2, so..it totally crashed.

ha, i don't know that. then AIW will surely hold better.

[bangbingchan]

2 hours ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

I think F8 also dropped around that range, so this is very good for IW actually.

F8 didn't have V-Day on 2nd weekend

[pepsa]

Just now, bangbingchan said:

F8 didn't have V-Day on 2nd weekend

 

And it's weekdays were insane.

[Lordmandeep]

IW passes 300 million USD in CHINA