China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

IW on Maoyan at 64.8m -19.7%

midpoint was 345pm

Total 1525m/$240m

That drop solidifies $350m, 30%+ friday bump will lock it

PS for Thur at 9.7m

 

Edited May 16, 2018 by POTUS

[terrestrial]

43 minutes ago, jiangsen said:

General box office reporting in China contains both 综合 (with fees) and 分账 (without). It’s only in English that reporting failed to understand the changes. 

I meant here at BOT. Olive wrote sometime back ~ now with fees and since then they are included in the posts and discussions here. I think it might confusing the only-visiting-from-time-to-time or newbe reader if the system is not used constantly.

[Olive]

Wed

64.8M -19.8%

Total 1526M

[fastclock]

3 hours ago, jiangsen said:

If y’all are gonna get super technical about exchange rates and how it looks in Disney’s books, why not go all the way? The official gross that Disney will eventually report (and should be reported elsewhere) will exclude the ticketing fees that aren’t calculated in their revenue share at all. That means opening weekend was ¥1.19309B = $187.6M. 

This is not delving into too technical side of things. Of course, to compare apple-to-apple with other territories, we need to have everything gross (with fees).

 

Usually it does not matter if we use the midpoint exchange rate or the company/producers' exchange rate - except in this case, it matters because it's at the $200m threshold.

 

I don't really care whether IW got $199.7m or $200.4m, but it's a good lesson about how boxoffice dollars are being counted - so that's why it's a good discussion point.

Edited May 16, 2018 by fastclock

[Godzilla]

Predictions for AQP?

[ymblcza]

45 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

Predictions for AQP?

$6m OD and $36m total, could be 5m and 25m in the low end or 7m and 50m or even more in the high end

Edited May 16, 2018 by ymblcza

[HouseOfTheSun]

What is the overall talk like for AIW, is there big anticipation for A4 after this? 

[Jon Witch]

So what is the expected final number for China? My head hurts reading the comment. 

[POTUS 2020]

12 minutes ago, Jon Witch said:

So what is the expected final number for China? My head hurts reading the comment. 

$350-360m

 

53-54m incoming for today

 

FF8						IW					CA3
Day	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot
Fri	417			480	70	386			445	70	181			198	30
Sat	488	17.0%		968	141	493	27.6%		938	148	249	37.6%		447	69
Sun	385	-21.1%		1353	197	331	-32.8%		1269	200	180	-27.7%		627	96
Mon	163	-57.7%		1516	220	109	-67.1%		1378	217	60	-66.7%		687	106
Tues	121	-25.8%		1637	238	81	-25.9%		1458	230	49	-18.3%		736	113
Wed	94	-22.3%		1731	252	65	-19.8%		1523	240	40	-18.4%		776	119
Thur	77	-18.1%		1808	263	53	-18.2%		1576	249	33	-17.5%		809	124
Fri	103	33.8%	-75.3%	1911	278	72	35.8%	-81.3%	1648	260	49	48.5%	-72.9%	858	132
Sat	160	55.3%	-67.2%	2071	301	136	88.9%	-72.4%	1784	281	92	87.8%	-63.1%	950	146
Sun	117	-26.9%	-69.6%	2188	318	122	-10.3%	VD day	1906	300	67	-27.2%	-62.8%	1017	156
Mon	42	-64.1%	-74.2%	2230	324	32	-73.8%	-70.6%	1938	305	20.0	-70.1%	-66.7%	1037	160
Tue	37	-11.9%	-69.4%	2267	330	28	-12.5%	-65.3%	1966	310	18.0	-10.0%	-63.3%	1055	162
Wed	33	-10.8%	-64.9%	2300	334	25	-11.4%	-61.7%	1991	314	15.4	-14.4%	-61.5%	1070	165
Thu	29	-12.1%	-62.3%	2329	339	22	-12.5%	-59.1%	2013	317	13.8	-10.4%	-58.2%	1084	167
Fri	30	3.4%	-70.9%	2359	343	27	24.4%	-62.5%	2040	321	24.0	73.9%	VD Day	1108	170
Sat	60	100.0%	-62.5%	2419	352	54	100.0%	-60.3%	2094	330	31.0	29.2%	-66.3%	1139	175
Sun	75	25.0%	-35.9%	2494	363	39	-27.8%	-68.0%	2133	336	23.6	-23.9%	-64.8%	1163	179
Mon	58	-22.7%	38.1%	2552	371	13	-66.7%	-59.4%	2146	338	7.5	-68.2%	-62.5%	1170	180
Tue	18	-69.0%	-51.4%	2570	374	12	-11.5%	-58.9%	2157	340	6.9	-8.0%	-61.7%	1177	181
Wed	14	-22.2%	-57.6%	2584	376	10	-11.3%	-58.9%	2167	341	6.3	-8.3%	-58.9%	1184	182
Thu	13	-7.1%	-55.2%	2597	377	9	-11.8%	-58.5%	2176	343	6.1	-3.6%	-55.8%	1190	183
.
Fri	8	-38.5%	-73.3%	2605	379	11	22.2%	-59.3%	2187	344	6	-1.6%	-75.0%	1196	184
Sat	13.4	67.5%	-77.7%	2618	381	21	90.9%	-61.1%	2208	348	13	115.0%	-58.4%	1209	186
Sun	11.4	-14.9%	-84.8%	2630	382	15	-28.6%	-61.5%	2223	350	11	-18.6%	-55.5%	1219	188
				2670	388				2280	359				1244	191

 

[Legion Again]

15 minutes ago, Jon Witch said:

So what is the expected final number for China? My head hurts reading the comment. 

Should be about 325-365, with late legs slightly complicated by less competition than a lot of comps. Won’t go any narrower than that until we have a sense of the 2nd weekend.

[POTUS 2020]

46 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Should be about 325-365, with late legs slightly complicated by less competition than a lot of comps. Won’t go any narrower than that until we have a sense of the 2nd weekend.

PS tracking a 30%+ bump for tomorrow

should hit $300m on sunday, $315-317m on Thur for a $65m+ week, -74% WoW. At least $30m more will happen with 66% drops the following weeks

Edited May 17, 2018 by POTUS

[a2k]

yeah $335-340 range seems locked for AIW. don't think it can go beyond $360-365. $347.5-352.5 in between.

[Fake]

Today's midpoint should be 4-4:15PM.

 

Which means 52-53M Thu.

[nguyenkhoi282]

57 minutes ago, Fake said:

Today's midpoint should be 4-4:15PM.

 

Which means 52-53M Thu.

What is midpoint?

[1Robert1]

2 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

What is midpoint?

Half income before 4 PM and half after.

[a2k]

2 hours ago, Fake said:

Today's midpoint should be 4-4:15PM.

 

Which means 52-53M Thu.

isn't that a huge drop for Thu 

bad timing for 335-340 is locked post above this.

edit: calculated from 81 accidentally.

Edited May 17, 2018 by A2k Raptor

[eXtacy]

1 hour ago, A2k Raptor said:

isn't that a huge drop for Thu 

bad timing for 335-340 is locked post above this.

 

Perhaps if you did the math you would see its a normal drop.

[Valonqar]

19 hours ago, ymblcza said:

$6m OD and $36m total, could be 5m and 25m in the low end or 7m and 50m or even more in the high end

Any hope AQP does better than Solo? My most anticipated boxoffice number is Ranger's embarrassment in China. 

Edited May 17, 2018 by Valonqar

[baumer]

Just curious, why does everyone take pleasure in Star Wars not doing well in China?  

[Lordmandeep]

3 minutes ago, baumer said:

Just curious, why does everyone take pleasure in Star Wars not doing well in China?  

Its a rare failure on the part of Disney. 

 

I think its more around the efforts such as changing the name to Ranger Solo lol. 

Edited May 17, 2018 by Lordmandeep