Weekend #s Hobbit 84.7 ROG 7.4 Linc 7.2 Sky 7.0 Pi 5.4 BD2 5.2 pg 90

[fishstick]

No, if The Avengers could get a Saturday bump so can this.

Please tell me we are not back to TH Over TA ridiculousness?

[Deep Wang]

Came in here to say this.Also, another point, I don't see any 2D/3D splits anywhere, but it looks like the 3D share will be on the lower end.

Keep in mind that the share will be higher during the day than it was at midnight. Which should help it quite a lot.

[stripe]

I don't know, but I'm pretty sure that these midnights number suggest a good opening day (around 40-50M) ... So, if the drops weren't so big, that meant that it would finish somewhere around 120M (after your calculations). Either it's having a lousy friday and saturday and sunday are nearly flat (or +- 10%), or it's having a big friday and small saturday and sunday.

Agree on the range of the Friday gross. I expect the saturday figure to go up against friday's without midnights. More or less 50M / 39-41M / 27-30MSo around 120M with 50M OD

[Heretic]

What's your breakdown?

I'll say something like this now.13343726110

[iceroll]

13m is great but it's only 600k more than what was reported earlier... Why are people acting like it's so much better? The over-reactions and bipolarism on this forum

Edited December 14, 2012 by Les Unexpected Micerolls

[fishstick]

Because it`s better than TASM`s midnight.

[Poseidon]

I think The Hobbit will make an increase (without midnights) going into Saturday. A bigger one than Avengers, likely. I'm thinking 48/44/29. That would be $121 million for opening weekend.

That would be a 25% bump on saturday. That's never going to happen, this is after all kind of a sequel.

[John Marston]

Just can't imagine it coming anywhere close to $120m based on OS numbers. LOTR / Hobbit was supposed to be much bigger OS. Something's fishy.

yeah it is weird, it looks like it might overperform domestically but underperform overseas

[Newbie]

This includes 10pms as well. Toronto had 0 midnight showings.

Why did this happen. I know that some films will start early at 10 pm, but I have always seen midnights with them.Any other cities do 10 pm shows? And if so did they in life midnights?Because I am really wishing I got more then 1.5 hours sleep right now.

[Lumos]

13m is great but it's only 600k more than what was reported earlier... Why are people acting like it's so much better? The over-reactions and bipolarism on this forum

12.4M was a great number. 13M is even better. Nobody should have been dissappointed with either of those numbers..... Edited December 14, 2012 by Mr Potter

[Shawn Robbins]

12.4M was a great number. 13M is even better. Nobody should have been dissappointed with either of those numbers.....

Yup. Haven't seen any of the conversations here, but if $12.4-13m was disappointing to anyone its only because expectations were too heavily inflated. Same thing happened with Avengers, but perspective is important: this ain't summer. Nor is it Potter or Twilight. The audience has always leaned more heavily toward general crowds than rabid fans. Edited December 14, 2012 by ShawnMR

[filmnerdjamie]

Not surprised by this number.Anyone to suggest its disappointing is nuts.

[JackO]

Weak midnights. I was expecting 20+

[druv10]

With 13M midnight, we're looking at 45-48M Friday.

[Shawn Robbins]

Tron: Legacy made $3.5m at midnight...but not exactly a great comparison, just the only recent one for December.If it follows the trajectory of Hunger Games, translates to roughly $42-44m Friday. That's the most recent non-summer/non-Twilight huge fan-driven midnight so the ratio could be similar.Twilight ratio would put it closer to $30-32 million...seems way too low though based on the strong GA tracking we've seen. Just a question of if they show up today or next week at this point.

Edited December 14, 2012 by ShawnMR

[Fake]

I'll say something like this now.13343726110

If Saturday and Sunday holds are indeed that good, it will be on track for 400m+.

[baumer]

Midnight was exactly where I was expecting on my low-end ($13-15m).

So you think off a 13 mill midnight it can do 150 OW?

[filmnerdjamie]

Tron: Legacy made $3.5m at midnight...but not exactly a great comparison, just the only recent one for December.

You wait till Tron 3, Shawn...

[Poseidon]

Nor is it Potter or Twilight.

Well, we actually don't know that. As far as I know, ROTK broke the midnight record back in 2003 on a wednesday night in december.LotR actually is the mother of big midnight numbers for book adaptions, so it's still early, "the Hobbit" could go from low 40s to mid 50s from here. Edited December 14, 2012 by Poseidon

[druv10]

Yup. Haven't seen any of the conversations here, but if $12.4-13m was disappointing to anyone its only because expectations were too heavily inflated. Same thing happened with Avengers, but perspective is important: this ain't summer. Nor is it Potter or Twilight. The audience has always leaned more heavily toward general crowds than rabid fans.

Massive hysteria started with notfabio's report of slightly above Avatar and below TASM.