Weekend #s Hobbit 84.7 ROG 7.4 Linc 7.2 Sky 7.0 Pi 5.4 BD2 5.2 pg 90

[druv10]

90m opening possible now?

More like 105-110M.

[Lumos]

This was pretty much exactly what I expected for a midnight gross. It's well on track to do over 100M this weekend....110-115M may even be possible!

[stripe]

The only midnight December number I can recall is RotK 8M and Tron legacy 3M. There are more to compare internal multiplier?

[John Marston]

don't get your hopes up

[Deep Wang]

Amazing how that tracks almost perfectly with what rallax reported last night.

It was bound to happen sometime!Of course, it finally happens on what I hope is my final weekend at this theater.

[The Futurist]

1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II (7/15/11) - $43.5 million (3,800 theaters/$11,447)

2. The Dark Knight Rises (7/20/12) - $30.6 million (3,825/$8,000)

-. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part II (11/16/12) - $30.4 million*

3. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part I (11/18/11) - $30.25 million (3,521/$8,591)

4. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse (6/30/10) - $30.1 million (4,000+/$7,525)

5. The Twilight Saga: New Moon (11/18/09) - $26.27 million (3,514/$7475)

6. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I (11/17/10) - $24 million (3,700/$6486)

7. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (7/15/09) - $22.2 million (3,003/$7,392)

8. The Hunger Games (3/23/12) - $19.735 million (2,565/$7,693)

9. The Avengers (5/4/2012) - $18.7 million (2,500/$7,480)

10. The Dark Knight (7/18/08) - $18.5 million (3,040/$6085)

11. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (5/19/05) - $16.9 milllion (2,900/$5,828)

12. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (6/24/09) - $16.8 million (3,000/$5,600)

13. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (12/14/12) - $12.4 million (3,100/$4,000)

14. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (7/10/07) - $12 million

15. The Hangover Part II (5/26/11) - $10.4 million (2,600/$4000)

16. Spider-Man 3 (5/4/07) - approx. $10 million

[Fake]

This was pretty much exactly what I expected for a midnight gross. It's well on track to do over 100M this weekend....110-115M may even be possible!

Nothing is on track...... and nothing is impossible.

[Hiccup]

A lot of colleges have finals this weekend so the college age group will not be coming out this weekend. I went at midnight and it was almost entirely high school age or younger. Word of mouth will be great for this

[htall90]

Pretty good midnight considering $100 mil plus now. WOM will be good as i have a feeling from what i have heard that the average moviegoer likes it much better then the average critic so WOM will be pretty good.

[Lumos]

I finished finals on the 12th so I was able to see this at 10:00 last night. Most of the people were my age...teens/young twenties. But this series has a huge fanbase of older fans which bodes well for a Friday above 45M.....

[ChD]

Thinking about 50/35/20 (105M) right now

[spizzer]

Amazing how that tracks almost perfectly with what rallax reported last night.

It was bound to happen sometime!Of course, it finally happens on what I hope is my final weekend at this theater.

Came in here to say this.Also, another point, I don't see any 2D/3D splits anywhere, but it looks like the 3D share will be on the lower end.

[druv10]

Thinking about 50/35/20 (105M) right now

That would be great Friday but a lousy Saturday & Sunday.

[iceroll]

My last exam's on the 19th I can't see this till like the 20th at the earliest.

[Poseidon]

No if it got an I Am Legend multiplier off 80, that would be 263m total. I Am Legend's WOM was pretty average too.

"I am Legend" is not the typical christmas family movie. It actually had a decent multiplier for its genre, but "The Hobbit" is more like a Narnia-movie i would guess. And "The Hobbit" really has no holiday competition, so...That midnight number ist amazing and "The Hobbit" is on track to crush december record. Nothing to be disappointed about.

[FilmBuff]

Good number for sure, will do 350 mil.

[stripe]

After looking how Autumn / Winter films do in midnights / OD, 36M is the lowest end TH1 can gross.Paranormal Activity saga, very midnight frontloaded, had at least an OD of 3x midnight. That's the worst case scenario.I'm guessing friday will be well above 40M. So 100M OW is almost locked at this point.

[Fake]

That would be great Friday but a lousy Saturday & Sunday.

Saturday should be in the same ballpark as Friday-minus-midnights.

[stripe]

Thinking about 50/35/20 (105M) right now

Won't drop that much on Saturday and Sunday. This is not Twilight.

[Heretic]

I'm expecting around 45m for Friday + midnight.