Jump to content

baumer

Early Wed #s RTH

Recommended Posts

GOTG projections based on:

 

The Wolverine(Dropped lots of theaters):

 

4.8m

4.3(-10%)

6.9m(+59%)

9.8m(+42%)

7.2(-27%)

 

23.9m(-43.3%)

 

Absolute worst case scenario.

 

TDKR:

 

4.8m

4.6(-5%)

7.1m(+54%)

10.3m(+46%)

7.5(-27%)

 

24.9m(-40.9%)

 

More likely.

 

GOTG's looking at a great drop this weekend.

 

 

My projection

 

4.51M (-7%)

7.44M (+65%)

10.42M (+40%)

 7.60M (-27%)

 

25.464 (-39.5%)

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Perfectly expected for a movie in its first week to have bigger daily drops than a movie in its second week.

 

And frankly, TMNT's Tuesday was really good. The bigger the Tuesday, the worse the Wednesday drop will be.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



So Turtles drops 5% harder than Guardians on a Wednesday and somehow one's really harsh and the other's solid? And y'all wonder why baumer's rolling his eyes...

 

If Turtles hits low end is -35.3% one of the worst Wednesday drops we have seen, so yeah it is harsh

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



I don't get the chaos - the higher the Tuesday bump the bigger the Wednesday fall - this has been going on for several years now. Openers always have bigger Wednesday falls than holdovers and TMNT opened big and is following the trend of big films much like Guardians did last week. It's not going to nosedive 65% and more than likely won't drop even 60%. And I told everyone to take a bigger Wednesday fall into account due to LBC opening midweek. Logic folks, seriously it takes then joy entry out of following this if there's constant lows and highs over normal things. When turtles drops another 30% on Thursday then you might have reason to swoon.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



GOTG only dropped 26% on it's first wednesday so TMNTs drop is still a lot worse

 

in fact that means GOTG dropped harder this wednesday then last wednesday

 

Because the Tuesday bumps this week were much larger

Link to comment
Share on other sites



As I said before I never liked the Ninja Turtles but the fans of the original love this new film. (Also the original was hated by older audiences)

Anyway-school started here today.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites















GOTG only dropped 26% on it's first wednesday so TMNTs drop is still a lot worse

 

in fact that means GOTG dropped harder this wednesday then last Wednesday

its bad, but GotG did not face a Wednesday opener last week, over 30% drop is bad though, given that some schools went back in session this week we may need to see weekend numbers to determine legs

Link to comment
Share on other sites







  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.