Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice | 532m overseas | 851m Worldwide

[druv10]

4 hours ago, peludo said:

I always do

 

Take a look at TA ratio (2012) and AoU ratio (2015), when ERs were already crap relative to 2012.

 

In 2008, TDK had the best ER we have ever seen, and still TDKR, with some worse ER's (not as bad as now, that's true, but still worse), was able to change the ratio in a 12% (53 to 41 domestically).

 

The ratios, of course, depend on the ERs, but even with bad ERs, the SH genre keeps the progression making the OS gross more predominant than the DOM's. And although we have a new Batman, I think that, since everyone already knows him, Superman has already been introduced, and adding other known characters, the OS potential can compensate the ER factor. I do not think that a high 30s/low 60s is so crazy for this film.

I understand what you're saying but unless dollar weakens in the next coupleof months, I don't see it hitting low 60s  OS. Sad thing, dollar has gotten stronger not weaker over past few months. It cost SW7 over 100M dollars. 

 

My early prediction 450/650/1100

[keysersoze123]

Asia will be the driver. So need strong china for big Os. 

[TommyA10]

48 minutes ago, druv10 said:

I understand what you're saying but unless dollar weakens in the next coupleof months, I don't see it hitting low 60s  OS. Sad thing, dollar has gotten stronger not weaker over past few months. It cost SW7 over 100M dollars. 

 

My early prediction 450/650/1100

The bad exchange rates will end up costing TFA north of $300 million. (compared to ER a couple of years ago), so yeah, it will shave some millions for sure. 

[druv10]

3 hours ago, TommyA10 said:

The bad exchange rates will end up costing TFA north of $300 million. (compared to ER a couple of years ago), so yeah, it will shave some millions for sure. 

 

I was talking about ER just from when FF7 and AOU were released. Euro is getting weaker, pound is getting weaker and pretty much same for most currencies including most coveted OS territory of China(Yuan). 

[KP1025]

Quote

 

Most anticipated movies on Maoyan in the future:

Man from Macau III - 381k want to see 2.08.2016

Mermaid - 347k 2.08.2016

Kung Fu Panda III - 283k 1.29.2016

Avatar II - 220k

X-men: Apocalypse - 200k

Captain America 3 - 200k

Now you see me 2 - 140k

Monkey King 2 - 139k 2.08.2016

Ip man 3 - 134k 3.04.2016

Batman V Superman - 120k

Warcraft - 100k

 

 

This was posted by The Good Olive in the China forums over a week ago showing the most anticipated films on the biggest ticket website. A bit surprising that BvS doesn't have more hype...apparently Marvel has more fans in China. Numbers usually pick up closer to release, but CA3 and X-Men both have more hype right now despite coming out months later. 

Edited January 29, 2016 by KP1025

[peludo]

8 hours ago, druv10 said:

I understand what you're saying but unless dollar weakens in the next coupleof months, I don't see it hitting low 60s  OS. Sad thing, dollar has gotten stronger not weaker over past few months. It cost SW7 over 100M dollars. 

 

My early prediction 450/650/1100

Well, that prediction means 41/59, not so far, and still following the SH trend ratios. I can live with that  

[peludo]

3 hours ago, KP1025 said:

 

This was posted by The Good Olive in the China forums over a week ago showing the most anticipated films on the biggest ticket website. A bit surprising that BvS doesn't have more hype...apparently Marvel has more fans in China. Numbers usually pick up closer to release, but CA3 and X-Men both have more hype right now despite coming out months later. 

I do not see it so surprising. I think both X-Men and CA3 could make over $200m in China, and I think BvS should be headed to about 130-150. Just remember that in 2013, Iron Man 3 did over 750m Yuan while Man of Steel was not able to cross 400m. And in 2014, both CA2 and X-Men did over 700m Yuan too. I think it is reasonable to see more interest in Marvel than in DC looking at the precedents.

[Olive]

600M would be great considering the ER.

[druv10]

On 1/29/2016 at 1:37 AM, peludo said:

Well, that prediction means 41/59, not so far, and still following the SH trend ratios. I can live with that  

 

Me too. China is the wildcard. They love destruction porn and no doubt, Snyder is great at it. BvS could make 200M+ there, if gets great WOM and rest of Asia & LA come to play than we could be looking at 800M+. 

[Bluebomb]

Marketing has already started in HK. I saw billboard ads for this today, 8 weeks out. That is crazy and unprecedented. I expect big things from this around Asia even though MoS disappointed in HK in 2013. They just need to market the crap out of it in Asia which seems like the plan.

[Fake]

On 1/31/2016 at 4:10 PM, Bluebomb said:

Marketing has already started in HK. I saw billboard ads for this today, 8 weeks out. That is crazy and unprecedented. I expect big things from this around Asia even though MoS disappointed in HK in 2013. They just need to market the crap out of it in Asia which seems like the plan.

Yup. The potential is HUGE. But it will take GREAT QUALITY and GREAT MARKETING to realize that. I don't see why it can't match AoU performance (or at least come close) across Asia if it delivers on both aspects.

[Purple Minion]

In Mexico, MOS did US$21.1M, TDKR US$31.8M. Theatre expansion compensates the fall in ER, so US$25M+ should be a good estimate. One interesting factor for WOM would be how well received Wonder Woman and Lex Luthor are.

[MattW]

I said 750 before but now I'm thinking it'll be low to mid 100's from China and around 500 from the rest of the world.  Around 600-650 OS total.

[#ED]

Release Dates 

 

USA 20 March 2016 (Los Angeles, California) (premiere)

Belgium 23 March 2016

Spain 23 March 2016

Finland 23 March 2016

France 23 March 2016

Iceland 23 March 2016

Italy 23 March 2016

Sweden 23 March 2016

United Arab Emirates 24 March 2016

Argentina 24 March 2016

Australia 24 March 2016

Azerbaijan 24 March 2016

Brazil 24 March 2016

Chile 24 March 2016

Czech Republic 24 March 2016

Germany 24 March 2016

Denmark 24 March 2016

Greece 24 March 2016

Hong Kong 24 March 2016

Hungary 24 March 2016

Iraq 24 March 2016

Kazakhstan 24 March 2016

Lebanon 24 March 2016

Republic of Macedonia 24 March 2016

Mexico 24 March 2016

Netherlands 24 March 2016

New Zealand 24 March 2016

Portugal 24 March 2016

Russia 24 March 2016

Singapore 24 March 2016

Slovakia 24 March 2016

Thailand 24 March 2016

Ukraine 24 March 2016

Bulgaria 25 March 2016

Canada 25 March 2016

China 25 March 2016

Estonia 25 March 2016

UK 25 March 2016

Croatia 25 March 2016

Ireland 25 March 2016

Israel 25 March 2016

India 25 March 2016

Japan 25 March 2016

Cambodia 25 March 2016

Latvia 25 March 2016

Malaysia 25 March 2016

Norway 25 March 2016

Romania 25 March 2016

Turkey 25 March 2016

Taiwan 25 March 2016

USA 25 March 2016

Vietnam 25 March 2016

Philippines 26 March 2016

Poland 1 April 2016

[Pypa94]

4 hours ago, #ED said:

Release Dates 

 

USA 20 March 2016 (Los Angeles, California) (premiere)

Belgium 23 March 2016

Spain 23 March 2016

Finland 23 March 2016

France 23 March 2016

Iceland 23 March 2016

Italy 23 March 2016

Sweden 23 March 2016

United Arab Emirates 24 March 2016

Argentina 24 March 2016

Australia 24 March 2016

Azerbaijan 24 March 2016

Brazil 24 March 2016

Chile 24 March 2016

Czech Republic 24 March 2016

Germany 24 March 2016

Denmark 24 March 2016

Greece 24 March 2016

Hong Kong 24 March 2016

Hungary 24 March 2016

Iraq 24 March 2016

Kazakhstan 24 March 2016

Lebanon 24 March 2016

Republic of Macedonia 24 March 2016

Mexico 24 March 2016

Netherlands 24 March 2016

New Zealand 24 March 2016

Portugal 24 March 2016

Russia 24 March 2016

Singapore 24 March 2016

Slovakia 24 March 2016

Thailand 24 March 2016

Ukraine 24 March 2016

Bulgaria 25 March 2016

Canada 25 March 2016

China 25 March 2016

Estonia 25 March 2016

UK 25 March 2016

Croatia 25 March 2016

Ireland 25 March 2016

Israel 25 March 2016

India 25 March 2016

Japan 25 March 2016

Cambodia 25 March 2016

Latvia 25 March 2016

Malaysia 25 March 2016

Norway 25 March 2016

Romania 25 March 2016

Turkey 25 March 2016

Taiwan 25 March 2016

USA 25 March 2016

Vietnam 25 March 2016

Philippines 26 March 2016

Poland 1 April 2016

As f***ing always - Poland at the end... but it's because Easter so that is reasonable to move one week later

[Juby]

Suicide Squad also will be one week later in Poland, but without any good reason. There is no superhero movie from DC that was realesed in our country on time/ at once with the rest of the world. Maybe one - Watchmen.

[Pypa94]

8 hours ago, Juby said:

Suicide Squad also will be one week later in Poland, but without any good reason. There is no superhero movie from DC that was realesed in our country on time/ at once with the rest of the world. Maybe one - Watchmen.

¡Hala! Marvel ;D it seems like Polish distributors are used to say

[Juby]

How big OW overseas and worldwide could it be? Is +$400 mln OW worldwide is in the game?

[James]

8 minutes ago, Juby said:

How big OW overseas and worldwide could it be? Is +$400 mln OW worldwide is in the game?

Considering it opens EVERYWHERE (except for Poland), China included, on the same date, I'd say 400M is very very likely.

[Juby]

For now I see maybe $170 mln DOM and +$220 mln OS, so $390 mln WW.

 

I live in Poland.