POTUS 2020 Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 14 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: don't track. $300M confirmed. You are usually conservative. Twice TJB. Big call. I have no idea, hence, I track Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 20 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: don't track. $300M confirmed. Doubt it honestly. It has more chance now that most of its competition is gone but I still doubt it will do 300m in China. It's gonna need an Aquaman like run in China because I dont think its gonna out open that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 On 4/8/2016 at 11:38 AM, POTUS 2020 said: Im going to track JB and CA3 to see if we can find a multi. Ill keep each movie in one post and edit to make it more accessible. Jungle Book OD April 15, 2016 Maoyan PS 0000 F 4/8. 1.10m 0000 S 4/9 1.33 +20% 0000 S 4/10 1.86 +40% 0000 M 4/11 2.48 +33% 0000 T 4/12 3.67 +50% 0000 W 4/13 5.86 +67% 0000 T 4/14 9.76 +67% 0000 F 4/15 19.10 +96% Midnight OD 0900 F 4/15 20.00 + 5% Morning OD OD Total 77.8m PS Multi 4.1 x 00:00 PS OW Total 325.0m Total. 980.0m OD Multi. 8.74 OW Multi 3.03 50-66% increases in the final days followed by a 100% increase on the last day is a typical trend. The 4.1 PS multi is an outlier. Most fall between 2.5-3.0 Here's your best comp @ZeeSoh Family film. Ramped up big at the end and had a high PSm for the time 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 (edited) . Edited September 14, 2019 by Gavin Feng 1 1 13 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infamous5445 Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 Oh boy, Gavin's finally lost it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 16 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: The old Gavin is dead. From now on, let the new Gavin begin! $350M for The Lion King $50M for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood $400M for Hobbs & Shaw $200M for The Angry Birds Movie 2 $130M for Joker $120M for Maleficent 2 $160M for Terminator: Dark Fate $200M for Midway $150M for Frozen 2 $190M for Jumanji $100M for Skywalker Despite being the second least number, that is probably the least likely. 😆 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 30 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: $350M for The Lion King Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 29 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: The old Gavin is dead. From now on, let the new Gavin begin! $130M for Joker $100M for Skywalker Those 2 seem optimistic..... Force awaken: 124m Rogue One: 69.5m Last Jedi: 42.5m Solo: 16m Would be quite the come back for Skywalker, and Joker above Logan/BvS ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Barnack said: Those 2 seem optimistic..... Force awaken: 124m Rogue One: 69.5m Last Jedi: 42.5m Solo: 16m Would be quite the come back for Skywalker, and Joker above Logan/BvS ? actually, half of all those numbers are realistic in my view. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 41 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: The old Gavin is dead. From now on, let the new Gavin begin! $350M for The Lion King $50M for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood $400M for Hobbs & Shaw $200M for The Angry Birds Movie 2 $130M for Joker $120M for Maleficent 2 $160M for Terminator: Dark Fate $200M for Midway $150M for Frozen 2 $190M for Jumanji $100M for Skywalker I won't be surprised by any of them, except Skywalker and AB 2. Wtf is Midway though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 I would honestly be surprised if Maleficent 2 and Jumanji made so much money too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: I won't be surprised by any of them, except Skywalker and AB 2. Wtf is Midway though. Hobbs and Shaw higher than main series Furious movies? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 55 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: $100M for Skywalker Yep ... is totally lost Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 12 minutes ago, Menor said: Hobbs and Shaw higher than main series Furious movies? 2019 vs 2017 Not saying it'll do $400m, but it's on the table for sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said: The old Gavin is dead. From now on, let the new Gavin begin! $350M for The Lion King $50M for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood $400M for Hobbs & Shaw $200M for The Angry Birds Movie 2 $130M for Joker $120M for Maleficent 2 $160M for Terminator: Dark Fate $200M for Midway $150M for Frozen 2 $190M for Jumanji $100M for Skywalker Hobbs & Shaw really $400 M+ ??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: The Lion King (7 days Out) Midnight - 93k OD - 686k (20360 shows) Sat - 530k Sun - 460k The Lion King (6 days Out) Midnight - 273k OD - 2.38m (36929 shows) Sat - 1.85m Sun - 1.16m Good increase, standard for the second day for movies that start their PS runs late. Midnight still lags but Sat/Sun PS as a ratio of OD PS is high which is a good early sign of low frontloading. 1 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 23 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: actually, half of all those numbers are realistic in my view. I was thinking anywhere from 1500 to 2b for Hobbes and Shaw. Not sure how realistic that is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 On 7/5/2019 at 12:04 AM, Gavin Feng said: The old Gavin is dead. From now on, let the new Gavin begin! $350M for The Lion King $50M for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood $400M for Hobbs & Shaw $200M for The Angry Birds Movie 2 $130M for Joker $120M for Maleficent 2 $160M for Terminator: Dark Fate $200M for Midway $150M for Frozen 2 $190M for Jumanji $100M for Skywalker 23 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: actually, half of all those numbers are realistic in my view. IMO that last one is the only reason you got reactions instead of Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted July 6, 2019 Share Posted July 6, 2019 175% as much as Beauty & the Beast did at the same point. I think $60M is pretty safe and $70M can be expected. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 6, 2019 Share Posted July 6, 2019 4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: 175% as much as Beauty & the Beast did at the same point. I think $60M is pretty safe and $70M can be expected. After a 75M OW, guess the derived multiplier must be 4x 😉 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...