July 1-4 Weekend Estimates | Dory 50.2m, Tarzan 45.6m, Purge 34.8m, BFG 22.2m, IDR 20.2m

[trifle]

Just now, The Futurist said:

Tarzan did a bit better than predicted because it is a big holiday week end in America, nothing more.

 

I don't know.  People who have seen it like it, and it has an A- Cinemascore, which bucks what the critics were saying.

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

How much can Tarzan do outside Dom and China?

110-115 (Dom) + 30-35 (China) = 140-150

OS-China could be 150-200m?

So 290-350m WW.

 

My range is 350-400 mill 

[James]

3 minutes ago, fmpro said:

BOM is speculating in Tarzan could reach 150 mill due to WOM 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4203&p=.htm

Lol. But it really did have strong holds over the weekend and that A+ CS for people under 18 shows it is well liked. Also, the audience rating on RT is now up to 74% from 73% yesterday and 69% 2 days ago. There's way too much competition for 150m to happen, but I think with strong WOM 130m (basically the same multi as The Last Airbender) is in the cards.

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

My range is 350-400 mill 

 

Ok. You think 200-250 OS-China?

[James]

6 minutes ago, Daniel Dylan Davis said:

 

There likely won't be a sequel though.

I agree. 

 

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

How much can Tarzan do outside Dom and China?

110-115 (Dom) + 30-35 (China) = 140-150

OS-China could be 150-200m?

So 290-350m WW.

I think it can do a bit more than that in China. Apparently it has a very good release date. Thinking 50m at least. Plus 120-130 DOM. So 170-180m from US+China.

And around 220-230m from the rest for 400-410m WW.

[fmpro]

6 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Ok. You think 200-250 OS-China?

 

Around that yes. After this DOM opening it should give some WW buzz

[bladels]

Atleast Tazan isn't bad enough to effect its genre . WB's already stained comic book genre with BvS

[Chaz]

21 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Tarzan did a bit better than predicted because it is a big holiday week end in America, nothing more.

Oh please. People don't pay $20 to see something just because it's a holiday.

[Hatebox]

4 minutes ago, bladels said:

Atleast Tazan isn't bad enough to effect its genre . WB's already stained comic book genre with BvS

 

Yeah, BvS was the first bad CBM ever made...

[Porthos]

11 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Tarzan did a bit better than predicted because it is a big holiday week end in America, nothing more.

 

BFG says "Hi".

 

No, I think something's going on here.  Too early to say great WOM.  But right of the gate it is holding its own which is better than was predicted.

 

[The Futurist]

5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

BFG says "Hi".

 

No, I think something's going on here.  Too early to say great WOM.  But right of the gate it is holding its own which is better than was predicted.

 

 

It doesn't change much anyway IMO, people will forgot this movie ever exited in 15 days. tops.

 

 

[MrPink]

2 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

 

It doesn't change much anyway IMO, people will forgot this movie ever exited in 15 days. tops.

 

 

 

What did Tarzan ever do to you?

[WrathOfHan]

Predictions for next weekend:

 

Secret Life of Pets: 70M

Finding Dory: 23.9M

The Legend of Tarzan: 17M

The Purge: 10.3M

The BFG: 9.6M

Mike and Dave: 8M

Central Intelligence: 7.4M

Independence Day: 6.5M

The Shallows: 4.5M

Free State of Jones: 2M

 

IDR is going to be below CI  

[CJohn]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Predictions for next weekend:

 

Secret Life of Pets: 70M

Finding Dory: 23.9M

The Legend of Tarzan: 17M

The Purge: 10.3M

The BFG: 9.6M

Mike and Dave: 8M

Central Intelligence: 7.4M

Independence Day: 6.5M

The Shallows: 4.5M

Free State of Jones: 2M

 

IDR is going to be below CI  

I am pretty sure this is what everyone expects. 

[Frozen]

30 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Predictions for next weekend:

 

Secret Life of Pets: 70M

Finding Dory: 23.9M

The Legend of Tarzan: 17M

The Purge: 10.3M

The BFG: 9.6M

Mike and Dave: 8M

Central Intelligence: 7.4M

Independence Day: 6.5M

The Shallows: 4.5M

Free State of Jones: 2M

 

IDR is going to be below CI  

 

Why is Mike and Dave so low?

[Jake Gittes]

1 hour ago, James said:

Lol. But it really did have strong holds over the weekend and that A+ CS for people under 18 shows it is well liked. Also, the audience rating on RT is now up to 74% from 73% yesterday and 69% 2 days ago. There's way too much competition for 150m to happen, but I think with strong WOM 130m (basically the same multi as The Last Airbender) is in the cards.

 

Airbender had a $17m Thursday, without that its multiplier was about 2.8x. If Tarzan follows its weekend drops it gets 108m total, I think it could actually do a bit better (WOM on Airbender was definitely worse) but I think 120 is the roof.

[Bonenash]

Off topic i known i i saw previous pages ago you have talked about Michael Bay.

 

Love this man and his movies and i m not alone even Chris Nolan loves him.

 

Right now i am watching The rock for like the 20th times Always good a pure 90's popcorn action flick.

 

Good actors  good music good pacing  well very good

[Fullbuster]

When do you think Dory will reach $400m? Tuesday?

[mahnamahna]

2 hours ago, fmpro said:

BOM is speculating in Tarzan could reach 150 mill due to WOM 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4203&p=.htm

 

If it does $25-27 million next weekend, maybe  $105-115 million DOM is where it'll likely end up. Definitely unexpected for Tarzan to finish above pretty much the entire May-June lineup except Civil War, Dory and Central Intelligence. If it does $105 million+, that would also put it above Angry Birds and Conjuring 2. 

4 hours ago, a2knet said:

CI is killing it. 124.3m+ will give a multiplier of 3.5x+

I wouldn't say that's particularly stellar. 

 

Well-received comedies usually get a 3.4x-3.8x. Even middle-of-the-road comedies like Grown Ups, We're the Millers and Identity Thief can get a 3.5x+ with no competition or likable stars. With zero competition for its demo and the Rock/Hart combo, $120 million+ DOM isn't all that surprising. I actually thought it had potential to be a surprise $175 million+ hit this summer. 

 

Over 4x ($142 million+) would be killing it IMO. 

[Jake Gittes]

21 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

When do you think Dory will reach $400m? Tuesday?

 

Friday.