Ezen Baklattan Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Side note: Here are my very first Globe predicts: Best Picture (Drama) Call Me By Your Name Dunkirk The Post The Shape of Water Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Picture (Comedy/Musical) The Big Sick The Disaster Artist Get Out I, Tonya Lady Bird Best Actor (Drama) Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger) Tom Hanks (The Post) Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) Best Actress (Drama) Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game) Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Meryl Streep (The Post) Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel) Best Actor (Comedy/Musical) James Franco (The Disaster Artist) Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman) Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) Kumail Nanjiani (The Big Sick) Adam Sandler (The Meyerowitz Stories) Best Actress (Comedy/Musical) Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul) Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes) Emma Watson (Beauty and the Beast) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Globe predicts: Movies: Spoiler Drama Film: 1. Three Billboards 2. The Shape of Water 3. The Post 4. Molly's Game 5. Dunkirk Alt: Call Me by Your Name Drama Actor: 1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour 2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread 3. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name 4. Tom Hanks, The Post 5. Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq. Alt: James McAvoy, Split Drama Actress: 1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 2. Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game 3. Meryl Streep, The Post 4. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water 5. Jennifer Lawrence, mother! Alt: Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel Comedy Film: 1. Lady Bird 2. Get Out 3. I, Tonya 4. The Big Sick 5. The Disaster Artist Alt: Victoria and Abdul Comedy Actor: 1. James Franco, The Disaster Artist 2. Kumail Najiani, The Big Sick 3. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out 4. Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman 5. Adam Sandler, The Meyerowitz Stories Alt: Matt Damon, Downsizing Comedy Actress: 1. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya 2. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird 3. Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul 4. Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes 5. Emma Watson, Beauty and the Beast Alt: Zoe Kazan, The Big Sick Supporting Actor: 1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 3. Idris Elba, Molly's Game 4. Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name 5. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name Alt: Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water Supporting Actress: 1. Allison Janney, I, Tonya 2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick 4. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water 5. Melissa Leo, Novitiate Alt: Michelle Pfeiffer, mother! Director: 1. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water 2. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk 3. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards 4. Aaron Sorkin, Molly's Game 5. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird Alt: Jordan Peele, Get Out Screenplay: 1. Three Billboards 2. Get Out 3. Molly's Game 4. Lady Bird 5. The Big Sick Alt: The Shape of Water TV: Spoiler Drama Series: 1. The Handmaid's Tale 2. Game of Thrones 3. Stranger Things 4. The Crown 5. This is Us Alt: The Good Doctor Drama Actor: 1. Freddie Highmore, The Good Doctor 2. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul 3. Sterling K. Brown, This is Us 4. Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan 5. Jonathan Groff, Mindhunter Alt: Matthew Rhys, The Americans Drama Actress: 1. Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid's Tale 2. Claire Foy, The Crown 3. Winona Ryder, Stranger Things (are they still putting her lead?) 4. Keri Russell, The Americans 5. Caitrionia Balfe, Outlander Alt: Mandy Moore, This is Us Comedy Series: 1. Curb Your Enthusiasm 2. Mozart in the Jungle 3. Master of None 4. Black-ish 5. Veep Alt: Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt Comedy Actor: 1. Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm 2. Aziz Ansari, Master of None 3. Gael Garcia Bernal, Mozart in the Jungle 4. Anthony Anderson, Black-ish 5. Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent Alt: William H Macy, Shameless Comedy Actress: 1. Tracee Ellis Ross, Black-ish 2. Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep 3. Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt 4. Rachel Bloom, Crazy Ex-Girlfriend 5. Issa Rae, Insecure Alt: Allison Janney, Mom Mini/Movie: 1. Big Little Lies 2. Feud: Bette and Joan 3. Twin Peaks 4. Fargo 5. American Horror Story: Cult Alt: The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks Mini/Movie Actor: 1. Kyle MacLachlan, Twin Peaks 2. Ewan McGregor, Fargo 3. Robert De Niro, The Wizard of Lies 4. Evan Peters, American Horror Story: Cult 5. Geoffrey Rush, Genius Alt: Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock Mini/Movie Actress: 1. Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies 2. Jessica Lange, Feud: Bette and Joan 3. Reese Witherspoon, Big Little Lies 4. Susan Sarandon, Feud: Bette and Joan 5. Oprah Winfrey, The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks Alt: Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Cult Supporting Actor: 1. Michael C. Hall, The Crown 2. David Harbour, Stranger Things 3. Stanley Tucci, Feud: Bette and Joan 4. Alexander Skarsgard, Big Little Lies 5. David Thewlis, Fargo Alt: Kit Harrington, Game of Thrones Supporting Actress: 1. Laura Dern, Big Little Lies 2. Naomi Watts, Twin Peaks 3. Chrissy Metz, This is Us 4. Ann Dowd, The Handmaid's Tale 5. Samira Wiley, The Handmaid's Tale Alt: Millie Bobby Brown, Stranger Things Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 I think Kate Winslet will get nominated at the Globes even if the movie flops as badly as Amazon's other fall titles (Wonderstruck, Last Flag Flying) have. I mean, if they nominated her for Labor Day... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 (edited) "Best Comedy is gonna be filled from head to toe with eclectic hipster films at the Globes hehehehe" Hold your horses there. While all of the films on that list are good for sure, we should remember that this is the Globes we are thinking about. What I'm saying is this: last year, they gave Florence Foster Jenkins *four* nominations. That makes it seem like films such as Victoria & Abdul have a very good chance at being recognized here. Does that mean we're in for an egregious snub? In the case of this competitive year, absolutely. But I really don't think the Globes are operating in the same vein as the new Oscar academy quite yet. To a certain extent, yes. But a 1:1 comparison? Not if Florence Foster Jenkins is anything to go by. And yeah, Johnny Depp got nominated for playing the Mad Hatter that one year, but I still don't think Emma Watson can get in for playing Belle. There has to be a better candidate... right? Edited November 5, 2017 by slambros Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 If GREATEST SHOWMAN gets decent enough reviews, I think this can sneak in to Best Comedy/Musical. They’ve never been able to resist even a mediocre musical movie. Disaster Artist is probably the most in danger of giving up its spot to it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 23 minutes ago, spaghetti! said: If GREATEST SHOWMAN gets decent enough reviews, I think this can sneak in to Best Comedy/Musical. They’ve never been able to resist even a mediocre musical movie. Disaster Artist is probably the most in danger of giving up its spot to it. I would disagree on this, but slightly. The Disaster Artist is more of a clear-cut comedy than other films on the list. If anything, I think Get Out could miss on the basis that some voters will not view it as a comedy. I think they learned a valuable lesson when The Martian won, and I think they know that a win for Get Out has a chance of causing the same kind of backlash that The Martian caused. This is coming from someone that has yet to see Get Out (I have trouble getting myself to watch most rated-R films), but I'm not sure Globes voters are ready to embrace a horror comedy. This is a very controversial prediction, and a prediction that would be potentially detrimental to Get Out if it were to come to fruition, but if a film gets out, it might just be Get Out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, slambros said: I would disagree on this, but slightly. The Disaster Artist is more of a clear-cut comedy than other films on the list. If anything, I think Get Out could miss on the basis that some voters will not view it as a comedy. I think they learned a valuable lesson when The Martian won, and I think they know that a win for Get Out has a chance of causing the same kind of backlash that The Martian caused. This is coming from someone that has yet to see Get Out (I have trouble getting myself to watch most rated-R films), but I'm not sure Globes voters are ready to embrace a horror comedy. This is a very controversial prediction, and a prediction that would be potentially detrimental to Get Out if it were to come to fruition, but if a film gets out, it might just be Get Out. Honestly, I think Get Out might be the favorite to win. I don’t think it can go all the way at the Oscars, but it can here. It’s definitely more of a comedy than the Martian was, and it has had far more of a zeitgeist buzz than any of the other nominees, at least at this point. Definitely a bit too early to say, but I can easily see TDA being a bit too weird for Globe voters. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Yeah, if Nine and Burlesque happened at the Globes I wouldn't rule out The Greatest Showman happening either. I think Hugh's gonna get a C/M Actor nomination either way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 16 hours ago, spaghetti! said: Side note: Here are my very first Globe predicts: Best Picture (Drama) Call Me By Your Name Dunkirk The Post The Shape of Water Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Picture (Comedy/Musical) The Big Sick The Disaster Artist Get Out I, Tonya Lady Bird Best Actor (Drama) Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger) Tom Hanks (The Post) Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) Best Actress (Drama) Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game) Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Meryl Streep (The Post) Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel) Best Actor (Comedy/Musical) James Franco (The Disaster Artist) Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman) Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) Kumail Nanjiani (The Big Sick) Adam Sandler (The Meyerowitz Stories) Best Actress (Comedy/Musical) Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul) Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes) Emma Watson (Beauty and the Beast) Comedy looks strong this year Best Picture Drama Call Me By Your Name The Shape of Water The Darkest Hour The Post Three Billboards Alt The Phantom Best Picture Comedy Get Out Lady Bird Battle of the Sexes I, Tonya The Big Sick Alt The Disaster Artist 2 hours ago, spaghetti! said: If GREATEST SHOWMAN gets decent enough reviews, I think this can sneak in to Best Comedy/Musical. They’ve never been able to resist even a mediocre musical movie. Disaster Artist is probably the most in danger of giving up its spot to it. I believe I have early word that movie is really bad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 I think BOTS' prestige is too weak to get it into picture, but I think Stone and maybe Carell will be nominated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Best Picture 1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 2. The Shape of Water 3. Dunkirk 4. Call Me by Your Name 5. The Post 6. Get Out 7. Darkest Hour 8. Lady Bird 9. The Florida Project Alt: I, Tonya Best Director 1. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water 2. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards 3. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk 4. Luca Guadagnino, Call Me by Your Name 5. Steven Spielberg, The Post Alt: Joe Wright, Darkest Hour Best Actor 1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour 2. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name 3. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread 4. Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger 5. James Franco, The Disaster Artist Alt: Tom Hanks, The Post Best Actress 1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 2. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water 3. Meryl Streep, The Post 4. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird 5. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya Alt: Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game Best Supporting Actor 1. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 2. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 3. Michael Sthulbarg, Call Me by Your Name 4. Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name 5. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water Alt: Jason Mitchell, Mudbound Best Supporting Actress 1. Allison Janney, I, Tonya 2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 3. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water 4. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick 5. Melissa Leo, Novitiate Alt: Hong Chau, Downsizing Best Adapted Screenplay 1. Call Me by Your Name 2. The Disaster Artist 3. Molly's Game 4. Last Flag Flying 5. The Beguiled Alt: Mudbound Best Original Screenplay 1. Three Billboards 2. Get Out 3. The Shape of Water 4. Lady Bird 5. The Post Alt: The Florida Project Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 I really can't see Melissa Leo getting nominated for a film that literally no one cares about (Novitiate won't even make $500K at this point). I'm thinking the lack of diversity among this year's crop will be enough to propel Mary J. Blige into the last spot despite Netflix. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 (edited) If Oldman hadn't been there I think Chalamet really could have won. He casually speaks not two but three languages in the movie, which the Academy has always had a hard-on for, and him popping up in both Lady Bird and Hostiles in addition adds quite a bit to a breakout-year narrative. Stuhlbarg and Hammer both should really benefit from lack of competition. The former's much talked about monologue definitely kills, but even there his performance is incredibly calm and lived-in, it doesn't feel like a "here comes the ACTING" moment in any way. Hammer doesn't really have any of those either. In a stronger year for the category I could see one or both missing out. For that reason I actually wouldn't be totally shocked if it missed SAG ensemble in favor of showier casts of, say, Three Billboards/Shape of Water/The Post/I Tonya/The Disaster Artist/Mudbound, but then collected three acting Oscar nods anyway. Edited November 6, 2017 by Jake Gittes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Maybe if the Academy made it clear whether or not they are fine with Netflix movies being nominated, I'd feel good about Mudbound getting nominated. As of now, I really don't know how the film will do. It's up in the air at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 I don't think they'll go for Mudbound, if only to make a statement against films going direct to streaming (with the qualifying theatrical release). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Webslinger said: I don't think they'll go for Mudbound, if only to make a statement against films going direct to streaming (with the qualifying theatrical release). Normally I would agree, but that last Supporting Actress slot is completely open, and I don't think a nomination for just Octavia Spencer is gonna be enough to prevent another #OscarsSoWhite outcry (especially when the most likely alternatives at the moment are the aforementioned Leo in a film that has zero traction and Hong Chau in Downsizing, which is looking to be a total nonstarter). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 55 minutes ago, filmlover said: Normally I would agree, but that last Supporting Actress slot is completely open, and I don't think a nomination for just Octavia Spencer is gonna be enough to prevent another #OscarsSoWhite outcry (especially when the most likely alternatives at the moment are the aforementioned Leo in a film that has zero traction and Hong Chau in Downsizing, which is looking to be a total nonstarter). I think Kaluuya has an off-chance at a BA nom, depending on how much the academy bites for Get Out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 13 hours ago, filmlover said: I really can't see Melissa Leo getting nominated for a film that literally no one cares about (Novitiate won't even make $500K at this point). I'm thinking the lack of diversity among this year's crop will be enough to propel Mary J. Blige into the last spot despite Netflix. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, Joel M said: Still one of the best things to ever come out of any awards season. But yeah, she's not happening for a film that isn't gonna make even half a million dollars and with no shot at being in contention for anything else. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 (edited) With All the Money in the World's AFI premiere looking likely to be scrapped, I wonder if one of the unseen contenders will swoop in and take its place as the closing night film. The Post probably won't, but maybe Phantom Thread will since it's finished? Edited November 6, 2017 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
