Weekend thread: GOTG2 63 m | Snatched 17.5 mi | King Arthur 14.7 m

[a2k]

Smurfs looking at 44-45 dom and 185 WW in the end.

Well below expectations but still 3x the 60m budget.

[Valonqar]

9 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Some hefty drops predicted by Disney on Sunday for both BATB and GOTG2. 38.4% and 32.5%, there is no way BATB on MD will drop so much. It's likely to stay flat than have near 40% drop. Same GOTG just as well, it's playing great with families. Drop most likely will come around 25%.

 

GOTG2 65M+(-55%)

BATB 4.2M(-16%)

 

I hope you are right cause numbers look too low for movies that should play very well on MD. 

 

 

 

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Where is the evidence that GotG2 is especially family-friendly (or appealing to women) compared to the average MCU movie?

 

It is behaving like Iron Man 2 so far, and is likely to finish below $360M.

IM2, AOU, CW, and IM3 dropped around 59.4-60%, from OW on their second weekend. 2 of them had their second weekend on Mother's Day. GV2 dropped similar to TWS second weekend. It could even go up from estimates. 

[Brainiac5]

3 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Similar to SW movie? Sci-fi?

So in other words we are looking at about 450-470os finish? 

[baumer]

5 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Where is the evidence that GotG2 is especially family-friendly (or appealing to women) compared to the average MCU movie?

 

It is behaving like Iron Man 2 so far, and is likely to finish below $360M.

 

No its not.

[YM!]

Just now, Brainiac5 said:

So in other words we are looking at about 450-470os finish? 

$430M is absolute worst, $475M is absolute best.

[Valonqar]

6 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Wow, $1.2 Billion for Beauty ... that's just unreal, amazing, just fill in the blanks with the superlatives. ???

 

QUEEN EMMA

 

[Jake Gittes]

13 minutes ago, John Marston said:

% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
25	45	The Belko Experiment	BH Tilt	$172,870	+558.6%	74	+5	$2,336	$9,927,345	$5	9

 

Small distributors going all in into that fudging game. BH Tilt's 10m is Sony/Disney's 200m

[PPZVGOS]

10 minutes ago, LaughingEvans said:

 

Probably not, but Bucky will be.

 

Bucky can't provide the boost that Cap will. I think they need one of main Avengers in that movie to clearly establish the connection with the MCU. 

 

5 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

Exchange rates really aren't a good excuse for any move missing 1b when there are movies that flew past that number despite bad ER (F8, BatB). GOTG simply didn't connect with OS like those 2 movies and there's no shame in that. It's still doing well. 

 

Exchange rates are not an excuse, they are a reality. The FF movies have been monstrous overseas since at least Fast 5 and even more so since the Chinese BO exploded to behemoth proportions. Imagine how much FF7 & FF8 would have made overseas if we still had 2013 FX rates! 

 

The reality here is that the USD is significantly higher today versus other currencies in comparison to summer 2014: 

 

[Premium George]

Can beast pass frozen WW?

On the opening weekend of gotg 2 deadline said that OS- china is holding good and predicted 20-30% increase in admissions. It doesn't seem to.

Why?

[fabiopazzo2]

1 minute ago, Brainiac5 said:

So in other words we are looking at about 450-470os finish? 

460M 

[a2k]

Even if it doesn't get 65-66, 64 itself is a 56% drop. That is great for a CBM sequel that opened that big.

[fabiopazzo2]

Just now, damnitgeorge08 said:

Can beast pass frozen WW?

On the opening weekend of gotg 2 deadline said that OS- china is holding good and predicted 20-30% increase in admissions. It doesn't seem to.

Why?

No please , Frozen it's better then BatB

[John Marston]

Beast will go up on MD. Not sure about Guardians. Doubt it 

Edited May 14, 2017 by John Marston

[Brainiac5]

Just now, YourMother said:

$430M is absolute worst, $475M is absolute best.

So am gonna split the difference and say 450mil so we could be looking at 800-825ww.

[narniadis]

1 minute ago, damnitgeorge08 said:

Can beast pass frozen WW?

On the opening weekend of gotg 2 deadline said that OS- china is holding good and predicted 20-30% increase in admissions. It doesn't seem to.

Why?

 

Admissions may go up but the exchange rate doesn't show it on our side. 

[YM!]

Just now, fabiopazzo2 said:

No please , Frozen it's better then BatB

BATB (2017) and Frozen are both equally mediocre.

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

QUEEN EMMA

 

Spoiler

 

[GiantCALBears]

12 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Weird ... once again, a seemingly low Friday number is redeemed by excellent Sat/Sun numbers  For some reason, Guardians fans (relatively speaking) haven't wanted to see this film on Friday, LOL. 

That's because it is a walk up film, pretty easy to understand why... 

[fabiopazzo2]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

BATB (2017) and Frozen are both equally mediocre.

I loved Frozen ... my personal opinion