Weekend thread: GOTG2 63 m | Snatched 17.5 mi | King Arthur 14.7 m

[Valonqar]

28 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Well when Ant Man made half a billion dollars, I think that put the argument to rest whether Comic book fatigue was real

 

true, though there's definitely Team Up fatigue since those movies are making less and less money. The idea that more SH in one movie = bigger boxoffice is clearly not happening cause GA doesn't see it as novelty. TA >>>>AoU>>>>CW (worst MCU multiplier ever)

 

Just wait when JL makes less than BvS. 

Edited May 14, 2017 by Valonqar

[Cookson]

Lol...Why do WBs fantasy films like King Arthur and Tarzan do bad? If Disney made these exact films would they do better?

[miketheavenger]

6 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

true, though there's definitely Team Up fatigue since those movies are making less and less money. The idea that more SH in one movie = bigger boxoffice is clearly not happening cause GA doesn't see it as novelty. TA >>>>AoU>>>>CW (worst MCU multiplier ever)

 

Just wait when JL makes less than BvS. 

I think this depends a lot on how Wonder Woman is received. If it's good/great, JL will definitely beat BvS IMO. But if WW is SS level, under BvS for JL could happen (even then it's not guaranteed, though).

[filmlover]

Just now, Cookson said:

Lol...Why do WBs fantasy films like King Arthur and Tarzan do bad? If Disney made these exact films would they do better?

The Legend of Tarzan benefitted from a 4th of July opening and had a pretty solid campaign as it got close to release. King Arthur just looked like crap from marketing to execution.

[YM!]

12 minutes ago, Movies4Life said:

I would hope if GOTG V2's drop is the lowest drop of all Marvel sequels, that it could mean it hits $400M here in the United States but we'll have to wait and see.

 

11 minutes ago, Movies4Life said:

Also, does anyone here think it will drop in its third weekend like Winter Soldier and/or the first Guardians to top Alien: Covenant when it comes out? Because right now, Alien: Covenant, despite 75% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes, is projected to open with $37M, according to Box Office Pro.

1.) Welcome to the boards. Hope you love it here.

2.) GV2 seems likely to drop around 40%-50% from second weekend since Alien is taking some of its PLF screens. GV2 if it has a good hold next weekend, $400M could happen. Judging from some work done here by our Australian comrades, Alien is on track for $40M-$50M OW.

[Finnick]

 

WEEKEND CHART.......

 

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	1	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$63,007,000	-57.0%	4,347	-	$14,494	$246,164,419	$200	2
2	N	Snatched	Fox	$17,500,000	-	3,501	-	$4,999	$17,500,000	$42	1
3	N	King Arthur: Legend of the Sword	WB	$14,700,000	-	3,702	-	$3,971	$14,700,000	$175	1
4	2	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$5,301,160	-38.2%	3,067	-528	$1,728	$215,035,090	$250	5
5	3	The Boss Baby	Fox	$4,600,000	-23.0%	2,911	-373	$1,580	$162,379,270	-	7
6	5	Beauty and the Beast (2017)	BV	$3,860,000	-24.1%	2,172	-508	$1,777	$493,191,164	$160	9
7	4	How to be a Latin Lover	PNT	$3,750,000	-27.1%	1,123	-80	$3,339	$26,143,001	-	3
8	N	Lowriders	BH Tilt	$2,413,205	-	295	-	$8,180	$2,413,205	-	1
9	6	The Circle (2017)	STX	$1,740,000	-56.1%	2,132	-1,031	$816	$18,902,562	$18	3
10	7	Baahubali 2: The Conclusion	GrtIndia	$1,550,000	-54.4%	375	-44	$4,133	$18,934,072	-	3
11	8	Gifted	FoxS	$1,370,000	-32.3%	1,426	-448	$961	$21,434,033	-	6
12	9	Smurfs: The Lost Village	Sony	$1,175,000	-36.1%	1,605	-297	$732	$42,193,264	$60	6
13	10	Going in Style (2017)	WB (NL)	$1,040,000	-43.3%	1,244	-789	$836	$42,352,407	$25	6
14	N	The Wall	RAtt.	$891,590	-	541	-	$1,648	$891,590	-	1
15	11	Born in China	BV	$820,000	-32.7%	1,055	-359	$777	$12,318,483	-	4
16	12	The Lost City of Z	BST	$467,514	-54.9%	497	-318	$941	$7,550,730	-	5
17	19	Norman: The Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer	SPC	$409,732	-8.4%	153	+28	$2,678	$1,606,608	-	5
18	14	Get Out	Uni.	$386,450	-45.7%	405	-413	$954	$174,528,820	$4.5	12
19	17	The Zookeeper's Wife	Focus	$331,560	-37.3%	425	-230	$780	$16,406,791	-	7
20	20	Their Finest	STX	$290,000	-29.5%	258	-65	$1,124	$2,902,261	-	6
21	13	Sleight	BH Tilt	$285,850	-62.8%	364	-227	$785	$3,628,500	$0.25	3
22	22	Logan	Fox	$285,000	-13.1%	305	-139	$934	$225,508,345	$97	11
23	16	The Dinner	Orch.	$245,864	-62.4%	429	-76	$573	$1,152,318	-	2
24	27	A Quiet Passion	MBox	$199,306	+24.3%	116	+32	$1,718	$766,280	-	5
25	45	The Belko Experiment	BH Tilt	$172,870	+558.6%	74	+5	$2,336	$9,927,345	$5	9

Edited May 14, 2017 by Finnick

[grey ghost]

1 hour ago, YourMother said:

A lot of people lowballed Strange too.

 

And Iron Man, Avengers, Ant-Man, and IM3. 

[Movies4Life]

16 minutes ago, LaughingEvans said:

I think Covenant will open to much more than that. Over 50 million IMO.

 

I don't know. Being that this is also a sequel to Prometheus, it could make some people go in with reservations before seeing the movie, since Prometheus was a divisive movie.

[grey ghost]

Just now, Finnick said:

 

RIP Amy Schumer's movie career

[YM!]

1 minute ago, Movies4Life said:

 

I don't know. Being that this is also a sequel to Prometheus, it could make some people go in with reservations before seeing the movie, since Prometheus was a divisive movie.

Using @DeeCee algorithm, Australia OW X 10-12 = USD, Alien, although is looking divisive, is looking at a $4M-$4.5M AUS OW, which means somewhere between a $40M-$54M OW. 

[abra]

BoxOffice‏ @BoxOffice

THE BOSS BABY: $4.6M Weekend (est.) / $162.3M Domestic Total #TheBossBabt

Edited May 14, 2017 by abra

[CoolioD1]

Been thinking something like 35-40 for alien.

[EmpireCity]

I strongly think Alien: Covenant is going $50m+ next weekend.  

[grey ghost]

Guardians had a strong Saturday.

 

Is that normal for MCU this time of year?

 

Also, don't family films perform that way? I thought Guardians skewed older (based on box office reports).

[MCKillswitch123]

Trainwreck opened over 30M. 17.5M is barely over half of that. Oops.

 

Still looks like a success next to King Arthur though. My God. Wouldn't be surprised if it drops 60%+ next week due to Covenant (which I'm predicting a 42-45M OW) stealing its audience (then again, what audience does Arthur have, anyway?).

 

1 hour ago, drdungbeetle said:

Disney really shouldn't remake Sword anyway. If anything a straight King Arthur movie would probably be better than a comedic or twist one.

 

Yeah, but when movies they really shouldn't remake, like Lion King or BATB, are or have been remade, I don't see anything stopping them. Especially when, when push comes to shove, their version is arguably the most famous and well liked version (at least off the top of my head).

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Guardians had a strong Saturday.

 

Is that normal for MCU this time of year?

 

Also, don't family films perform that way? I thought Guardians skewed older (based on box office reports).

 

It's Fri bump was lower than CA3 and TA2 while Sat was higher than both.

Fri, Sat bumps for

CA3 +140%, +63%

TA2 +146.5%, +58%

GOTG2 +129%, +68%

 

CA3 and TA2 fell 33-34% on Sunday. GOTG2 should do better owing to MD.

[SteveJaros]

29 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

true, though there's definitely Team Up fatigue since those movies are making less and less money. The idea that more SH in one movie = bigger boxoffice is clearly not happening cause GA doesn't see it as novelty. TA >>>>AoU>>>>CW (worst MCU multiplier ever)

 

I'll worry about a "team up" issue when one of these films grosses less than $200m DOM. I can't really feel bad about a CW movie that grossed $400m DOM/$1B WW making "less and less" than its predecessors.

Edited May 14, 2017 by SteveJaros

[YM!]

From DHD:

GOTG2 is looking at a second weekend between $64M-$66M after a Saturday that was +69% over Friday with $28M. Disney will file their Sunday estimates soon. On the high end, we’re looking at $249.1M by the end of today for GOTG2. 

 

I might've been wrong about GV2's legs.

Edited May 14, 2017 by YourMother

[WrathOfHan]

Been thinking something like 35-40 for alien.

You just cursed it


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Lordmandeep]

Legend of Tarzan had bomb written all over it but did well in the end.

 

 

The major problem was that it was like we were watching a long delayed part 3 of a tarzan film then a new fresh take on the hero.