The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

MT lead for ASIB has grown from .6 (18.3 vs 17.7) to 2.0 (21.4 vs 19.4). It’s pretty hard to interpret that thanks to the Wednesday showings though.

Fandango tracker can give some idea, how big could be the wednesday effect for AStar is born. or maybe not Wednesday sales are probably way disproportionately sold today/ right now.

 

	Venom	Share of the total	Star is born	Share of the total
Wednesday		0%	7572	14%
Thursday	26568	39%	10133	19%
Friday	23062	34%	19353	36%
Saturday	13638	20%	11808	22%
Sunday	5146	8%	4860	9%
Total	68414	100%	53726	100%

 

 

	Star is born / Venom
Thursday	38%
Friday	84%
Saturday	87%
Sunday	94%

 

[Brunook]

Will today's box office count for the total of the movie? 

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

Venom - 63.5 + 6.5 previews = 70.0 OW --  63.0 OW

Star - 55.2 + 4.8 previews = 60.0 OW -- 54.0 OW

Edited October 4, 2018 by dtairdryZid

[Pinacolada]

13 minutes ago, dtairdryZid said:

Venom - 63.5 + 6.5 previews = 70.0 OW --  63.0 OW

Star - 55.2 + 4.8 previews = 60.0 OW -- 54.0 OW

Damn I really hope for these numbers for both movies. This weekend would be fucking huge and just really exciting. A Star Is Born coming in way over expectations and Venom coming in at the higher end of projections. I just still feel 60 million OW is still too high for an R rated music drama like ASIB. I always thought more like 55mil tops but these ticket sales are definitely impressive

[Nova]

28 minutes ago, Brunook said:

Will today's box office count for the total of the movie? 

 

 

Yes. I am pretty sure it'll be added to its Thursday previews numbers but someone can correct me if I am wrong 

Edited October 4, 2018 by Nova

[filmlover]

The grosses from tonight will likely be added in to tomorrow's preview numbers since WB included the week before screenings for Crazy Rich Asians into its opening day number since it didn't do night before previews.

[Jonwo]

It'd be kind of insane if Venom and ASIB managed to get the number 1 and 2 October OW of all time, 

[Porthos]

Venom Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	122	10414	13170	20.93%

 

Total Showings Added Today:              5 (1 non-reserved showing)

Total Seats Added Today:                  426

Total Seats Sold Today:                     498

 

.2389x as many tickets sold as Infinity War one day before the premiere.

.4648x as many tickets sold as Black Panther one day before the premiere.

.4648x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 one day before the premiere. 

.5650x as many tickets sold as Solo one day before the premiere. 

.6574x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 one day before the premiere. 

1.0447x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp one day before the premiere.

 

===================

Detailed T-1 Day comps:

 

IW:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	11	174	3625	15159	76.09%

Total Seats Sold That Day:          738

 

BP:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	7	121	4597	10526	56.33%

Total Seats Sold That Day:          650

 

DP2:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	166	10226	16155	36.70%

Total Seats Sold That Day:          835

 

Solo:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	142	8575	13453	36.26%

Total Seats Sold That Day:          377

 

JW2

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	147	9523	13715	30.57%

Total Seats Sold That Day:                 768

 

AM&tW:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	112	8258	10896	24.21%

 

Total Seats Sold That Day:                347

[RealLyre]

 

boxofficereport has a lot of faith in ASIB

if it actually opens 20M higher than its tracking then  is the real winner this weekend 

[Porthos]

A Star is Born Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for tonight]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	72	5218	7076	26.26%

 

Total Showings Added Today:           5

Total Seats Added Today:              454

Total Seats Sold Today:                 337

 

.6742x as many tickets sold as Venom at same point in time.

(I have no comps for similar movies, so consider this an overview of both movies as they head into the weekend)

 

Wed/Thr Breakdown:

 

Wednesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: FINAL REPORT

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	6	242	1136	78.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                   188

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	66	4976	5940	16.23%

 

Total Showings Added Today:            5

Total Seats Added Today:              454

Total Seats Sold Today:                  149

Edited October 4, 2018 by Porthos

[MattW]

https://www.thewrap.com/october-box-office-record/

 

But this October, there’s not one but two films that could break the opening weekend record of “Gravity” and become the first releases to launch to more than $60 million a piece. This weekend, Sony will release the “Spider-Man” spinoff “Venom,” a film that, while currently being savaged by critics, should still at least see a strong opening weekend from comic book fans...

....two weeks later, we could see the biggest hit in October history with the return of Jamie Lee Curtis to “Halloween,” in a direct sequel to John Carpenter’s 1978 classic. The Universal/Blumhouse film, like “Venom,” is also expected to open to at least $60 million, with some analysts telling TheWrap that a $70 million start is very much possible. “Halloween” has earned acclaim from critics since its debut in Toronto, and with audiences looking for a good horror film to celebrate the season, the movie could earn a huge sum in the first two weeks of its release.

....

The result is a movie menu loaded with variety and quality, something that will always lead to big box office numbers no matter what time of year. If all the films perform above their weight class, we could see this October break the monthly record of $758 million set in 2014.

[Pinacolada]

22 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

 

boxofficereport has a lot of faith in ASIB

if it actually opens 20M higher than its tracking then  is the real winner this weekend 

The $28-30m projections that TheWrap or Variety was saying today were way off though. Everyone knew that. But regardless you're right. $48m for ASIB would be incredible. I was thinking like $37-45m.

Edited October 4, 2018 by Pinacolada

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Wrinke In Time		4,864		15,601
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476	4,545	13,063
A Simple Favor	564	2,126	4,410	10,381
White Boy Rick	136	567	1,458	4,587
Unbroken 2	88	180	360	659
House With Clocks	897	1469	3607	8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9	164	281	713	1,715
Life Itself	79	162	394	953
Assassination Nation		36	94	382
Night School	1,045	1,756	3,566
Small Foot	734	1,261	2,448
Hellfest	195	304	661
Little Women		65	134
Venom	13,602	13,818	20,867
A Star Is Born	9,115	11,383	22,641*

 

 

*Special advanced showings

[DAJK]

Basically points to 60M opening for Venom. Star is Born much harder to track cause it’s hard to tell what impact exactly the Wednesday shows had. But mid 40’s seems likely 

[dxmatrixdt]

6 hours ago, dtairdryZid said:

Venom - 63.5 + 6.5 previews = 70.0 OW --  63.0 OW

Star - 55.2 + 4.8 previews = 60.0 OW -- 54.0 OW

 

lowering predictions to...

 

Venom - 53.0 + 6.0 previews = 59.0 OW

Star - 46.0 + 4.0 previews = 50.0 OW

[MrGlass2]

22 hours ago, Brunook said:

Will today's box office count for the total of the movie?

And will we learn today how much made yesterday?

Edited October 4, 2018 by MrGlass2

[RealLyre]

3 hours ago, dtairdryZid said:

 

lowering predictions to...

 

Venom - 53.0 + 6.0 previews = 59.0 OW

Star - 46.0 + 4.0 previews = 50.0 OW

why would Venom get less previews than AMATW when Venom has better/or at least the same presales so far.

 

according to the data in this thread 

 

 

[filmlover]

8 hours ago, MattW said:

https://www.thewrap.com/october-box-office-record/

 

But this October, there’s not one but two films that could break the opening weekend record of “Gravity” and become the first releases to launch to more than $60 million a piece. This weekend, Sony will release the “Spider-Man” spinoff “Venom,” a film that, while currently being savaged by critics, should still at least see a strong opening weekend from comic book fans...

....two weeks later, we could see the biggest hit in October history with the return of Jamie Lee Curtis to “Halloween,” in a direct sequel to John Carpenter’s 1978 classic. The Universal/Blumhouse film, like “Venom,” is also expected to open to at least $60 million, with some analysts telling TheWrap that a $70 million start is very much possible. “Halloween” has earned acclaim from critics since its debut in Toronto, and with audiences looking for a good horror film to celebrate the season, the movie could earn a huge sum in the first two weeks of its release.

....

The result is a movie menu loaded with variety and quality, something that will always lead to big box office numbers no matter what time of year. If all the films perform above their weight class, we could see this October break the monthly record of $758 million set in 2014.

This October is shaping up to be massive, that's for sure.

[La Binoche]

Venom's late shows start earlier today this ASIB's correct? At least around me Venom starts around 5pm, ASIB around 7pm. 

[Litio]

9 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

why would Venom get less previews than AMATW when Venom has better/or at least the same presales so far.

 

according to the data in this thread 

 

 

Amatw was released in summer