The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cooper Legion]

2 hours ago, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

0.407x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-15 Before Release (3.95M)

3.459x of Mortal Kombat T-15 Before Release (31.44M)

Feel pretty good about hitting this range

[el sid]

Those Who Wish Me Dead, counted today at 10am EST (no showtimes on Thursday):

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 27 (total tickets sold for Friday, 5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 12 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 50 (3 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 4 theaters till today for Friday: 89.

Again almost no increase. Either there's no interest or moviegoers don't buy tickets in advance.

Spiral, counted today at 10am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 117 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 142+ (total tickets sold for Friday, 9 showtimes, 1 Sell Out so for this showtime more than 33 tickets were sold but I don't know how many)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): - / 16 (7 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 55 / 35 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 187 / 226 (9 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 4 theaters till today for today: 359 and for Friday: 419+.

Up 36% and 31%. Nice.
Rough comps: The Grudge (11.4M OW) had 312 and 246 tickets sold in the same 4 theaters on Thursday, Crawl (12.0M OW) had 261 and 245 in the same 4 theaters on the same day/Thursday. The Invisible Man (28.2M OW) had on Thursday in the same 4 theaters 759 and 784 sold tickets.
I also say OW should be between 15M and 20M. With good walk-ups 20M or even more could happen.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

A Quiet Place 2 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

56

1258

4.45%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

42

1256

3.34%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
198	16	9087	2.18%	12	43
$150 PWPs:	2
$200 PWPs:	1
$250 PWPs:	1
$300 PWPs:	1
Total	5

A Quiet Place 2 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

70

1258

5.56%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

42

1256

3.34%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
228	30	11250	2.03%	14	57
$150 PWPs:	3
$200 PWPs:	1
$250 PWPs:	1
$300 PWPs:	1
Total	6

 

Adjusted GvK comp: 3.35M

 

Last remaining theater from pre-pandemic finally put showtimes up, and I added another Regal theater. We'll see how good that GvK comp is considering some theaters had showtimes in the early afternoon. Also, it seems previews are now starting at 5PM

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Spiral: SAW Thursday Showings Denver

 

193 tickets across 8 theaters. Invisible Man comp: 1.55M

Spiral: SAW Thursday Showings Denver

 

342 tickets across 8 theaters. I'm not sure if I'll be able to count when previews start, so just for reference, Invisible Man was at 695 tickets sold when those previews started. Spiral needs to double to keep on pace, which it definitely could with some strong walkups.

[ThatWaluigiDude]

I know the release is really limited, but is there any information on Profile?

Edited May 13, 2021 by ThatWaluigiDude

[Tinalera]

So for anyone who just cant wait for Ontario Canada (Toronto) box office....well youre waiting a little bit longer. Premier Doug Ford has extended our lockdown to at least June 2, so no theatres will be opening till at least then (probably closer to July if not later imo). 

 

Re AQP2: Didnt realize it had a 45 day theatrical window-so it will be Streaming in (well now less than 45) days. Have to wonder how much this is affecting people who will go the wait for Streaming route.

 

Looks like Disneys Chang Chi and Free Guys are NOT doing Disney Plus out of the gate, but will have (45 days I think) window before going to streaming.

[Eric Prime]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-spiral-from-the-book-of-saw-those-who-wish-me-dead-and-profile-release-nationwide/

 

This Weekend vs. Last Weekend

Boxoffice projects this weekend’s top ten films will increase between 35 percent and 50 percent from last week’s top ten aggregate of $21.74 million.

Weekend Forecast

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, May 16	Location Count	% Change from Last Wknd
Spiral: From the Book of Saw	Lionsgate	$14,800,000	$14,800,000	2,811	NEW
Wrath of Man	United Artists Releasing	$3,500,000	$14,400,000	3,007	-58%
Army of the Dead	Netflix	n/a	n/a	~600	NEW
Those Who Wish Me Dead	Warner Bros. Studios	$2,000,000	$2,000,000	~2,900	NEW
Raya and the Last Dragon	Walt Disney Pictures	$1,700,000	$46,100,000	2,285	-11%
Demon Slayer – Kimetsu no Yaiba – the Movie: Mugen Train	Funimation	$1,500,000	$39,800,000	~1,975	-51%
Godzilla vs. Kong	Warner Bros. Studios	$1,400,000	$94,900,000	~2,400	-30%
Mortal Kombat (2021)	Warner Bros. Studios	$1,200,000	$39,600,000	~2,500	-50%
Profile	Focus Features	$1,100,000	$1,100,000	2,033	NEW
Top Gun (35th Anniversary Re-Issue)	Paramount Pictures	$650,000	$650,000	~150	NEW

[charlie Jatinder]

DS total was already 39.3M last weekend, so assuming it did nothing in weekdays, 1.5M weekend will be 40.8M atleast.

 

Though at end of weekdays, total is 40.5M, 1.5M will mean 42M total. @Shawn

 

I think Wrath of Men will hold much better. Probably $4.5M or so.

Edited May 14, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Cooper Legion]

Yeah I also noticed the DS cume error. Funimation reported $40,004,952 Tues cume after 39,317,269 weekend cume, so M+Tu 688k or so. Guessing 40.55ish for Th cume.  
 

The drop % for it also corresponds to the 3,05 est instead of the 2.745 actual, so I’m guessing real prediction would be more like 1.35 wknd for 41.9 cume.   
 

I see WoM around 4.2

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	5	38	1399	1859	460	24.74%

 

Total Showings Added Today	10
Total Seats Added Today	516
Total Seats Sold Today	31*

* NOTE:  At some point in the last few days the local TrueIMAX theater shuffled its schedule and ended up adding previews for AQP II after all.  It had sold nine tickets overall and those nine tickets are being counted as part of today's sales.

 

-COMP RETURNING FRIDAY [T-13 comp]-

 

===

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)	4
Adjusted Seats Approximation	64

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25] 

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism in this

 

===

 

A bunch of theaters got added today, hence the number of showings increasing.  Still only one to three showings per theater, and a very lackluster amount of sales at the Cinemark Q&A showings.

 

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	6	63	2214	2728	514	18.84%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	25
Total Seats Added Today	869
Total Seats Sold Today	54

 

-COMP RETURNING TOMORROW [T-13 comp]-

 

===

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)	8
Adjusted Seats Approximation	128

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25] 

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism in this

 

===

 

Showtimes expanded greatly today, thanks to previews being shifted to 5pm (rose from 38 showings to 63 showings).  That plus a few of the showings added yesterday starting to get seats sold resulted in a nice bounce in total sales today for AQP II.

 

Also, PWPs started being available from the 5pm to 7pm window. I'm not 100% sure if any of them were already sold, so might need to view the number of PWPs with a bit more caution than we did with GvK and MK.  Added to that is that Cruella tickets are going on sale any day now and I'll be pretty surprised if PWPs won't be available for that as well.

 

Might just have to make a note that x number of PWPs have been sold, but without a ticket adjustment due to a rival big opener (and a relatively late shift in PWP availability).

 

[Eric Prime]

On 5/13/2021 at 12:13 AM, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

Spiral Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	118	708	9159	7.73%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 30

Total Seats Added Today: 3,053

Total Sellouts Added Today: 2

Total Seas Sold Today: 217

 

Comp

5.244x of Boogie T-1 Before Release (2.31M)

4.046x of Nobody T-1 Before Release (10.15M)

2.766x of Wrath of Man T-1 Before Release (8.22M)

Spiral Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	8	123	1287	9656	13.33%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 497

Total Sellouts Added Today: 6

Total Seats Sold Today: 509

 

Comp

4.304x of Boogie (1.90M)

2.270x of Nobody (5.69M)

2.564x of Wrath of Man (7.62M)

 

As I said before, it's a Black-led movie, so its advantages in tickets make it hard to compare to other movies at this moment. Still it seems good enough and judging by Inception's numbers, things should still be alright for the film

[Eric Prime]

On 5/13/2021 at 6:38 AM, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

Those Who Wish Me Dead Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	51	54	4569	1.18%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 14

Total Seats Added Today: 1,900

Total Seats Sold Today: 21

 

Comp

0.446x of The Courier Wednesday Before Release (299.9K)

0.309x of Nobody Wednesday Before Release (774K)

0.211x of Wrath of Man Wednesday Before Release (627K)

Those Who Wish Me Dead Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	53	99	4633	2.14%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 64

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.469x of The Courier (315.3K)

0.175x of Nobody (438K)

0.197x of Wrath of Man (586.2K)

 

Blech. Poor Taylor Sheridan

[Eric Prime]

On 5/13/2021 at 6:42 AM, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	134	339	11942	2.84%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 10

Total Seats Added Today: 1,304

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

 

Comp

0.407x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-15 Before Release (3.95M)

3.459x of Mortal Kombat T-15 Before Release (31.44M)

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	144	372	12705	2.93%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 10

Total Seats Added Today: 763

Total Seats Sold Today: 33

 

Comp

0.417x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-14 Before Release (4.05M)

2.067x of Mortal Kombat T-14 Before Release (18.79M)

 

@WandaLegion We need your input on the range mah boi

[Eric Prime]

The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	14	4426	0.32%

 

Pretty quiet so far, but we'll see how the next few days fare.

[Cooper Legion]

8 minutes ago, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

Comp

0.417x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-14 Before Release (4.05M)

2.067x of Mortal Kombat T-14 Before Release (18.79M)

 

@WandaLegion We need your input on the range mah boi

 

This one is kind of tight, probably gonna miss 

 

Spoiler

Okay, more seriously, that is some big contraction on the MK comp. A while ago I was hoping for 20 OD (with previews) but atm I’d probably go for like 12-15.

 

[Eric Prime]

And before anybody asks, yes I know Cruella tickets are on sale. I'm definitely planning to take a look at them and am updating my spreadsheets as we speak. Feels good to be back doing this, though I'll admit I realized why adding more theaters was a bad idea in hindsight.

[filmlover]

I barely saw any marketing for Those Who Wish Me Dead. WB dumped it.

[Shawn Robbins]

14 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

DS total was already 39.3M last weekend, so assuming it did nothing in weekdays, 1.5M weekend will be 40.8M atleast.

 

Though at end of weekdays, total is 40.5M, 1.5M will mean 42M total. @Shawn

 

I think Wrath of Men will hold much better. Probably $4.5M or so.

 

14 hours ago, WandaLegion said:

Yeah I also noticed the DS cume error. Funimation reported $40,004,952 Tues cume after 39,317,269 weekend cume, so M+Tu 688k or so. Guessing 40.55ish for Th cume.  
 

The drop % for it also corresponds to the 3,05 est instead of the 2.745 actual, so I’m guessing real prediction would be more like 1.35 wknd for 41.9 cume.   
 

I see WoM around 4.2

 

Where are you guys seeing $39.3M through Sunday?

 

Please keep in mind any figures floating around are unofficial at this point. Funimation has not been consistent in reporting, and when they were, their running totals did not match up with the daily figures they were claiming on at least 2-3 occasions. It's been a headache reconciling the actual grosses, to be honest, but since Mojo and The-Numbers are both listing $37.2 million through Sunday (the same rough estimate we received), that's what we're basing cumes on until an official source confirms otherwise.

 

EDIT: Never mind, I see what you guys mean about there appearing to be no weekday grosses added before last weekend. I've corrected the cume projection. Nice catch!

[titanic2187]

4 minutes ago, Shawn said:

 

 

Where are you guys getting $39.3M through Sunday?

 

Please keep in mind any figures floating around are unofficial at this point. Funimation has not been consistent in reporting, and when they were, their running totals did not match up with the daily figures they were claiming on at least 2-3 occasions. It's been a headache reconciling the actual grosses, to be honest, but since Mojo and The-Numbers are both listing $37.2 million through Sunday (the same rough estimate we received), that's what we're basing cumes on until an official source confirms otherwise.

But that 37.2m doesn't make sense either for us to take it even for grain of salt. Unless DS didn't get any showing in the last mid-week, or else the number should be anything higher than 37.2m  

[charlie Jatinder]

16 minutes ago, Shawn said:

 

 

Where are you guys seeing $39.3M through Sunday?

 

Please keep in mind any figures floating around are unofficial at this point. Funimation has not been consistent in reporting, and when they were, their running totals did not match up with the daily figures they were claiming on at least 2-3 occasions. It's been a headache reconciling the actual grosses, to be honest, but since Mojo and The-Numbers are both listing $37.2 million through Sunday (the same rough estimate we received), that's what we're basing cumes on until an official source confirms otherwise.

I saw from cS numbers but then Gitesh tweeted so I thought it was officially reported too. Also $40M was reported on Tuesday by Funimation.