The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cooper Legion]

1 minute ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

How big is "fairly big" if today is $36M? 

I dunno, like 31-33 perhaps?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

10 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

I dunno, like 31-33 perhaps?

$33-33.5 would be in line with TFA (assuming $36M). 

[ZackM]

SM:NWH is looking at ~40% drop at Alpha for Monday.

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Anybody here tracking sales for Licorice Pizza?

Really tracking sales for pretty much everything at my most frequented theater but it's already sold 60-something seats all day Christmas across its first three shows in a 50-seat auditorium (the last show so far hasn't sold anything) so those are certain to sell out. If it does well enough I imagine it'll be upgraded to a bigger theater.

[Cooper Legion]

14 minutes ago, ZackM said:

SM:NWH is looking at ~40% drop at Alpha for Monday.

So from 52% PS hold to ~60% gross hold, a 15% PSm increase right in line with expectations. Canada also held well per @DAJK. Beta, gamma, small+indie will have the worse drops but overall this should be more like EC's num than gitesh's.

Edited December 21, 2021 by Weird Alegion

[Rorschach]

The King’s Man (Monday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Tuesday:
        4:00 P.M.: 11/94
        7:10 P.M.: 19/94
        10:20 P.M.: 0/94
    Total Sold: 30/282 (10.6% sold)

 

Comps:
Snake Eyes: $1.14 mil
The Suicide Squad: $1.17 mil
Average: $1.16 mil

 

    Wednesday:
        10:00 A.M.: 5/94
        1:10 P.M.: 11/94
        4:20 P.M.: 7/94
        7:30 P.M.: 6/94
        10:40 P.M.: 0/94
    Total Sold: 29/470 (6.17% sold)

 

Tues + Weds: 59/752 (7.85% sold)

 

Comps:
Snake Eyes: $4.92 mil
The Suicide Squad: $4.24 mil
Average: $4.58 mil

 

I'll give it some credit: that's 59 more tickets than I thought it would get. 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

8 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

So from 52% PS hold to ~60% gross hold, a 15% PSm increase right in line with expectations. Canada also held well per @DAJK. Beta, gamma, small+indie will have the worse drops but overall this should be more like EC's num than gitesh's.

Hell it it comes on the upside of ~40 we might be able to pull 37

[Rorschach]

The Matrix: Resurrections (Monday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Wednesday:
    IMAX showings: 73/776
        3:20 P.M.: 51/388
        10:40 P.M.: 22/388
    2D showings: 110/328
        12:45 P.M.: 19/78
        4:30 P.M.: 44/78
        8:15 P.M.: 47/78
        8:45 P.M.: 0/94
    Total Sold: 183/1,104 (16.6% sold)

 

Comps:
The Suicide Squad: $13.16 mil
Dune: $7.52 mil
Average: $10.34 mil

 

Not a terrible result, though I wish it could've gotten something closer to $15 million. However, judging by other trackers, this seems on par with expectations, so it should very well meet that range.

[Eric Prime]

The King's Man Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	41	269	6357	4.23%

 

Comp

1.035x of Snake Eyes T-1 (1.45M)

0.246x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (1.01M)

0.117x of No Time to Die T-1 (735K)

0.153x of Dune T-1 (779K)

[Rorschach]

Sing 2 (Monday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Wednesday: 
        10:15 A.M.: 146/238
        11:30 A.M.: 0/94
        1:10 A.M.: 136/238
        2:30 P.M.: 0/94
        4:05 P.M.: 109/238
        5:30 P.M.: 2/94
        7:00 P.M.: 146/238
        9:55 P.M.: 6/238
    Total Sold: 545/1,472 (37% sold)

 

Comps: 
Jungle Cruise: $37.81 mil
Paw Patrol: $22.42 mil
Addams Family 2: $42.59 mil
Encanto: $36.42 mil 
Average: $34.81 mil
 

 Well... I certainly know for a fact, based on where others are tracking, that it definitely won't reach that amount. Perhaps this is only reflective of my Cinemark, but I certainly think this speaks to how much potential this has to become a beast over the holiday season. Considering how lackluster animated kids' films have performed at the box office this year, this feels like a perfect storm for one to finally make gangbusters (at least, against the Covid curve).

[filmlover]

Sing 2 is gonna really benefit not only from being the major kids movie of the holidays but being the #2 option for families that are either sold out from Spider-Man or have already seen it and are looking for another movie to see over the break. Helps that everything else is either rated R and/or aimed at a more mature audience. If the ceiling for animated movies during the pandemic era wasn't so low still I don't think it would see much of a drop-off from the first movie.

[Eric Prime]

On 12/19/2021 at 11:39 PM, Eric Osborn said:

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	74	1,957	13398	14.61%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 1,771

Total Seats Sold Today: 215

 

Comp

0.748x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-3 (7.26M)

2.641x of The Suicide Squad T-3 (10.83M)

1.493x of Dune T-3 (7.61M)

 

Yeah this is boned. Mickey's Law is really, truly an awful, horrible beast.

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	77	2,161	13638	15.85%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 240

Total Seats Sold Today: 204

 

Comp

0.743x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-2 (7.21M)

2.406x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (9.87M)

1.423x of Dune T-2 (7.26M)

 

I dunno guys, I still don't think 10M+ is happening

[Eric Prime]

On 12/19/2021 at 11:49 PM, Eric Osborn said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	93	2401	15871	15.13%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 173

Total Seats Sold Today: 163

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 993

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

1.966x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-3 (15.16M)

5.547x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (14.98M)

5.876x of Encanto T-3 (8.81M)

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	93	2622	15871	16.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 221

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 1,214

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

2.240x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-2 (17.26M)

5.101x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (13.77M)

5.233x of Encanto T-2 (7.85M)

[keysersoze123]

On 12/19/2021 at 9:24 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Matrix Resurrections OD(T-3)

MTC1 - 72136/356483 1058761.98 2225 shows

 

 

Matrix Resurrections OD(T-2)

MTC1 - 82207/358915 1191594.99 2260 shows

 

1 more day of PS left. Let us see where it ends up. 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Idk if the review embargo ended today or when, but ‘The King’s Man’ is starting off reeeaalllyyyy strong on RT with a 4.9 average critics rating….

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, GoblinXXR said:

Idk if the review embargo ended today or when, but ‘The King’s Man’ is starting off reeeaalllyyyy strong on RT with a 4.9 average critics rating….

The embargo ended last week. Too bad the whole world re: this movie is like...

 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The embargo ended last week. Too bad the whole world re: this movie is like...

 

Ahh ok I guess I was too wrapped up in NWH to notice the reviews. Ahh well, at least we get to look forward to Matrix reviews tomorrow…

[charlie Jatinder]

46 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Matrix Resurrections OD(T-2)

MTC1 - 82207/358915 1191594.99 2260 shows

 

1 more day of PS left. Let us see where it ends up. 

ATP is holding better than I expected. Probably 99K final pre-sales, leading to 165-175K final.

MTC1 final may be $2.3M range, for $8.5M OD.

[Boxofficerules]

When you think we’ll start seeing Scream tracking.

[Krissykins]

36 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

When you think we’ll start seeing Scream tracking.

There’s some posts from trackers already on the previous pages. Basically it’s too early to tell, since horrors don’t usually go on sale so far in advance.