The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[keysersoze123]

One thing about AMC data is its missing data for sellouts. Example is AMC Empire 25. I have data only for 30 shows while Fandango shows 41 shows. There were even more when I checked initially. So the actual number would be even higher if am missing lots of sellouts. Unfortunately there is no way to retrieve shows which are sold out and removed from the system.

[keysersoze123]

Alamo Drafthouse Austin - SW9 Previews

 

South Lamar - 6PM, 7PM, 945PM, 1030PM(SOLD OUT), 1:25AM(129/198), 145AM(16/126)

Village - 6PM, 935PM, 1010PM(Sold out), 110AM(98/126), 145AM(22/115)
Slaughter Lane - 6PM, 630PM, 945PM, 1015PM(Sold out), 12AM(92/102), 1230AM(78/102), 130AM(59/108)
Lakeline - 6PM(sold out), 945PM(140/142), 130AM(122/142)
Mueller - 6PM, 945PM(Soldout), 130AM(109/123)

 

14 sellouts and so many near sellouts. Even very late post midnight shows are playing very strong. I expect more shows to be added soon.

[cdsacken]

Once again as always shout out to the guys and gals tracking individual data. You have been able to very accurately forecast movies for months even after they took away live sales data.

 

Very impressed

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-56 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	253	11149	52004	40885	21.44%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 264

 

===

 

Day 4 turned out a little better than I expected. I'm thinking that TROS probably settles around 75 seats a day once we're fully in the slow period.

Edited October 31, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[Brainbug]

So far so good.

 

@Porthos Rise of Skywalker might do it.

 

It just might beat Mars needs Moms in the end.

[Porthos]

23 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

So far so good.

 

@Porthos Rise of Skywalker might do it.

 

It just might beat Mars needs Moms in the end.

 

(everyone knows the quote here, I presume )

[Inceptionzq]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-star-wars-the-rise-of-skywalker-bombshell-and-cats/

12/20/2019	Cats	$10,000,000 – $20,000,000	$14,000,000	NEW	$60,000,000 – $120,000,000	NEW		Universal
12/20/2019	Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	$185,000,000 – $225,000,000	$200,000,000	NEW	$550,000,000 – $750,000,000	NEW		Disney / Lucasfilm
12/20/2019	Bombshell	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$5,000,000	NEW	$30,000,000 – $45,000,000	NEW		Lionsgate

[keysersoze123]

I am going to move to weekly cadence for AMC/Cin updates every weekend(but  I hope to do it for more than just OW). But I also hope to do manual look at other chains like Alamo, Marcus, Showcase etc to see how strong its playing outside mega cities. So far I based on quick anecdotal check its playing strong everywhere which means ratio of AMC/Cinemark will be lower than usual. So with preview sales for AMC/Cin at 5.5m I could see overall previews PS at 18m rather than 16.5m. It woulc be interesting to see how that grows over the coming weeks.

[Menor the Destroyer]

13 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

AMC previews -   231911/783448 $3455141.67 4691 shows +4314
AMC OD - 129087/999282 $2089088.37.(4882 shows) +4136
AMC D2 -  97845/989906 $1482778.26(4831 shows) +3314
AMC D3 - 43342/960655 $658027.96 (4693 shows) +1829

Total Tickets for OW sold today- +13589

 

Obvious slow down in PS but in isolation these numbers are still great as we have another 8 weeks to go. Show count is on the up.

 

Cinemark Previews - 153965/475836, $2000791 (3166 shows)

Cinemark OD - 94268/736319, $1097906 (4468 shows)

 

I think I figured out why show count was less at my end. Cinemark does not have unique showtime ids across theaters @Menor I have messaged you link which has the data from my run.  But I am not comparing to yesterday where I was missing lots of data. I will try to refresh. Cinemark seem to have slightly better occupancy than AMC which is great.

 

Edit: added Cinemark OD. Again no comparisons as yesterday data was incomplete. Cinemark OD to AMC OD ratio is even better. I will add more days to Cinemark as well by this weekend. Hope to start doing weekly updates starting this weekend but will try to pull data for entire holidays(almost till 3rd weekend !!!!!).

Ah. That would explain it. I am pulling showtimes from each individual theater's page so that wouldn't have come up for me.

[Porthos]

12 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-star-wars-the-rise-of-skywalker-bombshell-and-cats/

12/20/2019	Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	$185,000,000 – $225,000,000	$200,000,000	NEW	$550,000,000 – $750,000,000	NEW		Disney / Lucasfilm

 

So @Shawn was Deadline's source all along!!!!! 

[Brainbug]

19 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-star-wars-the-rise-of-skywalker-bombshell-and-cats/

12/20/2019	Cats	$10,000,000 – $20,000,000	$14,000,000	NEW	$60,000,000 – $120,000,000	NEW		Universal
12/20/2019	Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	$185,000,000 – $225,000,000	$200,000,000	NEW	$550,000,000 – $750,000,000	NEW		Disney / Lucasfilm
12/20/2019	Bombshell	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$5,000,000	NEW	$30,000,000 – $45,000,000	NEW		Lionsgate

 

The thought of 120M Dollars worth of people all seeing Cats brings fear and sorrow into my heart. And yet ... strangely ... i want that to happen.

[Legion Again]

But did they remember to account for previews being deflated by the Democratic debate

[cdsacken]

Please don't bring that up. Such a dumpster fire. Almost as bad as it is on the other side. Ugh

[MrGamer]

50 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

The thought of 120M Dollars worth of people all seeing Cats brings fear and sorrow into my heart. And yet ... strangely ... i want that to happen.

[Cap]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

So @Shawn was Deadline's source all along!!!!! 

I want to know what Shawn was thinking when he wrote “previously successful” and Tom Hooper in the same sentence. 😂😂😂 

[keysersoze123]

19 hours ago, Shawn said:

BoPro has a pretty steady stream of location counts reported to us directly by studios each week. Given the circumstances, we'll be reporting those on Twitter/FB more frequently from now on.

Is it possible for BoPro to create a page for it. Should not be that hard 🙂

[Alex SciChannel]

1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

But did they remember to account for previews being deflated by the Democratic debate

That actually might be a good point

 

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/24/2019 at 4:15 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1448

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1514

3926

 

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
6854	196	22323	30.70%	9	176

 

Just over 90% of TLK's final total.

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1465

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1522

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
6888	122	22437	30.70%	9	176

 

Seats Sold removed: 88

Total Seats added: 114

 

One of the theaters decided to move 2 showings to bigger auditoriums, which is why the overall seats sold didn't increase by much. Almost to 91% of The Lion King

Edited October 25, 2019 by Inceptionzq

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/24/2019 at 4:29 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Terminator: Dark Fate Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

48

808

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

15

753

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
118	16	6337	1.86%	9	29

 

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.13M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.41M

Terminator: Dark Fate Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

52

808

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

17

753

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
127	9	6337	2.00%	9	29

 

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.34M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.21M

Hobbs comp: 2.14M

[Alex SciChannel]

Does anyone have any idea what presales may indicate for The Lighthouse's Friday number? I hope it gets at least a $3.5M 3-day Opening weekend.

 

Deadline didnt report on it