The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[John Marston]

https://mobile.twitter.com/BORReport/status/1187436274421907458

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1425

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1498

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
6658	539	22323	29.83%	9	176

 

Showings added: 13

Seats added: 2352

 

I removed showings that I suspect were glitched sellouts, which amounted to 358 sold/total seats and 3 showtimes lost. But still an overall increase. It is now about 88% of the Lion King's final total.

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1448

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1514

3926

 

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
6854	196	22323	30.70%	9	176

 

Just over 90% of TLK's final total.

[Inceptionzq]

Terminator: Dark Fate Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

48

808

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

15

753

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
118	16	6337	1.86%	9	29

 

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.13M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.41M

[Eric the Ape]

Black and Blue Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	28	677	4,581	14.78%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 773

Total Seats Sold Today: 498

 

Comp

0.624x of Hustlers (1.56M)

 

Today pretty much exploded, and it seems good, but...I dunno, I feel like it appearing in barely over 2K theaters probably inflates things here a bit, and I don't feel like there's that much buzz or demand. But hey, I've been wrong before.

[Eric the Ape]

Countdown Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	23	200	3,384	5.91%

 

Comp

0.466x of Crawl (466K)

0.307x of Scary Stories (716K)

1.031x of 47 Meters (532K)

 

LOL, this ain't doing much this weekend. Even in a completely blank field for horrors in October, people don't care. Not really surprised tho

[Inceptionzq]

23 minutes ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Today pretty much exploded, and it seems good, but...I dunno, I feel like it appearing in barely over 2K theaters probably inflates things here a bit, and I don't feel like there's that much buzz or demand. But hey, I've been wrong before.

Probably because of the large Black population in Philly? I just did a quick check in Denver, and the Hustlers comp isn’t even 500K. And Countdown is right behind it here

[Shawn Robbins]

BoPro has a pretty steady stream of location counts reported to us directly by studios each week. Given the circumstances, we'll be reporting those on Twitter/FB more frequently from now on.

[Eric the Ape]

Terminator: Dark Fate Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	169	8,792	1.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.161x of It: Chapter Two 7 days before release (1.69M)

0.157x of Joker 7 days before release (2.09M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.441x of Hobbs & Shaw 7 days before release (2.56M)

 

The first bad day for this movie in quite a while, but hopefully this is just a one-time thing

[JB33]

19 minutes ago, Shawn said:

BoPro has a pretty steady stream of location counts reported to us directly by studios each week. Given the circumstances, we'll be reporting those on Twitter/FB more frequently from now on.

Right on! Many thanks, @Shawn, and to the rest of the folks at BOP.

[kitik]

5 hours ago, Valonqar said:

Anything for Doctor Sleep and Last Xmas?

 

 

Last Christmas tickets haven't even gone on sale at my local theaters yet. Just Doctor Sleep, Midway, and Playing With Fire for that weekend.

[Cap]

v Finale Sales Comps
Movie	Sold	%	Est
Countdown
Empire 25	144	--	--
Zombieland	339	42.77%	1.21M
Scary Stories	558	25.80%	0.601M
Average:			0.905M
Lincoln Square	42	--	--
Zombieland	241	17.42%	0.496M
Average:			0.496M

 

v Finale Sales Comps
Black and Blue
Empire 25	114	--	--
Gemini Man	601	18.96%	0.371M
Zombieland	339	33.62%	0.958M
Average:			0.665M

 

I don't have a lot of comps for either of these, but I would say that if Countdown gets to 1M in previews, it's a victory.  

 

 

Also, I really need to reorganize my shreadsheets.  😫 .

 

 

[filmlover]

Variety confirms the earlier tracking for the November 15 openers isn't far off the mark (they have Ford v Ferrari with $23-27M and Charlie's Angels with $12-13M):  https://variety.com/2019/film/news/box-office-matt-damon-christian-bales-ford-v-ferrari-charlies-angels-1203382999/

[filmlover]

 

 

[Eric the Ape]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-56 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	164	7,317	28,790	25.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 168

[keysersoze123]

On 10/23/2019 at 9:59 PM, keysersoze123 said:

AMC previews - 227597/779608 $3488274 10/23 final (4664 show) +9773
AMC OD - 124951/999212 $1863788 (4878 shows) final 10/23 +8062

AMD D2 - 94531/990277 $1237935 (4828 shows) (I did not run it yesterday night but it increased almost 20K compared to yesterday afternoon)

AMC D3 - 41513/960758 $545061 (4691 shows  almost. +10000 since yesterday afternoon)

 

So between just previews and OD it sold almost 18K tickets in past 24 hours. Those are insane numbers. I am still gathering data for d2/d3 at least and tickets sales are moving for those days as well(Roughly Day 2 is 75% of day 1 and Day 3 is 40% of day 2). Minus release day sales, no other movies or combination of movies come close. Also good news is more shows are being added for previews and OD compared to yesterday. That will continue to happen as more shows are getting full.

 

Cin Prev - 118458/269384 $1537101 (2820 shows) +8363
Cin OD - 67305/522150 $786420 (3961 shows) +9638

 

I did not post Cinemark yesterday as Menor did though our numbers dont sync up completely. But from my perspective Cinemark had a great day as well almost keeping pace with AMC.

 

Beyond this tracking I have seen significant sellouts and/or near sellouts in all major chains(Regal, Alamo Drafthouse etc). So this is not specific to big cities like what I saw for Joker.

AMC previews -   231911/783448 $3455141.67 4691 shows +4314
AMC OD - 129087/999282 $2089088.37.(4882 shows) +4136
AMC D2 -  97845/989906 $1482778.26(4831 shows) +3314
AMC D3 - 43342/960655 $658027.96 (4693 shows) +1829

Total Tickets for OW sold today- +13589

 

Obvious slow down in PS but in isolation these numbers are still great as we have another 8 weeks to go. Show count is on the up.

 

Cinemark Previews - 153965/475836, $2000791 (3166 shows)

Cinemark OD - 94268/736319, $1097906 (4468 shows)

 

I think I figured out why show count was less at my end. Cinemark does not have unique showtime ids across theaters @Menor I have messaged you link which has the data from my run.  But I am not comparing to yesterday where I was missing lots of data. I will try to refresh. Cinemark seem to have slightly better occupancy than AMC which is great.

 

Edit: added Cinemark OD. Again no comparisons as yesterday data was incomplete. Cinemark OD to AMC OD ratio is even better. I will add more days to Cinemark as well by this weekend. Hope to start doing weekly updates starting this weekend but will try to pull data for entire holidays(almost till 3rd weekend !!!!!).

Edited October 25, 2019 by keysersoze123

[keysersoze123]

On 10/18/2019 at 12:57 PM, keysersoze123 said:

 

Terminator - Dark Fate (T-13)

AMC - 5339/163775 (772 shows) +1517
Cin - 1364/122661 (814 shows)  + 205

 

Numbers are still incredibly low. I think real action will start only in the week of the release.

Terminator - Dark Fate (T-7)

AMC - 8605/168890 $147834.10(778 shows) +3266

CIN - 2902/163170 $38286(914 shows) +1538

 

So overall PS of 186K and if we take 1/3rd share for the 3 chains then we are looking at 560K national previews PS at this point. Real action should start next week. If I have to guess I would say 3-3.5m previews.

Edited October 25, 2019 by keysersoze123

[StarWarsMemer]

It seems that TRoS already sold as much as half TLJ did. It probably can pass its opening, right?

 

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-56 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	193	12904	23253	10349	44.51%

 

Suspected Glitched Sellout Added	1
Total Seats Added and Sold	107

 

Total Showings Added Today	5
Total Seats Added Today	404
Total Seats Sold Today	196

 

"Day Four" Adjusted Comps #1 

	%		Sold "Day Four"	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	518.00		64	1917		0/81	8691/10608	18.07%		107.23m
EG	58.41		350	16998		7/221	6026/23024	73.83%		35.05m
TROS (adj)	n/a		169	9930		2/193	12061/21991	45.15%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel and Endgame

"DAY THREE" NOTE: The first day of sales cited here are after 1 day and 6 hours or so for Captain Marvel, around 15 to 16 hours for Endgame, and 5+ hours for TROS.

 

"Day Four" Adjusted Comps #2 

	%		Sold "Day Four"	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
IW	157.89		195	5662		1/106	4838/10500	53.92%		61.58m
Solo	295.15		116	3029		0/87	6319/9348	32.40%		41.62m
TROS (adj)	n/a		132	8940		2/193	8910/17850	50.08%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War and Solo.

"DAY THREE" NOTE: The first day of sales cited here are after 25 hours or so or Solo, around 14 to 15 hours for Infinity War, and 5+ hours for TROS.

 

===

 

Went ahead and added that sellout and I'll count it as part of Day 1 sales on my internal sheet. It is not included in today's sales. 

 

If it ever gets taken off I'll make a note of it in-thread in a similar fashion to how I noted it today.

 

Also, made a slight error in my sheet last night, resulting in an over-count of 20 seats sold last night.  I've gone ahead and edited my last post, but it doesn't change my thoughts much at all from last night.

Edited October 26, 2019 by Porthos

[DAJK]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

 

 

Damn, I woulda tried to catch a showing of that if possible. Looks interesting. 

[Brainbug]

3 hours ago, StarWarsMemer said:

It seems that TRoS already sold as much as half TLJ did. It probably can pass its opening, right?

 

 

Its way way too early to give exact predictions. But with this start it surely "can" pass Last Jedis 220M. But its no guarantee either.