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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

@SpiderByte

 

More seriously, it was much more apparent to some than others.  Some saw it coming relatively soon.  Others (*cough*) were holding out hope for a increase toward the end.  Or at least some sort of bump. 

 

But even die-hard/delusional folks like myself had a sinking pit in my stomach start to develop when it just... sat there and didn't really increase all that much the week of sales.  

 

(still have to think that while the tracking thread saw the underperformance coming, the level of it was still something of a [unpleasant] surprise)

 

I remember the bigger shock was overseas numbers, they signal total rejection  

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1 hour ago, Menor said:

Eternals nearly matched SC 25 hour number (8537 vs 8763) in my MTC2 run that finished half an hour ago, by now it will be well higher.

O/U thor ragnarok  ow ? (Half joking)

Edited by john2000
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16 minutes ago, john2000 said:

Hm maybe my club 100 ow wasnt high enough . O/U thor ragnarok ? (Half joking)

I mean if you want to match the guts of @Let There Be Legion's Shang-Chi club, the target is gonna have to be higher than 100 for sure. Though I thought your club was DOM total? 

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The SC club wasn’t super gutsy, it really looked to be doing around there by the time I made it.    
 

Just woke up, got caught up, some really timid guesses here imo. Should be set for 15+ going to 110-130ish imo. For a bold club goal try Deadpool, or gotg2 if you wanna really go nuts.

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Seems like MTC1 + MTC2 won´t be much different than BW on first day [Eternals more inclined to MTC1 tho]. Very impressive considering BW is a stablished character.

 

BW did 13.2M previews despite the finals days being meh [probably because of D+], let´s see how it goes with this one considering is theatrical exclusive and a first movie.

 

I think everyone will be happy with 11-12M, but certainly there´s room for way more, so far.

 

 

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6 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Seems like MTC1 + MTC2 won´t be much different than BW on first day [Eternals more inclined to MTC1 tho]. Very impressive considering BW is a stablished character.

 

BW did 13.2M previews despite the finals days being meh [probably because of D+], let´s see how it goes with this one considering is theatrical exclusive and a first movie.

 

I think everyone will be happy with 11-12M, but certainly there´s room for way more, so far.

 

 

Not true. I think OD PS for BW was 30/20K. here the ratio > 3:1. 

 

That said Eternals number at MTC1 is absolutely sensational. Its up to 30521/347666 556366.47 1756 shows. Its start is well ahead of BW at MTC1. 

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3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Not true. I think OD PS for BW was 30/20K. here the ratio > 3:1. 

 

That said Eternals number at MTC1 is absolutely sensational. Its up to 30521/347666 556366.47 1756 shows. Its start is well ahead of BW at MTC1. 

I think they meant the sum not the ratio. I think the sum will actually be ahead of BW's 50k or very close.

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Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Not true. I think OD PS for BW was 30/20K. here the ratio > 3:1. 

 

That said Eternals number at MTC1 is absolutely sensational. Its up to 30521/347666 556366.47 1756 shows. Its start is well ahead of BW at MTC1. 

I was adding the numbers, for example:

 

BW did 30k/20k, so 50k MTC1+MTC2

 

For Eternals is already at 30k on MTC1 (i'm in shock), so maybe 37-40K final on that and around 13-15k final on MTC2 for 50-55k on both.

 

That would be actually on pair / higher than BW first day. But maybe this way i'm thinking doesn't make much sense, i'm not very good reading these numbers haha.

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Just now, john2000 said:

how MTC 2 is looking ?

Not sure, I started a run now. But I think the ratio vs Shang-Chi will decrease for the rest of the day after the huge start. For one thing this is T-24 vs T-17 and it doesn't have world premiere buzz to boost numbers. But with such a strong start, it doesn't matter too much. 

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It's almost 6pm here but the Eternals PS are nowhere as strong as Shang-Chi or Venom's first day. If memory serves, not as strong as BW's either. But there's still some time. I think most people are still buying Dune for next week? So it should pick up later

 

Thursday numbers

 

Cinemark: (13)

6 XD (6), 945 XD (5)

630 (2), 1015 (0)

715 3D (0)

 

AMC: (163)

6 DOLBY (87)

7 IMAX (74)

8 3D (0)

730 (2)

 

Still solid

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NYC Regal Local  (5pm)

 

Halloween Kills:    60/512 
Duel:    6/514    (Stillwater 0/512 ; Card Counter 4/322)
Dune (-1 week)    22/1242   (21 are PLF sales)


HK COMPS

It 2: $4.28m
Dr Sleep: $3.91m
Zombie2: $3.35m
Invisible Man: $2.36m
Candyman: $14.25m (didn't really sell until Thur)
 

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On 10/10/2021 at 4:11 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Halloween Kills Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 108 311 34.73%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 69 318 21.70%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
475 71 5099 9.32% 15 33

 

AMCs sold 311
Cinemarks sold 95
Regals sold 44
Harkins sold 25

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 3.81M

Suicide Squad comp: 3.65M

Fast 9 comp: 3.64M

Halloween Kills Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 118 311 37.94%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 79 318 24.84%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
547 72 5099 10.73% 15 33

 

AMCs sold 336
Cinemarks sold 109
Regals sold 63
Harkins sold 39

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 3.34M

Suicide Squad comp: 3.62M

Fast 9 comp: 3.68M

 

Hope that Quiet Place comp at least stabilizes for the last few days

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On 10/10/2021 at 4:14 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Halloween Kills Megaplex

 

T-4 days Thursday(24 showings): 191(+13)/4244 in 14 theaters

 

Suicide Squad comp: 2.76M

 

T-5 days Friday(51 showings): 312(+60)/8135 in 13 theaters

 

Suicide Squad comp: 13.21M

 

T-6 days Saturday(51 showings): 136(+34)/8135 in 13 theaters

 

T-7 days Sunday(30 showings): 28(+7)/4882 in 9 theaters

 

Weird how weak Thursday has been the past few days, but Friday has been strong so I'm not too worried at this point. 

Halloween Kills Megaplex

 

T-3 days Thursday(26 showings): 234(+43)/4710(+466) in 14 theaters

 

Suicide Squad comp: 3.11M

 

T-4 days Friday(58 showings): 397(+85)/9181(+1046) in 13 theaters

 

Suicide Squad comp: 14.31M

 

T-5 days Saturday(54 showings): 161(+25)/8672(+537) in 13 theaters

 

T-6 days Sunday(44 showings): 30(+2)/6558(+1676) in 11 theaters

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Eternals up to 10300 at MTC2. Probably aiming for a first 24 hours in the 13k range which would be 50% ahead of SC. As I said earlier the ratio got worse relative to SC, probably because of SC's premiere. Still an excellent first day. I will update again tomorrow morning and after that will go back to daily updates at my usual time (and will do Halloween tomorrow night as well). 

Edited by Menor
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On 10/10/2021 at 4:30 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 246 653 37.67%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 212 1451 14.61%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
984 53 10415 9.45% 15 53

 

AMCs sold 705
Cinemarks sold 77
Regals sold 180
Harkins sold 22

 

Shang-Chi comp: 10.77M

Black Widow comp: 7.04M

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 262 653 40.12%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 227 1451 15.64%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1054 70 10415 10.12% 15 53

 

AMCs sold 762
Cinemarks sold 84
Regals sold 186
Harkins sold 22

 

 

Shang-Chi comp: 10.36M

Black Widow comp: 7.25M

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