The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

Well. If it was that simple.

Edited October 19, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Old Spice]

It's certainly picking up speed tonight in Salt Lake City at my non PLF theater. More tomorrow.

 

Preview night PLF's are 65-80% sold out for the prime evening shows at the larger Cinemark theaters in SL County. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

Dune MTC2

 

Thursday

Showtimes: 1231 (+103)

Seats Sold: 20007/199599 (+2470)

$ sales: 281231 (+34582)

 

Friday

Showtimes: 2203 (+100)

Seats Sold: 23731/381535 (+3792)

$ sales: 312313 (+47722)

 

Thursday is pacing similar to Bond (true Thurs, so maybe around 5 million in this comp. Friday around 80% of Bond (13.6 million true Friday in this comp). Not much change from yesterday's picture. Hopefully it at least can maintain this and get a low 40s OW. 

 

Edited October 19, 2021 by Menor

[Menor the Destroyer]

Eternals MTC2

 

Thursday

Showtimes: 1966

Seats Sold: 21825/320507 (+775)

Total $ sales: 312230 (+10974)

 

Friday

Showtimes: 3713

Seats Sold: 14880/621679 (+659)

Total $ sales: 199674 (+9172)

 

Chugging along. Let's see if reactions can boost it tomorrow. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Eternals need to improve its pace otherwise it ain't getting close to expectation after first day of sales. 

 

Edit: No massive red flags yet. There is time.

Edited October 19, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[famicommander]

Venom done messed up the grading curve I reckon; set our expectations too high for Bond, Dune, Eternals, etc

[VENOM]

42 minutes ago, famicommander said:

Venom done messed up the grading curve I reckon; set our expectations too high for Bond, Dune, Eternals, etc

Hehe, they never saw us coming 

[ThomasNicole]

Eternals seems pretty consistent to me the last days, there wasn't anything to make it bumped again above that.

 

Now with the premiere and reactions probably tomorrow will got a bump.

[snarkmachine]

Wonder what the industry is going to count as a "win" for Dune. 30m+?

[ThomasNicole]

3 minutes ago, snarkmachine said:

Wonder what the industry is going to count as a "win" for Dune. 30m+?

Considering WB biggest opening is 31M, yes.

 

This needs to do 32M to get all the headliners saying "the biggest WB opening in 2 years", which is possible, even if presales aren't picking up much so far.

[famicommander]

4 minutes ago, snarkmachine said:

Wonder what the industry is going to count as a "win" for Dune. 30m+?

I think the only real barometer we can use is whether or not the sequel gets made. 

 

There's just no way to untangle the impact of HBO Max or the pandemic itself. At least not from our perspective; I'm sure WB has some internal targets for both box office and streaming but there's just no way for us looking from the outside to quantify the monetary impact of day one HBO streaming.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, famicommander said:

Venom done messed up the grading curve I reckon; set our expectations too high for Bond, Dune, Eternals, etc

NTTD we had some doubts for 2 days but other than that no. Halloween did great. Dune is doing as was expected. Eternals there is still time.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	13991	15541*	1550	9.97%

* NOTE:  A theater adjusted the seat maps of a couple of showings, resulting in two fewer seats available region-wide.

 

Total Seats Sold Today

71

 

T-18 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-18	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	68.59		92	2095		0/117	17035/19130	10.95%		9.48m
Eternals (adj)	---		67	1437		0/87	12771/14208	10.11%		---

COMP NOTE: The Eternals comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in BW's track.

PRE-SALE NOTE: Black Widow's tickets have been on sale for three more days than Eternals' tickets have been on sale.

 

 

Regal: 317/4570 [6.94% sold] [+5 tickets]

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	13992	15541	1619	10.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

69

 

T-17 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	68.30		94	2189		0/117	16914/19130	11.44%		9.44m
Eternals (adj)	---		58	1495		0/87	12713/14208	10.52%		---

COMP NOTE: The Eternals comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in BW's track.

PRE-SALE NOTE: Black Widow's tickets have been on sale for three more days than Eternals' tickets have been on sale.

 

 

Regal: 334/4570 [7.31% sold] [+17 tickets]

 

====

 

Calm before the storm...

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Dune Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	10936	12270*	1334	10.87%

* Noticed an error in my charts where I was double counting some DBOX seats.  Removing them has reduced the Total Seats by 58, but did not affect the seats sold as I was already accounting for them at the time.

 

Total Seats Sold Today

130

 

T-4 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
NTTD	78.33		157	1703		0/145	20757/22460	7.58%		4.86m
SC	55.44		261	2406		0/113	15205/17611	13.66%		4.88m
V2	54.21		453	2461		0/183	26301/28762	7.12%		6.29m

 

T-4 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	68.60		200	1806		0/89	11678/13484	13.39%		5.10m
Dune (adj)	---		115	1239		0/69	9615/10854	11.42%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal: 338/4758 [7.10% sold] [+40 tickets]

 

Dune Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	92	11672	13179	1507	11.43%

 

Total Showings Added Today	13
Total Seats Added Today	909
Total Seats Sold Today	173

 

T-3 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
NTTD	80.11		178	1881		0/157	21272/23153	8.12%		4.97m
SC	54.98		335	2741		0/156	19111/21852	12.54%		4.84m
V2	49.62		576	3037		0/216	28173/31210	9.73%		5.76m

 

T-3 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	67.67		257	2063		0/122	15198/17261	11.95%		5.03m
Dune (adj)	---		157	1396		0/82	10367/11763	11.87%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal: 378/5088 [7.43% sold] [+40 tickets]

 

===

 

For better or worse, following NTTD's ticket sales pretty closely here the last couple of days.

[cookieleeann]

On 10/17/2021 at 3:04 PM, cookieleeann said:

DUNE THURSDAY OCTOBER 21 AMC TAMIAMI 18

 

DIGITAL

6pm- 22/63(+7)

9:40pm- 13/63(+3)

 

REAL D 3D

7pm- 17/67(no change)

 

Total 52/193(+10)

 

DUNE THURSDAY OCTOBER 21 AMC TAMIAMI 18

 

DIGITAL

6pm- 31/63(+9)

9:40pm- 20/63(+7)

 

REAL D 3D

7pm- 19/67(+2)

 

Total 70/193(+18)

 

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

On 10/13/2021 at 12:45 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Eternals Harkins T-23 Days

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	189	48,883	335	0.69%	$3,860	$11.52
Cine 1	16	4,818	659	13.68%	$10,217	$15.50
Cine Capri	4	1,782	54	3.03%	$768	$14.22
IMAX	2	890	128	14.38%	$1,920	$15.00
3D	10	1,623	5	0.31%	$73	$14.60
Total	221	57,996	1,181	2.04%	$16,838	$14.26

 

Comps

1.75x Shang Chi two days of sales - $15.4M

 

I don't remember if SC day two was boosted by something, hopefully this stick around this ratio.

Eternals Harkins T-17 Days

 

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	189	48,883	580	1.19%	$6,851	$11.81
Cine 1	16	4,818	939	19.49%	$14,513	$15.46
Cine Capri	4	1,782	56	3.14%	$798	$14.25
IMAX	2	890	172	19.33%	$2,580	$15.00
3D	12	1,988	5	0.25%	$73	$14.60
Total	223	58,361	1,752	3.00%	$24,815	$14.16

 

Comps

1.29x Shang Chi seven days of sales - $11.35M

0.76x Black Widow T-17 days - $10M ($11.6M adjusted for ATP & Canada)

 

Will check how it do tomorrow after reaction drop. 6 days pace is almost par Black Widow which had reaction drop T-19th day. Next serious check will be T-10 days, should target 2500+ by then.

 

Chart

Edited October 19, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[john2000]

5 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Eternals need to improve its pace otherwise it ain't getting close to expectation after first day of sales. 

 

Edit: No massive red flags yet. There is time.

I mean the movie is still verg far away for it to gain momentum and espeially with no reviews/reactions for now.Anyway hopefully it picks up

[DAJK]

11 hours ago, YourMother said:

While there’s still another day before I give Dune’s statistics from my theater, it may be overindexing as it’s already 67% of what Shang-Chi and LTBC sold on the Tuesday before release, meaning it would give some crazy numbers like $5.9m-$7.77m previews/$51m-$61m OW, anyone else getting big numbers for Dune?

Huge here. HUGE.

 

more to come. Busy day today, it’s 3 AM and I haven’t slept yet

[Legion Again]

Canada skew should be even heavier than bond considering max vs no max

[Eric the Fall Guy]

On 10/17/2021 at 11:48 PM, Eric Atreides said:

Dune Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	1172	7031	16.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 108

 

Comp

0.836x of F9 T-4 (5.94M)

0.349x of Black Widow T-4 (4.61M)

1.934x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (7.93M)

0.591x of Shang-Chi T-4 (5.2M)

0.821x of Venom 2 T-4 (9.53M)

0.887x of No Time to Die T-4 (5.59M)

Dune Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	40	1311	7788	16.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 139

 

Comp

0.810x of F9 T-3 (5.75M)

0.359x of Black Widow T-3 (4.73M)

1.769x of The Suicide Squad T-3 (7.25M)

0.569x of Shang-Chi T-3 (5.01M)

0.745x of Venom 2 T-3 (8.64M)

0.841x of No Time to Die T-3 (5.3M)