The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[grim22]

SoCal showtimes:

 

Pirates 5: 0 sellouts / 265 showtimes

 

Comps:

Apocalypse: 295 showtimes / 13 sellouts

Alice: 235 showtimes / 0 sellouts

F8: 335 showtimes / 12 sellouts

Guardians 2: 413 showtimes / 24 sellouts

CA3: 22 sellouts / 607 showtimes

BVS: 34 sellouts / 578 showtimes

ULTRON: 28 sellouts / 700 showtimes

SUICIDE SQUAD: 41 sellouts / 455 showtimes

MOCKINGJAY 1: 21 sellouts / 435 showtimes

FURIOUS 7: 55 sellouts / 471 showtimes

MAN OF STEEL: 48 sellouts / 220 showtimes (midnights only)

ROGUE ONE: 69 sellouts / 658 showtimes

 

[grim22]

Sellout count for Wonder Woman  a week in advance: 10 sellouts / 196 showtimes. Guessing it ends with close to 400 showtimes if not over.

[Alli]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

SoCal showtimes:

 

Pirates 5: 0 sellouts / 265 showtimes

 

Comps:

Apocalypse: 295 showtimes / 13 sellouts

Alice: 235 showtimes / 0 sellouts

F8: 335 showtimes / 12 sellouts

Guardians 2: 413 showtimes / 24 sellouts

CA3: 22 sellouts / 607 showtimes

BVS: 34 sellouts / 578 showtimes

ULTRON: 28 sellouts / 700 showtimes

SUICIDE SQUAD: 41 sellouts / 455 showtimes

MOCKINGJAY 1: 21 sellouts / 435 showtimes

FURIOUS 7: 55 sellouts / 471 showtimes

MAN OF STEEL: 48 sellouts / 220 showtimes (midnights only)

ROGUE ONE: 69 sellouts / 658 showtimes

 

[Plain Old Tele]

GUARDIANS 2 would seem like a good target for WW. 

[CJohn]

21 minutes ago, grim22 said:

SoCal showtimes:

 

Pirates 5: 0 sellouts / 265 showtimes

 

Comps:

Apocalypse: 295 showtimes / 13 sellouts

Alice: 235 showtimes / 0 sellouts

F8: 335 showtimes / 12 sellouts

Guardians 2: 413 showtimes / 24 sellouts

CA3: 22 sellouts / 607 showtimes

BVS: 34 sellouts / 578 showtimes

ULTRON: 28 sellouts / 700 showtimes

SUICIDE SQUAD: 41 sellouts / 455 showtimes

MOCKINGJAY 1: 21 sellouts / 435 showtimes

FURIOUS 7: 55 sellouts / 471 showtimes

MAN OF STEEL: 48 sellouts / 220 showtimes (midnights only)

ROGUE ONE: 69 sellouts / 658 showtimes

 

[Jonwo]

1 minute ago, Tele Came Back said:

GUARDIANS 2 would seem like a good target for WW. 

 

In terms of sellouts or OW?

[Plain Old Tele]

1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

 

In terms of sellouts or OW?

 

Preview sellouts/showtimes. Either that or MJ 1. 

 

[ChipDerby]

WW is going to want to shoot for about $15-16 mil in Previews for a HUGE breakout. But anything near $10 mil would be GREAT.

[DAJK]

Holy shit, WW is really shaping up

[raegr]

No tracking today?

[Biggestgeekever]

2 hours ago, grim22 said:

SoCal showtimes:

 

Pirates 5: 0 sellouts / 265 showtimes

 

Comps:

Apocalypse: 295 showtimes / 13 sellouts

Alice: 235 showtimes / 0 sellouts

F8: 335 showtimes / 12 sellouts

Guardians 2: 413 showtimes / 24 sellouts

CA3: 22 sellouts / 607 showtimes

BVS: 34 sellouts / 578 showtimes

ULTRON: 28 sellouts / 700 showtimes

SUICIDE SQUAD: 41 sellouts / 455 showtimes

MOCKINGJAY 1: 21 sellouts / 435 showtimes

FURIOUS 7: 55 sellouts / 471 showtimes

MAN OF STEEL: 48 sellouts / 220 showtimes (midnights only)

ROGUE ONE: 69 sellouts / 658 showtimes

 

Pretty impressive for Pirates, to be honest. It's got 30 (thirty!!) more showtimes than Alice!

[TalismanRing]

2 hours ago, Tele Came Back said:

 

Preview sellouts/showtimes. Either that or MJ 1. 

 

 

It might be better to compare it to SS since it's DC. 

 

Note, BVS in that market had more than 50% more sellouts than CW in slightly fewer showings.  SS had 70% more than GOTG in 10% more showings.

 

Fandango Pulse: Pirates currently averaging 90+ sales per minute, Baywatch - 20.

[grim22]

2 hours ago, ChipMunky said:

WW is going to want to shoot for about $15-16 mil in Previews for a HUGE breakout. But anything near $10 mil would be GREAT.

 

Based on current showtimes and sellouts, I would guess 10-12M in previews. We will have a clearer picture next Wednesday.

 

44 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Pretty impressive for Pirates, to be honest. It's got 30 (thirty!!) more showtimes than Alice!

 

To be fair, anecdotally, the showtimes are better attended than Alice for sure. Pirates is hurting badly because it does not have the PLF screens, it is getting IMAX but Baywatch has like 80% of PLF. Next weekend Wonder Woman takes both IMAX and PLF.

[grim22]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

 

It might be better to compare it to SS since it's DC. 

 

Note, BVS in that market had more than 50% more sellouts than CW in slightly fewer showings.  SS had 70% more than GOTG in 10% more showings.

 

Fandango Pulse: Pirates currently averaging 90+ sales per minute, Baywatch - 20.

 

GOTG2 ended up with more sellouts than the number I have in the list. That number is from Thursday morning because I could not do a Thursday evening sellout check.

[TalismanRing]

Just now, grim22 said:

 

Based on current showtimes and sellouts, I would guess 10-12M in previews. We will have a clearer picture next Wednesday.

 

 

To be fair, anecdotally, the showtimes are better attended than Alice for sure. Pirates is hurting badly because it does not have the PLF screens, it is getting IMAX but Baywatch has like 80% of PLF. Next weekend Wonder Woman takes both IMAX and PLF.

 

 

Hmm....it would have to have a much larger than usual DC  internal multiplier with that to hit $100m o/w.  With $12m it would need near a GOTG2 internal of 8.5

[Plain Old Tele]

2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

 

Hmm....it would have to have a much larger than usual DC  internal multiplier with that to hit $100m o/w.  With $12m it would need near a GOTG2 internal of 8.5

 

I have no idea whether it'll have the usual DC rush or not. For some reason I think it'll be relatively backloaded compared to BVS or SS but it's just a gut feeling. 

[Nova]

1 minute ago, Tele Came Back said:

 

I have no idea whether it'll have the usual DC rush or not. For some reason I think it'll be relatively backloaded compared to BVS or SS but it's just a gut feeling. 

With a GOTG multiplier though, it would make it very backloaded, imo. I think it'll be backloaded as well and I think $10-12M is what it would need to get to $100-110M imo. I don't think $10-12M in previews will get it to say $130M though. 

[Plain Old Tele]

2 minutes ago, Nova said:

With a GOTG multiplier though, it would make it very backloaded, imo. I think it'll be backloaded as well and I think $10-12M is what it would need to get to $100-110M imo. I don't think $10-12M in previews will get it to say $130M though. 

 

Tentatively I agree with you. It'll be interesting to see if it gets closer to MJ1. 

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, Tele Came Back said:

 

Tentatively I agree with you. It'll be interesting to see if it gets closer to MJ1. 

I'm actually really really excited to follow this OW because I honestly have no fucking clue what to expect. I just don't expect it to be frontloaded....other than that I have got no clue 

[Jonwo]

Previews aren't a great indicator for the OW, Beauty and the Beast did $16m previews for example although that was in March. I get the feeling once the reviews hit, we'll see a surge in bookings.