The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[jj99]

could wondy make more than Cars today?

[PhantomX1313]

Cars got a speeding ticket 

[efialtes76]

MT

 

1.Wonder Woman 29.9%

2.Cars 3 27.4%

3.All Eyez On Me 9.2%

4.The Mummy 6.7%

5.PoTC5 4.3%

[grim22]

Presale updates: 

 

- Transformers 48 hours out is equal to Alien 72 hours out

- Spider-Man is pretty much equal to Wonder Woman and slightly less than half of Guardians roughly 3 weeks out

- Despicable Me 3 outpacing Pets at the same point in time

[Arlborn]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Presale updates: 

 

- Transformers 48 hours out is equal to Alien 72 hours out

- Spider-Man is pretty much equal to Wonder Woman and slightly less than half of Guardians roughly 3 weeks out

- Despicable Me 3 outpacing Pets at the same point in time

Those updates are the true rainbows and unicorns of BOT. Much appreciated.

Edited June 18, 2017 by Arlborn

[BenedictL11]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Presale updates: 

 

- Transformers 48 hours out is equal to Alien 72 hours out

- Spider-Man is pretty much equal to Wonder Woman and slightly less than half of Guardians roughly 3 weeks out

- Despicable Me 3 outpacing Pets at the same point in time

I'm thinking Transformers will be under $75M 5-day based on this. What are your predictions?

 

Also, awesome for DM3. $100M+ OW is not impossible.

[MattW]

http://deadline.com/2017/06/cars-3-all-eyez-on-me-tupac-shakur-rough-night-scarlett-johansson-mandy-moore-47-meters-below-1202114764/

Universal’s threequel Despicable Me 3 arrives in 12 days with an expected three-day of $85M-$90M

 

That would more or less match up with DM3 doing similar presales to SLoP

[grim22]

Stumbled onto this comp while building a comp database - not sure if it is valid or not. But Transformers presales 48 hours before previews are 75% of Power Rangers was 48 hours before previews. Maybe the date change hurt sales.

[WrathOfHan]

30 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Presale updates: 

 

- Transformers 48 hours out is equal to Alien 72 hours out

- Spider-Man is pretty much equal to Wonder Woman and slightly less than half of Guardians roughly 3 weeks out

- Despicable Me 3 outpacing Pets at the same point in time

I'm fully convinced Transformers' 3 day will be below Alien's OW. Good numbers for the other two releases, though obviously DM3 would be selling better than an original property. The proximity of those numbers would paint a better picture; Cars would be a good comp if you have it.

 

6 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Stumbled onto this comp while building a comp database - not sure if it is valid or not. But Transformers presales 48 hours before previews are 75% of Power Rangers was 48 hours before previews. Maybe the date change hurt sales.

Eh, I think the release date is/was irrelevant; this movie would perform the same anywhere. I've been saying this for many months, but The Last Knight basically appeals to fans only.

[grim22]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I'm fully convinced Transformers' 3 day will be below Alien's OW. Good numbers for the other two releases, though obviously DM3 would be selling better than an original property. The proximity of those numbers would paint a better picture; Cars would be a good comp if you have it.

 

Eh, I think the release date is/was irrelevant; this movie would perform the same anywhere. I've been saying this for many months, but The Last Knight basically appeals to fans only.

 

No Cars numbers from 10 days out unfortunately. The only update received was 3 days out. DM3 is higher than literally every other animated comp not named Pets, Cars, Moana or Dory for even 3 days out numbers.

[CJohn]

DM3 might somehow do 100M OW after all.

[John Marston]

29 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I'm fully convinced Transformers' 3 day will be below Alien's OW. Good numbers for the other two releases, though obviously DM3 would be selling better than an original property. The proximity of those numbers would paint a better picture; Cars would be a good comp if you have it.

 

Eh, I think the release date is/was irrelevant; this movie would perform the same anywhere. I've been saying this for many months, but The Last Knight basically appeals to fans only.

 

 

It wont be. TF will be strong with walk ups. It will open lower than the others but definitely better than Alien 

[MattW]

Transformers is tracking for 70m for 5 days, which would be high 40s for FSS, as low as 45 depending on how the days go.

[WrathOfHan]

4 minutes ago, MattW said:

Transformers is tracking for 70m for 5 days, which would be high 40s for FSS, as low as 45 depending on how the days go.

Considering we have presales from the country's biggest chain, that tracking looks too high now.

[MattW]

17 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Considering we have presales from the country's biggest chain, that tracking looks too high now.

2nd biggest? And yeah, tracking's probably a bit high

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, MattW said:

2nd biggest? And yeah, tracking's probably a bit high

Ever since the Carmike acquisition, AMC has become the biggest chain in the US.

[YM!]

Good for SMH, although with Iron Man added in, I expected presales to be higher. Wonder if it can pick up on sales also it can correlate with a larger OW.

Good for DM3, $100M+ OW is back on the table.

Complete shit for TTLK, I know Transformers movies have bad presales but this is kind of alarming.

[keysersoze123]

Spidey could do worse than Wonder Woman considering it will be more PS heavy with IM and Spidey together. May be it will be in the lower end of the range posted by deadline. 

[dxmatrixdt]

I have been thinking Hobbit 3 since the release date was changed.

17 1  $24,452,117 - / - 3,875 / $6,310 $24,452,117 / 1	18 1   1 $9,955,093 $34,407,210 -59.3% / - - / - 3,875 / $2,569 $8,879 $34,407,210 / 2	19 1  $16,563,371 66.4% / - 3,875 / $4,274 $50,970,581 / 3	20 1  $21,397,014 29.2% / - 3,875 / $5,522 $72,367,595 / 4
21 1   1 $16,763,949 $54,724,334 -21.7% / - - / - 3,875 / $4,326 $14,122 $89,131,544 / 5

[FlashMaster659]

Pulse

 

1. WW

2. All Eyez

3. Cars

4. Mummy

5. 47M