Weekend Actuals: 36.2 M ALIEN: COVENANT | 34.7 M GOTG II | 11.7 M EVERYTHING, EVERYTHING

[TwoMisfits]

None of my theaters have made decisions on screens for CU.  I'm sure they'll look at drops from Snatched/King Arthur from last weekend and then this weekend's openers before they decide how many of those movies they can drop screens or showings (or all together) to make room for the 2 big openers, WW and CU.  I think it will be a lot more open than it seems now for CU (and WW) to get the screens and showings they need for good OWs...

Edited May 20, 2017 by TwoMisfits

[drdungbeetle]

Okay, did Wimpy Kid somehow tie Guardians like that one guy said or do I get to laugh until my brain explodes over it?

[WrathOfHan]

Are people seriously taking what I said about my theater with GOTG and Wimpy Kid as the actual studio estimates?  

[Caladbolg]

1	ALIEN: COVENANT Fox 3,761	$15,350,000 -- / $4,081 $15,350,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2 Buena Vista 4,347	$8,804,000 +138.2% / $2,025 $275,541,474 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	EVERYTHING, EVERYTHING Warner Bros. 2,801	$4,720,000 -- / $1,685 $4,720,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	SNATCHED Fox 3,511	$2,275,000 +112.6% / $648 $27,457,600 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	DIARY OF A WIMPY KID: THE LONG HAUL Fox 3,157	$2,000,000 -- / $634 $2,000,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	KING ARTHUR: LEGEND OF THE SWORD Warner Bros. 3,702	$1,950,000 +107.1% / $527 $22,301,221 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	THE FATE OF THE FURIOUS Universal 2,287	$818,000 +152.9% / $358 $217,528,300 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	BEAUTY AND THE BEAST (2017) Buena Vista 1,792	$625,000 +130.4% / $349 $496,004,049 / 64	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	THE BOSS BABY Fox 2,071	$590,000 +152.7% / $285 $163,942,550 / 50	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	HOW TO BE A LATIN LOVER Pantelion 948	$500,000 +171.2% / $527 $27,758,810 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A

[WrathOfHan]

TAKE THAT, DEADLINE! UP .15M  

[The Panda]

Guardians is looking at a 33-35m weekend (-48%)

 

I'm seeing best case Alien may get 38m.  More likely it'll open in the 34-36m range. (So 80-95m DOM range likely)

[fabiopazzo2]

Decee club it's alive!!!

[WrathOfHan]

15.4M

15.4M

10.3M

41.1M Weekend

 

I don't see it dropping much if at all today. Even Resident Evil and Underworld managed to increase.

[a2k]

8.8 for GOTG2 with CW's Sat and Sun holds in 3rd weekend will give 33.7

34-34.5 would be a 47-48% drop, great considering Sun-Sun decline will be higher than usual.

Next weekend should be solid again and then the real summer kicks in.

381 would be 2.6x and is still alive after 3 weekends.

[filmlover]

Alien number is what it is. Solid start for Everything Everything, which will end up making a nice profit given how little it cost to make. Diary of a Wimpy Kid is a nonstarter as expected.

[a2k]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

15.4M

15.4M

10.3M

41.1M Weekend

 

I don't see it dropping much if at all today. Even Resident Evil and Underworld managed to increase.

 

15.4 sat requires a 37-38% bump from true Friday (11.2). That's an insane bump and not happening.

20% bump from true Fri would give 13.4 and using a great -23.8% hold on Sunday would give 10.2:

15.4+13.4+10.2=39

That's max imo. Thinking 37-38.

[Firepower]

The biggest problem with Covenant marketing is that it was marketed as a horror/slasher movie. One of the reasons Prometheus made more money because it was marketed as big epic blockbuster/event movie and it attracted many non-fans, it was less front-loaded. They should've marketed Covenant as big event movie too, so it was very dumb move to market it as slasher because horror genre makes much less money than good big event movies, which have wider audience than horror genre.

[drdungbeetle]

The real disappointment will be when Transformers 5 opens. Most people weren't expecting Covenant to hit Prometheus level.

[The Panda]

10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

15.4M

15.4M

10.3M

41.1M Weekend

 

I don't see it dropping much if at all today. Even Resident Evil and Underworld managed to increase.

 

Prometheus had a pretty big Saturday drop (with midnights instead of previews), and Alien is under GOTG on Pulse today (which is looking at around 14-15m today), which indicates a pretty heavy drop from Friday.

 

40m+ just seems to optimistic now.

[babz06]

Looks like Everything, Everything isn't going to be frontloaded like Paper Towns was. Nice rebound from Friday previews.

 

Alien Convenant unspectacular numbers. Should have left it in August, the competition coming up is fierce.

 

im scared for this summer, I feel like it's 2014 redux.

[nomyth]

Ouch. I shouldn't have gone high on Wimpy Kid. Really thought it was good for close to 10M at least. What a drop for the franchise. Hoping for strong Saturday and Sunday.

[marveldcfox]

Pretty sure some of Wimp's money was added to AC since both are from the same studio.

[babz06]

9 minutes ago, Firepower said:

The biggest problem with Covenant marketing is that it was marketed as a horror/slasher movie. One of the reasons Prometheus made more money because it was marketed as big epic blockbuster/event movie and it attracted many non-fans, it was less front-loaded. They should've marketed Covenant as big event movie too, so it was very dumb move to market it as slasher because horror genre makes much less money than good big event movies, which have wider audience than horror genre.

Really? I don't think that's the reason. Both Split and Get out will outgross Alien:Covenant. The franchise was never an "event" movie, it never broke out from its core fan base.

[drdungbeetle]

1 minute ago, marveldcfox said:

Pretty sure some of Wimp's money was added to AC since both are from the same studio.

No, it wasn't.  If Covenant doesn't hit 100 mil US it would be worthless to do so anyway. People on this site love their conspiracy theories though.

[marveldcfox]

AVP did $16,442,987  on OD 13 years ago. OUCH. The only man laughing right now is Paul WS Anderson

Edited May 20, 2017 by marveldcfox