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Finnick

Tuesday Numbers: DUNKIRK:$7.38M | GT:$4.44M | SMH:$4.13M | APES:$3.32M | DP3:$2.85M | BD:$1.14M

By Finnick, in Numbers and Data

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
Posted

You know...for those hoping for 4x+ legs for Dunkirk, Movietickets.com data is starting not to be your friend.  Dunkirk has been steadily receiving a lesser and lesser portion of the ticket buying audience all week while other holdovers are gaining in it.  This wouldn't mean much for a teen-skewing movie, but b/c movietickets.com buys skew older, I don't think it's a great sign for Wed/Thurs holds, either...still so early for the movie and dead August coming, but this, like Spidey, might have had a huge opening weekend rush that it will have to settle out of before hitting its stride...

 

Here's the current numbers (lowest for Dunkirk all week, but it's dropped steadily from the low 30s Sunday night on down)...

 

23.6%
Dunkirk
17.2%
 Girls Trip
12%
 Spider-Man: Homecoming
9.5%
 War for the Planet of the Apes
6.8%
 Fidaa

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Fancyarcher Global Phenomenon

Fancyarcher

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I think so also. $150M-$200M is my range. 2018 will be their comeback year and 2020 is their true test when they have three originals with potential under a new approach which they hope will be their DM.

They have two Sony Picture Animated films lined up for 2018. One of them is a sequel, and the other that proposed Peter Rabbit adaptation could surprise at this point.

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AndyK Blockbuster

AndyK

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Jonwo said:

Sony seems to throwing ideas against the wall and seeing what sticks and it's resulted in films like Emoji and The Star. For all the slack Illumination get, they've much better than SPA 

Ad Bloodshot to that list.

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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

They have two Sony Picture Animated films lined up for 2018. One of them is a sequel, and the other that proposed Peter Rabbit adaptation could surprise at this point.

They have 4. Peter Rabbit, HT3, Goosebumps 2, and Animated Spider-Man. Peter Rabbit benefits from a barren family market too.

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Barnack Global Phenomenon

Barnack

Posted
Posted
33 minutes ago, cannastop said:

And speaking of that, has anyone noticed how nearly all family movies made today are animated?


I guess between all of the animated studios and superheroes, there isn't room for anything else.

The G rating completely went away over the year's, almost 100% purely documentary.

 

In 1995 G movies were 8% of the domestic BO (with movie like toy story, babe, pocahontas), they were 0.1% of last year box office.

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/market/mpaa-ratings

 

PG still exist but is really dominated by animation, Top PG movies in 1995:

1 Apollo 13 6/30/1995 Drama Universal $172,070,496 39,556,435
2 Casper 5/26/1995 Comedy Universal $100,328,194 23,063,952
3 While You Were Sleeping 4/21/1995 Romantic Comedy Walt Disney $81,057,016 18,633,796
4 Jumanji 12/15/1995 Adventure Sony Pictures $57,848,637 13,298,537
5 Father of the Bride Part II 12/8/1995 Comedy Walt Disney $52,265,735 12,015,111
6 Man of the House 3/3/1995 Comedy Walt Disney $40,029,009 9,202,071
7 Mighty Morphin Power Rangers: The Movie 6/30/1995 Adventure 20th Century Fox $37,785,198 8,686,252
8 The Indian in the Cupboard 7/14/1995 Adventure Paramount Pictures $35,627,222 8,190,165
9 Sabrina 12/15/1995 Romantic Comedy Paramount Pictures $30,788,670 7,077,855
10 Free Willy 2: The Adventure Home 7/19/1995 Drama Warner Bros. $30,077,111 6,914,278

 

Many live action movie including something like Appollo 13

 

2016 top 10 PG movie:

1 Finding Dory 6/17/2016 Adventure Walt Disney $486,295,561 56,219,140
2 The Secret Life of Pets 7/8/2016 Adventure Universal $368,384,330 42,587,783
3 The Jungle Book 4/15/2016 Adventure Walt Disney $364,001,123 42,081,054
4 Zootopia 3/4/2016 Adventure Walt Disney $341,268,248 39,452,976
5 Moana 11/23/2016 Adventure Walt Disney $210,046,114 24,282,787
6 Sing 12/21/2016 Adventure Universal $166,497,820 19,248,302
7 Trolls 11/4/2016 Adventure 20th Century Fox $150,336,645 17,379,958
8 Kung Fu Panda 3 1/29/2016 Adventure 20th Century Fox $143,528,619 16,592,903
9 The Angry Birds Movie 5/20/2016 Adventure Sony Pictures $107,509,366 12,428,828
10 Alice Through the Looking Glass 5/27/2016 Adventure Walt Disney $77,042,381 8,906,633

 

Just one live action at number 10

 

2017:

1 Beauty and the Beast 3/17/2017 Musical Walt Disney $504,014,165 58,267,533
2 Despicable Me 3 6/30/2017 Comedy Universal $215,947,125 24,964,985
3 The Lego Batman Movie 2/10/2017 Adventure Warner Bros. $175,750,384 20,317,963
4 The Boss Baby 3/31/2017 Comedy 20th Century Fox $174,481,618 20,171,285
5 Hidden Figures 12/25/2016 Drama 20th Century Fox $167,049,358 19,312,064
6 Sing 12/21/2016 Adventure Universal $103,831,225 12,003,609
7 Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie 6/2/2017 Comedy 20th Century Fox $71,938,377 8,316,575
8 A Dog’s Purpose 1/27/2017 Drama Universal $64,321,890 7,436,056
9 Smurfs: The Lost Village 4/7/2017 Adventure Sony Pictures $44,986,234 5,200,720
10 Moana 11/23/2016 Adventure Walt Disney $38,710,930 4,475,252
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John Marston Global Phenomenon

John Marston

Posted
Posted
Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (2) Girls Trip Universal $4,441,010 +28% 2,591 $1,714   $39,107,730 5
- (5) Despicable Me 3 Universal $2,853,225 +23% 3,525 $809   $218,800,350 26
- (11) Transformers: The Last Knight Paramount Pictures $201,572 +29% 1,025 $197   $127,963,943 35
- (-) The Beguiled Focus Features $47,755 +16% 331 $144   $10,249,984 33
- (-) The Mummy Universal $34,895 +9% 214 $163   $79,467,930 47
- (-) A Ghost Story A24 $23,802 +25% 43 $554   $519,289 19
- (-) Baywatch Paramount Pictures $13,535 +6% 125 $108   $58,035,798 62
- (-) It Comes at Night A24 $3,993 +38% 33 $121   $13,822,773 47
- (-) The Exception A24 $3,087 +5% 28 $110   $657,930 54
Our box office charts are compiled from data provided to us by distributors. To
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MrPink Global Phenomenon

MrPink

Posted
Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

You know...for those hoping for 4x+ legs for Dunkirk, Movietickets.com data is starting not to be your friend.  Dunkirk has been steadily receiving a lesser and lesser portion of the ticket buying audience all week while other holdovers are gaining in it.  This wouldn't mean much for a teen-skewing movie, but b/c movietickets.com buys skew older, I don't think it's a great sign for Wed/Thurs holds, either...still so early for the movie and dead August coming, but this, like Spidey, might have had a huge opening weekend rush that it will have to settle out of before hitting its stride...

 

Here's the current numbers (lowest for Dunkirk all week, but it's dropped steadily from the low 30s Sunday night on down)...

 

23.6%
Dunkirk
17.2%
 Girls Trip
12%
 Spider-Man: Homecoming
9.5%
 War for the Planet of the Apes
6.8%
 Fidaa

 

As long as legs are good, I'm OK. Besides, despite declining MT numbers since Sunday, the actual Monday/Tuesday numbers have been fine. Worst case scenario doesn't appear to be pointing to more than a 50% drop. Not good enough to reach 4x, but enough for a solid 160 or so performance

Edited by MrPink
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kswiston Sleeper Hit

kswiston

Posted
Posted (edited)

Online ticket sales might scale older, if by that you mean Millennials or Gen X. But Dunkirk is also going to get the Boomer audience, and I doubt many of them are hitting up Fandango before taking a trip to the cinema. 

 

Homecoming's First Tuesday was 29.5% of its opening night (42.5% without previews)  and a bit more than 51% of its first Sunday. 

 

Dunkirk's Tuesday is over 37% of its first Friday (52% without previews) and about 56% of its first Sunday. 

 

I don't think that this weekend will show much frontloading, even if a 4x multi is optimistic. 

Edited by kswiston
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Fancyarcher Global Phenomenon

Fancyarcher

Posted
Posted
42 minutes ago, YourMother said:

They have 4. Peter Rabbit, HT3, Goosebumps 2, and Animated Spider-Man. Peter Rabbit benefits from a barren family market too.

 

Goosebumps 2 is at least 50% live-action so I wasn't including it, but yes I could see Peter Rabbit doing 36 / 124, as long as the competition is not fierce. 

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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted
Just now, Fancyarcher said:

 

Goosebumps 2 is at least 50% live-action so I wasn't including it, but yes I could see Peter Rabbit doing 36 / 124, as long as the competition is not fierce. 

Gnomes doesn't open until March 23rd and that's its only family competition, WIT and Panther (although I see WIT doing $200M and Panther doing $300M) may be too dark for some families and Early Man is a stop motion movie that'll do $30M.

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