THE LAST JEDI (and Ferdinand) WEEKEND THREAD | JEDI 220m, FERDINAND 13.3m, COCO 10m (official estimates) | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS ALLOWED | SALE ON GOLD & PREMIUM ACCOUNTS IN FIRST POST

[George Parr]

3 minutes ago, Talkie said:

I loved TLJ myself. But even though I'm a day-one fan, I don't think that the current lot of online Star Wars fanatics would count me among their number. 

I don't think that there really is such a thing as a coherent group of online Star Wars fanatics. The fanbase is way too large, even the obviously much smaller hardcore base, for it to be clearly defined group.

 

Even when just talking about general groups, which doesn't take individual opinions into account, you have the purists ("everything but the OT sucks!"), the legacy fans ("the old EU was soo much better than this new stuff!"), the ones who hate the prequels but like the new ones ("practical effects, not this CGI stuff!"), and the ones who like all movies to varying degrees. None of them are clearly dominating the fanbase, at least not when it comes to the noise they make online.

[Carlangonz]

4 minutes ago, SoSaysI said:

I don't think it will be as big as the first domestically but I think Avatar 2 will clear $2 billion worldwide and even if it doesn't reach the heights of the first there is no way that can be construed as a disappointment. 

Yeah, Avatar franchise will be huge overseas as SW is in DOM. I think US/Canada and China be enough for $1B

[LinksterAC]

I saw TLJ yesterday, and as a lifelong Star Wars fan, I definitely had some problems with it that I think other SW die-hards will share.  I also wouldn't be surprised if repeat viewings eventually turn this into one of my favorite movies in the series.  It gave me a lot to think about, and I'm eager to see it again.

 

That said, it's an undeniably well-made movie, and I think general audiences are going to lap it up.  My wife is as GA as they get, and it's probably her favorite Star Wars movie.

 

I doubt it's going to see bad legs, and I'm not surprised its first true Friday is so similar to its predecessor.  I don't think it'll match TFA, but with a longer holiday period than in 2015, and such positive impressions from general audiences, it won't see a huge drop-off.  I put it's over O/U line domestically at Avatar.

[nickitaly]

Well well well, the numbers are growin... real friday is very intresting compared to TFA

[FlashMaster659]

TFA previews to true Friday change - +9.0%

TLJ previews to true Friday change - +32.9%

 

Saturday should be very strong for TLJ.

[Krissykins]

13 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Might go see The Disaster Artist today

It needs your help! 

 

[RichWS]

Thurs: 45

True Friday: 59.787

Sat: 65.765 (10%)

Sun: 55.9 (-15%) = 226.452

[Valonqar]

39 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

TLJ previews - 78.9% of TFA

TLJ true Friday - 96.2% of TFA

 

Amazing.

That's a great news for legs, no? 

[#ED]

Studio estimate?

[filmlover]

The Shape of Water  (FSL), 158 theaters (+117) / $490K Fri /3-day cume: $1.5M (+35%) /PTA: $9,4k /Total: $3.4M/Wk 3

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, MO (FSL), 944 theaters (-676) / $416K  Fri / 3-day cume: $1.4M (-50%) /Total: $21.1M /Wk 6

Just Getting Started  (BG), 1,840 theaters (-321)/ $315K Fri/3-day cume: $1M (-68%)/Total: $5.5M/Wk 2

Darkest Hour (FOC), 84 theaters (+31)/ $212K Fri /3-day cume: $730K (-2%) /PTA: $8,7K/ Total: $2.2M/ Wk 4

Call Me By Your Name  (SPC), 30 theaters (+21)/ $149K Fri/3-day cume: $517k (+81%) /PTA: $17,2K /Total: $2M/Wk 4

I, Tonya (NEON), 5 theaters (+1) / $41k Fri/PTA: $27,8k/3-day cume: $139k(-47%)/Total: $516K/Wk 2

http://deadline.com/2017/12/the-last-jedi-star-wars-opening-box-office-records-1202228444/

Edited December 16, 2017 by filmlover

[a2k]

Trying to play around with numbers to see how it misses 210 and managed a sort of pessimistic:

45 + 59.8 + 57.35 (-4%) + 47.6 (-17%) = 209.75

57 + 62.1 + 68.3 (+10%) + 60.6 (-11.3%) = 248 SW7

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, #ED said:

Studio estimate?

 

Yes. 

[a2k]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	-	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$104,787,000	-	-	4,232	$24,761	$104,787,000	1
2	-	Ferdinand	Fox	$3,600,000	-	-	3,621	$994	$3,600,000	1
3	1	Coco	BV	$2,243,000	+110%	-47%	3,155	$711	$143,028,896	24
4	2	Wonder	LGF	$1,480,000	+78%	-41%	3,047	$486	$105,336,738	29
5	3	Justice League	WB	$1,060,000	+88%	-58%	2,702	$392	$216,346,347	29
6	8	Daddy's Home 2	Par.	$910,000	+194%	-43%	2,493	$365	$93,689,982	36
7	4	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$780,000	+76%	-54%	1,895	$412	$304,174,120	43
8	5	The Disaster Artist	A24	$750,000	+80%	-72%	1,010	$743	$11,045,131	15
9	6	Murder on the Orient Express (2017)	Fox	$675,000	+97%	-55%	1,923	$351	$95,457,742	36
10	7	Lady Bird	A24	$550,000	+63%	-46%	947	$581	$24,419,389	43
11	-	The Shape of Water	FoxS	$490,000	+378%	+22%	158	$3,101	$2,372,564	15
12	9	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$416,000	+44%	-50%	944	$441	$20,164,978	36
-	10	The Star	Sony	$400,000	+45%	-50%	1,936	$207	$34,000,220	29
-	-	Darkest Hour	Focus	$212,000	+205%	+1%	84	$2,524	$1,702,848	24
-	-	Roman J. Israel, Esq.	Sony	$37,000	-35%	-85%	238	$155	$11,625,747	29
-	-	Jigsaw	LGF	$24,000	+240%	-47%	181	$133	$37,930,629	50
-	-	Marshall	ORF	$4,794	-21%	-80%	71	$68	$9,414,407	64
-	-	Last Flag Flying	LGF	$2,400	-58%	-83%	18	$133	$953,113	43
-	-	Painted Woman	Amor	$140	-24%	-91%	1	$140	$10,030	36

[fabiopazzo2]

I hope TLJ break the Worldwide record

[NCsoft]

2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Trying to play around with numbers to see how it misses 210 and managed a sort of pessimistic:

45 + 59.8 + 57.35 (-4%) + 47.6 (-17%) = 209.75

57 + 62.1 + 68.3 (+10%) + 60.6 (-11.3%) = 248 SW7

How often does a mega-blockbuster ever decreased Saturday from true Friday, I assume not very likely?

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The Shape of Water  (FSL), 158 theaters (+117) / $490K Fri /3-day cume: $1.5M (+35%) /PTA: $9,4k /Total: $3.4M/Wk 3

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, MO (FSL), 944 theaters (-676) / $416K  Fri / 3-day cume: $1.4M (-50%) /Total: $21.1M /Wk 6

Just Getting Started  (BG), 1,840 theaters (-321)/ $315K Fri/3-day cume: $1M (-68%)/Total: $5.5M/Wk 2

Darkest Hour (FOC), 84 theaters (+31)/ $212K Fri /3-day cume: $730K (-2%) /PTA: $8,7K/ Total: $2.2M/ Wk 4

Call Me By Your Name  (SPC), 30 theaters (+21)/ $149K Fri/3-day cume: $517k (+81%) /PTA: $17,2K /Total: $2M/Wk 4

I, Tonya (NEON), 5 theaters (+1) / $41k Fri/PTA: $27,8k/3-day cume: $139k(-47%)/Total: $516K/Wk 2

http://deadline.com/2017/12/the-last-jedi-star-wars-opening-box-office-records-1202228444/

CMBYN is slowing down a bit; that PTA is below the second weekend of 3B/SOW/LB/Big Sick.

[NCsoft]

1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

I hope TLJ break the Worldwide record

Worldwide OW? That's definitely out of reach, even if it opens in China simultaneously.  

[Fancyarcher]

104m to 105m is great. Looks to open a little less then TFA, but hey that's nothing to scream about. 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

CMBYN is slowing down a bit; that PTA is below the second weekend of 3B/SOW/LB/Big Sick.

I wouldn't put much stake in the specialty releases starting to slow down for a bit right now. They're all fighting for screen space and attention right now (especially with Star Wars gobbling up everything), and their biggest boosts will come when the awards shows occur and the Oscar nominations are announced next month.

[Fancyarcher]

1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

3.) Coco(DIS), 3,155 theaters (-593) / Fri: $2.23M / 3-day cume: $9.2M(-50%)/Total: $150M / Wk 4

This is good, and Coco will probably go up with Sunday's hold too.