THE LAST JEDI (and Ferdinand) WEEKEND THREAD | JEDI 220m, FERDINAND 13.3m, COCO 10m (official estimates) | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS ALLOWED | SALE ON GOLD & PREMIUM ACCOUNTS IN FIRST POST

[CoolioD1]

Just now, Ethan Hunt said:

Greatest Showman is getting way underpredicted here. hype all over the place

agreed. one thing that i'm not seeing a lot of predictions take into account is that it is the greatest show.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Greatest Showman is getting way underpredicted here. hype all over the place

You live in a small town with a high school obsessed with High School Musical. Of course there's hype by you

[Porthos]

47 minutes ago, jjack339 said:

Longer term, I was just thinking that TLJ is lucky that NYE and CMas Eve fall on a sunday. Both of those days are very strong early day, but weaken at night.... just like a typical sunday.

Still a big drop near as I can tell.

 

The last time Xmas Eve fell on a Sunday was 2006:

 

Sticking to the Top 14 (to get Santa Clause 3 in):

 

<< PREVIOUS	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017	NEXT >>
Rank* Title Friday 12/22 Saturday 12/23 Sunday 12/24 1 NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM Fox 3,685 $12,134,015 -- / $3,293 $12,134,015 / 1 $12,591,264 +3.8% / $3,417 $24,725,279 / 2 $5,708,502 -54.7% / $1,549 $30,433,781 / 3 2 THE PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS Sony / Columbia 2,863 $5,355,504 +67.1% / $1,871 $43,642,399 / 8 $6,343,894 +18.5% / $2,216 $49,986,293 / 9 $3,117,973 -50.9% / $1,089 $53,104,266 / 10 3 THE GOOD SHEPHERD Universal 2,215 $3,521,850 -- / $1,590 $3,521,850 / 1 $4,263,875 +21.1% / $1,925 $7,785,725 / 2 $2,126,385 -50.1% / $960 $9,912,110 / 3 4 ROCKY BALBOA MGM 3,017 $4,981,165 +42.8% / $1,651 $14,674,379 / 3 $5,186,299 +4.1% / $1,719 $19,860,678 / 4 $1,990,704 -61.6% / $660 $21,851,382 / 5 5 THE NATIVITY STORY New Line 1,824 $1,467,000 (estimate) +22.9% / $804 $28,152,000 / 22 $2,003,000 (estimate) +36.5% / $1,098 $30,155,000 / 23 $1,538,000 (estimate) -23.2% / $843 $31,578,000 / 24 6 CHARLOTTE'S WEB (2006) Paramount 3,728 $3,092,000 +32.3% / $829 $21,901,466 / 8 $3,134,552 +1.4% / $841 $25,036,018 / 9 $1,339,754 -57.3% / $359 $26,375,772 / 10 7 ERAGON Fox 3,030 $2,734,769 +38.4% / $903 $33,230,471 / 8 $2,957,473 +8.1% / $976 $36,187,944 / 9 $1,314,225 -55.6% / $434 $37,502,169 / 10 8 HAPPY FEET Warner Bros. 2,565 $1,835,424 +18.8% / $716 $155,791,587 / 36 $2,211,650 +20.5% / $862 $158,003,237 / 37 $1,116,400 -49.5% / $435 $159,119,637 / 38 9 WE ARE MARSHALL Warner Bros. 2,606 $2,661,234 -- / $1,021 $3,761,234 / 1 $2,530,743 -4.9% / $971 $6,291,977 / 2 $922,287 -63.6% / $354 $7,214,264 / 3 10 THE HOLIDAY Sony / Columbia 2,635 $1,836,683 +30.6% / $697 $31,929,645 / 15 $2,100,391 +14.4% / $797 $34,030,036 / 16 $902,034 -57.1% / $342 $34,932,070 / 17 11 CASINO ROYALE Sony / Columbia 1,588 $1,036,265 +19.9% / $653 $141,605,665 / 36 $1,377,543 +32.9% / $867 $142,983,208 / 37 $729,912 -47% / $460 $143,713,120 / 38 12 BLOOD DIAMOND Warner Bros. 1,920 $1,036,978 +19.6% / $540 $23,039,728 / 15 $1,371,778 +32.3% / $714 $24,411,506 / 16 $717,623 -47.7% / $374 $25,129,129 / 17 13 APOCALYPTO Buena Vista 2,144 $1,037,585 +17.3% / $484 $32,761,741 / 15 $1,287,117 +24% / $600 $34,048,858 / 16 $544,023 -57.7% / $254 $34,592,881 / 17 14 THE SANTA CLAUSE 3: THE ESCAPE CLAUSE Buena Vista 801 $385,561 -8.6% / $481 $81,498,305 / 50 $490,492 +27.2% / $612 $81,988,797 / 51 $289,644 -40.9% / $362 $82,278,441 / 52

 

Now, Xmas Eve ALWAYS has harsh drops, so it's partially just shuffling things around.  But those are still harsher than normal Sun drops.

[somebody85]

4 hours ago, grey ghost said:

2) The controversy of the lopsided RT ratings and pissed off fanboys. This had to make people very curious.

 

Sure would be ironic if they ended up helping the film instead of hurting it

[Ethan Hunt]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

You live in a small town with a high school obsessed with High School Musical. Of course there's hype by you

and you live in the senior citizens home of the country 

[a2k]

This true Fri was unexpectedly big compared to the previews. 0-5% bump from it gives 59-61.

SW7 was +10% from true Fri.

Edited December 16, 2017 by a2knet

[Fullbuster]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

You live in a small town with a high school obsessed with High School Musical. Of course there's hype by you

 

I can understand, High School Musical was so cool back then

Edited December 16, 2017 by Fullbuster

[Ethan Hunt]

Just now, Fullbuster said:

 

I can understand, High School musical was so cool back then

It's still cool

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

and you live in the senior citizens home of the country 

It's embargoed until 3 AM on Wednesday, which is like 6-7 hours before the first shows begin. A certified FLOP.

Edited December 16, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Still a big drop near as I can tell.

 

The last time Xmas Eve fell on a Sunday was 2006:

 

Sticking to the Top 14 (to get Santa Clause 3 in):

 

Now, Xmas Eve ALWAYS has harsh drops, so it's partially just shuffling things around.  But those are still harsher than normal Sun drops.

Yeah. Like with Thanksgivings the reporting is usually around the 5-day weekend or maybe Fri-Mon 4-day weekend. Monday bumps from Sunday will be great.

[filmlover]

Star Wars is already selling out like crazy where I saw it last night (and where I'll be seeing The Shape of Water tonight). 

[DAJK]

So last Jedi 104M yesterday at my theatre. Based on REALLY early matinee numbers, the lowest I can see it going here is our equivalent of 63M for Saturday. But I could easily see it going as high as 66-67+

[Lordmandeep]

Yeah 60 million Saturday+ or I will a eat a shoe.

 

I am that certain

Edited December 16, 2017 by Lordmandeep

[Fullbuster]

By the way, unrelated to this thread but I'm pretty optimistic about Jumanji, I feel this movie will beat expectations, I can see a great WOM coming. I'm quite excited about it, more than any comicbook movie of the year, weirdly enough...

[Porthos]

11 minutes ago, somebody85 said:

 

Sure would be ironic if they ended up helping the film instead of hurting it

Their meeting right now trying to figure out how to stop this train:

 

 

(Obligatory:  Not directed at the folks with legitimate misgivings/gripes. )

[Fullbuster]

3 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Yeah 60 million Saturday+ or I will a eat a shoe.

 

I am that certain

 

59.9m SAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

[YM!]

21 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

You live in a small town with a high school obsessed with High School Musical. Of course there's hype by you

All high schools have some sort of passion for High School Musical. You just never been to one.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

All high schools have some sort of passion for High School Musical. You just never been to one.

 

[JonathanLB]

7 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Yeah 60 million Saturday+ or I will a eat a shoe.

 

I am that certain

I have one of my own of these going. Some guys on the Star Wars forum were talking about what if TLJ was so well reviewed that it won big Oscars. I wrote hahahahaha yeah good luck with that, if it wins Best Picture I will eat my underwear. I think I’m pretty damn safe but I said that pre-review embargo so the odds went from like 0.1% to 0.5%. Ha ha

[eddyxx]

53 minutes ago, The Last Panda said:

I've seen into the crystal ball,

 

TLJ Saturday will in fact be a big number.  So big that it may even be double digits!