MrPink Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Confirmation bias 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CenterMeOnSam Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, MrPink said: Confirmation bias Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, Darth Boh-ne'er said: So you come in here and state that there is in fact no explanation other than WOM, I counter your anecdotal evidence and I'm the one that needs a diaper change? You freaked out because I stated what I saw. That my audience didn't like it. A film that you have seen several times in such short time. Yes, you're a baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las… Walt Disney $20,254,189 -6% 4,232 $4,786 $261,820,146 5 2 (2) Ferdinand 20th Century Fox $1,803,799 +49% 3,621 $498 $16,411,997 5 3 (3) Coco Walt Disney $1,704,357 +45% 3,155 $540 $153,614,564 28 4 (4) Wonder Lionsgate $1,216,906 +41% 3,047 $399 $111,165,140 33 5 (5) Justice League Warner Bros. $735,647 +41% 2,702 $272 $220,852,564 33 6 (7) Daddy’s Home 2 Paramount Pictures $618,796 +36% 2,493 $248 $97,666,306 40 7 (8) Thor: Ragnarok Walt Disney $598,002 +36% 1,895 $316 $307,566,331 47 8 (6) The Disaster Artist A24 $546,378 +18% 1,010 $541 $14,020,502 19 9 (9) Murder on the Orient Express 20th Century Fox $525,937 +31% 1,923 $273 $98,237,461 40 10 (11) Lady Bird A24 $397,389 +21% 947 $420 $26,694,438 47 11 (13) Three Billboards Outside Eb… Fox Searchlight $275,318 +24% 944 $292 $21,833,905 40 12 (12) The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight $273,569 +11% 158 $1,731 $4,114,190 19 13 (14) A Bad Moms Christmas STX Entertainment $235,969 +25% 1,038 $227 $71,177,743 49 14 (15) Darkest Hour Focus Features $135,996 +17% 84 $1,619 $2,590,672 28 15 (-) Blade Runner 2049 Warner Bros. $24,590 +37% 121 $203 $91,502,673 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 My audience laughed a lot, and the second time I saw TLJ, someone clapped at certain scenes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyChrono Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Since we are sharing anecdotes, my local AMC IMAX 11:15pm showing tonight is completely empty. Poor WOM confirmed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 (edited) Coco's now way behind Moana in the dailies. I guess that's what Star Wars will do. I guess it will pass $200m dom, though. Edited December 20, 2017 by cannastop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Apollo2xx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I wonder why Carrie Fisher's (RIP) death didn't have any effect on this. I thought she was going to be a major draw like Paul Walker in Furious 7 and one of the reasons why the movie wouldn't drop that much from TFA or even increase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, Apollo2xx said: I wonder why Carrie Fisher's (RIP) death didn't have any effect on this. I thought she was going to be a major draw like Paul Walker in Furious 7 and one of the reasons why the movie wouldn't drop that much from TFA or even increase. Who said it didn’t?! Did you conduct an exit poll? We have no way of knowing that one way or another. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 9 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said: You freaked out because I stated what I saw. That my audience didn't like it. A film that you have seen several times in such short time. Yes, you're a baby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandomCat Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Okay, now that does seem weird. Well, today's #s will be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
langer Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 40 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: The crowd you described probably has a wide range of feelings about the movie, just like pretty much every crowd at the movies. I would guess a lot of them did enjoy it. A lot of people enjoyed Ultron too and it still lost 20% of the multiplier from its predecessor. That means it also retained 80% of it, but it doesn't take much of a decline to have a big impact on the box office gross. Last Jedi could retain 85% of TFA's multiplier which would be about a 3.2 multi and it would end up around $705 million. That's a hell of a nice performance overall, but also a huge drop from the previous movie. Just the way it goes with sequels a lot of the time. "Good" WOM is not good enough to retain performance of the previous movie. Sorry, but 3,2X multi in December would not be "a hell of a nice performance overall". It would be on the very low end of mid December friday multipliers. TLJ is a very divisive movie and it's going to experience legs accordingly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, langer said: Sorry, but 3,2X multi in December would not be "a hell of a nice performance overall". It would be on the very low end of mid December friday multipliers. TLJ is a very divisive movie and it's going to experience legs accordingly. $705 million domestic is a hell of a nice performance overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, redfirebird2008 said: $705 million domestic is a hell of a nice performance overall. Some greedy people want it to be $800m, though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Theaters should install Who Wants To Be A Millionaire ask the audience type buttons where they can rate it from A-F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CenterMeOnSam Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I mean, again, I am new to this, but could the 6% drop be the result of an inflated Monday? And this is just a bit of course correction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyChrono Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, Apollo2xx said: I wonder why Carrie Fisher's (RIP) death didn't have any effect on this. I thought she was going to be a major draw like Paul Walker in Furious 7 and one of the reasons why the movie wouldn't drop that much from TFA or even increase. Maybe it did? Perhaps without the Carrie Fisher death effect the grosses would be closer to RO than TFA. It's part of the reason I think that EP9 will drop from TLJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, CenterMeOnSam said: I mean, again, I am new to this, but could the 6% drop be the result of an inflated Monday? And this is just a bit of course correction? Yes, very easily. A truly normal Monday with zero kids out of school would be a 70% drop. This one dropped 58%. But that still doesn't explain how other kids movies like Coco had really good Monday numbers and then jumped over 40% on Tuesday. Spillover effect from a huge weekend might have helped inflate Jedi's Monday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 13 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said: You freaked out because I stated what I saw. That my audience didn't like it. A film that you have seen several times in such short time. Yes, you're a baby. And in the eyes of other people....you’re a dull Mr. Know it All. Trying to sound smarter when it doesn’t always work. BTW, The Last Jedi is doing fine DOM. Nothing to freak out about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larry McGillicuddy Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 As a longtime lurker around here, I remember the original predictions for TFA and find it quite amusing that people are trying to find faults with how TLJ has performed so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
