4-day Weekend Thread: 5-day numbers per BOM - TLJ 99.0M, J:WTTJ 55.4M, PP3 26.4M, TGS 14.4M, F 10.1M, C 8.2M, D 7.7M and an incredible $5,480,000 for Father Figures

[MattW]

32m Monday for TLJ? Seems low.

[Brainbug]

1.  Star Wars: The Last Jedi  (DIS), 4,232 theaters / $24.7M Fri /$29.1M Sat/ $17.9M Sun/$31.4M Mon/3-day cume: $71.7M (-69%)/4-day: $103.1M/Total:$399.7M/ Wk 2

 

I think Disney is conservative with the estimate. The 17,9M Sunday number (even higher than RTH had it!) means, that the projected 31,4M Monday is an under 100% jump, which is imo not happening.

 

2.  Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle  (SONY), 3,765 theaters / $12.46M Fri / $14.8M Sat/ $9.2M Sun/$17.3M Mon/3-day cume: $36.5M/4-day: $53.8M/Total: $70.4M/ Wk 1

 

Holy Hell is Jumanji a hit!

[TwoMisfits]

9 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Studio and industry estimates as of Sunday AM for the weekend of Dec. 22-25:

1.  Star Wars: The Last Jedi  (DIS), 4,232 theaters / $24.7M Fri /$29.1M Sat/ $17.9M Sun/$31.4M Mon/3-day cume: $71.7M (-69%)/4-day: $103.1M/Total:$399.7M/ Wk 2

2.  Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle  (SONY), 3,765 theaters / $12.46M Fri / $14.8M Sat/ $9.2M Sun/$17.3M Mon/3-day cume: $36.5M/4-day: $53.8M/Total:$70.4M/ Wk 1

3. Pitch Perfect 3  (UNI), 3,447 theaters / $10.6M Fri  (includes $2.1M previews)/$6.7M Sat/ $3.2M Sun/ 3-day cume: $20.5M/4-day: $27M/ Wk 1

4. The Greatest Showman  (FOX), 3,006 theaters / $3.1M Fri /$3.5M Sat/$2.1M Sun/$5.2M Mon/ 3-day cume: $8.8M/4-day: $14M/Total: $18.9M/Wk 1

5. Ferdinand  (FOX), 3,630 theaters (+9) / $2.7M Fri /$3M Sat/$1.56M  Sun/$2.37M Mon/3-day cume: $7.3M (-46%)/4-day: $9.67M/Total: $29.1M/ Wk 2

6. Coco(DIS), 2,111 theaters (-1,044) / Fri: $1.85M /$2.2M Sat/$1.3M Sun/$2.2M Mon/ 3-day cume: $5.36M (-46%)/4-day: $7.6M/Total: $163.7M / Wk 5

7.Downsizing  (PAR), 2,668 theaters / $2M Fri /$1.7M Sat/ $1.1M Sun/$2.3M Mon/3-day cume: $4.96M/4-day: $7.2M/ Wk 1

8. Darkest Hour (FOC), 806 theaters (+722)/ $1.4M Fri /$1.5M Sat/ $942K Sun/$1.7M Mon/3-day cume: $4M (+360%) /4-day: $5.7M/Total: $8.5M/ Wk 5

9. Father Figures (ALC/WB), 2,902 theaters / $1.3M Fri /$1.1M Sat/ $730K Sun/$1.6M Mon/3-day cume: $3.28M/4-day: $4.9M/ Wk 1

10. The Shape of Water  (FSL), 726 theaters (+568) / $1.1m Fri /$1.1M Sat/$735k Sun/ 3-day cume: $3M (+78%) /4-day: $4.3M /Total: $8.9M/Wk 4

Niko Tavernise

NOTABLES:

The Post  (FOX), 9 theaters / $158K Fri/$193K Sat/$175K Sun/$304K Mon/3-day cume: $526k /PTA: $58,4K /4-day: $830k/ Wk 1

Hostiles (ENT), 3 theaters / $7K Fri/$10K Sat/$6k Sun/$8K Mon/3-day cume: $23k /PTA: $7,6K /4-day: $31k/ Wk 1

Happy End (SPC), 3 theaters / $8K Fri/$8K Sat/ $7k Sun/3-day cume: $23k /PTA: $7,9K /4-day: $31k/ Wk 1

 

 

updated estimate figure

Interesting that Deadline under-projected Jumanji by almost exactly as much as it over-projected TLJ for the 4 day weekend period if you go back to 1st weekend predictions on Friday morning:)...so, they actually got the top 2 total pretty dead on:)...

 

Edited December 25, 2017 by TwoMisfits

[kitik]

With Star Wars opening last week and a billion other movies opening wide this weekend, it's time to vote for some new movies in the Most Anticipated Movies thread.

 

That thread can be forgotten this time of year, so while you're thinking of it, head over there and give us your top 10 of 2018. (Well, the first 51 weeks of 2018.)

 

https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/667-box-office-theorys-most-anticipated-films/?page=324

[MCKillswitch123]

Very solid result for The Shape Of Water. I've held out my hopes for a 100M+ DOM finish, but it could still pull around 60-70M DOM, all things considered.

 

The Post did great, though. Really strong PTA for a 9 theater opening.

Edited December 25, 2017 by MCKillswitch123

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Very solid result for The Shape Of Water. I've held out my hopes for a 100M+ DOM finish, but it could still pull around 60-70M DOM, all things considered.

 

The Post did great, though. Really strong PTA for a 9 theater opening.

$100M+ was always a pipe dream for The Shape of Water but it should make $40M+ with Oscar nominations coming up, a great result considering the $20M budget.

[DAR]

I just spent an hour trying to get tickets for TLJ tomorrow and the only thing I could find with four together is 9:30 am

[Amrwael22]

So the updated number is even higher with 17.9M for TLJ !! and i think MON numbers will be higher 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

TLJ coming for that Monday record  (Probably not, but there's an outside shot!)

Edited December 25, 2017 by Reyhawk

[Brainbug]

I just realised...Jumanji will probably outgross Justice League...

 

Spoiler

 

[RandomCat]

44 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

It's time to cast the rock as Batman or Superman!! a total beefcake!!

You joke, but I'd watch a supes Rock.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, Sand-omJC said:

You joke, but I'd watch a supes Rock.

[redfirebird2008]

27 minutes ago, MattW said:

32m Monday for TLJ? Seems low.

 

Probably, but the Sunday hold was very strong. I also think some people will wait for Discount Tuesday. 

[MCKillswitch123]

8 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I just realised...Jumanji will probably outgross Justice League...

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Hell, Justice League probably won't even outgross Doctor Strange at this point.

 

Who the hell saw that coming last year?

[Random2]

Merry Christmas y'all!

[bamajagala]

Called 17 yesterday. 34-35 incoming today or more! 17 was supposed to be best case and it nearly gets 18, great start to Christmas run. 

 

NY and LA are strong today, better than 29m Saturday

[Brainbug]

27 minutes ago, DARth DAR said:

I just spent an hour trying to get tickets for TLJ tomorrow and the only thing I could find with four together is 9:30 am

 

Do you got at least good seats?

[a2k]

Smaller Monday bumps than expected but Sunday was much stronger for both and with Disc Tues, probably 2006 model is not useful. Expect better holds on Tuesday I guess.

 

1.  Star Wars: The Last Jedi  (DIS), 4,232 theaters / $24.7M Fri /$29.1M Sat/ $17.9M Sun/$31.4M Mon/3-day cume: $71.7M (-69%)/4-day: $103.1M/Total:$399.7M/ Wk 2 Monday +75.4%

2.  Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle  (SONY), 3,765 theaters / $12.46M Fri / $14.8M Sat/ $9.2M Sun/$17.3M Mon/3-day cume: $36.5M/4-day: $53.8M/Total:$70.4M/ Wk 1 Monday +88.0%

Edited December 25, 2017 by a2knet

[XO21]

Fantastic for Jumanji...better than anyone could have predicted. The Rock and good movies = $$$.

[Valonqar]

2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Smaller Monday bumps than expected but Sunday was much stronger for both and with Disc Tues, probably 2006 model is not useful. Expect better holds on Tuesday I guess.

 

1.  Star Wars: The Last Jedi  (DIS), 4,232 theaters / $24.7M Fri /$29.1M Sat/ $17.9M Sun/$31.4M Mon/3-day cume: $71.7M (-69%)/4-day: $103.1M/Total:$399.7M/ Wk 2 Monday +75.4%

2.  Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle  (SONY), 3,765 theaters / $12.46M Fri / $14.8M Sat/ $9.2M Sun/$17.3M Mon/3-day cume: $36.5M/4-day: $53.8M/Total:$70.4M/ Wk 1 Monday +88.0%

WTF? Isn't Monday today? How do they know Monday numbers already?