New Year's Day Weekend Thread: Late Friday estimates (DHD) - TLJ 19.5M, Jumanji 17.5M, PP3 6.7M, TGS 5.3M

[NoLegMan]

1 minute ago, JonathanLB said:

Everything you say I want to be true lol but I don’t thjnk this will happen  That would be amazing though.

One day my random guess will be right.

[JonathanLB]

Where are these numbers?! I have to go to bed in like 4 hours!  

 

Im watching LEGO Batman (again) with my GF and her 7-year-old brother haha this movie is pretty damn funny.

[Ryan Reynolds]

no numbers? maybe TLJ barely edges out Jumanji in gross but not ticket sales

[EmpireCity]

The Last Jedi and Jumanji should both be right about $20m or so.  

[Ryan Reynolds]

1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

The Last Jedi and Jumanji should both be right about $20m or so.  

a nail biter for the weekend, Jumanji wins next weekend, toxic wom comfirmed

[aabattery]

Behold. Another list.

 

 

[Biggestgeekever]

7 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

The Last Jedi and Jumanji should both be right about $20m or so.  

Jumanji is unstoppable. I'm thinking $270M is the floor, and it could certainly hit $300M and have some gas left in the tank.

 

If it plays like Night at the Museum after this weekend, $350M+ would be the cards.

[a2k]

So Jedi could have around 1.5m lead depending on how the 'decimals' come in, going into Sun and Mon. Both did very well last Sunday with Jumanji having a better hold at 39% vs 39.6%. At least Monday bump for J should be better.

 

J could finish the holiday period with ~187, 6m more than Sing despite a slower start and trailing the cume for the first few days. So would need worse post-holiday legs than Sing to end at 270. If it matches Sing's legs would do 280. If it continues to beat it in legs then 290/300+ is possible.

[dxmatrixdt]

I am going to guess that Star Wars made the most money today

[a2k]

6 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

If MT.com % gap and my local area have been the indicators for Jumanji vs TLJ (and usually neither is all that on point for most movies, but they have seemed to be so far in both of these movies' runs)...I'd expect there to be almost no gap between the 2 movies today...

 

Feel free to tease me about this post tomorrow, b/c I should have a totally wrong call coming:)...you can't have too many in a row without eventually ending up with blown one...

 

 

6 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

I actually wouldn't want to bet which movie will make more today...I think it could go either way (saying this now, and planning on finding out TLJ makes $6M more than Jumanji in 5 hours - it's Murphy's Law:)...

 

Good call 

 

[MaxAggressor]

6 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

If MT.com % gap and my local area have been the indicators for Jumanji vs TLJ (and usually neither is all that on point for most movies, but they have seemed to be so far in both of these movies' runs)...I'd expect there to be almost no gap between the 2 movies today...

 

Feel free to tease me about this post tomorrow, b/c I should have a totally wrong call coming:)...you can't have too many in a row without eventually ending up with blown one...

 

 

Great call TwoMisfits. You are definitely one of my favorite posters on BOT, right up there with Barnack at the top. 

 

So MT.com fluctuations throughout the day is an excellent indicator of where the daily numbers might end up at.  Then you'll be able to extrapolate TLJ & Jumanji's Sunday figure w.r.t each other as well. I'm looking forward to your next update. Gonna be so much fun.

Edited December 31, 2017 by MaxAggressor

[Wonder Midget]

Star Wars and Jumanji fighting it out for weekend dominance.

[a2k]

SW8 should have the 3rd best multiplier for 200+ dom movies and Fri openers for 2017:

 

SW8 2.91-3.0x

BATB 2.88x

WONDR 4x

GOTG2 2.66x

SMH 2.86x

IT 2.65x

THOR3 2.54x

DM3 3.65x

JL 2.42x

LOGAN 2.56x

F8 2.29x

 

Note:

• rounded to 2 decimal places so WONDR's 3.996x became 4x
• COCO and JUMANJI will make it to 200+ but excluded them as they are Wed openers, skewing the multipliers
• assuming 640-660 for SW8
• assuming 311.5 for THOR3
• assuming 227 for JL

Edited December 31, 2017 by a2knet

[Rthmessiah]

19.8  19.5 

[a2k]

9 minutes ago, The Greatest Rth said:

19.8  19.5 

movies in alphabetical order?

 

edit:

using 19.5-19.8 range for both,

TLJ +2.3-3.9%

JUM +9.9-11.6%

Edited December 31, 2017 by a2knet

[Porthos]

Page 52

[FantasticBeasts]

Someone interpret the numbers. 

 

[DeeCee]

6 minutes ago, The Greatest Rth said:

19.8  19.5 

What? What? What?

[Rthmessiah]

PP3 & TGS

[DeeCee]

Just now, The Greatest Rth said:

PP3 & TGS

You’re such a tease.