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Daily Numbers | Tuesday Jan 9th | TLJ 2.40, I4 2.21, TGS 1.90

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8 minutes ago, AndyChrono said:

I know. But I don't want TLJ to top Avengers and with the race this close, every bit counts. :P

me neither. When the race is so close, I root for the older movie since the new one has a benefit of inflation. And because I admire movies that got there first. :)

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I would love to see Molly's Game really get a good boost from WOM.  It's my favourite movie of the year and the acting in it is terrific.

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2 minutes ago, baumer said:

I would love to see Molly's Game really get a good boost from WOM.  It's my favourite movie of the year and the acting in it is terrific.

 

Pls stop. Comments like these just make me want to see the movie more and i still have to wait 4-5 months :ohmyzod:

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Yeah, the Christmas Day # was the final curtain for anyhope of recovery. 35m CD was my high end after the poorer than expected Friday # that 2nd weekend but that +55% increase was just unheard of - as is most of this film's day to day weirdness of a run (I mean seriously decreasing on the 3rd friday??)

 

Ultimately it is not even going to out gross R1 by 100m....

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    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony Pictures $3,544,150 +33% 3,801 $932   $251,819,243 21
2 (2) Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las… Walt Disney $2,368,317 +32% 4,232 $560   $576,851,360 26
3 (3) Insidious: The Last Key Universal $2,206,025 +25% 3,116 $708   $33,557,605 5
4 (4) The Greatest Showman 20th Century Fox $1,904,074 +40% 3,342 $570   $80,139,916 21
5 (5) Pitch Perfect 3 Universal $978,610 +43% 3,458 $283   $87,717,675 19
6 (6) Darkest Hour Focus Features $974,805 +59% 1,733 $562   $29,673,077 49
7 (7) Molly’s Game STX Entertainment $929,231 +68% 1,608 $578   $15,555,001 16
8 (10) The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight $609,545 +35% 804 $758   $22,753,201 40
9 (11) All the Money in the World Sony Pictures $550,392 +71% 2,123 $259   $21,025,845 16
10 (8) Ferdinand 20th Century Fox $497,381 n/c 3,156 $158   $71,460,588 26
11 (9) Coco Walt Disney $490,824 +4% 1,894 $259   $192,888,387 49
12 (12) Lady Bird A24 $309,136 +29% 562 $550   $34,677,591 68
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7 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Also - the non-adult / oscar films all seem to have rather middle-of-the-road increases this week - still good, just not crazy good.

 

Yea, last year 9 movies in the top 10 increased more than 40%; a couple over 50% 

 

Jumanjis’ having a great run but I thought it would have a higher increase today. 

 

Maybe the Wed drops won’t be quite as big? Who knows

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1 minute ago, junkshop36 said:

 

Yea, last year 9 movies in the top 10 increased more than 40%; a couple over 50% 

 

Jumanjis’ having a great run but I thought it would have a higher increase today. 

 

Maybe the Wed drops won’t be quite as big? Who knows

 

Probably muted bc tons of kids going back to school. Kids around here started back on Monday.

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Higher Mondays from Moviepass superusers...no real Moviepass effect Tuesdays (discussed why this would be the least used day for those passes yesterday)...changes the +/- % you'll see, especially when these are small numbers anyway...expect better drops today for the movies you'd expect to appeal to those goers...

 

(I'll probably be a broken record, but someone probably has to be:)...

 

PS - Tons of threads where folks with Xmas presents are still just now getting their cards, and this should go on for a few more weeks...and with cards in hands, these folks are gonna buy:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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2 hours ago, a2knet said:

I think CD's 27.5m (+56% from Sunday) was a wake up call when it came to expecting 680+. CD Mon+Tue brought 55m vs 70m that seemed possible on the high-end (2 days close to 35m). But neither day hit 30m. Wed hold was solid, Thu drop was ok. Then the 3rd Friday dropping from Thu by 2% was fugly and end of hopes of a big recovery. 660 dom, which is the symbolic milestone of 3.0x multi and also beats Titanic seemed like the big target. That Mon-Fri:

2017/12/25 1 $27,459,557 +56% 4,232 $6,489   $395,627,411 11
2017/12/26 1 $27,734,356 +1% 4,232 $6,553   $423,361,767 12
2017/12/27 1 $21,846,132 -21% 4,232 $5,162   $445,207,899 13
2017/12/28 1 $19,490,329 -11% 4,232 $4,605   $464,698,228 14
2017/12/29 1 $19,029,250 -2% 4,232 $4,497   $483,727,478 15

I would also add it's first Tuesday to this list; it decreased by 6% that day while everything else increased double digits.  The average increase was around 40% for the other films in the top 10.  The lower Christmas Day increase and then that third Friday drop were simply baffling to me.

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1 hour ago, weresweresweres said:

Projections place “Jumanji” as the clear leader with a range of $25 million to $30 million over the Friday-Monday period The top end of forecasts put “Paddington 2,” Proud Mary” and The Post each in the $23 million to $25 million range, while their respective studios project $15 million to $18 million. “The Commuter” appears to be heading slightly lower.

 

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/box-office-jumanji-paddington-proud-mary-1202659445/

 

If proud mary pull a 23-25m 4 days opening with that screen counts / marketing budget that would be a big win and explain the strategy (it would not have made much more than that with a bigger release to justify that cost, reviews would have irrelevant good or bad ones, it would have find it's audience by itself).

 

It did do the top 5 on tv but barely, 12 strong is already ahead and opening a week later:

 

http://variety.com/2018/digital/news/the-post-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202658186/

 

 

Edited by Barnack
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6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Higher Mondays from Moviepass superusers...no real Moviepass effect Tuesdays (discussed why this would be the least used day for those passes yesterday)...changes the +/- % you'll see, especially when these are small numbers anyway...expect better drops today for the movies you'd expect to appeal to those goers...

 

(I'll probably be a broken record, but someone probably has to be:)...

 

PS - Tons of threads where folks with Xmas presents are still just now getting their cards, and this should go on for a few more weeks...and with cards in hands, these folks are gonna buy:)...

Of course, I would never ever go see a movie on Tuesday as a MoviePass holder, unless I’m seeing IMAX so I can avoid all of the cheapskates. I got to the point where even without MoviePass I avoided Tuesday unless we could go at 10 pm since it was just not worth it to fight for seats and wait in a huge line around here. I’d rather pay full price.

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