BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[Rumpot]

I'm gonna say it really shines tomorrow and Sunday by playing as a family movie and crushing matinees.  But my track record on this sort of prediction is no better than 50/50

[ACSlater]

12 minutes ago, aabattery said:

 

The Hunger Games.

 

11 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

The big ones are Batman and Spider-Man.

 

[LonePirate]

4 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

I'm gonna say it really shines tomorrow and Sunday by playing as a family movie and crushing matinees.  But my track record on this sort of prediction is no better than 50/50

 

You may be right about this. At the matinee I attended today, there were parents with kids in tow even though those kids should have been in school today. All schools in my area were in session today. I would definitely expect to see plenty of kids at showings during the next three days.

Edited February 17, 2018 by LonePirate

[The Panda]

Any updates on panther (or SAMSON)

 

@Rth Wakanda ?

[Blaze Heatnix]

Holy crap, the movie has already been leaked online...I've seen some cams around.

 

Hopefully that won't damage its performance. I can't wait to go to the cinema and watch it.

[CoolioD1]

1 minute ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Holy crap, the movie has already been leaked online...I've seen some cams around.

 

Hopefully that won't damage its performance. I can't wait to go to the cinema and watch it.

shitty cam versions of literally every big movie ever are online in their opening weekend.

[Mojoguy]

Folks do realize that this is T'Challa (not withstanding the cameo in Cap3) first movie right?

What other first movie did this level of sales?

Wonder Woman? But WW reached 400 with a leggy run instead of any kind of massive opening. It was the anti-BvS movie, which had a massive OW but no legs to speak of.

BP will obviously behave differently from WW with the massive presales and OW.

[Mojoguy]

shitty cam versions of literally every big movie ever are online in their opening weekend.

Yeah, nobody cares about cam versions. BP doesn't have to worry.

[kitik]

10 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Holy crap, the movie has already been leaked online...I've seen some cams around.

 

As others noted, this is now typical. No big deal. Won't affect box office any more or less than it has for every other movie of the past year or two or three.

 

This is not a case of something like Wolverine being leaked online a month before release.

[dxmatrixdt]

one of the biggest overall weekends?

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/top12sum.htm

1	Dec. 18–20, 2015	51	$305,556,314	26,686	$11,450	5	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	$247,966,675	81.2%
2	Dec. 25–27, 2015	52	$281,194,490	29,869	$9,414	5	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	$149,202,860	53.1%
3	Dec. 15–17, 2017	50	$270,627,873	27,119	$9,979	2	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	$220,009,584	81.3%
4	Jun. 12–14, 2015	24	$267,838,931	29,495	$9,081	1	Jurassic World	$208,806,270	78.0%
5	Dec. 25–27, 2009	52	$259,901,856	29,807	$8,719	4	Avatar	$75,617,183	29.1%
6	Jul. 18–20, 2008	29	$253,586,871	32,822	$7,726	3	The Dark Knight	$158,411,483	62.5%
7	Mar. 17–19, 2017	11	$253,491,180	26,607	$9,527	2	Beauty and the Beast	$174,750,616	68.9%

[Deja23]

So I pretty much loved every moment of this movie. It was amazing! Loved the characters, the setting, the action! Deserving of all the hype imo. Also deserves all the money. Wish I could’ve seen it again right then, but all the other shows were sold out. 

[baumer]

If BP really does do about 70 for Friday, I don't see how it misses 200 for the 4 day.  I mean, I guess it's possible to miss it but Civil War did 192 million with a 68% drop on a non holiday Monday.  So a 175 weekend should all but assure it hits 200.

[WrathOfHan]

Red Sparrow and Death Wish tickets are now on sale, and they'll be taking the two biggest auditoriums at my theater  

[Rman823]

If you would have told me two years ago that Black Panther would be over 150 million for the 4 day I would have asked you what you were smoking and now it’s way above it. This is all just gravy to me. 

[eXtacy]

Ouch these numbers would easily make it the most frontloaded Thurs to Friday a Marvel film has seen. Great number overall but damn underwhelming given that Thursday number.

 

 

 

Edited February 17, 2018 by eXtacy

[Valonqar]

9 minutes ago, eXtacy said:

Ouch these numbers would make it the easily make it the most frontloaded Thurs to Friday a Marvel film has seen. Great number overall but damn underwhelming given that Thursday number.

OMG, NO! Rollercoaster has started! What new number? It was mid 70s 2 hours ago and that was an upstick from DHD. What happened? 

[redfirebird2008]

9 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

OMG, NO! Rollercoaster has started! What new number? It was mid 70s 2 hours ago and that was an upstick from DHD. What happened? 

 

Later update from Gitesh at 68-73. Still early though. 

 

https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya/status/964675963547258885

Edited February 17, 2018 by redfirebird2008

[grey ghost]

Looks like BP won't make 200 m OW.

 

BP will fall to 96% on RT.

 

And it might snow this weekend disproving there's a black God.

 

Edited February 17, 2018 by grey ghost

[Rumpot]

5 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

OMG, NO! Rollercoaster has started! What new number? It was mid 70s 2 hours ago and that was an upstick from DHD. What happened? 

Don't worry, we know OD is 25.2M minimum

[eXtacy]

3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

OMG, NO! Rollercoaster has started! What new number? It was mid 70s 2 hours ago and that was an upstick from DHD. What happened? 

People be saying 70m now. Which actually makes it most frontloaded super hero film opening day ever. Not just Marvel.

 

Wait for better updates, newest source is only Gitesh