BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[Hades]

BP over IW worldwide too?

[a2k]

Coco beat Ratatouille unadjusted

 

13	Coco	BV	$207,191,667	3,987	$50,802,605	3,987	11/22/17
14	Ratatouille	BV	$206,445,654	3,940	$47,027,395	3,940	6/29/07

 

 

Edited February 18, 2018 by a2knet

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

1	N	Black Panther	BV	$192,023,000	-	4,020	-	$47,767	$192,023,000	-	1
2	2	Peter Rabbit	Sony	$17,250,000	-31.0%	3,725	-	$4,631	$48,222,542	$50	2
3	1	Fifty Shades Freed	Uni.	$16,940,000	-56.1%	3,768	-	$4,496	$76,134,455	$55	2
4	4	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$7,945,000	-20.7%	2,800	-336	$2,838	$377,623,565	$90	9
5	3	The 15:17 to Paris	WB	$7,685,000	-38.8%	3,042	-	$2,526	$25,432,717	$30	2
6	5	The Greatest Showman	Fox	$5,100,000	-20.8%	1,936	-437	$2,634	$154,478,356	$84	9
7	N	Early Man	LGF	$3,150,000	-	2,494	-	$1,263	$3,150,000	-	1
8	6	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	Fox	$2,525,000	-59.4%	1,892	-1,031	$1,335	$54,005,126	$62	4
9	7	Winchester	LGF	$2,230,000	-57.2%	1,479	-1,001	$1,508	$21,860,179	-	3
10	N	Samson	PFR	$1,972,000	-	1,249	-	$1,579	$1,972,000	-	1
11	8	The Post	Fox	$1,965,000	-45.9%	1,050	-815	$1,871	$76,574,372	$50	9
12	9	The Shape of Water	FoxS	$1,665,000	-47.6%	957	-823	$1,740	$53,243,714	-	12
13	13	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$1,500,000	-34.8%	780	-493	$1,923	$47,969,506	-	15
14	12	12 Strong	WB	$963,000	-64.9%	815	-1,086	$1,182	$44,111,206	-	5
15	11	Hostiles	ENTMP	$904,000	-68.0%	767	-1,447	$1,179	$28,380,825	-	9
16	15	Darkest Hour	Focus	$895,000	-44.2%	602	-443	$1,487	$53,135,692	-	13
17	14	I, Tonya	Neon	$877,347	-47.5%	502	-586	$1,748	$26,981,466	-	11
18	23	Coco	BV	$711,000	-19.8%	385	-448	$1,847	$207,191,667	-	13
19	19	Phantom Thread	Focus	$680,000	-43.6%	355	-203	$1,915	$17,675,624	-	8
20	N	Detective Chinatown 2	WB	$677,000	-	115	-	$5,887	$677,000	-	1
21	16	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$609,000	-56.4%	351	-479	$1,735	$618,031,777	-	10
22	22	Lady Bird	A24	$605,728	-32.9%	407	-244	$1,488	$46,251,893	-	16
23	26	Call Me by Your Name	SPC	$519,028	-23.1%	332	-143	$1,563	$14,887,688	-	13
24	20	La Boda de Valentina	PNT	$515,000	-55.1%	331	-	$1,556	$2,056,094	-	2
25	18	Forever My Girl	RAtt.	$448,620	-63.8%	401	-687	$1,119	$15,705,287	$3.5	5
26	24	Pad Man	Sony	$330,000	-55.4%	152	-	$2,171	$1,325,810	-	2
27	31	Wonder	LGF	$210,000	-25.0%	193	-68	$1,088	$131,671,894	-	14
28	34	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$191,000	-15.1%	149	-24	$1,282	$314,589,124	$180	16
29	27	Insidious: The Last Key	Uni.	$145,000	-75.7%	169	-376	$858	$67,192,475	$10	7
30	32	Pitch Perfect 3	Uni.	$130,000	-49.6%	157	-160	$828	$104,621,545	$45	9
31	42	Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool	SPC	$124,520	+118.6%	107	+68	$1,164	$547,974	-	8
32	28	The Commuter	LGF	$117,000	-79.7%	148	-442	$791	$35,943,498	-	6

If either The Shape of Water or Three Billboards win Best Picture, they will be the highest grossing winner since Argo.

[Alexiswills12]

“Whatever you think the box office is, it always does better,” beams Imax CEO Greg Foster about Black Panther‘s momentum, “I wish I had more seats to sell.”

 

 

LOL

deadline.com

[eddyxx]

Boxofficemojo taking their site down for updates just as Im about to post the MCU  chart showing black panther 2nd only to the avengers on opening weekend.

 

Edited February 18, 2018 by eddyxx

[narniadis]

with Saturday and Sunday estimates in those are reasonable numbers on Disney's part - I think Sunday will come in better and I fully expect Monday to be closer to -40% than -50% but we shall see.

[narniadis]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

If either The Shape of Water or Three Billboards win Best Picture, they will be the highest grossing winner since Argo.

So watch it unexpectedly be one of the lower grossers... have to keep the streak going.

[Black Hawk]

[filmlover]

Just now, narniadis said:

So watch it unexpectedly be one of the lower grossers... have to keep the streak going.

Best Picture is between those two, nothing else really has a shot at this point.

[cookie]

BP's PTA is higher than Avengers 1 

[spizzer]

22 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

 

 

Disney with a 24% Sunday drop.  Lowball if I've ever seen one.

Edited February 18, 2018 by spizzer

[the beast]

Just now, spizzer said:

 

Disney with a 27% Sunday drop.  Lowball if I've ever seen one.

is it likely for the sunday drop to be half of that?

[Rumpot]

23 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Off is relative - Gitesh has been a respected source for more than 20 years - don't diss one of the few we have that is decent.

Doesn't he just report a number someone tells him though?

[Cmasterclay]

My two local theaters are just one sample but it's literally sold just as much as Saturday through 9pm today here. That drop seems way too steep IMO. Think it hits about 195

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Best Picture is between those two, nothing else really has a shot at this point.

 

I'm being Sarcastic.... also Rooting for Shape of Water so it would stand to reason that Billboards will win since I haven't backed a winner since the King's Speech back in 2010

[MikeQ]

5th largest opening weekend of all time. Incredible for Black Panther.

 

Top Opening Weekends of All-Time & Share from Previews

 

Rank / Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Share of Opening Weekend from Previews/Midnights

 

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 248.0 million (23.0%)
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi — 220.0 million (20.5%)
3. Jurassic World — 208.8 million (8.9%)
4. Marvel’s The Avengers — 207.4 million (9.0%)
5. Black Panther — 192.0 million (13.1%)
6. Avengers: Age of Ultron — 191.3 million (14.4%)
7. Captain America: Civil War — 179.1 million (14.0%)
8. Beauty and the Beast — 174.8 million (9.3%)
9. Iron Man 3 — 174.1 million (9.0%)
10. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 169.2 million (25.7%)
11. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 166.0 million (16.7%)
12. The Dark Knight Rises — 160.9 million (19.0%)
13. The Dark Knight — 158.4 million (11.7%)
14. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire — 158.1 million (16.0%)
15. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story — 155.1 million (18.7%)
16. The Hunger Games — 152.5 million (12.9%)
17. Spider-Man 3 — 151.1 million (6.6%)
18. Furious 7 — 147.2 million (10.7%)
19. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 — 146.5 million (11.6%)
20. The Twilight Saga: New Moon — 142.8 million (18.4%)
21. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 — 141.1 million (21.5%)
22. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 — 138.1 million (21.9%)
23. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest — 135.6 million (6.6%)
24. Finding Dory — 135.1 million (6.8%)
25. Suicide Squad — 133.7 million (15.3%)
 

Peace,

Mike

[XO21]

10 minutes ago, Hades said:

BP over IW worldwide too?

BP 4 days almost over Justice League total domestic

 

 

[spizzer]

2 minutes ago, the beast said:

is it likely for the sunday drop to be half of that?

 

Maybe not half, but I'd expect sub 20% given the Saturday demand level + time of year + weekend structure.

[narniadis]

Just now, Rumpot said:

Doesn't he just report a number someone tells him though?

Yes and look who's number was right

[WrathOfHan]

Predictions for next weekend:

 

Black Panther: 84M

Game Night: 20M

Peter Rabbit: 10.4M

Annihilation: 7M

Fifty Shades Freed: 6.3M

Jumanji: 5.9M

The 15:17 to Paris: 3.9M

The Greatest Showman: 3.7M

Every Day: 2.5M

Early Man: 1.5M

 

lmao if Jumanji manages to stay in the top 5 ahead of Fifty Shades next week